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MMA Handicapper Stats: Mystic MacNulty🔮

Mystic MacNulty🔮 (Mcnulty99johny)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	25 (53%)	Right	15 (58%)	Right	4 (44%)	Right	6 (50%)
Wrong	22 (47%)	Wrong	11 (42%)	Wrong	5 (56%)	Wrong	6 (50%)
Avg Odds	1.95	Avg Odds	1.74	Avg Odds	2.64	Avg Odds	2.08
Units Bet	59.8	Units Bet	40.5	Units Bet	6.0	Units Bet	13.3
Avg Bet	1.27	Avg Bet	1.56	Avg Bet	0.67	Avg Bet	1.10
Units Profit	1.86	Units Profit	-1.03	Units Profit	-0.29	Units Profit	3.18
ROI %	3%	ROI %	-3%	ROI %	-5%	ROI %	24%

Mystic MacNulty🔮: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
13th Apr '24	UFC 300	6.65	-0.7	-11%	-0.4 / 4 (-10%)	-0.2 / 0.15 (-100%)	-0.2 / 2.5 (-8%)
9th Mar '24	UFC 299	9.5	5.9	62%	3.4 / 6 (57%)		2.5 / 3.5 (71%)
24th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	5	-4.3	-86%	-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)	0.2 / 0.5 (38%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
24th Feb '24	PFL vs. Bellator: Champs	0.5	0.5	100%	0.5 / 0.5 (100%)
17th Feb '24	UFC 298	9.45	0.9	9%	-2.3 / 5.25 (-43%)	0.3 / 1.2 (21%)	2.9 / 3 (96%)
10th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	1.25	-0.7	-56%			-0.7 / 1.25 (-56%)
3rd Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	2.25	0.6	27%	1.1 / 1.75 (64%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
20th Jan '24	UFC 297	5.4	-3.5	-65%	-2.4 / 4.25 (-56%)	-0.2 / 0.15 (-100%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
13th Jan '24	UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker	1.5	0.2	13%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)		0.7 / 1 (70%)
16th Dec '23	UFC 296	10.25	-0.8	-8%	-0.8 / 6.75 (-12%)	0.1 / 3.5 (2%)
9th Dec '23	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez	3	0.9	29%	0.9 / 3 (29%)
22nd Oct '22	UFC 280	5	2.9	59%	2.9 / 5 (59%)

Winning Events: 7 (58%)
Losing Events: 5 (42%)

Average Staked Per Event: 4.98 units
Most Staked On One Event: 10.25 units
Best Event: 5.91 units
Worst Event: -4.31 units
Average Event: 0.16 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 5.91
Max Losing Streak: Events: 1, Units: -4.31

Mystic MacNulty🔮: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2024	41.5	-1.2	-3%	-4.0 / 25.75 (-15%)		3.2 / 13.25 (24%)	5 / 4 (56%)	-0.13
2023	13.25	0.1	1%	0.0 / 9.75 (0%)			1 / 1 (50%)	0.04
2022	5	2.9	59%	2.9 / 5 (59%)			1 / (100%)	2.94

Mystic MacNulty🔮: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Mystic MacNulty🔮: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	59.25	1.4	2%	-1.5 / 40 (-4%)	-0.3 / 6 (-5%)	3.2 / 13.25 (24%)
PFL	0.5	0.5	100%	0.5 / 0.5 (100%)

Mystic MacNulty🔮: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	8 (31%)	5	63 %	21.00	-2.20	-0.27	-10%
Slight Favorites	8 (31%)	5	63 %	14.25	1.21	0.15	8%
Slight Underdogs	9 (35%)	5	56 %	4.75	0.45	0.05	10%
Big Underdogs	1 (4%)	0	0 %	0.50	-0.50	-0.50	-100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	9 (35%)	6	67 %	22.50	1.94	0.22	9%
Co-Main Event	2 (8%)	1	50 %	2.00	-0.58	-0.29	-29%
Position 3-5	7 (27%)	3	43 %	10.75	-2.68	-0.38	-25%
6+ (Undercard)	8 (31%)	5	63 %	5.25	0.29	0.04	6%

Mystic MacNulty🔮: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	4 (15%)	4	100 %	1.75	1.66	0.41	95%
Light Heavy	1 (4%)	1	100 %	2.00	1.60	1.60	80%
Middleweight	3 (12%)	1	33 %	1.25	-0.15	-0.05	-12%
Welterweight	4 (15%)	2	50 %	10.50	-3.22	-0.80	-31%
Lightweight	4 (15%)	3	75 %	7.50	2.73	0.68	36%
Featherweight	3 (12%)	1	33 %	5.00	-4.21	-1.40	-84%
Bantamweight	3 (12%)	2	67 %	8.50	2.30	0.77	27%
Flyweight	2 (8%)		0 %	2.25	-2.25	-1.13	-100%

Women's Fights	2 (8%)	1	50 %	1.75	0.52	0.26	30%
Strawweight	2 (8%)	1	50 %	1.75	0.52	0.26	30%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	21 (84%)	16	76 %
Slight Favorites	4 (16%)	3	75 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	25	19	76 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	6 (55%)	5	83 %
50-65%	0 (0%)	0	nan %
35-50%	2 (18%)	1	50 %
<35% chance	3 (27%)	0	0 %
	11	6	55 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	5 (45%)	4	80 %	1.36	1.42	1.31	0.5 (9%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (9%)	0	0 %	2.20	2.20	2.20	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO	2 (18%)	0	0 %	6.51	9.00	5.10	-2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub	2 (18%)	1	50 %	3.44	6.10	2.40	0.4 (20%)
Others	1 (9%)	1	100 %	1.45	1.45	1.45	0.5 (45%)
	11	6	55 %	1.93			-1.7 (-15%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Mystic MacNulty🔮's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
22nd Oct	UFC 280	5	2.9	59%	$5	$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,024.41
9th Dec	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez	3	0.9	29%		$10.24	$1,024.41	$1,033.19
16th Dec	UFC 296	10.25	-0.8	-8%		$10.33	$1,033.19	$1,025.19
13th Jan	UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker	1.5	0.2	13%		$10.25	$1,025.19	$1,027.19
20th Jan	UFC 297	5.4	-3.5	-65%		$10.27	$1,027.19	$991.09
3rd Feb	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	2.25	0.6	27%		$9.91	$991.09	$997.22
10th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	1.25	-0.7	-56%		$9.97	$997.22	$990.29
17th Feb	UFC 298	9.45	0.9	9%		$9.90	$990.29	$998.88
24th Feb	PFL vs. Bellator: Champs	0.5	0.5	100%		$9.99	$998.88	$1,003.87
24th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	5	-4.3	-86%		$10.04	$1,003.87	$960.63
9th Mar	UFC 299	9.5	5.9	62%		$9.61	$960.63	$1,017.42
13th Apr	UFC 300	6.65	-0.7	-11%		$10.17	$1,017.42	$1,009.90

ROI % from starting bank balance: 0.99% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Mystic MacNulty🔮: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Apr '24	Alex Pereira	Jamahal Hill	1.80	2	TKO, R1 (3:14)
2.	Mar '24	Curtis Blaydes	Jailton Junior	2.10	0.5	TKO, R2 (0:36)
3.	Mar '24	Dustin Poirier	Benoit Saint-Denis	2.85	0.5	TKO, R2 (2:32)
4.	Mar '24	Sean O'Malley	Marlon Vera	1.39	5	U Decision (5 rounds)
5.	Feb '24	Renan Ferreira	Ryan Bader	2.00	0.5	TKO, R1 (0:21)
6.	Feb '24	Marcos Rogerio de Lima	Junior Tafa	1.45	0.5	TKO, R2 (1:14)
7.	Feb '24	Amanda Lemos	Mackenzie Dern	1.81	1.25	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Feb '24	Marquel Mederos	Landon Quiñones	1.74	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Feb '24	Jamal Pogues	Thomas Petersen	2.52	0.25	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Feb '24	Randy Brown	Muslim Salikhov	1.37	1	TKO, R1 (3:17)
11.	Jan '24	Dricus Du Plessis	Sean Strickland	2.20	0.5	Split Decision (5 rounds)
12.	Jan '24	Movsar Evloev	Arnold Allen	1.57	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Dec '23	Shavkat Rakhmonov	Stephen Thompson	1.18	5	Sub, R2 (4:56)
14.	Dec '23	Yadong Song	Chris Gutierrez	1.29	3	U Decision (5 rounds)
15.	Oct '22	Islam Makhachev	Charles Oliveira	1.59	5	Sub, R2 (3:16)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Apr '24	Marina Alcalde Rodriguez	Jessica Andrade	2.20	0.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Apr '24	Jalin Turner	Renato Moicano	1.44	1.5	TKO, R2 (4:11)	No
3.	Feb '24	Brandon Moreno	Brandon Royval	1.35	2	Split Decision (5 rounds)	No
4.	Feb '24	Roman Kopylov	Anthony Hernandez	3.05	0.5	Sub, R2 (3:23)	No
5.	Jan '24	Mike Malott	Neil Magny	1.30	3	TKO, R3 (4:45)	No
6.	Feb '24	Yair Rodriguez	Brian Ortega	1.62	1.5	Sub, R3 (0:58)	No
7.	Jan '24	Marc-Andre Barriault	Chris Curtis	2.55	0.25	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Jan '24	Ricky Simon	Mario Bautista	1.59	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Feb '24	Alex Volkanovski	Ilia Topuria	1.61	3	TKO, R2 (3:32)	No
10.	Dec '23	Cody Durden	Tagir Ulanbekov	2.45	0.25	Sub, R2 (4:25)	No
11.	Dec '23	Colby Covington	Leon Edwards	2.45	1.5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Mystic MacNulty🔮: Progress Chart

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