MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6375
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2342

MMA Handicapper Stats: Samuel

Samuel (3rdeyebets)

MMA MHandicapper - Samuel

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	78 (46%)	Right	46 (51%)	Right	24 (41%)	Right	8 (35%)
Wrong	93 (54%)	Wrong	44 (49%)	Wrong	34 (59%)	Wrong	15 (65%)
Avg Odds	2.09	Avg Odds	1.96	Avg Odds	2.20	Avg Odds	2.35
Units Bet	200.7	Units Bet	116.4	Units Bet	56.7	Units Bet	27.6
Avg Bet	1.17	Avg Bet	1.29	Avg Bet	0.98	Avg Bet	1.20
Units Profit	-8.16	Units Profit	-3.68	Units Profit	-6.10	Units Profit	1.62
ROI %	-4%	ROI %	-3%	ROI %	-11%	ROI %	6%

Samuel : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
30th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	4.5	0.6	13%	1.8 / 3.25 (57%)	-1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)
29th Jul '23	UFC 291	8.05	-2.2	-27%	-0.8 / 4.8 (-18%)	-1.4 / 3.25 (-42%)
22nd Jul '23	UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura	5.85	-2.3	-39%	0.2 / 3.35 (7%)	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
15th Jul '23	UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva	2	-2.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
8th Jul '23	UFC 290	1.5	2.7	180%	2.7 / 1.5 (180%)
1st Jul '23	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov	9.25	-7.0	-75%	-1.0 / 3.25 (-29%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
24th Jun '23	UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria	7.25	-0.3	-4%	1.5 / 2.25 (67%)	-1.8 / 5 (-36%)
23rd Jun '23	PFL 6: Regular Season	2	0.5	24%	-0.1 / 1.5 (-7%)		0.6 / 0.5 (117%)
17th Jun '23	UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier	7.75	9.7	125%	6.0 / 4.75 (126%)	3.7 / 3 (124%)
10th Jun '23	UFC 289	7.75	-0.9	-11%	0.6 / 2 (30%)	-0.2 / 4.5 (-4%)	-1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)
8th Jun '23	PFL 4: Regular Season	1.75	-1.8	-100%	-0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
13th May '23	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida	3.75	2.6	70%	0.4 / 1.75 (22%)	2.2 / 2 (111%)
6th May '23	UFC 288	8.96	-1.6	-18%	-1.9 / 7.6 (-25%)	0.3 / 1.36 (21%)
29th Apr '23	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón	5.6	3.2	57%	3.2 / 5.6 (57%)
15th Apr '23	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen	4	-0.4	-11%	0.1 / 3.5 (1%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
14th Apr '23	PFL 3: 2023	0.5	-0.5	-100%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
8th Apr '23	UFC 287	13.65	-4.8	-35%	-3.3 / 10.05 (-32%)	0.4 / 1.6 (26%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
1st Apr '23	PFL 1: 2023	1.5	0.8	52%	0.8 / 1.5 (52%)
25th Mar '23	UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen	7.9	-1.3	-17%	-2.1 / 5.55 (-38%)	0.8 / 2.35 (34%)
18th Mar '23	UFC 286	3.95	-0.5	-12%	0.5 / 2.95 (17%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
11th Mar '23	UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili	7.35	-2.3	-31%	1.5 / 3.55 (43%)	-2.7 / 2.7 (-100%)	-1.1 / 1.1 (-100%)
10th Mar '23	PFL Challenger Series 2023: Week 7	0.5	0.2	33%	0.2 / 0.5 (33%)
10th Mar '23	Bellator 292	0.5	0.6	119%			0.6 / 0.5 (119%)
4th Mar '23	UFC 285	13.15	5.9	45%	0.9 / 5.55 (16%)	1.4 / 3.3 (42%)	3.6 / 4.3 (83%)
25th Feb '23	UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen	5.6	-2.7	-48%	-2.3 / 4 (-57%)	0.7 / 0.5 (140%)	-1.1 / 1.1 (-100%)
18th Feb '23	UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield	9.33	0.2	2%	-0.4 / 5.53 (-8%)	-1.6 / 1.6 (-100%)	2.2 / 2.2 (102%)
11th Feb '23	UFC 284	16.3	-5.0	-30%	-4.2 / 6 (-70%)	3.6 / 5.9 (62%)	-4.4 / 4.4 (-100%)
4th Feb '23	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak	3.6	3.2	88%	0.7 / 1 (68%)	0.4 / 0.6 (65%)	2.1 / 2 (105%)
21st Jan '23	UFC 283	11.8	-8.7	-74%	-3.9 / 7 (-56%)	-4.8 / 4.8 (-100%)
14th Jan '23	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov	8.1	-5.1	-63%	-5.1 / 5.1 (-100%)	1.0 / 2 (50%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
17th Dec '22	UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland	6	0.3	5%	2.1 / 4.25 (48%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	-1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)
10th Dec '22	UFC 282	11.05	10.7	97%	1.6 / 5.55 (29%)	2.0 / 2 (100%)	7.1 / 3.5 (203%)

Winning Events: 14 (44%)
Losing Events: 18 (56%)

Average Staked Per Event: 6.27 units
Most Staked On One Event: 16.30 units
Best Event: 10.72 units
Worst Event: -8.72 units
Average Event: -0.26 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 11.03
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -13.82

Samuel : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2024	4.5	0.6	13%	1.8 / 3.25 (57%)			1 / (100%)	0.60
2023	179.19	-19.8	-11%	-9.2 / 103.38 (-9%)		-4.2 / 22.85 (-19%)	11 / 18 (38%)	-0.68
2022	17.05	11.0	65%	3.7 / 9.8 (37%)		5.9 / 4.75 (123%)	2 / (100%)	5.51

Samuel : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Samuel : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	193.99	-7.9	-4%	-3.3 / 111.68 (-3%)	-6.1 / 56.71 (-11%)	1.4 / 25.6 (6%)
Bellator	0.5	0.6	119%			0.6 / 0.5 (119%)
PFL	6.25	-0.8	-13%	-0.4 / 4.75 (-9%)		-0.4 / 1.5 (-28%)

Samuel : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	15 (16%)	12	80 %	25.33	2.79	0.19	11%
Slight Favorites	37 (39%)	20	54 %	53.40	-6.45	-0.17	-12%
Slight Underdogs	27 (29%)	12	44 %	25.15	3.20	0.12	13%
Big Underdogs	15 (16%)	4	27 %	12.55	-3.23	-0.22	-26%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	13 (14%)	4	31 %	25.05	-7.85	-0.60	-31%
Co-Main Event	9 (10%)	5	56 %	13.35	-2.02	-0.22	-15%
Position 3-5	19 (20%)	11	58 %	25.90	-0.20	-0.01	-1%
6+ (Undercard)	53 (56%)	28	53 %	52.13	6.39	0.12	12%

Samuel : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	7 (7%)	5	71 %	6.75	2.05	0.29	30%
Light Heavy	7 (7%)	5	71 %	11.05	0.60	0.09	5%
Middleweight	16 (17%)	8	50 %	18.25	4.02	0.25	22%
Welterweight	13 (14%)	8	62 %	14.60	3.07	0.24	21%
Lightweight	12 (13%)	4	33 %	13.10	-3.92	-0.33	-30%
Featherweight	9 (10%)	7	78 %	10.05	5.53	0.61	55%
Bantamweight	9 (10%)	3	33 %	15.90	-6.30	-0.70	-40%
Flyweight	7 (7%)	4	57 %	11.88	-3.98	-0.57	-34%

Women's Fights	14 (15%)	4	29 %	14.85	-4.75	-0.34	-32%
Bantamweight	4 (4%)	1	25 %	5.00	-3.32	-0.83	-66%
Flyweight	4 (4%)		0 %	2.85	-2.85	-0.71	-100%
Strawweight	6 (6%)	3	50 %	7.00	1.42	0.24	20%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	38 (75%)	25	66 %
Slight Favorites	13 (25%)	9	69 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	51	34	67 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	9 (14%)	6	67 %
50-65%	21 (33%)	11	52 %
35-50%	19 (30%)	9	47 %
<35% chance	15 (23%)	2	13 %
	64	28	44 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (2%)	1	100 %	1.84	1.84	1.84	0.8 (84%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	8 (13%)	6	75 %	1.81	2.40	1.50	2.9 (36%)
Does not go to Decision	13 (20%)	5	38 %	1.76	2.65	1.37	-3.6 (-27%)
Fight Starts Round X	2 (3%)	2	100 %	1.49	1.60	1.40	1.0 (50%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X	2 (3%)	1	50 %	1.89	2.20	1.65	-0.3 (-17%)
X Wins by KO	6 (9%)	0	0 %	2.86	4.70	1.85	-6.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub	5 (8%)	1	20 %	4.40	8.50	2.75	-2.3 (-45%)
X Wins by Decision	5 (8%)	2	40 %	3.30	3.60	3.00	2.0 (40%)
X Wins Inside Distance	9 (14%)	3	33 %	2.24	4.25	1.47	-3.1 (-35%)
Others	13 (20%)	7	54 %	1.94	4.80	1.48	0.1 (1%)
	64	28	44 %	2.12			-8.4 (-13%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Samuel 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
10th Dec	UFC 282	11.05	10.7	97%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,107.18
17th Dec	UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland	6	0.3	5%		$11.07	$1,107.18	$1,110.61
14th Jan	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov	8.1	-5.1	-63%		$11.11	$1,110.61	$1,053.97
21st Jan	UFC 283	11.8	-8.7	-74%		$10.54	$1,053.97	$962.06
4th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak	3.6	3.2	88%		$9.62	$962.06	$992.55
11th Feb	UFC 284	16.3	-5.0	-30%		$9.93	$992.55	$943.32
18th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield	9.33	0.2	2%		$9.43	$943.32	$945.50
25th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen	5.6	-2.7	-48%		$9.45	$945.50	$920.16
4th Mar	UFC 285	13.15	5.9	45%		$9.20	$920.16	$974.14
10th Mar	Bellator 292	0.5	0.6	119%		$9.74	$974.14	$979.93
10th Mar	PFL Challenger Series 2023: Week 7	0.5	0.2	33%		$9.80	$979.93	$981.55
11th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili	7.35	-2.3	-31%		$9.82	$981.55	$959.22
18th Mar	UFC 286	3.95	-0.5	-12%		$9.59	$959.22	$954.57
25th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen	7.9	-1.3	-17%		$9.55	$954.57	$942.07
1st Apr	PFL 1: 2023	1.5	0.8	52%		$9.42	$942.07	$949.42
8th Apr	UFC 287	13.65	-4.8	-35%		$9.49	$949.42	$903.50
14th Apr	PFL 3: 2023	0.5	-0.5	-100%		$9.04	$903.50	$898.99
15th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen	4	-0.4	-11%		$8.99	$898.99	$894.94
29th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón	5.6	3.2	57%		$8.95	$894.94	$923.35
6th May	UFC 288	8.96	-1.6	-18%		$9.23	$923.35	$908.40
13th May	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida	3.75	2.6	70%		$9.08	$908.40	$932.08
8th Jun	PFL 4: Regular Season	1.75	-1.8	-100%		$9.32	$932.08	$915.77
10th Jun	UFC 289	7.75	-0.9	-11%		$9.16	$915.77	$907.94
17th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier	7.75	9.7	125%		$9.08	$907.94	$995.85
23rd Jun	PFL 6: Regular Season	2	0.5	24%		$9.96	$995.85	$1,000.70
24th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria	7.25	-0.3	-4%		$10.01	$1,000.70	$998.00
1st Jul	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov	9.25	-7.0	-75%		$9.98	$998.00	$928.64
8th Jul	UFC 290	1.5	2.7	180%		$9.29	$928.64	$953.71
15th Jul	UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva	2	-2.0	-100%		$9.54	$953.71	$934.64
22nd Jul	UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura	5.85	-2.3	-39%		$9.35	$934.64	$913.34
29th Jul	UFC 291	8.05	-2.2	-27%		$9.13	$913.34	$893.16
30th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	4.5	0.6	13%		$8.93	$893.16	$898.52

ROI % from starting bank balance: -10.15% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Samuel : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Mar '24	Ibo Aslan	Anton Turkalj	1.70	1	TKO, R3 (1:32)
2.	Mar '24	Chidi Njokuani	Rhys McKee	1.70	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Jul '23	Alex Pereira	Jan Blachowicz	1.98	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Jul '23	Lerone Murphy	Joshua Culibao	1.72	1.1	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Jul '23	Ketlen Vieira	Pannie Kianzad	1.68	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Jul '23	Robbie Lawler	Niko Price	3.00	0.5	TKO, R1 (0:38)
7.	Jul '23	Alexandre Pantoja	Brandon Moreno	2.70	1	Split Decision (5 rounds)
8.	Jul '23	Alexander Romanov	Blagoy Ivanov	1.70	0.25	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Jul '23	Benoit Saint-Denis	Ismael Bonfim	3.75	0.5	Sub, R1 (4:48)
10.	Jun '23	Tabatha Ricci	Gillian Robertson	1.78	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Jun '23	Jack Jenkins	Jamall Emmers	2.40	0.25	Split Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Jun '23	Jack Jenkins	Jamall Emmers	2.75	0.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Jun '23	Carlos Leal Miranda	Dilano Taylor	1.40	1	TKO, R2 (1:13)
14.	Jun '23	Jared Cannonier	Marvin Vettori	2.00	2	U Decision (5 rounds)
15.	Jun '23	Armen Petrosyan	Christian Duncan	2.25	1.25	U Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Jun '23	Nicolas Dalby	Muslim Salikhov	2.60	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Jun '23	Marc-Andre Barriault	Eryk Anders	1.75	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Jun '23	Marc-Andre Barriault	Eryk Anders	1.72	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	May '23	Matt Brown	Court McGee	2.85	0.75	TKO, R1 (4:9)
20.	May '23	Kennedy Nzechukwu	Devin Clark	1.52	2	Sub, R2 (2:28)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Mar '24	Andre Petroski	Jacob Malkoun	2.95	0.25	TKO, R2 (0:39)	No
2.	Jul '23	Tony Ferguson	Bobby Green	4.00	0.25	Sub, R3 (4:54)	No
3.	Jul '23	Dustin Poirier	Justin Gaethje	1.70	2	TKO, R2 (1:0)	No
4.	Jul '23	Claudio Ribeiro	Roman Kopylov	3.10	0.55	TKO, R2 (0:33)	No
5.	Jul '23	Yanal Ashmoz	Chris Duncan (2)	2.25	1.25	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Jul '23	Holly Holm	Mayra Bueno Silva	1.55	2	Sub, R2 (0:38)	No
7.	Jul '23	Melissa Gatto	Ariane Lipski	1.44	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Jul '23	Damir Ismagulov	Grant Dawson	1.87	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Jun '23	Jarrah Al-Silawi	Solomon Renfro	2.10	0.5	TKO, R2 (1:44)	No
10.	Jun '23	Phil Rowe	Neil Magny	2.40	0.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Jun '23	Irene Aldana	Amanda Nunes	3.80	0.5	U Decision (5 rounds)	Yes
12.	Jun '23	Taylor Johnson	Andrew Sanchez	2.25	0.25	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Jun '23	Taylor Johnson	Andrew Sanchez	2.13	0.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	May '23	Gabriel Green	Bryan Battle	1.68	1	TKO, R1 (0:14)	No
15.	May '23	Phil Hawes	Ikram Aliskerov	2.65	0.35	TKO, R1 (2:10)	No
16.	May '23	Marina Alcalde Rodriguez	Virna Jandiroba	1.69	1.25	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	May '23	Henry Cejudo	Aljamain Sterling	1.87	3	Split Decision (5 rounds)	No
18.	Apr '23	Charles Johnson	Cody Durden	1.69	1.1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Apr '23	Tanner Boser	Ion Cutelaba	2.05	1	TKO, R1 (2:5)	No
20.	Apr '23	Piera Rodriguez	Gillian Robertson	2.02	0.5	Sub, R2 (4:21)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Samuel : Progress Chart

Chart

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