MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6424
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2371

MMA Handicapper Stats: T Shep

T Shep (Tshep)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	68 (44%)	Right	30 (46%)	Right	16 (36%)	Right	22 (51%)
Wrong	85 (56%)	Wrong	35 (54%)	Wrong	29 (64%)	Wrong	21 (49%)
Avg Odds	2.15	Avg Odds	2.01	Avg Odds	2.66	Avg Odds	1.97
Units Bet	189.5	Units Bet	82.1	Units Bet	50.0	Units Bet	57.4
Avg Bet	1.24	Avg Bet	1.26	Avg Bet	1.11	Avg Bet	1.33
Units Profit	-13.04	Units Profit	-6.20	Units Profit	0.63	Units Profit	-7.48
ROI %	-7%	ROI %	-8%	ROI %	1%	ROI %	-13%

T Shep: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
11th Feb '23	UFC 284	7.4	-3.2	-43%	-0.2 / 4.4 (-3%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
4th Feb '23	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak	5.4	-2.8	-52%		-2.1 / 2.1 (-100%)	-0.7 / 3.3 (-21%)
4th Feb '23	Bellator 290	3	-3.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
3rd Feb '23	PFL Challenger Series: Week 2	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
21st Jan '23	UFC 283	10.4	-3.3	-32%	-2.1 / 6.9 (-30%)	-1.1 / 1.1 (-100%)	-0.1 / 2.4 (-5%)
14th Jan '23	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov	5.14	-3.7	-72%	-2.6 / 2.64 (-100%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	0.4 / 1 (45%)
17th Dec '22	UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland	6.25	0.7	12%	1.0 / 3.75 (27%)		-0.3 / 2.5 (-11%)
9th Dec '22	Bellator 289	2	0.5	25%	1.5 / 1 (150%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
3rd Dec '22	UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland	6.07	-4.0	-66%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)		1.0 / 1.07 (93%)
2nd Dec '22	One on Prime 5	2	-0.7	-36%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)		0.3 / 1 (27%)
25th Nov '22	PFL 2022 #10	9.67	3.9	40%	-0.0 / 3 (-0%)	1.3 / 4 (31%)	2.6 / 2.67 (99%)
18th Nov '22	Bellator 288	2	-2.0	-100%			-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
12th Nov '22	UFC 281	14.75	0.2	2%	0.2 / 9.55 (2%)	0.0 / 3 (2%)	-0.0 / 2.2 (-0%)
5th Nov '22	UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos	4.73	-2.5	-53%	-3.6 / 3.55 (-100%)		1.1 / 1.18 (89%)
29th Oct '22	UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen	3.75	-3.8	-100%	-2.8 / 2.75 (-100%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
22nd Oct '22	UFC 280	8.16	0.4	5%	-0.4 / 3.38 (-11%)	0.8 / 2.76 (28%)	-0.0 / 2.02 (-0%)
21st Oct '22	ONE on Prime 3	2.55	-0.4	-16%	1.1 / 1 (115%)		-1.6 / 1.55 (-100%)
15th Oct '22	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo	4.25	3.9	92%		3.9 / 4.25 (92%)
1st Oct '22	Bellator 286	2.06	-2.1	-100%			-2.1 / 2.06 (-100%)
1st Oct '22	UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan	1.7	-1.7	-100%		-1.7 / 1.7 (-100%)
30th Sep '22	One on Prime 2	3.75	1.0	27%	0.0 / 2.25 (0%)		1.0 / 1.5 (67%)
27th Sep '22	DWCS 2022: Week 10	7.02	4.3	62%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	3.3 / 4 (84%)	2.0 / 2.02 (99%)
25th Sep '22	Rizin 38	2.07	1.3	61%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	1.0 / 1.07 (93%)	0.8 / 0.5 (151%)
23rd Sep '22	Cage Warriors 143	1	-1.0	-100%			-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
23rd Sep '22	Bellator 285	5.75	-1.2	-20%	2.6 / 2 (129%)	-2.3 / 2.25 (-100%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
21st Sep '22	DWCS 2022: Week 9	1.68	1.0	60%	1.0 / 1.68 (60%)
17th Sep '22	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song	8.08	-5.1	-63%	-1.0 / 4 (-25%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-2.1 / 2.08 (-100%)
10th Sep '22	UFC 279	7.05	0.4	6%	2.2 / 2 (112%)	-2.7 / 4 (-67%)	0.8 / 1.05 (77%)
6th Sep '22	DWCS 2022: Week 7	2	0.0	0%		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	1.0 / 1 (100%)
3rd Sep '22	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa	9.41	1.1	12%	-1.9 / 5.34 (-35%)		3.0 / 4.07 (74%)
27th Aug '22	One FC on Prime 1	1	1.2	120%	1.2 / 1 (120%)
23rd Aug '22	DWCS 2022: Week 5	1	2.1	212%	2.1 / 1 (212%)
20th Aug '22	UFC 278	12.71	-8.8	-70%	1.0 / 1.22 (82%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	-6.8 / 8.49 (-81%)
20th Aug '22	PFL 2022 #9	6	7.8	130%		7.8 / 6 (130%)
20th Aug '22	LFA 139	1.15	1.0	87%	1.0 / 1.15 (87%)
13th Aug '22	UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz	4	-1.8	-45%			-1.8 / 4 (-45%)
13th Aug '22	PFL 2022 #8	5.05	1.4	28%	2.1 / 3.05 (70%)	-0.7 / 2 (-35%)
12th Aug '22	Bellator 284	6	2.1	35%	1.6 / 5 (32%)		0.5 / 1 (53%)
9th Aug '22	DWCS 2022: Week 3	2.48	4.5	181%		3.5 / 1.25 (280%)	1.0 / 1.23 (81%)

Winning Events: 20 (51%)
Losing Events: 19 (49%)

Average Staked Per Event: 4.86 units
Most Staked On One Event: 14.75 units
Best Event: 7.80 units
Worst Event: -8.84 units
Average Event: -0.33 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 8.80
Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -16.97

T Shep: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2023	32.34	-17.0	-52%	-7.9 / 16.94 (-47%)		-1.4 / 7.7 (-18%)	/ 6 (0%)	-2.83
2022	157.14	3.9	2%	1.7 / 65.17 (3%)		-6.1 / 49.69 (-12%)	20 / 13 (61%)	0.12

T Shep: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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T Shep: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	119.25	-33.9	-28%	-15.0 / 54.48 (-27%)	-11.3 / 27.41 (-41%)	-7.6 / 37.36 (-20%)
Bellator	20.81	-5.6	-27%	3.7 / 10 (37%)	-3.3 / 3.25 (-100%)	-6.0 / 7.56 (-80%)
PFL	21.72	12.1	56%	1.1 / 7.05 (16%)	8.4 / 12 (70%)	2.6 / 2.67 (99%)
Other	27.7	14.3	52%	4.0 / 10.58 (38%)	6.9 / 7.32 (94%)	3.5 / 9.8 (35%)

T Shep: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	8 (12%)	4	50 %	17.60	-7.17	-0.90	-41%
Slight Favorites	22 (34%)	11	50 %	31.51	-3.66	-0.17	-12%
Slight Underdogs	29 (45%)	14	48 %	28.50	6.01	0.21	21%
Big Underdogs	6 (9%)	1	17 %	4.50	-1.38	-0.23	-31%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	13 (20%)	6	46 %	21.44	-2.39	-0.18	-11%
Co-Main Event	4 (6%)	1	25 %	5.10	-2.60	-0.65	-51%
Position 3-5	22 (34%)	14	64 %	25.05	8.24	0.37	33%
6+ (Undercard)	26 (40%)	9	35 %	30.52	-9.45	-0.36	-31%

T Shep: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	3 (5%)	1	33 %	2.50	-0.06	-0.02	-2%
Light Heavy	8 (12%)	4	50 %	12.64	-0.44	-0.05	-3%
Middleweight	7 (11%)	2	29 %	12.15	-8.62	-1.23	-71%
Welterweight	10 (15%)	5	50 %	11.33	3.04	0.30	27%
Lightweight	9 (14%)	5	56 %	12.25	0.15	0.02	1%
Featherweight	5 (8%)	2	40 %	4.94	-0.69	-0.14	-14%
Bantamweight	6 (9%)	3	50 %	6.72	0.55	0.09	8%
Flyweight	7 (11%)	4	57 %	8.28	1.52	0.22	18%

Women's Fights	10 (15%)	4	40 %	11.30	-1.65	-0.17	-15%
Featherweight	3 (5%)	1	33 %	3.00	-1.00	-0.33	-33%
Flyweight	4 (6%)	2	50 %	4.50	1.00	0.25	22%
Strawweight	3 (5%)	1	33 %	3.80	-1.65	-0.55	-43%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	91 (91%)	61	67 %
Slight Favorites	9 (9%)	7	78 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	100	68	68 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	1 (2%)	1	100 %
50-65%	6 (15%)	2	33 %
35-50%	13 (32%)	4	31 %
<35% chance	21 (51%)	5	24 %
	41	12	29 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	2 (5%)	1	50 %	3.00	3.00	3.00	1.0 (50%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	2 (5%)	0	0 %	1.96	2.15	1.80	-2.0 (-100%)
Does not go to Decision	3 (7%)	1	33 %	2.31	2.50	2.20	-0.7 (-25%)
Fight Starts Round X	1 (2%)	1	100 %	9.50	9.50	9.50	8.5 (850%)
X Wins by KO	1 (2%)	0	0 %	4.30	4.30	4.30	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub	9 (22%)	2	22 %	3.54	9.00	1.83	-2.9 (-32%)
X Wins Inside Distance	10 (24%)	2	20 %	2.30	5.00	1.91	-5.9 (-59%)
X Wins in Round X	8 (20%)	2	25 %	3.26	10.50	1.50	-3.9 (-49%)
Others	5 (12%)	3	60 %	2.85	9.00	1.61	2.9 (57%)
	41	12	29 %	2.84			-4.1 (-10%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail T Shep's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
9th Aug	DWCS 2022: Week 3	2.48	4.5	181%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,044.97
12th Aug	Bellator 284	6	2.1	35%		$10.45	$1,044.97	$1,067.19
13th Aug	PFL 2022 #8	5.05	1.4	28%		$10.67	$1,067.19	$1,082.53
13th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz	4	-1.8	-45%		$10.83	$1,082.53	$1,062.84
20th Aug	LFA 139	1.15	1.0	87%		$10.63	$1,062.84	$1,073.46
20th Aug	PFL 2022 #9	6	7.8	130%		$10.73	$1,073.46	$1,157.19
20th Aug	UFC 278	12.71	-8.8	-70%		$11.57	$1,157.19	$1,054.87
23rd Aug	DWCS 2022: Week 5	1	2.1	212%		$10.55	$1,054.87	$1,077.23
27th Aug	One FC on Prime 1	1	1.2	120%		$10.77	$1,077.23	$1,090.16
3rd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa	9.41	1.1	12%		$10.90	$1,090.16	$1,102.58
6th Sep	DWCS 2022: Week 7	2	0.0	0%		$11.03	$1,102.58	$1,102.59
10th Sep	UFC 279	7.05	0.4	6%		$11.03	$1,102.59	$1,106.89
17th Sep	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song	8.08	-5.1	-63%		$11.07	$1,106.89	$1,050.66
21st Sep	DWCS 2022: Week 9	1.68	1.0	60%		$10.51	$1,050.66	$1,061.16
23rd Sep	Bellator 285	5.75	-1.2	-20%		$10.61	$1,061.16	$1,048.75
23rd Sep	Cage Warriors 143	1	-1.0	-100%		$10.49	$1,048.75	$1,038.26
25th Sep	Rizin 38	2.07	1.3	61%		$10.38	$1,038.26	$1,051.31
27th Sep	DWCS 2022: Week 10	7.02	4.3	62%		$10.51	$1,051.31	$1,096.97
30th Sep	One on Prime 2	3.75	1.0	27%		$10.97	$1,096.97	$1,107.94
1st Oct	UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan	1.7	-1.7	-100%		$11.08	$1,107.94	$1,089.10
1st Oct	Bellator 286	2.06	-2.1	-100%		$10.89	$1,089.10	$1,066.67
15th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo	4.25	3.9	92%		$10.67	$1,066.67	$1,108.27
21st Oct	ONE on Prime 3	2.55	-0.4	-16%		$11.08	$1,108.27	$1,103.83
22nd Oct	UFC 280	8.16	0.4	5%		$11.04	$1,103.83	$1,108.27
29th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen	3.75	-3.8	-100%		$11.08	$1,108.27	$1,066.71
5th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos	4.73	-2.5	-53%		$10.67	$1,066.71	$1,040.05
12th Nov	UFC 281	14.75	0.2	2%		$10.40	$1,040.05	$1,042.64
18th Nov	Bellator 288	2	-2.0	-100%		$10.43	$1,042.64	$1,021.78
25th Nov	PFL 2022 #10	9.67	3.9	40%		$10.22	$1,021.78	$1,061.56
2nd Dec	One on Prime 5	2	-0.7	-36%		$10.62	$1,061.56	$1,053.86
3rd Dec	UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland	6.07	-4.0	-66%		$10.54	$1,053.86	$1,011.67
9th Dec	Bellator 289	2	0.5	25%		$10.12	$1,011.67	$1,016.73
17th Dec	UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland	6.25	0.7	12%		$10.17	$1,016.73	$1,024.08
14th Jan	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov	5.14	-3.7	-72%		$10.24	$1,024.08	$986.27
21st Jan	UFC 283	10.4	-3.3	-32%		$9.86	$986.27	$953.48
3rd Feb	PFL Challenger Series: Week 2	1	-1.0	-100%		$9.53	$953.48	$943.94
4th Feb	Bellator 290	3	-3.0	-100%		$9.44	$943.94	$915.62
4th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak	5.4	-2.8	-52%		$9.16	$915.62	$889.96
11th Feb	UFC 284	7.4	-3.2	-43%		$8.90	$889.96	$861.92

ROI % from starting bank balance: -13.81% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

T Shep: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Feb '23	Joshua Culibao	Melsik Bagdasaryan	1.91	1.1	Sub, R2 (2:2)
2.	Feb '23	Blake Bilder	Shane Young	2.15	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Jan '23	Jamahal Hill	Glover Teixeira	1.71	2.8	U Decision (5 rounds)
4.	Dec '22	Drew Dober	Bobby Green	1.61	1.65	TKO, R2 (2:45)
5.	Dec '22	Jared Cannonier	Sean Strickland	1.91	1.1	Split Decision (5 rounds)
6.	Dec '22	Liz Carmouche	Juliana Velasquez	2.50	1	Sub, R2 (4:24)
7.	Nov '22	Rob Wilkinson	Omari Akhmedov	1.50	2	TKO, R2 (5:0)
8.	Nov '22	Matt Frevola	Ottman Azaitar	2.40	1	TKO, R1 (2:30)
9.	Nov '22	Daniel Hooker	Claudio Puelles	1.69	1.45	TKO, R2 (4:6)
10.	Nov '22	Carlos Ulberg	Nick Negumereanu	1.80	1.25	TKO, R1 (3:44)
11.	Oct '22	Noelle Grandjean	Lea Bivins	2.15	1	TKO, R1 (4:1)
12.	Oct '22	Manon Fiorot	Katlyn Chookagian	1.50	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Nov '22	Dustin Poirier	Michael Chandler	1.61	1.65	Sub, R3 (2:0)
14.	Sep '22	Halil Amir	Timofey Nastyukhin	2.25	1	TKO, R2 (0:58)
15.	Sep '22	Luca Poclit	Dante Schiro	2.58	1	Sub, R2 (4:31)
16.	Sep '22	Leah McCourt	Dayana Silva	2.00	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Sep '22	Jafel Filho	Roybert Echeverria	1.60	1.68	TKO, R3 (1:31)
18.	Sep '22	Cory Sandhagen	Yadong Song	1.50	2	TKO, R4 (5:0)
19.	Sep '22	Nate Diaz	Tony Ferguson	2.15	1	Sub, R4 (2:6)
20.	Sep '22	Yohan Lainesse	Darian Weeks	2.10	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Feb '23	Tyson Pedro	Modestas Bukauskas	1.43	2.3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Feb '23	Darrion Caldwell	Nikita Mikhailov	2.10	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Feb '23	Anatoly Tokov	Johnny Eblen	3.35	1	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
4.	Feb '23	Senna van der Veerdonk	Jackie Cataline	2.10	1	TKO, R1 (4:9)	No
5.	Jan '23	Deiveson Figueiredo	Brandon Moreno	1.95	2.1	TKO, R3 (5:0)	No
6.	Jan '23	Mauricio Rua	Ihor Potieria	2.75	1	TKO, R1 (4:5)	No
7.	Jan '23	Paul Craig	Johnny Walker	2.55	1	TKO, R1 (2:16)	No
8.	Jan '23	Carlos Hernandez	Allan Nascimento	3.60	1	Sub, R1 (3:16)	No
9.	Jan '23	Nick Aguirre	Dan Argueta	5.00	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Jan '23	Nassourdine Imavov	Sean Strickland	1.88	1.14	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
11.	Dec '22	Hayisaer Maheshate	Rafa Garcia	2.30	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Dec '22	Reinier de Ridder	Anatoly Malykhin	2.05	1	TKO, R1 (4:35)	No
13.	Dec '22	Scott Holtzman	Clay Guida	1.67	1.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Dec '22	Kyle Daukaus	Eryk Anders	1.48	2.1	TKO, R2 (2:45)	No
15.	Dec '22	Kevin Holland	Stephen Thompson	1.71	1.4	TKO, R4 (5:0)	No
16.	Nov '22	Julia Budd	Aspen Ladd	2.70	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Nov '22	Israel Adesanya	Alex Pereira	1.48	4.2	TKO, R5 (2:1)	No
18.	Nov '22	Mark O. Madsen	Grant Dawson	2.78	1	Sub, R3 (2:5)	No
19.	Oct '22	Calvin Kattar	Arnold Allen	2.00	1	TKO, R2 (0:8)	No
20.	Oct '22	Josh Fremd	Tresean Gore	1.57	1.75	Sub, R2 (0:49)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

T Shep: Progress Chart

Chart

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