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MMA Handicapper Stats: Natalia Rivera |
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Natalia Rivera: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 42 (47%)
Losing Events: 47 (53%)
Average Staked Per Event: 6.91 units
Most Staked On One Event: 16.75 units
Best Event: 9.13 units
Worst Event: -11.00 units
Average Event: -0.52 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 13.28
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -23.22 |
Natalia Rivera: Year on Year Profit |
| Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
| 2024 |
53.25 |
-20.1 |
-38% |
-7.3 / 29 (-25%) |
|
|
2 / 4 (33%) |
-3.35 |
| 2023 |
397.2 |
-39.2 |
-10% |
-9.9 / 102.57 (-10%) |
|
0.0 / 58.91 (0%) |
28 / 32 (47%) |
-0.65 |
| 2022 |
164.24 |
12.6 |
8% |
-3.6 / 34.58 (-10%) |
|
0.1 / 20 (0%) |
12 / 11 (52%) |
0.55 |
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Natalia Rivera: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Natalia Rivera: Profit / Loss by Organization |
| Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
|
UFC |
552.55 |
-56.1 |
-10% |
-29.1 / 139.15 (-21%) |
-24.4 / 350.9 (-7%) |
-2.6 / 62.5 (-4%) |
|
Bellator |
27.23 |
2.7 |
10% |
0.4 / 8 (5%) |
-1.0 / 9.98 (-10%) |
3.4 / 9.25 (36%) |
|
PFL |
23.16 |
4.1 |
18% |
4.2 / 8.25 (51%) |
-0.4 / 8.75 (-5%) |
0.4 / 6.16 (6%) |
| Other |
11.75 |
2.6 |
22% |
3.6 / 10.75 (34%) |
|
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
|
Natalia Rivera: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Big Favorites |
1 (1%) |
0 |
0 % |
2.00 |
-2.00 |
-2.00 |
-100% |
| Slight Favorites |
53 (41%) |
27 |
51 % |
85.50 |
-10.81 |
-0.20 |
-13% |
| Slight Underdogs |
62 (48%) |
24 |
39 % |
70.16 |
-8.37 |
-0.14 |
-12% |
| Big Underdogs |
12 (9%) |
4 |
33 % |
8.49 |
0.32 |
0.03 |
4% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Main Event |
20 (16%) |
9 |
45 % |
27.41 |
-3.57 |
-0.18 |
-13% |
| Co-Main Event |
8 (6%) |
2 |
25 % |
11.00 |
-6.68 |
-0.84 |
-61% |
| Position 3-5 |
32 (25%) |
14 |
44 % |
43.66 |
-2.71 |
-0.08 |
-6% |
| 6+ (Undercard) |
68 (53%) |
30 |
44 % |
84.08 |
-7.90 |
-0.12 |
-9% |
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Natalia Rivera: Profit by Weight Class |
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Heavyweight |
7 (5%) |
5 |
71 % |
9.75 |
3.73 |
0.53 |
38% |
| Light Heavy |
9 (7%) |
5 |
56 % |
12.00 |
1.40 |
0.16 |
12% |
| Middleweight |
14 (11%) |
5 |
36 % |
17.00 |
-6.75 |
-0.48 |
-40% |
| Welterweight |
18 (14%) |
8 |
44 % |
20.16 |
2.43 |
0.13 |
12% |
| Lightweight |
14 (11%) |
5 |
36 % |
18.91 |
-5.02 |
-0.36 |
-27% |
| Featherweight |
14 (11%) |
5 |
36 % |
21.00 |
-3.85 |
-0.28 |
-18% |
| Bantamweight |
18 (14%) |
9 |
50 % |
19.75 |
0.25 |
0.01 |
1% |
| Flyweight |
8 (6%) |
1 |
13 % |
11.33 |
-9.23 |
-1.15 |
-81% |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Women's Fights |
26 (20%) |
12 |
46 % |
36.25 |
-3.81 |
-0.15 |
-11% |
| Featherweight |
3 (2%) |
2 |
67 % |
3.50 |
1.07 |
0.36 |
30% |
| Bantamweight |
6 (5%) |
3 |
50 % |
7.75 |
-1.01 |
-0.17 |
-13% |
| Flyweight |
7 (5%) |
3 |
43 % |
10.00 |
-3.90 |
-0.56 |
-39% |
| Strawweight |
10 (8%) |
4 |
40 % |
15.00 |
0.04 |
0.00 |
0% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| Big Favorites |
39 (78%) |
25 |
64 % |
| Slight Favorites |
11 (22%) |
7 |
64 % |
| Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
| Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
50 |
32 |
64 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| >65% chance |
57 (15%) |
42 |
74 % |
| 50-65% |
153 (40%) |
84 |
55 % |
| 35-50% |
91 (24%) |
38 |
42 % |
| <35% chance |
77 (20%) |
15 |
19 % |
|
378 |
179 |
47 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Natalia Rivera's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
| 25th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot |
6.5 |
2.4 |
37% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,023.80 |
| 2nd Jul |
UFC 276 |
7.08 |
1.1 |
16% |
|
$10.24 |
$1,023.80 |
$1,035.47 |
| 9th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev |
4.75 |
0.2 |
4% |
|
$10.35 |
$1,035.47 |
$1,037.54 |
| 16th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez |
8 |
7.6 |
95% |
|
$10.38 |
$1,037.54 |
$1,116.20 |
| 23rd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall |
11.33 |
2.0 |
17% |
|
$11.16 |
$1,116.20 |
$1,138.24 |
| 30th Jul |
UFC 277 |
6.2 |
-0.6 |
-10% |
|
$11.38 |
$1,138.24 |
$1,130.88 |
| 6th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill |
1.15 |
-1.2 |
-100% |
|
$11.31 |
$1,130.88 |
$1,117.88 |
| 13th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz |
9.98 |
-2.4 |
-24% |
|
$11.18 |
$1,117.88 |
$1,091.54 |
| 20th Aug |
UFC 278 |
10.8 |
-2.1 |
-20% |
|
$10.92 |
$1,091.54 |
$1,068.12 |
| 3rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa |
5.78 |
4.4 |
76% |
|
$10.68 |
$1,068.12 |
$1,114.75 |
| 10th Sep |
UFC 279 |
8.45 |
-1.0 |
-12% |
|
$11.15 |
$1,114.75 |
$1,103.40 |
| 17th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song |
6.25 |
1.9 |
31% |
|
$11.03 |
$1,103.40 |
$1,124.73 |
| 1st Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan |
5.75 |
-2.5 |
-44% |
|
$11.25 |
$1,124.73 |
$1,096.42 |
| 15th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo |
7.75 |
1.2 |
15% |
|
$10.96 |
$1,096.42 |
$1,109.44 |
| 22nd Oct |
UFC 280 |
11.75 |
-4.8 |
-40% |
|
$11.09 |
$1,109.44 |
$1,056.69 |
| 29th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen |
5.75 |
9.1 |
159% |
|
$10.57 |
$1,056.69 |
$1,153.15 |
| 5th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos |
8.58 |
-3.4 |
-40% |
|
$11.53 |
$1,153.15 |
$1,113.64 |
| 12th Nov |
UFC 281 |
10.58 |
-2.3 |
-22% |
|
$11.14 |
$1,113.64 |
$1,087.63 |
| 19th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba |
5.15 |
2.7 |
52% |
|
$10.88 |
$1,087.63 |
$1,116.72 |
| 3rd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland |
7.25 |
0.7 |
10% |
$10 |
$11.17 |
$1,116.72 |
$1,114.77 |
| 10th Dec |
UFC 282 |
8 |
4.7 |
59% |
$10 |
$11.15 |
$1,114.77 |
$1,156.98 |
| 17th Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland |
5.91 |
-3.6 |
-60% |
$10 |
$11.57 |
$1,156.98 |
$1,105.81 |
| 31st Dec |
Bellator vs Rizin |
1.5 |
-1.5 |
-100% |
|
$11.06 |
$1,105.81 |
$1,089.22 |
| 14th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov |
9.65 |
-0.5 |
-5% |
$10 |
$10.89 |
$1,089.22 |
$1,073.54 |
| 21st Jan |
UFC 283 |
16.75 |
1.4 |
8% |
$10 |
$10.74 |
$1,073.54 |
$1,078.13 |
| 4th Feb |
Bellator 290 |
1.15 |
1.1 |
96% |
$10 |
$10.78 |
$1,078.13 |
$1,079.99 |
| 4th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak |
6.75 |
2.1 |
32% |
$10 |
$10.80 |
$1,079.99 |
$1,093.17 |
| 11th Feb |
UFC 284 |
15 |
-5.6 |
-37% |
$10 |
$10.93 |
$1,093.17 |
$1,022.02 |
| 18th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield |
9.4 |
0.6 |
6% |
$10 |
$10.22 |
$1,022.02 |
$1,017.75 |
| 25th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen |
7.75 |
1.1 |
15% |
$10 |
$10.18 |
$1,017.75 |
$1,019.30 |
| 4th Mar |
UFC 285 |
10.92 |
-3.8 |
-35% |
$10 |
$10.19 |
$1,019.30 |
$970.73 |
| 10th Mar |
Bellator 292 |
1.25 |
1.2 |
99% |
$10 |
$9.71 |
$970.73 |
$972.72 |
| 10th Mar |
PFL Challenger Series 2023: Week 7 |
2.25 |
1.7 |
74% |
$10 |
$9.73 |
$972.72 |
$979.02 |
| 11th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili |
5.41 |
-1.3 |
-24% |
$10 |
$9.79 |
$979.02 |
$956.05 |
| 17th Mar |
PFL Challenger Series 2023: Week 8 |
0.75 |
0.8 |
106% |
$10 |
$9.56 |
$956.05 |
$953.66 |
| 18th Mar |
UFC 286 |
8.16 |
-4.0 |
-49% |
$10 |
$9.54 |
$953.66 |
$905.28 |
| 25th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen |
6 |
-6.0 |
-100% |
$10 |
$9.05 |
$905.28 |
$840.96 |
| 31st Mar |
Bellator 293 |
7.08 |
-0.5 |
-7% |
$10 |
$8.41 |
$840.96 |
$826.64 |
| 1st Apr |
PFL 1: 2023 |
4 |
4.9 |
123% |
$10 |
$8.27 |
$826.64 |
$857.28 |
| 7th Apr |
PFL 2: 2023 |
1.41 |
-1.4 |
-100% |
$10 |
$8.57 |
$857.28 |
$835.19 |
| 8th Apr |
UFC 287 |
9 |
2.0 |
22% |
$10 |
$8.35 |
$835.19 |
$841.89 |
| 14th Apr |
PFL 3: 2023 |
2 |
2.0 |
98% |
$10 |
$8.42 |
$841.89 |
$848.33 |
| 15th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen |
5.9 |
3.2 |
55% |
$10 |
$8.48 |
$848.33 |
$865.90 |
| 21st Apr |
Bellator 294 |
3.75 |
0.3 |
7% |
$10 |
$8.66 |
$865.90 |
$858.28 |
| 22nd Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes |
9 |
-5.4 |
-60% |
$10 |
$8.58 |
$858.28 |
$802.05 |
| 22nd Apr |
Bellator 295 |
3 |
-0.9 |
-29% |
$10 |
$8.02 |
$802.05 |
$785.00 |
| 29th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón |
7 |
-5.2 |
-74% |
$10 |
$7.85 |
$785.00 |
$734.44 |
| 3rd May |
Invicta FC 53 |
6.25 |
4.8 |
76% |
$10 |
$7.34 |
$734.44 |
$759.35 |
| 6th May |
UFC 288 |
5.75 |
-3.5 |
-61% |
$10 |
$7.59 |
$759.35 |
$722.77 |
| 12th May |
Bellator 296 |
5 |
2.2 |
45% |
$10 |
$7.23 |
$722.77 |
$729.03 |
| 13th May |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida |
5.62 |
-3.7 |
-66% |
$10 |
$7.29 |
$729.03 |
$691.82 |
| 20th May |
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern |
7.25 |
-5.1 |
-70% |
$10 |
$6.92 |
$691.82 |
$646.65 |
| 3rd Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi |
4.25 |
-0.2 |
-5% |
$10 |
$6.47 |
$646.65 |
$635.14 |
| 8th Jun |
PFL 4: Regular Season |
2.5 |
-2.5 |
-100% |
$10 |
$6.35 |
$635.14 |
$609.26 |
| 10th Jun |
UFC 289 |
8.5 |
1.2 |
14% |
$10 |
$6.09 |
$609.26 |
$606.72 |
| 16th Jun |
Bellator 297 |
1 |
0.8 |
83% |
$10 |
$6.07 |
$606.72 |
$601.77 |
| 16th Jun |
PFL 5: Regular Season |
4 |
0.6 |
14% |
$10 |
$6.02 |
$601.77 |
$595.19 |
| 17th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier |
8 |
4.1 |
51% |
$10 |
$5.95 |
$595.19 |
$609.36 |
| 23rd Jun |
PFL 6: Regular Season |
4.25 |
-2.2 |
-52% |
$10 |
$6.09 |
$609.36 |
$585.95 |
| 24th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria |
7 |
0.4 |
5% |
$10 |
$5.86 |
$585.95 |
$578.17 |
| 1st Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov |
7.75 |
-3.3 |
-43% |
$10 |
$5.78 |
$578.17 |
$549.10 |
| 8th Jul |
UFC 290 |
10.5 |
0.6 |
6% |
$10 |
$5.49 |
$549.10 |
$542.57 |
| 15th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva |
8 |
1.9 |
24% |
$10 |
$5.43 |
$542.57 |
$542.89 |
| 21st Jul |
LFA 163 |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
$10 |
$5.43 |
$542.89 |
$516.60 |
| 22nd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura |
10.25 |
3.2 |
31% |
$10 |
$5.17 |
$516.60 |
$522.95 |
| 29th Jul |
UFC 291 |
8.5 |
-0.7 |
-8% |
$10 |
$5.23 |
$522.95 |
$509.40 |
| 30th Jul |
Bellator vs Rizin 2 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
$10 |
$5.09 |
$509.40 |
$489.21 |
| 4th Aug |
PFL 7: 2023 Playoffs |
2 |
0.3 |
15% |
$10 |
$4.89 |
$489.21 |
$480.68 |
| 5th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font |
5.75 |
2.8 |
49% |
$10 |
$4.81 |
$480.68 |
$484.23 |
| 11th Aug |
Bellator 298 |
1.5 |
1.9 |
127% |
$10 |
$4.84 |
$484.23 |
$483.46 |
| 12th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos |
6.75 |
-1.2 |
-17% |
$10 |
$4.83 |
$483.46 |
$467.75 |
| 19th Aug |
UFC 292 |
8 |
-1.2 |
-15% |
$10 |
$4.68 |
$467.75 |
$451.95 |
| 26th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung |
13 |
-0.6 |
-4% |
$10 |
$4.52 |
$451.95 |
$439.40 |
| 9th Sep |
UFC 293 |
8.75 |
-2.3 |
-26% |
$10 |
$4.39 |
$439.40 |
$419.51 |
| 16th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II |
10.5 |
8.8 |
84% |
$10 |
$4.20 |
$419.51 |
$446.58 |
| 23rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot |
6.75 |
-1.2 |
-18% |
$10 |
$4.47 |
$446.58 |
$431.22 |
| 7th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green |
8 |
-1.9 |
-24% |
$10 |
$4.31 |
$431.22 |
$413.06 |
| 14th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza |
9 |
-4.1 |
-45% |
$10 |
$4.13 |
$413.06 |
$386.16 |
| 21st Oct |
UFC 294 |
11 |
-11.0 |
-100% |
$10 |
$3.86 |
$386.16 |
$333.68 |
| 4th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida |
5 |
0.8 |
17% |
$10 |
$3.34 |
$333.68 |
$326.45 |
| 11th Nov |
UFC 295 |
10.5 |
-1.0 |
-10% |
$10 |
$3.26 |
$326.45 |
$313.18 |
| 9th Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez |
8.5 |
-3.7 |
-44% |
$10 |
$3.13 |
$313.18 |
$291.51 |
| 16th Dec |
UFC 296 |
9.5 |
-7.0 |
-74% |
$10 |
$2.92 |
$291.51 |
$261.01 |
| 13th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker |
7.25 |
2.3 |
31% |
$10 |
$2.61 |
$261.01 |
$256.90 |
| 20th Jan |
KSW 90 |
2.5 |
0.9 |
35% |
$10 |
$2.57 |
$256.90 |
$249.15 |
| 20th Jan |
UFC 297 |
10 |
-6.6 |
-66% |
$10 |
$2.49 |
$249.15 |
$222.76 |
| 3rd Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov |
11 |
-2.5 |
-22% |
$10 |
$2.23 |
$222.76 |
$207.30 |
| 13th Apr |
UFC 300 |
10.5 |
-7.2 |
-68% |
$10 |
$2.07 |
$207.30 |
$182.44 |
| 4th May |
UFC 301 |
12 |
-7.0 |
-59% |
$10 |
$1.82 |
$182.44 |
$159.62 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -84.04% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Natalia Rivera: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Natalia Rivera: Progress Chart |
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