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MMA Handicapper Stats: elbowkickpunch

elbowkickpunch (elbowkickpunch)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - elbowkickpunch

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 10 (34%) Right 6 (46%) Right 3 (30%) Right 1 (17%)
Wrong 19 (66%) Wrong 7 (54%) Wrong 7 (70%) Wrong 5 (83%)
Avg Odds 2.90 Avg Odds 1.98 Avg Odds 6.25 Avg Odds 3.25
Units Bet 39.4 Units Bet 28.0 Units Bet 4.6 Units Bet 6.8
Avg Bet 1.36 Avg Bet 2.15 Avg Bet 0.46 Avg Bet 1.14
Units Profit -10.80 Units Profit -5.84 Units Profit -0.65 Units Profit -4.31
ROI % -27% ROI % -21% ROI % -14% ROI % -63%
View Handicapper's Profile

elbowkickpunch : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
17th Sep '22 UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song 4.65 -2.0 -43% -2.0 / 4.65 (-43%)
10th Sep '22 UFC 279 6.06 -6.1 -100% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) -4.6 / 4.56 (-100%)
3rd Sep '22 UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa 9.44 5.8 61% 5.0 / 9.04 (55%) 0.8 / 0.4 (191%)
20th Aug '22 UFC 278 1.12 -1.1 -100% -1.1 / 1.12 (-100%)
13th Aug '22 UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz 0.1 0.5 507% 0.5 / 0.1 (507%)
6th Aug '22 UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill 4.2 3.4 81% 2.5 / 3 (82%) 1.4 / 0.7 (207%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
30th Jul '22 UFC 277 6 -3.5 -58% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -2.3 / 2.25 (-100%) 0.7 / 1.75 (43%)
26th Jul '22 DWCS 2022: Week 1 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
16th Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez 4.8 -4.8 -100% -4.8 / 4.8 (-100%)


Winning Events: 3 (33%)
Losing Events: 6 (67%)

Average Staked Per Event: 4.37 units
Most Staked On One Event: 9.44 units
Best Event: 5.76 units
Worst Event: -6.06 units
Average Event: -1.20 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 5.76
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -11.30

elbowkickpunch : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2022 39.37 -10.8 -27% -5.8 / 27.99 (-21%) -4.3 / 6.81 (-63%) 3 / 6 (33%) -1.20

elbowkickpunch : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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elbowkickpunch : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 36.37 -7.8 -21% -2.8 / 24.99 (-11%) -0.7 / 4.57 (-14%) -4.3 / 6.81 (-63%)
Other 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)

elbowkickpunch : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 4 (31%) 2 50 % 12.30 -1.48 -0.37 -12%
Slight Favorites 2 (15%) 2 100 % 2.65 1.91 0.95 72%
Slight Underdogs 5 (38%) 1 20 % 9.54 -4.41 -0.88 -46%
Big Underdogs 2 (15%) 1 50 % 3.50 -1.85 -0.93 -53%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 0 (0%) 0 nan % 0.00 0.00 nan nan%
Co-Main Event 1 (8%) 0 0 % 0.54 -0.54 -0.54 -100%
Position 3-5 5 (38%) 2 40 % 8.00 -4.44 -0.89 -56%
6+ (Undercard) 7 (54%) 4 57 % 19.45 -0.86 -0.12 -4%

elbowkickpunch : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 2 (15%) 1 50 % 2.00 -0.35 -0.18 -18%
Middleweight 3 (23%) 2 67 % 6.54 2.37 0.79 36%
Lightweight 1 (8%) 0 % 3.00 -3.00 -3.00 -100%
Featherweight 1 (8%) 0 % 1.50 -1.50 -1.50 -100%
Bantamweight 2 (15%) 2 100 % 4.15 3.63 1.81 87%
Flyweight 1 (8%) 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -2.00 -100%
               
Women's Fights 3 (23%) 1 33 % 8.80 -4.98 -1.66 -57%
Flyweight 1 (8%) 0 % 3.30 -3.30 -3.30 -100%
Strawweight 2 (15%) 1 50 % 5.50 -1.68 -0.84 -31%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 12 (80%) 10 83 %
Slight Favorites 1 (7%) 0 0 %
Slight Underdogs 2 (13%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
15 10 67 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 1 (7%) 1 100 %
50-65% 0 (0%) 0 nan %
35-50% 3 (21%) 0 0 %
<35% chance 10 (71%) 3 30 %
14 4 29 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
X Wins by KO 3 (21%) 1 33 % 3.43 6.75Pick was correct 2.75Pick was incorrect 3.7 (125%)
X Wins by Sub 2 (14%) 0 0 % 13.04 16.00Pick was incorrect 11.00Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance 6 (43%) 3 50 % 2.83 8.50Pick was incorrect 1.36Pick was correct 4.3 (72%)
X Wins in Round X 2 (14%) 0 0 % 7.73 17.00Pick was incorrect 5.00Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
Others 1 (7%) 0 0 % 9.00 9.00Pick was incorrect 9.00Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
14 4 29 % 3.98     3.1 (22%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail elbowkickpunch 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
16th Jul UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez 4.8 -4.8 -100% $10.00 $1,000.00 $952.00
26th Jul DWCS 2022: Week 1 3 -3.0 -100% $9.52 $952.00 $923.44
30th Jul UFC 277 6 -3.5 -58% $9.23 $923.44 $891.11
6th Aug UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill 4.2 3.4 81% $8.91 $891.11 $921.54
13th Aug UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz 0.1 0.5 507% $9.22 $921.54 $926.22
20th Aug UFC 278 1.12 -1.1 -100% $9.26 $926.22 $915.85
3rd Sep UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa 9.44 5.8 61% $9.16 $915.85 $968.57
10th Sep UFC 279 6.06 -6.1 -100% $9.69 $968.57 $909.87
17th Sep UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song 4.65 -2.0 -43% $9.10 $909.87 $891.68


ROI % from starting bank balance: -10.83% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

elbowkickpunch : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Sep '22 Javid Basharat Tony Gravely 1.61 1.65 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Sep '22 Roman Kopylov Alessio Di Chirico 1.91 1 TKO, R3 (1:9) MMA Bookmaker
3. Sep '22 Christian Quinonez Khalid Taha 2.05 2.5 TKO, R1 (3:15) MMA Bookmaker
4. Sep '22 Abusupiyan Magomedov Dustin Stoltzfus 1.40 5 TKO, R1 (0:19) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
5. Aug '22 Mohammed Usman Zac Pauga 3.30 0.5 TKO, R2 (0:36) MMA Bookmaker
6. Aug '22 Cory McKenna Miranda Granger 1.53 2.5 Sub, R2 (1:3) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Sep '22 Denise Gomes Loma Lookboonmee 3.15 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
2. Sep '22 Jake Collier Chris Barnett 1.28 1.5 TKO, R2 (2:24) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Sep '22 Marvin Vettori Robert Whittaker 2.85 0.54 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Jul '22 Alex Perez Alexandre Pantoja 2.65 2 Sub, R1 (1:31) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Jul '22 Kaleio Romero Dennis Buzukja 2.80 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Jul '22 Charles Jourdain Shane Burgos 2.45 1.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
7. Jul '22 Miesha Tate Lauren Murphy 1.50 3.3 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

elbowkickpunch : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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