MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6424
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2371

MMA Handicapper Stats:

(stiller3k)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	54 (38%)	Right	36 (48%)	Right	14 (27%)	Right	4 (27%)
Wrong	88 (62%)	Wrong	39 (52%)	Wrong	38 (73%)	Wrong	11 (73%)
Avg Odds	2.44	Avg Odds	2.04	Avg Odds	3.30	Avg Odds	2.71
Units Bet	164.9	Units Bet	111.6	Units Bet	32.5	Units Bet	20.8
Avg Bet	1.16	Avg Bet	1.49	Avg Bet	0.62	Avg Bet	1.39
Units Profit	-17.28	Units Profit	-2.19	Units Profit	-2.60	Units Profit	-12.50
ROI %	-10%	ROI %	-2%	ROI %	-8%	ROI %	-60%

: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
6th May '23	UFC 288	2	1.7	87%	1.7 / 2 (87%)
15th Apr '23	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen	8	-8.0	-100%	-8.0 / 8 (-100%)
8th Apr '23	UFC 287	16.41	-8.3	-51%	-2.4 / 10.44 (-23%)	-5.0 / 4.97 (-100%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
7th Apr '23	PFL 2: 2023	14.28	1.9	13%	2.4 / 12.125 (20%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	-0.0 / 1.655 (-1%)
25th Mar '23	UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen	10.44	-2.0	-19%	-2.0 / 7.14 (-29%)	-1.0 / 2.27 (-42%)	1.0 / 1.03 (97%)
18th Mar '23	UFC 286	19.73	4.4	22%	7.2 / 9.73 (74%)	-0.2 / 7.4 (-3%)	-2.6 / 2.6 (-100%)
11th Mar '23	UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili	5	6.8	135%	6.8 / 5 (135%)
4th Mar '23	UFC 285	21.53	-7.3	-34%	0.5 / 4.48 (11%)	1.0 / 5.55 (19%)	-8.8 / 11.5 (-77%)
3rd Mar '23	PFL Challenger Series 2023: Week 6	0.5	-0.5	-100%			-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
11th Feb '23	UFC 284	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
4th Feb '23	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak	6.3	2.6	41%	3.1 / 5.8 (53%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
4th Feb '23	Bellator 290	12.3	-9.5	-77%	-9.5 / 12.3 (-77%)
3rd Feb '23	PFL Challenger Series: Week 2	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
29th Jan '23	Fury FC 73	4	-1.3	-33%	-1.3 / 4 (-33%)
28th Jan '23	LFA 151	5.8	4.7	81%	4.7 / 5.8 (81%)
28th Jan '23	PFL Challenger Series: Week 1	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
21st Jan '23	UFC 283	10.927	-2.4	-22%	-1.6 / 5 (-33%)	-0.7 / 3.927 (-18%)	-0.0 / 2 (-2%)
14th Jan '23	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov	14.347	3.1	21%	1.3 / 10.256 (13%)	1.8 / 4.091 (43%)
6th Jan '23	LFA 149	3	-1.1	-36%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	0.9 / 1 (91%)
10th Dec '22	UFC 282	8.31	1.0	12%	-0.0 / 4.55 (-0%)	1.5 / 3.26 (46%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)

Winning Events: 8 (40%)
Losing Events: 12 (60%)

Average Staked Per Event: 8.29 units
Most Staked On One Event: 21.53 units
Best Event: 6.75 units
Worst Event: -9.50 units
Average Event: -0.86 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 11.18
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -16.33

: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2023	157.564	-18.3	-12%	-2.2 / 107.071 (-2%)		-12.0 / 20.285 (-59%)	7 / 12 (37%)	-0.96
2022	8.31	1.0	12%	-0.0 / 4.55 (-0%)		-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	1 / (100%)	0.99

: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	123.994	-9.5	-8%	5.5 / 73.396 (8%)	-3.0 / 31.968 (-9%)	-12.0 / 18.63 (-64%)
Bellator	12.3	-9.5	-77%	-9.5 / 12.3 (-77%)
PFL	16.78	-0.6	-4%	0.4 / 14.125 (3%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	-0.5 / 2.155 (-24%)
Other	12.8	2.3	18%	1.4 / 11.8 (12%)	0.9 / 1 (91%)

: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	12 (16%)	8	67 %	28.35	-1.69	-0.14	-6%
Slight Favorites	22 (29%)	14	64 %	41.11	0.18	0.01	0%
Slight Underdogs	28 (36%)	10	36 %	31.79	-0.59	-0.02	-2%
Big Underdogs	15 (19%)	4	27 %	10.38	-0.09	-0.01	-1%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	12 (16%)	4	33 %	23.06	-1.99	-0.17	-9%
Co-Main Event	9 (12%)	5	56 %	17.80	-5.16	-0.57	-29%
Position 3-5	23 (30%)	10	43 %	23.44	-1.36	-0.06	-6%
6+ (Undercard)	33 (43%)	17	52 %	47.32	6.31	0.19	13%

: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	8 (10%)	3	38 %	9.65	6.11	0.76	63%
Light Heavy	4 (5%)	3	75 %	4.00	2.46	0.61	61%
Middleweight	12 (16%)	9	75 %	20.66	8.28	0.69	40%
Welterweight	8 (10%)		0 %	8.00	-8.00	-1.00	-100%
Lightweight	8 (10%)	4	50 %	9.95	-1.14	-0.14	-11%
Featherweight	9 (12%)	5	56 %	17.20	-5.83	-0.65	-34%
Bantamweight	10 (13%)	4	40 %	12.26	-2.86	-0.29	-23%
Flyweight	10 (13%)	4	40 %	10.44	-1.94	-0.19	-19%

Women's Fights	8 (10%)	4	50 %	19.47	0.74	0.09	4%
Featherweight	2 (3%)	1	50 %	12.00	1.00	0.50	8%
Bantamweight	1 (1%)	1	100 %	1.00	0.91	0.91	91%
Flyweight	2 (3%)	1	50 %	1.12	1.52	0.76	135%
Strawweight	3 (4%)	1	33 %	5.35	-2.68	-0.89	-50%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	37 (80%)	28	76 %
Slight Favorites	6 (13%)	3	50 %
Slight Underdogs	3 (7%)	2	67 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	46	33	72 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	5 (8%)	2	40 %
50-65%	13 (21%)	7	54 %
35-50%	7 (11%)	3	43 %
<35% chance	36 (59%)	5	14 %
	61	17	28 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	5 (8%)	1	20 %	1.65	1.73	1.59	-3.4 (-68%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	14 (23%)	6	43 %	1.91	3.50	1.33	-3.0 (-21%)
Does not go to Decision	4 (7%)	2	50 %	2.09	3.40	1.44	-1.0 (-25%)
X Wins by KO	8 (13%)	1	13 %	5.28	21.00	3.00	-4.7 (-59%)
X Wins by Sub	6 (10%)	0	0 %	6.21	21.00	4.35	-6.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	5 (8%)	2	40 %	5.00	7.25	3.35	7.3 (145%)
X Wins Inside Distance	2 (3%)	0	0 %	2.63	3.40	2.15	-2.0 (-100%)
X Wins in Round X	10 (16%)	2	20 %	7.01	29.00	3.15	10.3 (103%)
Others	7 (11%)	3	43 %	2.13	12.00	1.38	-0.2 (-2%)
	61	17	28 %	2.87			-2.7 (-4%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
10th Dec	UFC 282	8.31	1.0	12%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,009.90
6th Jan	LFA 149	3	-1.1	-36%	$5	$10.10	$1,009.90	$993.88
14th Jan	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov	14.347	3.1	21%	$5	$9.94	$993.88	$1,019.28
21st Jan	UFC 283	10.927	-2.4	-22%		$10.19	$1,019.28	$994.97
28th Jan	PFL Challenger Series: Week 1	1	-1.0	-100%		$9.95	$994.97	$985.02
28th Jan	LFA 151	5.8	4.7	81%		$9.85	$985.02	$1,031.48
29th Jan	Fury FC 73	4	-1.3	-33%		$10.31	$1,031.48	$1,017.96
3rd Feb	PFL Challenger Series: Week 2	1	-1.0	-100%	$5	$10.18	$1,017.96	$1,002.78
4th Feb	Bellator 290	12.3	-9.5	-77%	$5	$10.03	$1,002.78	$902.52
4th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak	6.3	2.6	41%	$5	$9.03	$902.52	$920.89
11th Feb	UFC 284	1	-1.0	-100%	$5	$9.21	$920.89	$906.68
3rd Mar	PFL Challenger Series 2023: Week 6	0.5	-0.5	-100%	$5	$9.07	$906.68	$897.14
4th Mar	UFC 285	21.53	-7.3	-34%	$5	$8.97	$897.14	$826.54
11th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili	5	6.8	135%	$5	$8.27	$826.54	$877.34
18th Mar	UFC 286	19.73	4.4	22%	$5	$8.77	$877.34	$911.20
25th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen	10.44	-2.0	-19%	$5	$9.11	$911.20	$888.06
7th Apr	PFL 2: 2023	14.28	1.9	13%	$5	$8.88	$888.06	$899.62
8th Apr	UFC 287	16.41	-8.3	-51%	$5	$9.00	$899.62	$819.67
15th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen	8	-8.0	-100%	$5	$8.20	$819.67	$749.10
6th May	UFC 288	2	1.7	87%	$5	$7.49	$749.10	$757.13

ROI % from starting bank balance: -24.29% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Apr '23	Steve Garcia	Yilan Sha	2.65	0.6	TKO, R2 (0:36)
2.	Apr '23	Kelvin Gastelum	Chris Curtis	1.76	1.95	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Apr '23	Christian Rodriguez	Raul Rosas Jr	3.05	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Apr '23	Maurice Greene	Marcelo Nunes	3.00	0.5	TKO, R2 (1:20)
5.	Apr '23	Larissa Pacheco	Julia Budd	1.18	11	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	May '23	Aljamain Sterling	Henry Cejudo	1.87	2	Split Decision (5 rounds)
7.	Mar '23	Lucas Alexander	Steven Peterson	2.55	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Mar '23	Albert Duraev	Chidi Njokuani	2.55	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Mar '23	Veronica Macedo	Juliana Miller	4.25	0.62	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Mar '23	Christian Duncan	Dusko Todorovic	1.56	5.37	TKO, R1 (1:52)
11.	Mar '23	Lerone Murphy	Gabriel Santos	1.63	1.59	Split Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Mar '23	Chris Duncan (2)	Omar Morales	1.87	1.15	Split Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Mar '23	Jennifer Maia	Casey O'Neill	2.45	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Mar '23	Marc-Andre Barriault	Julian Marquez	1.68	1.46	TKO, R2 (4:12)
15.	Mar '23	Karl Williams	Lukasz Brzeski	2.35	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Feb '23	Johnny Eblen	Anatoly Tokov	1.56	1.8	U Decision (5 rounds)
17.	Feb '23	Jun Yong Park	Denis Tiuliulin	1.50	2	Sub, R1 (4:5)
18.	Feb '23	Hyun Sung Park	Seung Guk Choi	1.55	1.8	Sub, R3 (3:11)
19.	Feb '23	Devin Clark	Da Un Jung	3.10	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Jan '23	Kody Steele	Sam Kilmer	1.34	2	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Apr '23	Alex Pereira	Israel Adesanya	2.10	1	TKO, R2 (4:21)	No
2.	Apr '23	Billy Quarantillo	Edson Barboza	1.63	8	TKO, R1 (2:37)	No
3.	Apr '23	Jaqueline Amorim	Sam Hughes	1.43	2.35	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Apr '23	Michelle Waterson	Luana Pinheiro	2.40	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Apr '23	Santiago Ponzinibbio	Kevin Holland	3.02	0.5	TKO, R3 (3:16)	No
6.	Apr '23	Jorge Masvidal	Gilbert Burns	4.65	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Apr '23	Renan Ferreira	Rizvan Kuniev	2.60	0.625	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Apr '23	Alex Pereira	Israel Adesanya	2.30	1.54	TKO, R2 (4:21)	No
9.	Mar '23	Vinicius Salvador	Victor Altamirano	1.88	1.14	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Mar '23	Preston Parsons	Trevin Giles	2.00	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Mar '23	Bryan Barberena	Gunnar Nelson	4.50	0.5	Sub, R1 (4:51)	No
12.	Mar '23	Ciryl Gane	Jon Jones	2.47	0.32	Sub, R1 (2:4)	Yes
13.	Mar '23	Jalin Turner	Mateusz Gamrot	2.82	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Mar '23	Marlon Vera	Cory Sandhagen	2.41	2	Split Decision (5 rounds)	No
15.	Mar '23	Ciryl Gane	Jon Jones	2.42	0.7	Sub, R1 (2:4)	Yes
16.	Feb '23	Naranjargal Tsendayush	Amanda Leve	2.30	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Feb '23	Jornel Lugo	Jaylon Bates	1.25	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Feb '23	Alejandra Lara	Diana Avsaragova	2.15	0.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Feb '23	Darrion Caldwell	Nikita Mikhailov	2.35	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Feb '23	Max Rohskopf	Chris Gonzalez	2.60	1	TKO, R2 (1:22)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

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