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MMA Handicapper Stats: L GillespieMMA

L GillespieMMA (LgillespieMMA)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	32 (47%)	Right	17 (52%)	Right	12 (44%)	Right	3 (38%)
Wrong	36 (53%)	Wrong	16 (48%)	Wrong	15 (56%)	Wrong	5 (63%)
Avg Odds	2.11	Avg Odds	2.12	Avg Odds	2.07	Avg Odds	2.21
Units Bet	201.0	Units Bet	94.5	Units Bet	79.9	Units Bet	26.7
Avg Bet	2.96	Avg Bet	2.86	Avg Bet	2.96	Avg Bet	3.34
Units Profit	0.52	Units Profit	8.63	Units Profit	-4.35	Units Profit	-3.76
ROI %	0%	ROI %	9%	ROI %	-5%	ROI %	-14%

L GillespieMMA: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
17th Sep '22	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song	7.5	0.3	4%	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)	2.8 / 5 (56%)
10th Sep '22	UFC 279	12.5	-1.9	-15%	-2.2 / 6.5 (-33%)	0.3 / 6 (5%)
3rd Sep '22	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa	15.35	-2.6	-17%	-0.1 / 12.85 (-1%)	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
31st Aug '22	DWCS 2022: Week 6	2.08	2.0	96%			2.0 / 2.08 (96%)
27th Aug '22	One FC on Prime 1	3.5	3.8	108%	3.8 / 3.5 (108%)
20th Aug '22	UFC 278	10	-3.0	-30%	1.5 / 5.5 (28%)	-4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)
16th Aug '22	DWCS 2022: Week 4	2.5	-2.5	-100%			-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
13th Aug '22	UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz	3	4.4	145%		4.4 / 3 (145%)
9th Aug '22	DWCS 2022: Week 3	5	3.6	71%			3.6 / 5 (71%)
6th Aug '22	UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill	7.5	9.4	126%		4.1 / 2.5 (165%)	5.3 / 5 (106%)
5th Aug '22	PFL 2022 #7	5.3	-5.3	-100%	-5.3 / 5.3 (-100%)
30th Jul '22	UFC 277	12.9	-2.7	-21%	1.3 / 8.9 (15%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
26th Jul '22	DWCS 2022: Week 1	8.45	-8.5	-100%		-8.5 / 8.45 (-100%)
23rd Jul '22	UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall	14.5	-10.3	-71%	-0.3 / 4.5 (-7%)	-6.5 / 6.5 (-100%)	-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
16th Jul '22	UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez	15.9	11.3	71%	10.3 / 10 (103%)	1.0 / 5.9 (17%)
9th Jul '22	UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev	14.25	-2.8	-20%	-5.3 / 5.25 (-100%)	2.4 / 9 (27%)
2nd Jul '22	UFC 276	13.65	-0.8	-5%	-3.2 / 3.15 (-100%)	2.4 / 10.5 (23%)
25th Jun '22	UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot	15.95	1.6	10%	4.4 / 7.45 (58%)	1.3 / 4.5 (28%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
18th Jun '22	UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett	6	0.8	13%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	3.8 / 3 (125%)
17th Jun '22	PFL 2022 #4	5	0.1	1%	1.6 / 3.5 (45%)		-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
11th Jun '22	UFC 275	11.92	-2.5	-21%	3.4 / 6 (57%)	-2.8 / 2.8 (-100%)	-3.1 / 3.12 (-100%)
4th Jun '22	UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik	10.75	6.1	57%	4.1 / 6.55 (63%)	2.0 / 4.2 (48%)

Winning Events: 11 (50%)
Losing Events: 11 (50%)

Average Staked Per Event: 9.25 units
Most Staked On One Event: 15.95 units
Best Event: 11.30 units
Worst Event: -10.30 units
Average Event: 0.02 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 17.34
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -26.73

L GillespieMMA: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2022	203.5	0.5	0%	8.6 / 94.45 (9%)		-3.8 / 26.7 (-14%)	11 / 11 (50%)	0.02

L GillespieMMA: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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L GillespieMMA: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	171.67	7.4	4%	8.6 / 82.15 (10%)	4.1 / 73.9 (6%)	-5.3 / 15.62 (-34%)
PFL	10.3	-5.2	-51%	-3.7 / 8.8 (-42%)		-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
Other	21.53	-1.6	-7%	3.8 / 3.5 (108%)	-8.5 / 8.45 (-100%)	3.1 / 9.58 (32%)

L GillespieMMA: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	2 (6%)	2	100 %	7.60	3.00	1.50	39%
Slight Favorites	13 (36%)	6	46 %	42.85	-10.16	-0.78	-24%
Slight Underdogs	15 (42%)	8	53 %	32.00	4.59	0.31	14%
Big Underdogs	6 (17%)	3	50 %	12.00	11.20	1.87	93%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	5 (14%)	4	80 %	15.00	10.09	2.02	67%
Co-Main Event	2 (6%)	2	100 %	7.60	3.00	1.50	39%
Position 3-5	7 (19%)	3	43 %	17.25	-1.33	-0.19	-8%
6+ (Undercard)	22 (61%)	10	45 %	54.60	-3.13	-0.14	-6%

L GillespieMMA: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	2 (6%)	1	50 %	4.95	2.10	1.05	42%
Light Heavy	1 (3%)	1	100 %	5.00	3.70	3.70	74%
Middleweight	4 (11%)	2	50 %	13.90	-1.15	-0.29	-8%
Welterweight	5 (14%)	4	80 %	15.90	4.62	0.92	29%
Lightweight	8 (22%)	3	38 %	18.80	2.77	0.35	15%
Featherweight	5 (14%)	3	60 %	12.30	2.05	0.41	17%
Bantamweight	3 (8%)		0 %	8.05	-8.05	-2.68	-100%
Flyweight	4 (11%)	3	75 %	7.05	2.79	0.70	40%

Women's Fights	4 (11%)	2	50 %	8.50	-0.20	-0.05	-2%
Bantamweight	1 (3%)		0 %	2.50	-2.50	-2.50	-100%
Flyweight	1 (3%)	1	100 %	2.00	2.20	2.20	110%
Strawweight	2 (6%)	1	50 %	4.00	0.10	0.05	3%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	8 (89%)	6	75 %
Slight Favorites	1 (11%)	1	100 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	9	7	78 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	13 (33%)	8	62 %
50-65%	10 (26%)	5	50 %
35-50%	12 (31%)	6	50 %
<35% chance	4 (10%)	0	0 %
	39	19	49 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	17 (44%)	10	59 %	1.86	3.05	1.22	2.2 (13%)
Does not go to Decision	9 (23%)	5	56 %	1.40	2.20	1.15	-2.2 (-25%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X	5 (13%)	2	40 %	1.68	1.80	1.57	-1.5 (-30%)
X Wins Inside Distance	1 (3%)	0	0 %	1.30	1.30	1.30	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins in Round X	1 (3%)	0	0 %	6.50	6.50	6.50	-1.0 (-100%)
Others	6 (15%)	2	33 %	2.58	8.00	1.67	-1.2 (-21%)
	39	19	49 %	1.79			-4.8 (-12%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail L GillespieMMA's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
4th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik	10.75	6.1	57%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,061.00
11th Jun	UFC 275	11.92	-2.5	-21%		$10.61	$1,061.00	$1,034.26
17th Jun	PFL 2022 #4	5	0.1	1%		$10.34	$1,034.26	$1,034.98
18th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett	6	0.8	13%		$10.35	$1,034.98	$1,042.74
25th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot	15.95	1.6	10%		$10.43	$1,042.74	$1,059.42
2nd Jul	UFC 276	13.65	-0.8	-5%		$10.59	$1,059.42	$1,051.48
9th Jul	UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev	14.25	-2.8	-20%		$10.51	$1,051.48	$1,021.96
16th Jul	UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez	15.9	11.3	71%		$10.22	$1,021.96	$1,137.48
23rd Jul	UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall	14.5	-10.3	-71%		$11.37	$1,137.48	$1,020.32
26th Jul	DWCS 2022: Week 1	8.45	-8.5	-100%		$10.20	$1,020.32	$934.10
30th Jul	UFC 277	12.9	-2.7	-21%		$9.34	$934.10	$909.05
5th Aug	PFL 2022 #7	5.3	-5.3	-100%		$9.09	$909.05	$860.87
6th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill	7.5	9.4	126%		$8.61	$860.87	$942.09
9th Aug	DWCS 2022: Week 3	5	3.6	71%		$9.42	$942.09	$975.59
13th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz	3	4.4	145%		$9.76	$975.59	$1,018.03
16th Aug	DWCS 2022: Week 4	2.5	-2.5	-100%		$10.18	$1,018.03	$992.57
20th Aug	UFC 278	10	-3.0	-30%		$9.93	$992.57	$963.29
27th Aug	One FC on Prime 1	3.5	3.8	108%		$9.63	$963.29	$999.80
31st Aug	DWCS 2022: Week 6	2.08	2.0	96%		$10.00	$999.80	$1,019.77
3rd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa	15.35	-2.6	-17%		$10.20	$1,019.77	$993.26
10th Sep	UFC 279	12.5	-1.9	-15%		$9.93	$993.26	$974.88
17th Sep	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song	7.5	0.3	4%		$9.75	$974.88	$977.59

ROI % from starting bank balance: -2.24% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

L GillespieMMA: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Sep '22	Julian Erosa	Hakeem Dawodu	2.90	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Sep '22	Robert Whittaker	Marvin Vettori	1.43	4.6	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Aug '22	Demetrious Johnson	Adriano Moraes	2.19	1	TKO, R4 (3:50)
4.	Aug '22	Demetrious Johnson	Adriano Moraes	2.04	2.5	TKO, R4 (3:50)
5.	Sep '22	Roman Kopylov	Alessio Di Chirico	1.95	3.15	TKO, R3 (1:9)
6.	Aug '22	Marcin Tybura	Alexander Romanov	4.70	1.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Jul '22	Orion Cosce	Mike Mathetha	1.61	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Jul '22	Victoria Leonardo	Mandy Bohm	2.10	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Jul '22	Orion Cosce	Mike Mathetha	1.59	3.4	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Jul '22	Dustin Stoltzfus	Dwight Grant	2.24	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Jul '22	Dustin Jacoby	Da Un Jung	1.74	5	TKO, R1 (3:13)
12.	Jul '22	Yair Rodriguez	Brian Ortega	2.40	2.5	TKO, R1 (4:11)
13.	Jun '22	Olivier Aubin-Mercier	Raush Manfio	1.69	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Jun '22	Mateusz Gamrot	Arman Tsarukyan	2.95	4	U Decision (5 rounds)
15.	Jun '22	Hayisaer Maheshate	Steve Garcia	2.35	2	TKO, R1 (1:14)
16.	Jun '22	Jake Matthews	Andre Fialho	2.35	2	TKO, R2 (2:24)
17.	Jun '22	Karolina Kowalkiewicz	Felice Herrig	2.05	2	Sub, R2 (4:1)
18.	Jun '22	Jeff Molina	Zhalgas Zhumagulov	1.65	1.55	Split Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Jun '22	Movsar Evloev	Dan Ige	1.33	3	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Sep '22	Cameron VanCamp	Nikolas Motta	2.55	2.5	TKO, R1 (3:49)	No
2.	Sep '22	Tony Ferguson	Nate Diaz	1.69	5	Sub, R4 (2:6)	No
3.	Sep '22	Khalid Taha	Christian Quinonez	1.87	2.3	TKO, R1 (3:15)	No
4.	Sep '22	Charles Jourdain	Nathaniel Wood	1.71	2.8	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Aug '22	Jay Perrin	Qileng Aori	2.25	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Aug '22	Daniel Lacerda	Victor Altamirano	2.40	2	TKO, R1 (3:39)	No
7.	Aug '22	Anthony Pettis	Stevie Ray	2.00	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Aug '22	Anthony Pettis	Stevie Ray	1.91	3.3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Jul '22	Ji Yeon Kim	Joselyne Edwards	2.10	2.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Jul '22	Makwan Amirkhani	Jonathan Pearce	2.70	2.5	TKO, R2 (4:10)	No
11.	Jul '22	Michael Johnson	Jamie Mullarkey	2.95	1.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Jul '22	Ronnie Lawrence	Saidyokub Kakhramonov	1.80	3.75	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Jul '22	Sean Strickland	Alex Pereira	1.95	3.15	TKO, R1 (2:36)	No
14.	Jun '22	Alan Baudot	Josh Parisian	1.87	3.45	TKO, R2 (3:4)	No
15.	Jun '22	Myles Price	Jeremy Stephens	6.10	0.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Jun '22	Deron Winn	Phil Hawes	3.00	3	TKO, R2 (4:25)	No
17.	Jun '22	Joanna Jedrzejczyk	Weili Zhang	2.50	2	TKO, R2 (2:28)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

L GillespieMMA: Progress Chart

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