MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6424
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2371

MMA Handicapper Stats: The MMA Prospectus

The MMA Prospectus (mmaprospectus)

MMA MHandicapper - The MMA Prospectus

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	23 (48%)	Right	5 (29%)	Right	11 (50%)	Right	7 (78%)
Wrong	25 (52%)	Wrong	12 (71%)	Wrong	11 (50%)	Wrong	2 (22%)
Avg Odds	1.88	Avg Odds	1.87	Avg Odds	1.99	Avg Odds	1.67
Units Bet	55.2	Units Bet	20.5	Units Bet	21.5	Units Bet	13.2
Avg Bet	1.15	Avg Bet	1.21	Avg Bet	0.98	Avg Bet	1.46
Units Profit	-6.65	Units Profit	-11.14	Units Profit	-0.52	Units Profit	5.01
ROI %	-12%	ROI %	-54%	ROI %	-2%	ROI %	38%

The MMA Prospectus : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
4th Feb '23	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak	15.5	-6.3	-41%	-6.1 / 7.5 (-81%)	-1.0 / 6 (-16%)	0.7 / 2 (35%)
21st Jan '23	UFC 283	12	-0.9	-8%	-0.9 / 3 (-28%)	-1.9 / 6 (-32%)	1.8 / 3 (60%)
14th Jan '23	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov	5	-0.3	-6%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	1.7 / 3 (57%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
10th Dec '22	UFC 282	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
3rd Dec '22	UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland	10	-0.5	-5%	0.0 / 4 (0%)	-1.0 / 3 (-35%)	0.6 / 3 (19%)
19th Nov '22	UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba	3	-1.6	-53%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	0.4 / 1 (42%)
12th Nov '22	UFC 281	6	2.8	47%	-0.2 / 2 (-12%)	1.1 / 1 (110%)	1.9 / 3 (65%)
5th Nov '22	UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos	2.66	1.2	45%		0.2 / 1.5 (13%)	1.0 / 1.16 (86%)

Winning Events: 2 (25%)
Losing Events: 6 (75%)

Average Staked Per Event: 6.90 units
Most Staked On One Event: 15.50 units
Best Event: 2.81 units
Worst Event: -6.34 units
Average Event: -0.83 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 4.00
Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -10.65

The MMA Prospectus : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2023	32.5	-7.6	-23%	-7.9 / 11.5 (-69%)		1.5 / 6 (25%)	/ 3 (0%)	-2.53
2022	22.66	0.9	4%	-3.2 / 9 (-36%)		3.5 / 7.16 (49%)	2 / 3 (40%)	0.19

The MMA Prospectus : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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The MMA Prospectus : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	55.16	-6.6	-12%	-11.1 / 20.5 (-54%)	-0.5 / 21.5 (-2%)	5.0 / 13.16 (38%)

The MMA Prospectus : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	2 (12%)	1	50 %	4.00	-2.57	-1.28	-64%
Slight Favorites	10 (59%)	2	20 %	10.00	-6.62	-0.66	-66%
Slight Underdogs	4 (24%)	2	50 %	6.00	-1.45	-0.36	-24%
Big Underdogs	1 (6%)	0	0 %	0.50	-0.50	-0.50	-100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	2 (12%)	1	50 %	2.00	-0.57	-0.28	-28%
Co-Main Event	1 (6%)	0	0 %	3.00	-3.00	-3.00	-100%
Position 3-5	2 (12%)	1	50 %	2.00	0.40	0.20	20%
6+ (Undercard)	12 (71%)	3	25 %	13.50	-7.97	-0.66	-59%

The MMA Prospectus : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	1 (6%)	1	100 %	1.00	0.43	0.43	43%
Light Heavy	2 (12%)	1	50 %	4.00	-2.23	-1.12	-56%
Middleweight	4 (24%)	1	25 %	3.50	-1.10	-0.28	-31%
Welterweight	3 (18%)		0 %	3.00	-3.00	-1.00	-100%
Lightweight	4 (24%)		0 %	6.00	-6.00	-1.50	-100%
Featherweight	1 (6%)	1	100 %	1.00	0.61	0.61	61%
Bantamweight	1 (6%)	1	100 %	1.00	1.15	1.15	115%

Women's Fights	1 (6%)		0 %	1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-100%
Strawweight	1 (6%)		0 %	1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	14 (100%)	13	93 %
Slight Favorites	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	14	13	93 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	8 (30%)	7	88 %
50-65%	13 (48%)	5	38 %
35-50%	3 (11%)	2	67 %
<35% chance	3 (11%)	1	33 %
	27	15	56 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	3 (11%)	2	67 %	1.58	1.95	1.36	-0.1 (-4%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	15 (56%)	10	67 %	1.58	2.85	1.12	0.3 (2%)
Does not go to Decision	2 (7%)	2	100 %	2.10	2.10	2.10	2.2 (110%)
X Wins by KO	3 (11%)	1	33 %	2.18	4.00	1.67	1.0 (33%)
X Wins by Sub	2 (7%)	0	0 %	4.72	5.75	4.00	-2.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance	2 (7%)	0	0 %	1.60	1.91	1.38	-2.0 (-100%)
	27	15	56 %	1.76			-0.6 (-2%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail The MMA Prospectus 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
5th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos	2.66	1.2	45%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,011.91
12th Nov	UFC 281	6	2.8	47%		$10.12	$1,011.91	$1,040.37
19th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba	3	-1.6	-53%		$10.40	$1,040.37	$1,023.89
3rd Dec	UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland	10	-0.5	-5%		$10.24	$1,023.89	$1,018.94
10th Dec	UFC 282	1	-1.0	-100%		$10.19	$1,018.94	$1,008.75
14th Jan	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov	5	-0.3	-6%		$10.09	$1,008.75	$1,005.70
21st Jan	UFC 283	12	-0.9	-8%		$10.06	$1,005.70	$996.28
4th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak	15.5	-6.3	-41%		$9.96	$996.28	$933.08

ROI % from starting bank balance: -6.69% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

The MMA Prospectus : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Feb '23	Sergey Spivak	Derrick Lewis	1.43	1	Sub, R1 (3:5)
2.	Jan '23	Daniel Marcos	Saimon Oliveira	2.15	1	TKO, R2 (2:18)
3.	Dec '22	Roman Dolidze	Jack Hermansson	2.40	1	TKO, R2 (4:6)
4.	Dec '22	Francis Marshall	Marcelo Rojo	1.61	1	TKO, R2 (1:14)
5.	Nov '22	Carlos Ulberg	Nick Negumereanu	1.77	1	TKO, R1 (3:44)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Feb '23	Denis Tiuliulin	Jun Yong Park	2.90	0.5	Sub, R1 (4:5)	No
2.	Feb '23	Da Un Jung	Devin Clark	1.43	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Feb '23	Jeka Asparido Saragih	Anshul Jubli	2.00	3	TKO, R2 (3:44)	No
4.	Jan '23	Terrance McKinney	Ismael Bonfim	1.87	1	TKO, R2 (2:17)	No
5.	Jan '23	Mounir Lazzez	Gabriel Bonfim	2.41	1	Sub, R1 (0:49)	No
6.	Jan '23	Claudio Ribeiro	Abdul Razak Alhassan	1.95	1	TKO, R2 (0:28)	No
7.	Dec '22	Scott Holtzman	Clay Guida	1.61	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Dec '22	Joaquin Buckley	Chris Curtis	1.77	1	TKO, R2 (2:49)	No
9.	Dec '22	Kevin Holland	Stephen Thompson	1.91	1	TKO, R4 (5:0)	No
10.	Nov '22	Andre Fialho	Muslim Salikhov	1.91	1	TKO, R3 (1:3)	No
11.	Nov '22	Maria Oliveira	Vanessa Demopoulos	1.83	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Nov '22	Ottman Azaitar	Matt Frevola	1.87	1	TKO, R1 (2:30)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

The MMA Prospectus : Progress Chart

Chart

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