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MMA Handicapper Stats: Just Usher

Just Usher (JustUsher)
Mixed Martial Arts Management - Just Usher

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays
Right 38 (48%) Right 29 (59%) Right 3 (50%) Right 6 (25%)
Wrong 41 (52%) Wrong 20 (41%) Wrong 3 (50%) Wrong 18 (75%)
Avg Odds 2.26 Avg Odds 1.78 Avg Odds 2.83 Avg Odds 4.45
Units Bet 275.0 Units Bet 181.0 Units Bet 11.0 Units Bet 83.0
Avg Bet 3.48 Avg Bet 3.69 Avg Bet 1.83 Avg Bet 3.46
Units Profit 48.09 Units Profit 15.59 Units Profit 1.46 Units Profit 31.04
ROI % 17% ROI % 9% ROI % 13% ROI % 37%
View Handicapper's Profile

Just Usher: Event by Event Predictions
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
8th Apr '23 UFC 287 30 -22.0 -73% -4.0 / 12 (-33%) -18.0 / 18 (-100%)
4th Mar '23 UFC 285 42 12.0 29% 4.8 / 31 (16%) 7.2 / 11 (65%)
13th Aug '22 UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz 8 -8.0 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
6th Aug '22 UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill 30 -16.8 -56% -7.8 / 21 (-37%) -9.0 / 9 (-100%)
30th Jul '22 UFC 277 48.5 0.6 1% -4.8 / 37 (-13%) 5.4 / 11.5 (47%)
23rd Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall 58 49.8 86% 10.6 / 37 (29%) 39.3 / 21 (187%)
16th Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez 58.5 32.5 56% 20.8 / 39 (53%) 1.5 / 11 (13%) 10.2 / 8.5 (120%)


Winning Events: 4 (57%)
Losing Events: 3 (43%)

Average Staked Per Event: 39.29 units
Most Staked On One Event: 58.50 units
Best Event: 49.84 units
Worst Event: -22.00 units
Average Event: 6.87 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 82.89
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -24.80

Just Usher: Year on Year Profit
Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Events
Won / Lost (%)		 Profit
Per Event
2023 72 -10.0 -14% 0.8 / 43 (2%) -10.8 / 29 (-37%) 1 / 1 (50%) -5.00
2022 203 58.1 29% 14.8 / 138 (11%) 41.8 / 54 (77%) 3 / 2 (60%) 11.62

Just Usher: Yearly Straight Pick Stats
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Just Usher: Profit / Loss by Organization
Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 275 48.1 17% 15.6 / 181 (9%) 1.5 / 11 (13%) 31.0 / 83 (37%)

Just Usher: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 16 (33%) 14 88 % 75.00 19.67 1.23 26%
Slight Favorites 13 (27%) 6 46 % 48.00 -3.88 -0.30 -8%
Slight Underdogs 14 (29%) 7 50 % 41.50 0.30 0.02 1%
Big Underdogs 6 (12%) 2 33 % 16.50 -0.50 -0.08 -3%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 5 (10%) 2 40 % 22.00 -9.55 -1.91 -43%
Co-Main Event 3 (6%) 1 33 % 9.00 -2.50 -0.83 -28%
Position 3-5 13 (27%) 9 69 % 71.00 17.51 1.35 25%
6+ (Undercard) 28 (57%) 17 61 % 79.00 10.13 0.36 13%

Just Usher: Profit by Weight Class
  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 6 (12%) 3 50 % 26.00 -6.55 -1.09 -25%
Light Heavy 4 (8%) 4 100 % 23.00 16.80 4.20 73%
Middleweight 6 (12%) 1 17 % 17.00 -14.12 -2.35 -83%
Welterweight 6 (12%) 2 33 % 17.50 -1.30 -0.22 -7%
Lightweight 5 (10%) 5 100 % 19.00 8.31 1.66 44%
Featherweight 4 (8%) 2 50 % 13.50 -2.68 -0.67 -20%
Bantamweight 4 (8%) 3 75 % 10.00 6.04 1.51 60%
Flyweight 2 (4%) 2 100 % 12.00 13.24 6.62 110%
               
Women's Fights 12 (24%) 7 58 % 43.00 -4.15 -0.35 -10%
Bantamweight 3 (6%) 1 33 % 10.00 -8.00 -2.67 -80%
Flyweight 5 (10%) 3 60 % 22.00 1.06 0.21 5%
Strawweight 4 (8%) 3 75 % 11.00 2.79 0.70 25%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 55 (57%) 42 76 %
Slight Favorites 21 (22%) 12 57 %
Slight Underdogs 16 (17%) 7 44 %
Big Underdogs 4 (4%) 1 25 %
96 62 65 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 2 (22%) 1 50 %
50-65% 3 (33%) 1 33 %
35-50% 1 (11%) 0 0 %
<35% chance 3 (33%) 2 67 %
9 4 44 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types
Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds		 Longest
Odds		 Shortest
Odds		 1U Bet (ROI %)
Goes to Decision 1 (11%) 1 100 % 1.83 1.83Pick was correct 1.83Pick was correct 0.8 (83%)
Does not go to Decision 1 (11%) 1 100 % 1.50 1.50Pick was correct 1.50Pick was correct 0.5 (50%)
X Wins by KO 1 (11%) 1 100 % 4.30 4.30Pick was correct 4.30Pick was correct 3.3 (330%)
X Wins by Sub 1 (11%) 1 100 % 9.00 9.00Pick was correct 9.00Pick was correct 8.0 (800%)
X Wins by Decision 2 (22%) 0 0 % 2.24 2.62Pick was incorrect 1.95Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance 1 (11%) 0 0 % 1.57 1.57Pick was incorrect 1.57Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Others 2 (22%) 0 0 % 2.78 15.00Pick was incorrect 1.53Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
9 4 44 % 2.36     7.6 (85%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Just Usher's bets
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
16th Jul UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez 58.5 32.5 56% $20 $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,304.80
23rd Jul UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall 58 49.8 86% $20 $13.05 $1,304.80 $1,935.06
30th Jul UFC 277 48.5 0.6 1% $20 $19.35 $1,935.06 $1,926.10
6th Aug UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill 30 -16.8 -56% $20 $19.26 $1,926.10 $1,582.51
13th Aug UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz 8 -8.0 -100% $20 $15.83 $1,582.51 $1,435.91
4th Mar UFC 285 42 12.0 29% $14.36 $1,435.91 $1,608.24
8th Apr UFC 287 30 -22.0 -73% $16.08 $1,608.24 $1,254.43


ROI % from starting bank balance: 25.44% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Just Usher: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)
Last 20 Wins
  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Apr '23 Sam Hughes Jaqueline Amorim 3.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '23 Rob Font Adrian Yanez 2.50 2 TKO, R1 (2:57) MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '23 Loik Radzhabov Esteban Ribovics 1.44 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '23 Tabatha Ricci Jessica Penne 1.43 3 Sub, R2 (2:14) MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '23 Amanda Ribas Viviane Araujo 1.77 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '23 Cody Garbrandt Trevin Jones 1.61 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '23 Mateusz Gamrot Jalin Turner 1.44 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '23 Jon Jones Ciryl Gane 1.65 5 Sub, R1 (2:4) MMA Bookmaker
9. Aug '22 Paid Pick Mayra Bueno Silva Stephanie Egger 2.00 1 Sub, R1 (1:17) MMA Bookmaker
10. Aug '22 Paid Pick Bryan Battle Takashi Sato 1.40 3 TKO, R1 (0:44) MMA Bookmaker
11. Aug '22 Paid Pick Sergey Spivak Augusto Sakai 1.40 5 TKO, R2 (3:42) MMA Bookmaker
12. Jul '22 Paid Pick Nick Negumereanu Ihor Potieria 1.90 5 TKO, R2 (3:33) MMA Bookmaker
13. Jul '22 Paid Pick Drakkar Klose Rafa Garcia 1.47 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Jul '22 Paid Pick Drew Dober Rafael Alves 1.53 3 TKO, R3 (1:30) MMA Bookmaker
15. Jul '22 Paid Pick Alexandre Pantoja Alex Perez 1.53 8 Sub, R1 (1:31) MMA Bookmaker
16. Jul '22 Victoria Leonardo Mandy Bohm 2.00 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '22 Paid Pick Jai Herbert Kyle Nelson 1.33 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Jul '22 Paid Pick Volkan Oezdemir Paul Craig 1.66 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '22 Molly McCann Hannah Goldy 1.25 11 TKO, R1 (3:52) MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '22 Nikita Krylov Alexander Gustafsson 1.50 8 TKO, R1 (1:7) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Apr '23 Michelle Waterson Luana Pinheiro 2.40 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '23 Chris Curtis Kelvin Gastelum 2.00 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '23 Alex Pereira Israel Adesanya 2.10 5 TKO, R2 (4:21) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '23 Mana Martinez Cameron Saaiman 3.10 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '23 Julian Marquez Marc-Andre Barriault 2.05 3 TKO, R2 (4:12) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '23 Derek Brunson Dricus Du Plessis 3.00 3 TKO, R2 (4:59) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Aug '22 Paid Pick Ariane Lipski Priscila Cachoeira 1.58 4 TKO, R1 (1:5) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Aug '22 Paid Pick Brogan Walker Juliana Miller 2.00 4 TKO, R3 (3:57) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Aug '22 Paid Pick Zac Pauga Mohammed Usman 1.40 6 TKO, R2 (0:36) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Aug '22 Paid Pick Vicente Luque Geoff Neal 1.57 2 TKO, R3 (2:1) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Jul '22 Paid Pick Don'tale Mayes Hamdy Abdelwahab 1.58 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Jul '22 Paid Pick Matt Semelsberger Alex Morono 1.61 4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Jul '22 Paid Pick Derrick Lewis Sergey Pavlovich 2.10 5 TKO, R1 (0:55) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Jul '22 Paid Pick Julianna Pena Amanda Nunes 3.00 5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Jul '22 Paid Pick Claudio Silva Nicolas Dalby 3.00 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Jul '22 Paid Pick Makwan Amirkhani Jonathan Pearce 2.70 1.5 TKO, R2 (4:10) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '22 Paid Pick Chris Curtis Jack Hermansson 1.90 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Jul '22 Paid Pick Dwight Grant Dustin Stoltzfus 1.72 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '22 Paid Pick Miesha Tate Lauren Murphy 1.47 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '22 Brian Ortega Yair Rodriguez 1.58 5 TKO, R1 (4:11) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Just Usher: Progress Chart
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