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MMA Handicapper Stats: xaavifc

xaavifc (xaavifc)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - xaavifc

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 48 (26%) Right 12 (46%) Right 11 (14%) Right 25 (30%)
Wrong 138 (74%) Wrong 14 (54%) Wrong 65 (86%) Wrong 59 (70%)
Avg Odds 3.53 Avg Odds 1.95 Avg Odds 4.84 Avg Odds 3.55
Units Bet 112.0 Units Bet 35.9 Units Bet 22.3 Units Bet 53.9
Avg Bet 0.60 Avg Bet 1.38 Avg Bet 0.29 Avg Bet 0.64
Units Profit -6.48 Units Profit -1.38 Units Profit -8.66 Units Profit 3.57
ROI % -6% ROI % -4% ROI % -39% ROI % 7%
View Handicapper's Profile

xaavifc : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
6th Apr '24 UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II 2.5 0.5 20% -1.4 / 1.35 (-100%) 1.9 / 1.15 (161%)
30th Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot 3.81 -3.8 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -1.8 / 1.81 (-100%)
23rd Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas 3.65 0.3 7% -1.0 / 3.15 (-32%) 1.3 / 0.5 (252%)
16th Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura 2.25 3.5 154% -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%) 3.7 / 2 (186%)
9th Mar '24 UFC 299 1.5 1.0 67% 1.0 / 1.5 (67%)
2nd Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev 4 -0.3 -8% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) 1.2 / 2.5 (47%)
24th Feb '24 UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2.5 2.1 85% 2.1 / 2.5 (85%)
24th Feb '24 PFL vs. Bellator: Champs 1 1.2 123% 1.2 / 1 (123%)
17th Feb '24 UFC 298 2.05 0.8 38% 0.8 / 2.05 (38%)
10th Feb '24 UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer 3.5 0.9 25% 1.0 / 1.8 (56%) -0.1 / 1.7 (-7%)
3rd Feb '24 UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov 2.05 0.6 29% 1.0 / 1.65 (61%) -0.4 / 0.4 (-100%)
20th Jan '24 UFC 297 4.45 0.1 1% 1.5 / 1.5 (100%) 1.2 / 0.3 (400%) -2.7 / 2.65 (-100%)
13th Jan '24 UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 1.1 0.5 45% 0.5 / 1.1 (45%)
9th Dec '23 UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez 3 -0.4 -13% 0.1 / 2.5 (5%) -0.3 / 0.3 (-100%) -0.2 / 0.2 (-100%)
2nd Dec '23 UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan 6.4 -5.6 -87% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -1.0 / 1.85 (-54%) -1.6 / 1.55 (-100%)
18th Nov '23 UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig 3.5 0.7 19% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) 1.0 / 1 (100%) 1.2 / 1 (116%)
11th Nov '23 UFC 295 2.9 -2.9 -100% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) -0.4 / 0.4 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
4th Nov '23 UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida 1.82 0.8 43% 0.8 / 1.82 (43%)
21st Oct '23 UFC 294 5 0.1 2% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 2.1 / 3 (70%)
9th Sep '23 UFC 293 15.58 -6.7 -43% 0.0 / 3 (1%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -3.7 / 9.58 (-39%)
5th Aug '23 UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font 8.5 -3.1 -36% 2.0 / 3.4 (59%) -1.1 / 1.1 (-100%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
4th Aug '23 PFL 7: 2023 Playoffs 1.1 1.2 108% 1.2 / 1.1 (108%)
24th Jun '23 UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria 1.78 0.6 34% 0.6 / 1.78 (34%)
17th Jun '23 UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier 1.8 -0.1 -7% -0.1 / 1.8 (-7%)
10th Jun '23 UFC 289 1.65 -0.3 -16% -0.1 / 0.1 (-100%) -0.2 / 1.55 (-11%)
20th May '23 UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern 2.25 0.4 19% -0.2 / 0.2 (-100%) 0.6 / 2.05 (30%)
13th May '23 UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida 1.5 2.0 131% 0.2 / 0.2 (100%) 1.8 / 1.3 (135%)
6th May '23 UFC 288 2.8 -2.3 -82% 0.2 / 0.25 (98%) -2.2 / 2.2 (-100%) -0.4 / 0.35 (-100%)
29th Apr '23 UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón 2.15 0.9 43% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) 2.4 / 0.65 (374%)
22nd Apr '23 UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes 1.15 -0.7 -64% -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%) -0.2 / 0.6 (-30%) -0.3 / 0.3 (-100%)
15th Apr '23 UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen 1.05 -1.1 -100% -0.2 / 0.15 (-100%) -0.9 / 0.9 (-100%)
8th Apr '23 UFC 287 3.05 0.5 17% 0.2 / 1.7 (12%) 0.3 / 1.35 (24%)
25th Mar '23 UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen 1.3 -1.3 -100% -1.3 / 1.3 (-100%)
30th Jul '22 UFC 277 0.55 -0.6 -100% -0.3 / 0.3 (-100%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
9th Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev 2.85 -2.0 -68% -0.6 / 1.45 (-38%) -1.4 / 1.4 (-100%)
2nd Jul '22 UFC 276 6.298 6.0 95% 2.0 / 3.2 (63%) 0.4 / 1.398 (28%) 3.6 / 1.7 (213%)


Winning Events: 21 (58%)
Losing Events: 15 (42%)

Average Staked Per Event: 3.12 units
Most Staked On One Event: 15.58 units
Best Event: 6.01 units
Worst Event: -6.72 units
Average Event: -0.18 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 7, Units: 6.16
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -9.82

xaavifc : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2024 34.36 7.3 21% 0.8 / 16.95 (5%) 5.0 / 15.76 (32%) 11 / 2 (85%) 0.56
2023 68.28 -17.3 -25% -3.9 / 15.4 (-25%) -3.4 / 34.76 (-10%) 9 / 11 (45%) -0.86
2022 9.698 3.5 36% 1.7 / 3.5 (49%) 2.0 / 3.35 (59%) 1 / 2 (33%) 1.17

xaavifc : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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xaavifc : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 110.238 -8.9 -8% -1.4 / 35.85 (-4%) -8.7 / 22.618 (-38%) 1.1 / 51.77 (2%)
PFL 2.1 2.4 115% 2.4 / 2.1 (115%)

xaavifc : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 0 (0%) 0 nan % 0.00 0.00 nan nan%
Slight Favorites 16 (62%) 9 56 % 25.05 1.34 0.08 5%
Slight Underdogs 8 (31%) 3 38 % 9.50 -1.42 -0.18 -15%
Big Underdogs 2 (8%) 0 0 % 1.30 -1.30 -0.65 -100%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 3 (12%) 2 67 % 3.25 0.25 0.08 8%
Co-Main Event 1 (4%) 1 100 % 1.80 1.00 1.00 56%
Position 3-5 11 (42%) 4 36 % 14.95 -2.21 -0.20 -15%
6+ (Undercard) 11 (42%) 5 45 % 15.85 -0.42 -0.04 -3%

xaavifc : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 1 (4%) 0 % 1.50 -1.50 -1.50 -100%
Light Heavy 2 (8%) 0 % 1.80 -1.80 -0.90 -100%
Middleweight 5 (19%) 3 60 % 8.20 2.50 0.50 30%
Welterweight 3 (12%) 0 % 2.35 -2.35 -0.78 -100%
Lightweight 1 (4%) 1 100 % 1.50 1.07 1.07 71%
Featherweight 8 (31%) 5 63 % 13.35 2.68 0.34 20%
Bantamweight 3 (12%) 1 33 % 3.15 -2.65 -0.88 -84%
Flyweight 3 (12%) 2 67 % 4.00 0.67 0.22 17%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 67 (55%) 45 67 %
Slight Favorites 38 (31%) 24 63 %
Slight Underdogs 13 (11%) 5 38 %
Big Underdogs 4 (3%) 0 0 %
122 74 61 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 5 (3%) 5 100 %
50-65% 34 (21%) 14 41 %
35-50% 33 (20%) 13 39 %
<35% chance 93 (56%) 14 15 %
165 46 28 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 6 (4%) 5 83 % 1.64 2.34Pick was correct 1.31Pick was correct 2.1 (36%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 46 (28%) 20 43 % 1.89 5.47Pick was incorrect 1.38Pick was correct -5.2 (-11%)
X Wins by KO 18 (11%) 6 33 % 3.19 10.00Pick was incorrect 1.74Pick was incorrect 6.6 (37%)
X Wins by Sub 15 (9%) 4 27 % 4.31 15.00Pick was incorrect 2.00Pick was correct 5.8 (39%)
X Wins by Decision 2 (1%) 0 0 % 2.48 3.00Pick was incorrect 2.11Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance 4 (2%) 2 50 % 2.32 3.10Pick was incorrect 1.63Pick was correct -0.1 (-2%)
X Wins in Round X 10 (6%) 3 30 % 10.35 23.00Pick was incorrect 5.30Pick was correct 17.3 (173%)
Others 64 (39%) 6 9 % 6.29 36.00Pick was incorrect 1.59Pick was correct -33.8 (-53%)
165 46 28 % 3.25     -9.1 (-6%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail xaavifc 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
2nd Jul UFC 276 6.298 6.0 95% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,060.07
9th Jul UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev 2.85 -2.0 -68% $10.60 $1,060.07 $1,039.40
30th Jul UFC 277 0.55 -0.6 -100% $10.39 $1,039.40 $1,033.68
25th Mar UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen 1.3 -1.3 -100% $10.34 $1,033.68 $1,020.24
8th Apr UFC 287 3.05 0.5 17% $10.20 $1,020.24 $1,025.61
15th Apr UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen 1.05 -1.1 -100% $10.26 $1,025.61 $1,014.84
22nd Apr UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes 1.15 -0.7 -64% $10.15 $1,014.84 $1,007.42
29th Apr UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón 2.15 0.9 43% $10.07 $1,007.42 $1,016.79
6th May UFC 288 2.8 -2.3 -82% $10.17 $1,016.79 $993.35
13th May UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida 1.5 2.0 131% $9.93 $993.35 $1,012.81
20th May UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern 2.25 0.4 19% $10.13 $1,012.81 $1,017.10
10th Jun UFC 289 1.65 -0.3 -16% $10.17 $1,017.10 $1,014.41
17th Jun UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier 1.8 -0.1 -7% $10.14 $1,014.41 $1,013.20
24th Jun UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria 1.78 0.6 34% $10.13 $1,013.20 $1,019.26
4th Aug PFL 7: 2023 Playoffs 1.1 1.2 108% $10.19 $1,019.26 $1,031.40
5th Aug UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font 8.5 -3.1 -36% $10.31 $1,031.40 $999.43
9th Sep UFC 293 15.58 -6.7 -43% $9.99 $999.43 $932.28
21st Oct UFC 294 5 0.1 2% $9.32 $932.28 $933.20
4th Nov UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida 1.82 0.8 43% $9.33 $933.20 $940.48
11th Nov UFC 295 2.9 -2.9 -100% $9.40 $940.48 $913.20
18th Nov UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig 3.5 0.7 19% $9.13 $913.20 $919.22
2nd Dec UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan 6.4 -5.6 -87% $9.19 $919.22 $868.20
9th Dec UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez 3 -0.4 -13% $8.68 $868.20 $864.90
13th Jan UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 1.1 0.5 45% $8.65 $864.90 $869.22
20th Jan UFC 297 4.45 0.1 1% $8.69 $869.22 $869.66
3rd Feb UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov 2.05 0.6 29% $8.70 $869.66 $874.87
10th Feb UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer 3.5 0.9 25% $8.75 $874.87 $882.56
17th Feb UFC 298 2.05 0.8 38% $8.83 $882.56 $889.50
24th Feb PFL vs. Bellator: Champs 1 1.2 123% $8.89 $889.50 $900.43
24th Feb UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2.5 2.1 85% $9.00 $900.43 $919.53
2nd Mar UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev 4 -0.3 -8% $9.20 $919.53 $916.58
9th Mar UFC 299 1.5 1.0 67% $9.17 $916.58 $925.74
16th Mar UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura 2.25 3.5 154% $9.26 $925.74 $957.91
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas 3.65 0.3 7% $9.58 $957.91 $960.41
30th Mar UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot 3.81 -3.8 -100% $9.60 $960.41 $923.82
6th Apr UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II 2.5 0.5 20% $9.24 $923.82 $928.44


ROI % from starting bank balance: -7.16% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

xaavifc : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Mar '24 Youssef Zalal Billy Quarantillo 1.87 1.15 Sub, R2 (1:50) MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '24 Michel Pereira Michal Oleksiejczuk 1.67 1.5 Sub, R1 (1:1) MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '24 Jesus Santos Aguilar Mateus Mendonca 2.05 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '24 Manuel Torres Chris Duncan (2) 1.71 1.5 Sub, R1 (1:46) MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '24 Dan Ige Andre Fili 1.56 1.8 TKO, R1 (2:43) MMA Bookmaker
6. Feb '24 Jung Young Lee Blake Bilder 1.61 1.65 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jan '24 Dricus Du Plessis Sean Strickland 2.00 1.5 Split Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Dec '23 Tim Elliott Su Mudaerji 1.75 1.5 Sub, R1 (4:2) MMA Bookmaker
9. Sep '23 Gabriel Miranda Shane Young 2.02 1.5 Sub, R1 (0:59) MMA Bookmaker
10. Aug '23 Diego Lopes Gavin Tucker 1.59 3.4 Sub, R1 (1:38) MMA Bookmaker
11. May '23 Aljamain Sterling Henry Cejudo 1.98 0.25 Split Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Jul '22 Dricus Du Plessis Brad Tavares 1.63 3.2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Apr '24 Morgan Charriere Jose Mariscal 1.74 1.35 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '24 Rhys McKee Chidi Njokuani 2.30 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '24 Sedriques Dumas Nursulton Ruziboev 3.30 1 TKO, R1 (3:18) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '24 Cody Gibson Miles Johns 2.15 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '24 Luis Pajuelo Fernando Padilla 2.40 1 Sub, R1 (2:45) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '24 Shamil Gaziev Jairzinho Rozenstruik 1.67 1.5 TKO, R4 (5:0) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Dec '23 Kenan Song Kevin Jousset 2.28 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Dec '23 Rob Font Deiveson Figueiredo 1.68 1.9 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Dec '23 Kelvin Gastelum Sean Brady 1.94 1.1 Sub, R3 (1:43) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Nov '23 Jonathan Pearce Joanderson Brito 1.72 1.5 Sub, R2 (3:54) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Nov '23 Alessandro Costa Steve Erceg 2.64 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Sep '23 Anton Turkalj Tyson Pedro 1.90 1.5 TKO, R1 (2:12) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Apr '23 Matt Semelsberger Jeremiah Wells 1.93 0.25 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Jul '22 Anthony Smith Magomed Ankalaev 5.10 0.3 TKO, R2 (3:9) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

xaavifc : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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