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MMA Handicapper Stats: Joe Fin

Joe Fin (joefin)

MMA MHandicapper - Joe Fin

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays
Right 197 (35%) Right 47 (53%) Right 94 (40%) Right 56 (23%)
Wrong 373 (65%) Wrong 42 (47%) Wrong 142 (60%) Wrong 189 (77%)
Avg Odds 2.96 Avg Odds 2.18 Avg Odds 2.66 Avg Odds 3.89
Units Bet 180.9 Units Bet 34.5 Units Bet 56.4 Units Bet 90.0
Avg Bet 0.32 Avg Bet 0.39 Avg Bet 0.24 Avg Bet 0.37
Units Profit -7.32 Units Profit 4.47 Units Profit 0.10 Units Profit -11.89
ROI % -4% ROI % 13% ROI % 0% ROI % -13%
View Handicapper's Profile

Joe Fin: Event by Event Predictions
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
10th Jun '23 UFC 289 18.8 -2.2 -12% -1.2 / 8 (-15%) -1.3 / 1.3 (-100%) 0.3 / 9.5 (4%)
22nd Oct '22 UFC 280 2 0.7 33% -0.0 / 1 (-1%) 0.7 / 1 (66%)
15th Oct '22 UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
1st Oct '22 Bellator 286 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
1st Oct '22 UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan 4.35 -0.3 -8% -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%) 0.6 / 1.35 (45%) -0.7 / 2.75 (-26%)
23rd Sep '22 Bellator 285 1.6 -0.3 -17% -0.4 / 0.85 (-49%) 0.1 / 0.75 (20%)
17th Sep '22 UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song 7.1 -1.5 -21% -0.4 / 2 (-21%) 0.4 / 1.6 (27%) -1.5 / 3.5 (-43%)
10th Sep '22 UFC 279 5.7 1.1 19% 1.4 / 1.15 (122%) 0.8 / 2.55 (32%) -1.2 / 2 (-58%)
6th Sep '22 DWCS 2022: Week 7 1.4 -1.0 -70% -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%) -0.2 / 0.65 (-36%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
3rd Sep '22 UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa 5.1 0.5 10% -0.5 / 0.65 (-71%) -0.7 / 2.35 (-31%) 1.7 / 2.1 (80%)
31st Aug '22 DWCS 2022: Week 6 1.05 -0.1 -5% 0.2 / 0.8 (25%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
23rd Aug '22 DWCS 2022: Week 5 2.65 -0.3 -10% 1.0 / 0.5 (202%) -0.5 / 1.1 (-41%) -0.8 / 1.05 (-80%)
20th Aug '22 UFC 278 7.47 -2.2 -29% 0.5 / 1.3 (39%) -0.7 / 2.17 (-32%) -2.0 / 4 (-50%)
16th Aug '22 DWCS 2022: Week 4 0.8 -0.3 -36% 0.0 / 0.5 (3%) -0.3 / 0.3 (-100%)
13th Aug '22 UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz 4.85 -2.6 -55% -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%) 0.5 / 0.55 (95%) -2.9 / 4.05 (-72%)
9th Aug '22 DWCS 2022: Week 3 0.3 0.4 123% 0.1 / 0.1 (53%) 0.3 / 0.2 (158%)
6th Aug '22 UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill 2.5 1.1 43% 0.2 / 0.1 (200%) 0.5 / 1.15 (44%) 0.4 / 1.25 (29%)
2nd Aug '22 DWCS 2022: Week 2 0.55 -0.6 -100% -0.1 / 0.1 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.45 (-100%)
30th Jul '22 UFC 277 2.5 -0.8 -34% -0.4 / 0.35 (-100%) -0.5 / 2.15 (-23%)
23rd Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall 2.57 -0.8 -31% -0.2 / 0.75 (-30%) -0.1 / 0.1 (-100%) -0.5 / 1.72 (-28%)
16th Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez 2.9 -0.5 -18% 0.9 / 0.75 (117%) 0.2 / 0.6 (25%) -1.6 / 1.55 (-100%)
9th Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev 3.5 -1.1 -32% -0.7 / 1.5 (-48%) -0.2 / 0.7 (-25%) -0.2 / 1.3 (-17%)
2nd Jul '22 UFC 276 2.05 1.7 84% 0.0 / 1 (3%) 1.7 / 1.05 (161%)
18th Jun '22 UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett 2.5 -1.7 -70% 0.5 / 0.25 (200%) -2.3 / 2.25 (-100%)
11th Jun '22 UFC 275 7.8 -5.6 -72% -0.9 / 1.5 (-62%) -2.9 / 4.5 (-64%) -1.8 / 1.8 (-100%)
4th Jun '22 UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik 6.75 2.6 39% 0.0 / 1.25 (1%) 1.9 / 4.25 (44%) 0.7 / 1.25 (58%)
21st May '22 UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira 7.81 1.9 25% 0.8 / 2.2 (36%) 0.6 / 3.22 (20%) 0.5 / 2.39 (21%)
14th May '22 UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić 4.75 2.7 56% 0.9 / 0.55 (156%) 1.9 / 3.1 (60%) -0.1 / 1.1 (-5%)
7th May '22 UFC 274 3.7 -0.4 -12% 0.5 / 1.58 (31%) -0.9 / 2.12 (-43%)
30th Apr '22 UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera 6.35 -1.5 -23% 0.5 / 1.7 (31%) 0.0 / 2.65 (1%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
23rd Apr '22 UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade 9.1 -1.1 -12% -0.1 / 1 (-8%) 2.0 / 5.1 (39%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
16th Apr '22 UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II 13.2 -2.8 -21% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -2.1 / 6.5 (-32%) 0.3 / 5.7 (5%)
15th Apr '22 Bellator 277 2 -1.5 -75% 0.0 / 0.5 (0%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
9th Apr '22 UFC 273 12.45 2.4 20% 3.1 / 2 (156%) 0.4 / 1.6 (25%) -1.1 / 8.85 (-12%)
26th Mar '22 UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus 11.65 1.4 12% 1.0 / 1.5 (65%) -2.0 / 4.65 (-42%) 2.4 / 5.5 (43%)
19th Mar '22 UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall 13.75 6.4 47% -0.4 / 0.4 (-100%) 1.1 / 2.9 (40%) 5.7 / 10.45 (54%)


Winning Events: 12 (33%)
Losing Events: 24 (67%)

Average Staked Per Event: 5.07 units
Most Staked On One Event: 18.80 units
Best Event: 6.44 units
Worst Event: -5.59 units
Average Event: -0.20 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 10.26
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -7.34

Joe Fin: Year on Year Profit
Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Events
Won / Lost (%)		 Profit
Per Event
2023 18.8 -2.2 -12% -1.2 / 8 (-15%) 0.3 / 9.5 (4%) / 1 (0%) -2.17
2022 163.75 -5.1 -3% 5.7 / 26.45 (22%) -12.2 / 80.53 (-15%) 12 / 23 (34%) -0.15

Joe Fin: Yearly Straight Pick Stats
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Joe Fin: Profit / Loss by Organization
Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 171.7 -3.3 -2% 3.5 / 32.4 (11%) 1.5 / 54.47 (3%) -8.3 / 84.83 (-10%)
Bellator 4.1 -2.3 -55% -0.4 / 1.35 (-31%) -1.9 / 2.75 (-67%)
Other 6.75 -1.8 -26% 1.0 / 2.05 (48%) -1.0 / 2.25 (-46%) -1.7 / 2.45 (-70%)

Joe Fin: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 2 (2%) 2 100 % 0.60 0.29 0.15 49%
Slight Favorites 38 (40%) 19 50 % 17.60 -4.23 -0.11 -24%
Slight Underdogs 36 (38%) 18 50 % 10.60 2.62 0.07 25%
Big Underdogs 19 (20%) 9 47 % 5.65 5.80 0.31 103%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 7 (7%) 3 43 % 2.25 0.28 0.04 13%
Co-Main Event 14 (15%) 7 50 % 9.65 0.30 0.02 3%
Position 3-5 31 (33%) 14 45 % 8.75 -1.92 -0.06 -22%
6+ (Undercard) 43 (45%) 24 56 % 13.80 5.80 0.13 42%

Joe Fin: Profit by Weight Class
  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 4 (4%) 2 50 % 0.55 0.96 0.24 175%
Light Heavy 6 (6%) 2 33 % 1.15 -0.04 -0.01 -3%
Middleweight 15 (16%) 7 47 % 4.45 0.67 0.04 15%
Welterweight 12 (13%) 7 58 % 4.50 -0.15 -0.01 -3%
Lightweight 16 (17%) 7 44 % 10.20 -1.59 -0.10 -16%
Featherweight 8 (8%) 3 38 % 3.15 -1.37 -0.17 -44%
Bantamweight 12 (13%) 7 58 % 3.45 2.99 0.25 87%
Flyweight 5 (5%) 4 80 % 2.50 2.98 0.60 119%
               
Women's Fights 17 (18%) 9 53 % 4.50 0.02 0.00 0%
Bantamweight 6 (6%) 2 33 % 1.10 -0.50 -0.08 -46%
Flyweight 4 (4%) 3 75 % 1.25 0.16 0.04 13%
Strawweight 7 (7%) 4 57 % 2.15 0.36 0.05 17%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 759 (70%) 551 73 %
Slight Favorites 227 (21%) 138 61 %
Slight Underdogs 90 (8%) 46 51 %
Big Underdogs 10 (1%) 3 30 %
1086 738 68 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 75 (22%) 58 77 %
50-65% 92 (27%) 58 63 %
35-50% 71 (21%) 30 42 %
<35% chance 104 (30%) 22 21 %
342 168 49 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types
Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds		 Longest
Odds		 Shortest
Odds		 1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 58 (17%) 43 74 % 1.46 2.05Pick was incorrect 1.29Pick was correct 6.2 (11%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 50 (15%) 42 84 % 1.72 3.05Pick was correct 1.22Pick was correct 23.5 (47%)
Does not go to Decision 4 (1%) 3 75 % 1.57 1.71Pick was incorrect 1.48Pick was correct 0.6 (14%)
Fight Starts Round X 2 (1%) 0 0 % 1.64 1.67Pick was incorrect 1.61Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO 30 (9%) 8 27 % 2.74 11.00Pick was incorrect 1.47Pick was correct -7.4 (-25%)
X Wins by Sub 27 (8%) 7 26 % 3.65 8.50Pick was incorrect 1.80Pick was incorrect 5.1 (19%)
X Wins by Decision 38 (11%) 10 26 % 2.68 7.50Pick was incorrect 1.65Pick was correct -12.9 (-34%)
X Wins Inside Distance 40 (12%) 17 43 % 2.23 9.50Pick was incorrect 1.36Pick was correct -3.6 (-9%)
X Wins in Round X 18 (5%) 8 44 % 4.23 19.00Pick was incorrect 1.47Pick was correct 19.6 (109%)
Others 75 (22%) 30 40 % 2.33 31.00Pick was incorrect 1.25Pick was correct -7.2 (-10%)
342 168 49 % 2.15     21.9 (6%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Joe Fin's bets
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
19th Mar UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall 13.75 6.4 47% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,064.35
26th Mar UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus 11.65 1.4 12% $10.64 $1,064.35 $1,079.11
9th Apr UFC 273 12.45 2.4 20% $10.79 $1,079.11 $1,105.39
15th Apr Bellator 277 2 -1.5 -75% $11.05 $1,105.39 $1,088.81
16th Apr UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II 13.2 -2.8 -21% $10.89 $1,088.81 $1,058.53
23rd Apr UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade 9.1 -1.1 -12% $10.59 $1,058.53 $1,046.80
30th Apr UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera 6.35 -1.5 -23% $10.47 $1,046.80 $1,031.60
7th May UFC 274 3.7 -0.4 -12% $10.32 $1,031.60 $1,027.16
14th May UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić 4.75 2.7 56% $10.27 $1,027.16 $1,054.58
21st May UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira 7.81 1.9 25% $10.55 $1,054.58 $1,074.94
4th Jun UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik 6.75 2.6 39% $10.75 $1,074.94 $1,102.93
11th Jun UFC 275 7.8 -5.6 -72% $11.03 $1,102.93 $1,041.26
18th Jun UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett 2.5 -1.7 -70% $10.41 $1,041.26 $1,023.04
2nd Jul UFC 276 2.05 1.7 84% $10.23 $1,023.04 $1,040.63
9th Jul UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev 3.5 -1.1 -32% $10.41 $1,040.63 $1,029.10
16th Jul UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez 2.9 -0.5 -18% $10.29 $1,029.10 $1,023.72
23rd Jul UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall 2.57 -0.8 -31% $10.24 $1,023.72 $1,015.44
30th Jul UFC 277 2.5 -0.8 -34% $10.15 $1,015.44 $1,006.87
2nd Aug DWCS 2022: Week 2 0.55 -0.6 -100% $10.07 $1,006.87 $1,001.33
6th Aug UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill 2.5 1.1 43% $10.01 $1,001.33 $1,012.03
9th Aug DWCS 2022: Week 3 0.3 0.4 123% $10.12 $1,012.03 $1,015.78
13th Aug UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz 4.85 -2.6 -55% $10.16 $1,015.78 $988.92
16th Aug DWCS 2022: Week 4 0.8 -0.3 -36% $9.89 $988.92 $986.10
20th Aug UFC 278 7.47 -2.2 -29% $9.86 $986.10 $964.69
23rd Aug DWCS 2022: Week 5 2.65 -0.3 -10% $9.65 $964.69 $962.03
31st Aug DWCS 2022: Week 6 1.05 -0.1 -5% $9.62 $962.03 $961.53
3rd Sep UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa 5.1 0.5 10% $9.62 $961.53 $966.36
6th Sep DWCS 2022: Week 7 1.4 -1.0 -70% $9.66 $966.36 $956.86
10th Sep UFC 279 5.7 1.1 19% $9.57 $956.86 $966.96
17th Sep UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song 7.1 -1.5 -21% $9.67 $966.96 $952.46
23rd Sep Bellator 285 1.6 -0.3 -17% $9.52 $952.46 $949.92
1st Oct UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan 4.35 -0.3 -8% $9.50 $949.92 $946.61
1st Oct Bellator 286 0.5 -0.5 -100% $9.47 $946.61 $941.88
15th Oct UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo 0.5 -0.5 -100% $9.42 $941.88 $937.17
22nd Oct UFC 280 2 0.7 33% $9.37 $937.17 $943.28
10th Jun UFC 289 18.8 -2.2 -12% $9.43 $943.28 $922.78


ROI % from starting bank balance: -7.72% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Joe Fin: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)
Last 20 Wins
  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Jun '23 Steve Erceg David Dvorak 3.30 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Jun '23 Charles Oliveira Beneil Dariush 1.74 2 TKO, R1 (4:10) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
3. Oct '22 Sean O'Malley Petr Yan 3.95 0.25 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Sep '22 Gillian Robertson Mariya Agapova 1.71 0.25 Sub, R2 (2:19) MMA Bookmaker
5. Sep '22 Elise Reed Melissa Martinez 2.48 0.15 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Sep '22 Anthony Hernandez Marc-Andre Barriault 1.61 0.25 Sub, R3 (1:53) MMA Bookmaker
7. Sep '22 Cory Sandhagen Yadong Song 1.49 0.5 TKO, R4 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
8. Sep '22 Julian Erosa Hakeem Dawodu 2.80 0.25 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Sep '22 Denis Tiuliulin Jamie Pickett 2.15 0.25 TKO, R2 (4:52) MMA Bookmaker
10. Sep '22 Yohan Lainesse Darian Weeks 2.14 0.25 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Sep '22 Irene Aldana Macy Chiasson 1.65 0.25 TKO, R3 (2:21) MMA Bookmaker
12. Aug '22 Viktoriya Dudakova Maria Silva 3.10 0.1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Aug '22 Sedriques Dumas Matej Penaz 2.75 0.25 Sub, R1 (0:47) MMA Bookmaker
14. Sep '22 Roman Kopylov Alessio Di Chirico 1.91 0.1 TKO, R3 (1:9) MMA Bookmaker
15. Aug '22 Jesus Santos Aguilar Erisson Ferreira 2.65 0.25 Sub, R3 (1:56) MMA Bookmaker
16. Aug '22 Darrius Flowers Amiran Gogoladze 3.40 0.25 TKO, R1 (1:13) MMA Bookmaker
17. Aug '22 Marcin Tybura Alexander Romanov 4.85 0.25 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Aug '22 Ange Loosa A.J. Fletcher 2.40 0.15 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Aug '22 Ange Loosa A.J. Fletcher 2.40 0.1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Aug '22 Nazim Sadykhov Ahmad Hasanzada 1.48 0.1 TKO, R3 (1:59) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Jun '23 Nate Landwehr Dan Ige 3.10 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Jun '23 Beneil Dariush Charles Oliveira 1.74 4 TKO, R1 (4:10) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Oct '22 Krzysztof Jotko Brendan Allen 1.83 0.25 Sub, R1 (4:17) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Oct '22 Charles Oliveira Islam Makhachev 2.45 0.25 Sub, R2 (3:16) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Sep '22 Cameron VanCamp Nikolas Motta 2.47 0.25 TKO, R1 (3:49) Yes MMA Bookmaker
6. Sep '22 Tony Gravely Javid Basharat 2.35 0.25 U Decision (3 rounds) Yes MMA Bookmaker
7. Sep '22 Bill Algeo Andre Fili 2.15 0.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Oct '22 Sean Brady Belal Muhammad 1.69 0.5 TKO, R2 (4:47) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Sep '22 Nariman Abbasov Ismael Bonfim 1.97 0.25 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Sep '22 Charles Jourdain Nathaniel Wood 1.74 0.3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Aug '22 Matej Penaz Sedriques Dumas 1.67 0.2 Sub, R1 (0:47) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Aug '22 Jose Henrique Yusaku Kinoshita 2.65 0.25 TKO, R3 (0:43) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Sep '22 Charles Jourdain Nathaniel Wood 1.73 0.25 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Aug '22 Luke Rockhold Paulo Costa 4.05 0.1 U Decision (3 rounds) Yes MMA Bookmaker
15. Aug '22 Yanan Wu Lucie Pudilova 2.10 0.15 TKO, R2 (4:4) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Aug '22 Jose Aldo Merab Dvalishvili 2.15 0.25 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Aug '22 Jose Aldo Merab Dvalishvili 2.07 0.1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Aug '22 Yanan Wu Lucie Pudilova 2.25 0.1 TKO, R2 (4:4) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Aug '22 Leonardo Santos Jared Gordon 3.60 0.1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Aug '22 Ivan Valenzuela Claudio Ribeiro 1.80 0.1 TKO, R1 (0:25) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Joe Fin: Progress Chart
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