MMA Handicapper Directory
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MMA Handicapper Stats: Popeye

Popeye (Karlt)

MMA MHandicapper - Popeye

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	31 (66%)	Right	27 (77%)	Right	0 (0%)	Right	4 (36%)
Wrong	16 (34%)	Wrong	8 (23%)	Wrong	1 (100%)	Wrong	7 (64%)
Avg Odds	1.41	Avg Odds	1.25	Avg Odds	2.20	Avg Odds	2.22
Units Bet	233.0	Units Bet	193.5	Units Bet	0.5	Units Bet	39.0
Avg Bet	4.96	Avg Bet	5.53	Avg Bet	0.50	Avg Bet	3.55
Units Profit	-5.69	Units Profit	-1.89	Units Profit	-0.50	Units Profit	-3.30
ROI %	-2%	ROI %	-1%	ROI %	-100%	ROI %	-8%

Popeye : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
7th May '22	UFC 274	20	6.5	32%	6.5 / 20 (32%)
6th May '22	PFL 2022 #3	25	-1.8	-7%	-1.8 / 25 (-7%)
6th May '22	Bellator 280	40	-4.4	-11%	-4.4 / 40 (-11%)
30th Apr '22	UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera	10.5	-3.3	-31%	-2.8 / 10 (-28%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
23rd Apr '22	UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade	22	-13.1	-59%	-3.1 / 12 (-26%)		-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
23rd Apr '22	Bellator 278	15	1.1	7%	-0.2 / 12.5 (-2%)		1.3 / 2.5 (51%)
20th Apr '22	PFL 2022 #1	10	3.4	34%	1.8 / 7.5 (25%)		1.6 / 2.5 (64%)
16th Apr '22	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II	33.5	3.7	11%	0.5 / 26.5 (2%)		3.3 / 7 (47%)
15th Apr '22	Bellator 277	57	2.2	4%	1.6 / 40 (4%)		0.6 / 17 (3%)

Winning Events: 5 (56%)
Losing Events: 4 (44%)

Average Staked Per Event: 25.89 units
Most Staked On One Event: 57.00 units
Best Event: 6.50 units
Worst Event: -13.09 units
Average Event: -0.63 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 10.40
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -22.59

Popeye : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2022	233	-5.7	-2%	-1.9 / 193.5 (-1%)		-3.3 / 39 (-8%)	5 / 4 (56%)	-0.63

Popeye : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Popeye : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	86	-6.2	-7%	1.1 / 68.5 (2%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	-6.7 / 17 (-40%)
Bellator	112	-1.2	-1%	-3.0 / 92.5 (-3%)		1.8 / 19.5 (9%)
PFL	35	1.6	5%	0.1 / 32.5 (0%)		1.6 / 2.5 (64%)

Popeye : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	35 (100%)	27	77 %	193.50	-1.89	-0.05	-1%
Slight Favorites	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	4 (11%)	2	50 %	19.00	-5.74	-1.43	-30%
Co-Main Event	1 (3%)	0	0 %	5.00	-5.00	-5.00	-100%
Position 3-5	11 (31%)	9	82 %	62.50	4.35	0.40	7%
6+ (Undercard)	19 (54%)	16	84 %	107.00	4.50	0.24	4%

Popeye : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	1 (3%)	1	100 %	5.00	1.00	1.00	20%
Light Heavy	3 (9%)	3	100 %	12.50	2.70	0.90	22%
Middleweight	2 (6%)	2	100 %	10.00	1.75	0.87	17%
Welterweight	8 (23%)	5	63 %	44.00	-3.85	-0.48	-9%
Lightweight	7 (20%)	6	86 %	47.50	5.55	0.79	12%
Featherweight	8 (23%)	5	63 %	45.00	-15.15	-1.89	-34%
Flyweight	2 (6%)	2	100 %	15.00	5.45	2.72	36%

Women's Fights	4 (11%)	3	75 %	14.50	0.66	0.17	5%
Bantamweight	2 (6%)	2	100 %	10.00	2.10	1.05	21%
Strawweight	2 (6%)	1	50 %	4.50	-1.44	-0.72	-32%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	45 (100%)	37	82 %
Slight Favorites	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	45	37	82 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	0 (0%)	0	nan %
50-65%	0 (0%)	0	nan %
35-50%	1 (100%)	0	0 %
<35% chance	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	1	0	0 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
X Wins by KO	1 (100%)	0	0 %	2.20	2.20	2.20	-1.0 (-100%)
	1	0	0 %	2.20			-1.0 (-100%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Popeye 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
15th Apr	Bellator 277	57	2.2	4%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,021.56
16th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II	33.5	3.7	11%		$10.22	$1,021.56	$1,059.64
20th Apr	PFL 2022 #1	10	3.4	34%		$10.60	$1,059.64	$1,096.14
23rd Apr	Bellator 278	15	1.1	7%		$10.96	$1,096.14	$1,107.91
23rd Apr	UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade	22	-13.1	-59%		$11.08	$1,107.91	$962.88
30th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera	10.5	-3.3	-31%		$9.63	$962.88	$931.11
6th May	Bellator 280	40	-4.4	-11%		$9.31	$931.11	$890.14
6th May	PFL 2022 #3	25	-1.8	-7%		$8.90	$890.14	$874.12
7th May	UFC 274	20	6.5	32%		$8.74	$874.12	$930.93

ROI % from starting bank balance: -6.91% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Popeye : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	May '22	Andre Fialho	Cameron VanCamp	1.25	10	TKO, R1 (2:35)
2.	May '22	Brandon Royval	Matt Schnell	1.40	10	Sub, R1 (2:14)
3.	May '22	Rory MacDonald	Brett Cooper	1.22	5	Sub, R1 (2:23)
4.	May '22	Anthony Pettis	Myles Price	1.38	5	Sub, R1 (4:17)
5.	May '22	Kayla Harrison	Marina Mokhnatkina	1.02	10	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	May '22	Soren Bak	Charlie Leary	1.11	10	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	May '22	Lorenz Larkin	Kyle Stewart	1.27	10	TKO, R1 (4:44)
8.	May '22	Davy Gallon	Benjamin Brander	1.18	10	TKO, R2 (3:18)
9.	Apr '22	Natan Levy	Mike Breeden	1.44	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Apr '22	Tyson Pedro	Ike Villanueva	1.17	5	TKO, R1 (4:55)
11.	Apr '22	Jessica Andrade	Amanda Lemos	1.53	2	Sub, R1 (3:13)
12.	Apr '22	Dante Schiro	Scotty Hao	1.17	5	TKO, R3 (1:3)
13.	Apr '22	Weber Almeida	Fabricio Franco	1.29	5	TKO, R1 (3:1)
14.	Apr '22	Marthin Hamlet	Teodoras Aukstuolis	1.40	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Apr '22	Antonio Carlos Junior	Delan Monte	1.17	5	Sub, R1 (0:28)
16.	Apr '22	Mounir Lazzez	Ange Loosa	1.50	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Apr '22	Drakkar Klose	Brandon Jenkins	1.17	5	TKO, R2 (0:33)
18.	Apr '22	Pannie Kianzad	Lina Lansberg	1.22	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Apr '22	Pat Sabatini	T.J. Laramie	1.20	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Apr '22	Mayra Bueno Silva	Yanan Wu	1.20	5	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	May '22	Ray Cooper III	Carlos Leal Miranda	1.22	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	May '22	Fabacary Diatta	Jordan Barton	1.40	10	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Apr '22	Andre Fili	Joanderson Brito	1.40	5	TKO, R1 (0:41)	No
4.	Apr '22	Dean Barry	Mike Jackson	1.10	5		No
5.	Apr '22	Nate Andrews	Luis Muro	1.33	2.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Apr '22	Istela Nunes	Sam Hughes	1.44	2.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Apr '22	Vicente Luque	Belal Muhammad	1.53	2	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
8.	Apr '22	A.J. McKee	Patricio Freire	1.30	5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Popeye : Progress Chart

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