MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6429
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MMA Handicapper Stats: GuerreraMMA

GuerreraMMA (GuerreraMMA)

MMA MHandicapper - GuerreraMMA

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	12 (21%)	Right	5 (28%)	Right	0 (0%)	Right	7 (22%)
Wrong	44 (79%)	Wrong	13 (72%)	Wrong	6 (100%)	Wrong	25 (78%)
Avg Odds	4.16	Avg Odds	2.56	Avg Odds	4.60	Avg Odds	6.27
Units Bet	72.2	Units Bet	36.6	Units Bet	5.0	Units Bet	30.6
Avg Bet	1.29	Avg Bet	2.03	Avg Bet	0.83	Avg Bet	0.96
Units Profit	19.57	Units Profit	3.15	Units Profit	-4.95	Units Profit	21.37
ROI %	27%	ROI %	9%	ROI %	-100%	ROI %	70%

GuerreraMMA : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
3rd Sep '22	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa	2.5	-2.5	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
30th Jul '22	UFC 277	5	-5.0	-100%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
23rd Jul '22	UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall	3.5	-3.5	-100%			-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
16th Jul '22	UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez	2	2.5	125%			2.5 / 2 (125%)
2nd Jul '22	UFC 276	13.45	6.1	45%	9.5 / 10 (95%)	-3.2 / 3.2 (-100%)	-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
25th Jun '22	UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot	5.43	11.9	219%	3.8 / 4 (95%)		8.1 / 1.43 (564%)
18th Jun '22	UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett	4	-4.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)		-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
11th Jun '22	UFC 275	2.5	-0.2	-7%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)		0.8 / 1.5 (55%)
4th Jun '22	UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik	12.98	-2.1	-16%	-5.2 / 5.23 (-100%)	-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)	3.4 / 7.5 (45%)
21st May '22	UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira	0.5	16.1	3,218%			16.1 / 0.5 (3,218%)
7th May '22	UFC 274	3	3.0	100%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)		4.5 / 1.5 (300%)
23rd Apr '22	Bellator 279	0.5	-0.5	-100%			-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
23rd Apr '22	UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade	2.1	-2.1	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)		-1.1 / 1.1 (-100%)
16th Apr '22	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II	7	1.4	20%	0.2 / 6 (3%)		1.2 / 1 (121%)
9th Apr '22	UFC 273	2.1	-2.1	-100%			-2.1 / 2.1 (-100%)
26th Mar '22	UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus	5.6	0.6	11%	3.3 / 2.85 (117%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-1.8 / 1.75 (-100%)

Winning Events: 7 (44%)
Losing Events: 9 (56%)

Average Staked Per Event: 4.51 units
Most Staked On One Event: 13.45 units
Best Event: 16.09 units
Worst Event: -5.00 units
Average Event: 1.22 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 20.45
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -11.00

GuerreraMMA : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2022	72.16	19.6	27%	3.2 / 36.58 (9%)		21.4 / 30.63 (70%)	7 / 9 (44%)	1.22

GuerreraMMA : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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GuerreraMMA : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	71.66	20.1	28%	3.2 / 36.58 (9%)	-5.0 / 4.95 (-100%)	21.9 / 30.13 (73%)
Bellator	0.5	-0.5	-100%			-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)

GuerreraMMA : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%
Slight Favorites	2 (11%)	2	100 %	14.00	13.33	6.67	95%
Slight Underdogs	11 (61%)	2	18 %	16.73	-10.53	-0.96	-63%
Big Underdogs	5 (28%)	1	20 %	5.85	0.35	0.07	6%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	2 (11%)	0	0 %	3.23	-3.23	-1.62	-100%
Co-Main Event	3 (17%)	0	0 %	5.00	-5.00	-1.67	-100%
Position 3-5	4 (22%)	1	25 %	4.85	1.35	0.34	28%
6+ (Undercard)	9 (50%)	4	44 %	23.50	10.03	1.11	43%

GuerreraMMA : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	3 (17%)		0 %	4.23	-4.23	-1.41	-100%
Middleweight	3 (17%)	1	33 %	12.00	7.52	2.51	63%
Welterweight	1 (6%)	1	100 %	2.00	2.00	2.00	100%
Lightweight	3 (17%)	1	33 %	3.00	-0.80	-0.27	-27%
Featherweight	1 (6%)		0 %	1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-100%
Bantamweight	2 (11%)		0 %	3.00	-3.00	-1.50	-100%
Flyweight	3 (17%)	2	67 %	8.85	5.16	1.72	58%

Women's Fights	2 (11%)		0 %	2.50	-2.50	-1.25	-100%
Flyweight	1 (6%)		0 %	1.50	-1.50	-1.50	-100%
Strawweight	1 (6%)		0 %	1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	42 (42%)	33	79 %
Slight Favorites	22 (22%)	11	50 %
Slight Underdogs	28 (28%)	10	36 %
Big Underdogs	8 (8%)	2	25 %
	100	56	56 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	5 (20%)	4	80 %
50-65%	1 (4%)	0	0 %
35-50%	10 (40%)	2	20 %
<35% chance	9 (36%)	0	0 %
	25	6	24 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	4 (16%)	4	100 %	1.22	1.29	1.13	0.9 (22%)
X Wins by KO	8 (32%)	0	0 %	2.90	8.50	2.10	-8.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub	3 (12%)	2	67 %	2.58	2.90	2.40	1.9 (63%)
X Wins by Decision	2 (8%)	0	0 %	3.16	4.30	2.50	-2.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance	1 (4%)	0	0 %	1.42	1.42	1.42	-1.0 (-100%)
Others	7 (28%)	0	0 %	4.05	19.00	1.75	-7.0 (-100%)
	25	6	24 %	2.43			-15.2 (-61%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail GuerreraMMA 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
26th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus	5.6	0.6	11%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,005.97
9th Apr	UFC 273	2.1	-2.1	-100%		$10.06	$1,005.97	$984.85
16th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II	7	1.4	20%		$9.85	$984.85	$998.78
23rd Apr	UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade	2.1	-2.1	-100%		$9.99	$998.78	$977.80
23rd Apr	Bellator 279	0.5	-0.5	-100%		$9.78	$977.80	$972.91
7th May	UFC 274	3	3.0	100%		$9.73	$972.91	$1,002.10
21st May	UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira	0.5	16.1	3,218%		$10.02	$1,002.10	$1,163.31
4th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik	12.98	-2.1	-16%		$11.63	$1,163.31	$1,138.86
11th Jun	UFC 275	2.5	-0.2	-7%		$11.39	$1,138.86	$1,136.83
18th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett	4	-4.0	-100%		$11.37	$1,136.83	$1,091.35
25th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot	5.43	11.9	219%		$10.91	$1,091.35	$1,220.92
2nd Jul	UFC 276	13.45	6.1	45%		$12.21	$1,220.92	$1,295.07
16th Jul	UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez	2	2.5	125%		$12.95	$1,295.07	$1,327.50
23rd Jul	UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall	3.5	-3.5	-100%		$13.28	$1,327.50	$1,281.04
30th Jul	UFC 277	5	-5.0	-100%		$12.81	$1,281.04	$1,216.99
3rd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa	2.5	-2.5	-100%		$12.17	$1,216.99	$1,186.56

ROI % from starting bank balance: 18.66% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

GuerreraMMA : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Jul '22	Dricus Du Plessis	Brad Tavares	1.95	10	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Jun '22	Cody Durden	J.P. Buys	1.95	4	TKO, R1 (1:8)
3.	Apr '22	Jordan Leavitt	Trey Ogden	2.20	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Apr '22	Rafa Garcia	Jesse Ronson	2.00	2	Sub, R2 (4:50)
5.	Mar '22	Kai Kara-France	Askar Askarov	3.35	1.85	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Sep '22	Marvin Vettori	Robert Whittaker	2.80	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Jul '22	Kai Kara-France	Brandon Moreno	2.80	3	TKO, R3 (4:34)	No
3.	Jun '22	Guram Kutateladze	Damir Ismagulov	2.40	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Jun '22	Joanna Jedrzejczyk	Weili Zhang	2.40	1	TKO, R2 (2:28)	No
5.	Jun '22	Johnny Munoz	Tony Gravely	2.05	2	TKO, R1 (1:8)	No
6.	Jun '22	Jairzinho Rozenstruik	Alexander Volkov	2.35	2.23	TKO, R1 (2:12)	No
7.	Jun '22	Dan Ige	Movsar Evloev	3.85	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	May '22	Melissa Gatto	Tracy Cortez	2.10	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Apr '22	Jordan Wright	Marc-Andre Barriault	2.65	1	Sub, R1 (2:36)	No
10.	Apr '22	Kevin Croom	Heili Alateng	2.60	1	TKO, R1 (0:47)	No
11.	Apr '22	Chris Barnett	Martin Buday	2.95	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Apr '22	Brandon Jenkins	Drakkar Klose	5.35	1	TKO, R2 (0:33)	No
13.	Mar '22	Chris Daukaus	Curtis Blaydes	3.55	1	TKO, R2 (0:17)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

GuerreraMMA : Progress Chart

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