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MMA Handicapper Stats: wiilli

wiilli (Crackk)


MMA MHandicapper -  wiilli

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 359 (53%) Right 176 (51%) Right 66 (53%) Right 117 (55%)
Wrong 319 (47%) Wrong 166 (49%) Wrong 59 (47%) Wrong 94 (45%)
Avg Odds 1.91 Avg Odds 1.92 Avg Odds 1.96 Avg Odds 1.87
Units Bet 463.1 Units Bet 250.9 Units Bet 77.0 Units Bet 135.3
Avg Bet 0.68 Avg Bet 0.73 Avg Bet 0.62 Avg Bet 0.64
Units Profit -4.03 Units Profit -3.03 Units Profit -1.55 Units Profit 0.56
ROI % -1% ROI % -1% ROI % -2% ROI % 0%
View Handicapper's Profile

wiilli: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
29th Oct '22 UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen 6.64 -1.9 -29% -1.9 / 6.64 (-29%)
29th Oct '22 Bellator 287 2.7 -0.6 -22% -1.6 / 1.62 (-100%) 1.0 / 1.08 (94%)
22nd Oct '22 UFC 280 7.77 4.3 56% 3.8 / 3.75 (103%) 0.5 / 4.02 (12%)
15th Oct '22 UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo 4 3.2 81% 1.1 / 1 (112%) 0.9 / 2 (47%) 1.2 / 1 (118%)
1st Oct '22 Bellator 286 2.62 2.0 77% 1.0 / 1.4 (71%) 1.0 / 1.22 (82%)
1st Oct '22 UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan 9.78 -1.5 -15% 1.1 / 5.78 (19%) -1.6 / 3 (-52%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
30th Sep '22 One on Prime 2 2.5 -0.4 -15% 0.3 / 1 (27%) -0.6 / 1.5 (-43%)
27th Sep '22 DWCS 2022: Week 10 4.62 3.0 65% 1.0 / 1.54 (65%) 2.0 / 3.08 (65%)
23rd Sep '22 Bellator 285 5 -2.1 -42% 0.9 / 2 (45%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
21st Sep '22 DWCS 2022: Week 9 6.76 1.0 15% -1.0 / 3.55 (-28%) 1.0 / 1.65 (61%) 1.0 / 1.56 (65%)
17th Sep '22 UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song 14.96 -6.0 -40% -6.0 / 14.96 (-40%)
13th Sep '22 DWCS 2022: Week 8 4.05 0.6 14% -0.4 / 2.85 (-16%) 1.0 / 1.2 (83%)
10th Sep '22 UFC 279 17.54 -4.1 -24% -4.5 / 9.6 (-47%) 0.0 / 3.39 (1%) 0.3 / 4.55 (7%)
6th Sep '22 DWCS 2022: Week 7 6.46 -2.3 -36% 1.0 / 1.08 (93%) -0.5 / 2.55 (-20%) -2.8 / 2.83 (-100%)
3rd Sep '22 UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa 10.03 3.9 39% 1.4 / 6.6 (21%) 0.5 / 0.8 (63%) 2.0 / 2.63 (77%)
31st Aug '22 DWCS 2022: Week 6 6.94 -1.6 -22% -1.4 / 4.24 (-33%) -0.1 / 2.7 (-6%)
27th Aug '22 One FC on Prime 1 2.05 -0.1 -2% -0.1 / 2.05 (-2%)
23rd Aug '22 DWCS 2022: Week 5 5.35 -2.3 -44% 2.0 / 1 (200%) -2.1 / 2.1 (-100%) -2.3 / 2.25 (-100%)
20th Aug '22 UFC 278 10.88 1.8 16% 2.4 / 5.1 (46%) -2.6 / 2.61 (-100%) 2.0 / 3.17 (63%)
20th Aug '22 PFL 2022 #9 5.15 -2.5 -49% -1.7 / 3.5 (-49%) -0.8 / 1.65 (-49%)
16th Aug '22 DWCS 2022: Week 4 3.21 -1.1 -34% -0.6 / 2.68 (-21%) -0.5 / 0.53 (-100%)
13th Aug '22 UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz 7.76 2.8 37% 1.5 / 1 (155%) 0.5 / 3.92 (13%) 0.8 / 2.84 (28%)
13th Aug '22 PFL 2022 #8 2 0.1 3% 0.1 / 2 (3%)
12th Aug '22 Bellator 284 4.5 2.8 62% 2.8 / 4.5 (62%)
9th Aug '22 DWCS 2022: Week 3 2.05 -0.6 -28% -1.3 / 1.3 (-100%) 0.7 / 0.75 (98%)
6th Aug '22 UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill 6.01 1.7 28% -0.8 / 2.76 (-29%) 1.5 / 2.15 (69%) 1.0 / 1.1 (92%)
5th Aug '22 PFL 2022 #7 3.43 0.2 5% 0.5 / 0.83 (61%) -0.3 / 2.6 (-13%)
2nd Aug '22 DWCS 2022: Week 2 2.87 0.0 1% 0.3 / 1.48 (21%) -0.3 / 1.39 (-21%)
30th Jul '22 UFC 277 10.87 1.9 17% 0.2 / 9.34 (2%) 0.8 / 0.75 (100%) 1.0 / 0.78 (127%)
26th Jul '22 DWCS 2022: Week 1 2.75 -0.2 -8% -1.3 / 1.25 (-100%) 0.5 / 1 (46%) 0.6 / 0.5 (113%)
23rd Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall 9.67 -2.3 -23% 0.0 / 2.1 (2%) 0.1 / 1.5 (10%) -2.5 / 6.07 (-41%)
22nd Jul '22 Bellator 283 3.3 3.1 93% 2.3 / 2.5 (90%) 0.4 / 0.4 (100%) 0.4 / 0.4 (108%)
22nd Jul '22 Cage Warriors 141 2.01 1.5 73% 1.9 / 1.61 (117%) -0.4 / 0.4 (-100%)
20th Jul '22 Invicta 48 1.5 0.5 34% -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%) 0.8 / 1.25 (61%)
16th Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez 11.95 3.4 28% 2.3 / 7.37 (31%) 1.0 / 1.58 (63%) 0.1 / 3 (3%)
9th Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev 12.05 3.7 31% -0.7 / 5.35 (-14%) 1.9 / 1.5 (128%) 2.6 / 5.2 (49%)
2nd Jul '22 UFC 276 12.36 -0.2 -1% -3.3 / 7.45 (-44%) 1.4 / 1 (135%) 1.8 / 3.91 (45%)
1st Jul '22 PFL 2022 #6 3.78 -2.3 -60% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) 0.4 / 0.56 (80%) -1.2 / 1.72 (-71%)
25th Jun '22 UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot 6.75 1.8 26% 3.8 / 4.75 (79%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
25th Jun '22 Cage Warriors 140 2.03 -0.1 -3% -0.5 / 1.5 (-36%) 0.5 / 0.53 (90%)
24th Jun '22 Bellator 282 5.04 -1.4 -27% 1.7 / 2 (83%) -1.5 / 1.54 (-100%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
24th Jun '22 PFL 2022 #5 5.25 -5.3 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -2.3 / 2.25 (-100%)
18th Jun '22 UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett 6.36 2.2 35% 2.7 / 4.05 (67%) 0.1 / 1.77 (4%) -0.5 / 0.54 (-100%)
18th Jun '22 KSW 71 1.26 0.3 27% 0.8 / 0.76 (110%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
17th Jun '22 PFL 2022 #4 5.66 -2.8 -49% -1.2 / 2.5 (-49%) -0.4 / 0.4 (-100%) -1.2 / 2.76 (-43%)
11th Jun '22 UFC 275 8.82 0.5 5% -0.9 / 4.6 (-19%) 0.5 / 3.05 (17%) 0.8 / 1.17 (69%)
10th Jun '22 LFA 134 1 1.6 164% 1.9 / 0.75 (252%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
10th Jun '22 Cage Warriors 139 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
10th Jun '22 Road to UFC: Singapore - Episode 4 0.75 -0.2 -27% -0.2 / 0.75 (-27%)
10th Jun '22 Road to UFC: Singapore - Episode 3 0.25 -0.3 -100% -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
9th Jun '22 Road to UFC: Singapore - Episode 2 0.4 0.1 20% 0.1 / 0.4 (20%)
9th Jun '22 Road to UFC: Singapore - Episode 1 0.7 -0.7 -100% -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%) -0.2 / 0.2 (-100%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
4th Jun '22 UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik 7.13 1.2 17% 0.7 / 3.47 (21%) 1.2 / 2.91 (42%) -0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)
3rd Jun '22 LFA 133 1.15 0.1 10% 0.6 / 0.7 (80%) -0.5 / 0.45 (-100%)
28th May '22 Cage Warriors 138 1.28 1.0 78% 0.5 / 0.75 (70%) 0.5 / 0.53 (89%)
28th May '22 KSW 70 1.25 -0.8 -64% -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%) -0.6 / 1 (-55%)
27th May '22 CFFC 109 0.75 0.7 95% 0.7 / 0.75 (95%)
21st May '22 UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira 5.26 -1.4 -26% -1.5 / 3.61 (-41%) 0.2 / 0.3 (67%) -0.1 / 1.35 (-7%)
20th May '22 Eagle FC 47 0.35 -0.4 -100% -0.4 / 0.35 (-100%)
14th May '22 UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić 4.69 -0.7 -16% 0.0 / 2.89 (2%) -0.8 / 1.8 (-44%)
13th May '22 Bellator 281 1.8 -1.8 -100% -1.1 / 1.05 (-100%) -0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)
11th May '22 Invicta 47 1.25 -0.8 -67% -0.6 / 1 (-59%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
7th May '22 UFC 274 6.17 -1.5 -24% -2.4 / 4.21 (-56%) 0.6 / 1.41 (41%) 0.3 / 0.55 (61%)
6th May '22 PFL 2022 #3 0.9 -0.3 -35% -0.3 / 0.9 (-35%)
6th May '22 LFA 131 0.4 0.1 27% 0.1 / 0.4 (27%)
6th May '22 Bellator 280 2.1 -2.1 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%) -0.9 / 0.85 (-100%)
30th Apr '22 UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera 4.3 -0.1 -1% 0.2 / 3.55 (5%) 0.3 / 0.25 (110%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
28th Apr '22 PFL 2022 #2 2.6 -0.0 -1% -0.4 / 2.1 (-18%) 0.3 / 0.5 (67%)
24th Apr '22 Fury FC 60 0.65 0.4 63% 0.3 / 0.4 (77%) 0.1 / 0.25 (41%)
23rd Apr '22 Bellator 279 2.05 -0.7 -32% -0.7 / 2.05 (-32%)
23rd Apr '22 UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade 0.55 0.4 67% 0.4 / 0.55 (67%)
23rd Apr '22 Bellator 278 1.9 1.1 57% 1.2 / 1.25 (97%) 0.2 / 0.3 (74%) -0.4 / 0.35 (-100%)
22nd Apr '22 LFA 130 0.5 0.5 107% 0.5 / 0.5 (107%)
20th Apr '22 PFL 2022 #1 2.25 -0.6 -25% -0.4 / 1.25 (-33%) -0.2 / 1 (-16%)
16th Apr '22 UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II 4.96 -1.2 -24% -0.5 / 3.09 (-17%) -0.1 / 0.05 (-100%) -0.6 / 1.82 (-33%)
15th Apr '22 LFA 129 0.9 -0.4 -48% -0.6 / 0.6 (-100%) 0.2 / 0.3 (56%)
15th Apr '22 Bellator 277 1.7 0.7 40% 0.8 / 1.2 (65%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%) 0.2 / 0.25 (62%)
9th Apr '22 UFC 273 8.06 -3.5 -43% -0.3 / 2.17 (-15%) -1.2 / 3.3 (-36%) -1.9 / 2.59 (-75%)
9th Apr '22 LFA 128 0.79 0.7 87% 0.2 / 0.25 (74%) 0.5 / 0.54 (93%)
2nd Apr '22 XMMA 4 1.83 0.3 18% -0.4 / 1 (-44%) 0.8 / 0.83 (92%)
2nd Apr '22 Cage Warriors 136 1.84 0.3 17% 0.1 / 0.95 (14%) 0.2 / 0.89 (20%)
1st Apr '22 Cage Warriors 135 1.45 0.6 44% 0.6 / 1.45 (44%)
26th Mar '22 UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus 9.04 -3.6 -40% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -1.0 / 2.94 (-35%) 0.4 / 3.1 (15%)
26th Mar '22 Oktagon Prime 5 0.5 0.4 87% 0.4 / 0.5 (87%)
25th Mar '22 PFL Challenger Series 6 1.5 0.4 29% 0.4 / 1.5 (29%)
25th Mar '22 LFA 127 0.75 -0.2 -30% 0.0 / 0.5 (5%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
19th Mar '22 KSW 68 1.12 -0.6 -56% 0.2 / 0.32 (54%) -0.8 / 0.8 (-100%)
19th Mar '22 UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall 12.26 -3.2 -26% -2.6 / 5.5 (-48%) -0.5 / 3.62 (-15%) -0.0 / 3.14 (-0%)
18th Mar '22 PFL Challenger Series 5 2.28 0.8 34% 0.2 / 1.78 (14%) 0.5 / 0.5 (108%)
18th Mar '22 Cage Warriors 134 1.05 -0.0 -3% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) 0.5 / 0.55 (85%)
17th Mar '22 CFFC 106 0.25 -0.3 -100% -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
12th Mar '22 Bellator 276 2.33 -0.8 -35% -0.1 / 1 (-13%) -0.7 / 1.33 (-52%)
12th Mar '22 UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev 9.47 -0.3 -3% -0.6 / 6.75 (-8%) -0.5 / 1.46 (-35%) 0.7 / 1.26 (59%)
12th Mar '22 PFL Challenger Series 4 1.22 -0.2 -17% -0.6 / 0.62 (-100%) 0.4 / 0.6 (69%)
10th Mar '22 Invicta 46 1.79 0.3 15% -0.0 / 1.54 (-0%) 0.3 / 0.25 (110%)
5th Mar '22 UFC 272 11.92 1.0 9% 0.2 / 7 (2%) 0.5 / 1.92 (25%) 0.4 / 3 (13%)
5th Mar '22 PFL Challenger Series 3 0.35 -0.4 -100% -0.4 / 0.35 (-100%)
5th Mar '22 Cage Warriors 133 0.59 -0.1 -14% -0.1 / 0.59 (-14%)
26th Feb '22 UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev 8.54 3.3 39% -0.3 / 3.02 (-9%) -0.0 / 0.47 (-9%) 3.7 / 5.05 (73%)
26th Feb '22 PFL Challenger Series 2 0.5 0.3 64% 0.3 / 0.5 (64%)
25th Feb '22 Bellator 275 1 0.8 82% 0.8 / 1 (82%)
19th Feb '22 Bellator 274 1.49 -0.3 -23% -0.7 / 0.74 (-100%) 0.4 / 0.75 (54%)
19th Feb '22 UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill 5.38 2.5 47% -0.7 / 1.73 (-42%) 0.6 / 0.25 (220%) 2.7 / 3.4 (80%)
18th Feb '22 PFL Challenger Series 1 1.183 0.8 70% 0.4 / 0.603 (67%) 0.4 / 0.58 (73%)
12th Feb '22 UFC 271 7.24 0.3 4% 0.4 / 3.67 (10%) 0.5 / 1.32 (37%) -0.6 / 2.25 (-25%)
5th Feb '22 UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland 7.45 0.5 7% 0.8 / 5.63 (14%) -0.1 / 0.1 (-100%) -0.2 / 1.72 (-12%)
29th Jan '22 Bellator 273 4.43 -3.9 -88% -1.6 / 1.56 (-100%) -0.8 / 1.31 (-61%) -1.6 / 1.56 (-100%)
22nd Jan '22 UFC 270 9.3 -0.1 -1% 2.5 / 4.25 (58%) -1.1 / 3.53 (-30%) -1.5 / 1.52 (-100%)
15th Jan '22 UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze 6.75 1.1 16% 0.7 / 4.75 (15%) 0.4 / 2 (20%)
12th Jan '22 Invicta 45 0.91 0.6 67% 0.2 / 0.32 (61%) 0.4 / 0.59 (71%)


Winning Events: 54 (49%)
Losing Events: 56 (51%)

Average Staked Per Event: 4.22 units
Most Staked On One Event: 17.54 units
Best Event: 4.33 units
Worst Event: -6.04 units
Average Event: -0.04 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 12.17
Max Losing Streak: Events: 7, Units: -6.88

wiilli: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2022 464.043 -4.0 -1% -3.0 / 250.853 (-1%) 0.6 / 135.3 (0%) 54 / 56 (49%) -0.04

wiilli: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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wiilli: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 302.67 10.0 3% -4.4 / 170.49 (-3%) 4.7 / 54.85 (9%) 9.7 / 77.33 (13%)
Bellator 41.96 -3.2 -8% 3.6 / 19.82 (18%) -1.3 / 6.05 (-22%) -5.5 / 16.09 (-34%)
PFL 38.053 -11.7 -31% -5.0 / 17.703 (-28%) -2.4 / 4.79 (-51%) -4.2 / 15.56 (-27%)
Other 81.36 0.9 1% 2.8 / 42.84 (6%) -2.5 / 12.2 (-20%) 0.6 / 26.32 (2%)

wiilli: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 26 (8%) 14 54 % 28.22 -9.04 -0.35 -32%
Slight Favorites 184 (53%) 101 55 % 138.46 -9.72 -0.05 -7%
Slight Underdogs 105 (30%) 50 48 % 71.26 12.83 0.12 18%
Big Underdogs 30 (9%) 12 40 % 12.91 2.89 0.10 22%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 45 (13%) 28 62 % 28.82 5.36 0.12 19%
Co-Main Event 38 (11%) 18 47 % 24.76 -3.60 -0.09 -15%
Position 3-5 115 (33%) 59 51 % 79.33 1.27 0.01 2%
6+ (Undercard) 147 (43%) 72 49 % 117.94 -6.06 -0.04 -5%

wiilli: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 25 (7%) 14 56 % 19.37 -0.80 -0.03 -4%
Light Heavy 22 (6%) 13 59 % 18.81 -0.41 -0.02 -2%
Middleweight 44 (13%) 25 57 % 33.30 3.66 0.08 11%
Welterweight 49 (14%) 27 55 % 36.78 5.72 0.12 16%
Lightweight 62 (18%) 29 47 % 40.58 -4.02 -0.06 -10%
Featherweight 42 (12%) 18 43 % 30.33 -7.26 -0.17 -24%
Bantamweight 36 (10%) 19 53 % 27.75 -2.31 -0.06 -8%
Flyweight 20 (6%) 12 60 % 17.53 6.08 0.30 35%
               
Women's Fights 45 (13%) 20 44 % 26.40 -3.69 -0.08 -14%
Featherweight 3 (1%) 1 33 % 1.27 -0.51 -0.17 -40%
Bantamweight 10 (3%) 4 40 % 7.64 -0.58 -0.06 -8%
Flyweight 14 (4%) 9 64 % 6.48 1.24 0.09 19%
Strawweight 18 (5%) 6 33 % 11.01 -3.85 -0.21 -35%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 411 (97%) 323 79 %
Slight Favorites 12 (3%) 4 33 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
423 327 77 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 60 (36%) 41 68 %
50-65% 63 (38%) 32 51 %
35-50% 32 (19%) 17 53 %
<35% chance 12 (7%) 2 17 %
167 92 55 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 11 (7%) 5 45 % 1.59 2.10Pick was correct 1.19Pick was incorrect -2.7 (-25%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 13 (8%) 5 38 % 1.80 2.35Pick was correct 1.45Pick was incorrect -3.9 (-30%)
Does not go to Decision 1 (1%) 0 0 % 1.87 1.87Pick was incorrect 1.87Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Fight Starts Round X 1 (1%) 0 0 % 1.18 1.18Pick was incorrect 1.18Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X 2 (1%) 2 100 % 1.66 1.72Pick was correct 1.61Pick was incorrect 1.3 (67%)
X Wins by KO 7 (4%) 2 29 % 2.45 12.00Pick was incorrect 1.63Pick was correct -0.2 (-3%)
X Wins by Sub 2 (1%) 0 0 % 5.09 7.00Pick was incorrect 4.00Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 4 (2%) 2 50 % 1.79 2.10Pick was incorrect 1.61Pick was incorrect -0.5 (-11%)
X Wins Inside Distance 28 (17%) 13 46 % 1.72 2.85Pick was incorrect 1.20Pick was incorrect -4.7 (-17%)
X Wins in Round X 2 (1%) 0 0 % 15.00 15.00Pick was incorrect 15.00Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
Others 96 (57%) 63 66 % 1.59 5.00Pick was incorrect 1.13Pick was correct 7.9 (8%)
167 92 55 % 1.69     -8.7 (-5%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail wiilli's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
12th Jan Invicta 45 0.91 0.6 67% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,006.10
15th Jan UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze 6.75 1.1 16% $10.06 $1,006.10 $1,017.06
22nd Jan UFC 270 9.3 -0.1 -1% $10.17 $1,017.06 $1,015.90
29th Jan Bellator 273 4.43 -3.9 -88% $10.16 $1,015.90 $976.12
5th Feb UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland 7.45 0.5 7% $9.76 $976.12 $981.03
12th Feb UFC 271 7.24 0.3 4% $9.81 $981.03 $983.96
18th Feb PFL Challenger Series 1 1.183 0.8 70% $9.84 $983.96 $992.09
19th Feb UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill 5.38 2.5 47% $9.92 $992.09 $1,017.28
19th Feb Bellator 274 1.49 -0.3 -23% $10.17 $1,017.28 $1,013.87
25th Feb Bellator 275 1 0.8 82% $10.14 $1,013.87 $1,022.18
26th Feb PFL Challenger Series 2 0.5 0.3 64% $10.22 $1,022.18 $1,025.44
26th Feb UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev 8.54 3.3 39% $10.25 $1,025.44 $1,059.77
5th Mar Cage Warriors 133 0.59 -0.1 -14% $10.60 $1,059.77 $1,058.92
5th Mar PFL Challenger Series 3 0.35 -0.4 -100% $10.59 $1,058.92 $1,055.21
5th Mar UFC 272 11.92 1.0 9% $10.55 $1,055.21 $1,066.05
10th Mar Invicta 46 1.79 0.3 15% $10.66 $1,066.05 $1,068.98
12th Mar PFL Challenger Series 4 1.22 -0.2 -17% $10.69 $1,068.98 $1,066.78
12th Mar UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev 9.47 -0.3 -3% $10.67 $1,066.78 $1,063.38
12th Mar Bellator 276 2.33 -0.8 -35% $10.63 $1,063.38 $1,054.61
17th Mar CFFC 106 0.25 -0.3 -100% $10.55 $1,054.61 $1,051.97
18th Mar Cage Warriors 134 1.05 -0.0 -3% $10.52 $1,051.97 $1,051.65
18th Mar PFL Challenger Series 5 2.28 0.8 34% $10.52 $1,051.65 $1,059.86
19th Mar UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall 12.26 -3.2 -26% $10.60 $1,059.86 $1,025.96
19th Mar KSW 68 1.12 -0.6 -56% $10.26 $1,025.96 $1,019.53
25th Mar PFL Challenger Series 6 1.5 0.4 29% $10.20 $1,019.53 $1,023.95
25th Mar LFA 127 0.75 -0.2 -30% $10.24 $1,023.95 $1,021.65
26th Mar Oktagon Prime 5 0.5 0.4 87% $10.22 $1,021.65 $1,026.09
26th Mar UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus 9.04 -3.6 -40% $10.26 $1,026.09 $989.44
1st Apr Cage Warriors 135 1.45 0.6 44% $9.89 $989.44 $995.80
2nd Apr Cage Warriors 136 1.84 0.3 17% $9.96 $995.80 $998.89
2nd Apr XMMA 4 1.83 0.3 18% $9.99 $998.89 $1,002.10
9th Apr LFA 128 0.79 0.7 87% $10.02 $1,002.10 $1,008.98
9th Apr UFC 273 8.06 -3.5 -43% $10.09 $1,008.98 $974.05
15th Apr Bellator 277 1.7 0.7 40% $9.74 $974.05 $980.69
15th Apr LFA 129 0.9 -0.4 -48% $9.81 $980.69 $976.46
16th Apr UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II 4.96 -1.2 -24% $9.76 $976.46 $964.92
20th Apr PFL 2022 #1 2.25 -0.6 -25% $9.65 $964.92 $959.43
22nd Apr LFA 130 0.5 0.5 107% $9.59 $959.43 $964.59
23rd Apr Bellator 278 1.9 1.1 57% $9.65 $964.59 $975.02
23rd Apr UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade 0.55 0.4 67% $9.75 $975.02 $978.59
23rd Apr Bellator 279 2.05 -0.7 -32% $9.79 $978.59 $972.21
24th Apr Fury FC 60 0.65 0.4 63% $9.72 $972.21 $976.20
28th Apr PFL 2022 #2 2.6 -0.0 -1% $9.76 $976.20 $975.91
30th Apr UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera 4.3 -0.1 -1% $9.76 $975.91 $975.35
6th May Bellator 280 2.1 -2.1 -100% $9.75 $975.35 $954.87
6th May PFL 2022 #3 0.9 -0.3 -35% $9.55 $954.87 $951.89
6th May LFA 131 0.4 0.1 27% $9.52 $951.89 $952.91
7th May UFC 274 6.17 -1.5 -24% $9.53 $952.91 $939.01
11th May Invicta 47 1.25 -0.8 -67% $9.39 $939.01 $931.13
13th May Bellator 281 1.8 -1.8 -100% $9.31 $931.13 $914.37
14th May UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić 4.69 -0.7 -16% $9.14 $914.37 $907.52
20th May Eagle FC 47 0.35 -0.4 -100% $9.08 $907.52 $904.34
21st May UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira 5.26 -1.4 -26% $9.04 $904.34 $891.96
27th May CFFC 109 0.75 0.7 95% $8.92 $891.96 $898.31
28th May KSW 70 1.25 -0.8 -64% $8.98 $898.31 $891.11
28th May Cage Warriors 138 1.28 1.0 78% $8.91 $891.11 $899.99
3rd Jun LFA 133 1.15 0.1 10% $9.00 $899.99 $901.00
4th Jun UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik 7.13 1.2 17% $9.01 $901.00 $911.73
9th Jun Road to UFC: Singapore - Episode 1 0.7 -0.7 -100% $9.12 $911.73 $905.35
9th Jun Road to UFC: Singapore - Episode 2 0.4 0.1 20% $9.05 $905.35 $906.07
10th Jun Road to UFC: Singapore - Episode 3 0.25 -0.3 -100% $9.06 $906.07 $903.81
10th Jun Road to UFC: Singapore - Episode 4 0.75 -0.2 -27% $9.04 $903.81 $902.00
10th Jun LFA 134 1 1.6 164% $9.02 $902.00 $916.77
10th Jun Cage Warriors 139 0.5 -0.5 -100% $9.17 $916.77 $912.18
11th Jun UFC 275 8.82 0.5 5% $9.12 $912.18 $916.29
17th Jun PFL 2022 #4 5.66 -2.8 -49% $9.16 $916.29 $890.63
18th Jun KSW 71 1.26 0.3 27% $8.91 $890.63 $893.62
18th Jun UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett 6.36 2.2 35% $8.94 $893.62 $913.54
24th Jun Bellator 282 5.04 -1.4 -27% $9.14 $913.54 $901.02
24th Jun PFL 2022 #5 5.25 -5.3 -100% $9.01 $901.02 $853.72
25th Jun Cage Warriors 140 2.03 -0.1 -3% $8.54 $853.72 $853.11
25th Jun UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot 6.75 1.8 26% $8.53 $853.11 $868.10
1st Jul PFL 2022 #6 3.78 -2.3 -60% $8.68 $868.10 $848.41
2nd Jul UFC 276 12.36 -0.2 -1% $8.48 $848.41 $846.87
9th Jul UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev 12.05 3.7 31% $8.47 $846.87 $878.62
16th Jul UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez 11.95 3.4 28% $8.79 $878.62 $908.09
20th Jul Invicta 48 1.5 0.5 34% $9.08 $908.09 $912.74
22nd Jul Cage Warriors 141 2.01 1.5 73% $9.13 $912.74 $926.22
22nd Jul Bellator 283 3.3 3.1 93% $9.26 $926.22 $954.77
23rd Jul UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall 9.67 -2.3 -23% $9.55 $954.77 $933.20
26th Jul DWCS 2022: Week 1 2.75 -0.2 -8% $9.33 $933.20 $931.13
30th Jul UFC 277 10.87 1.9 17% $9.31 $931.13 $948.83
2nd Aug DWCS 2022: Week 2 2.87 0.0 1% $9.49 $948.83 $948.97
5th Aug PFL 2022 #7 3.43 0.2 5% $9.49 $948.97 $950.47
6th Aug UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill 6.01 1.7 28% $9.50 $950.47 $966.70
9th Aug DWCS 2022: Week 3 2.05 -0.6 -28% $9.67 $966.70 $961.23
12th Aug Bellator 284 4.5 2.8 62% $9.61 $961.23 $988.10
13th Aug PFL 2022 #8 2 0.1 3% $9.88 $988.10 $988.59
13th Aug UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz 7.76 2.8 37% $9.89 $988.59 $1,016.74
16th Aug DWCS 2022: Week 4 3.21 -1.1 -34% $10.17 $1,016.74 $1,005.65
20th Aug PFL 2022 #9 5.15 -2.5 -49% $10.06 $1,005.65 $980.41
20th Aug UFC 278 10.88 1.8 16% $9.80 $980.41 $997.57
23rd Aug DWCS 2022: Week 5 5.35 -2.3 -44% $9.98 $997.57 $974.13
27th Aug One FC on Prime 1 2.05 -0.1 -2% $9.74 $974.13 $973.64
31st Aug DWCS 2022: Week 6 6.94 -1.6 -22% $9.74 $973.64 $958.55
3rd Sep UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa 10.03 3.9 39% $9.59 $958.55 $995.69
6th Sep DWCS 2022: Week 7 6.46 -2.3 -36% $9.96 $995.69 $972.49
10th Sep UFC 279 17.54 -4.1 -24% $9.72 $972.49 $932.18
13th Sep DWCS 2022: Week 8 4.05 0.6 14% $9.32 $932.18 $937.31
17th Sep UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song 14.96 -6.0 -40% $9.37 $937.31 $880.70
21st Sep DWCS 2022: Week 9 6.76 1.0 15% $8.81 $880.70 $889.60
23rd Sep Bellator 285 5 -2.1 -42% $8.90 $889.60 $870.89
27th Sep DWCS 2022: Week 10 4.62 3.0 65% $8.71 $870.89 $897.09
30th Sep One on Prime 2 2.5 -0.4 -15% $8.97 $897.09 $893.84
1st Oct UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan 9.78 -1.5 -15% $8.94 $893.84 $880.74
1st Oct Bellator 286 2.62 2.0 77% $8.81 $880.74 $898.40
15th Oct UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo 4 3.2 81% $8.98 $898.40 $927.45
22nd Oct UFC 280 7.77 4.3 56% $9.27 $927.45 $967.59
29th Oct Bellator 287 2.7 -0.6 -22% $9.68 $967.59 $961.72
29th Oct UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen 6.64 -1.9 -29% $9.62 $961.72 $943.07


ROI % from starting bank balance: -5.69% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

wiilli: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Oct '22 Arnold Allen Calvin Kattar 1.83 1.2 TKO, R2 (0:8) MMA Bookmaker
2. Oct '22 Tresean Gore Josh Fremd 2.50 1 Sub, R2 (0:49) MMA Bookmaker
3. Oct '22 Nikita Krylov Volkan Oezdemir 1.57 1.75 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Oct '22 Belal Muhammad Sean Brady 2.20 1 TKO, R2 (4:47) MMA Bookmaker
5. Oct '22 Beneil Dariush Mateusz Gamrot 2.65 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Oct '22 Jacob Malkoun Nick Maximov 2.12 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Sep '22 Halil Amir Timofey Nastyukhin 2.55 0.5 TKO, R2 (0:58) MMA Bookmaker
8. Oct '22 Brendan Allen Krzysztof Jotko 2.00 1 Sub, R1 (4:17) MMA Bookmaker
9. Oct '22 Chelsea Chandler Julija Stoliarenko 1.93 1.08 TKO, R1 (4:15) MMA Bookmaker
10. Oct '22 Patricio Freire Adam Borics 1.71 1.4 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Oct '22 Mike Davis Viacheslav Borshchev 1.56 1.8 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Sep '22 Rafael Estevam Joao Elias 1.65 1.54 TKO, R2 (2:25) MMA Bookmaker
13. Sep '22 Jafel Filho Roybert Echeverria 1.65 1.55 TKO, R3 (1:31) MMA Bookmaker
14. Sep '22 Bruna Brasil Marnic Mann 1.71 1.4 TKO, R2 (4:33) MMA Bookmaker
15. Sep '22 Cory Sandhagen Yadong Song 1.55 1.82 TKO, R4 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
16. Sep '22 Nikolas Motta Cameron VanCamp 1.49 2.05 TKO, R1 (3:49) MMA Bookmaker
17. Sep '22 Trevin Giles Louis Cosce 1.49 2.05 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Sep '22 Daniel Rodriguez Li Jingliang 1.65 1.55 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Sep '22 Ismael Bonfim Nariman Abbasov 1.93 1.08 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Sep '22 Heili Alateng Chad Anheliger 1.65 1.55 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Oct '22 Davy Gallon Daniele Scatizzi 1.62 1.62 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Oct '22 Dustin Jacoby Khalil Rountree 1.57 1.74 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Oct '22 Phil Hawes Roman Dolidze 1.59 1.7 TKO, R1 (4:9) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Oct '22 Andrei Arlovski Marcos Rogerio de Lima 2.90 1 Sub, R1 (1:50) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Sep '22 Angela Lee Jingnan Xiong 1.87 0.5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Oct '22 John Castaneda Daniel Santos 1.53 1.9 TKO, R2 (4:28) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Sep '22 Richard Jacobi Austen Lane 2.18 1 TKO, R1 (4:34) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Sep '22 Mando Gutierrez Raul Rosas Jr 2.55 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Sep '22 Brandon Lewis Daniel Marcos 1.69 1.45 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Sep '22 Bill Algeo Andre Fili 2.08 1.08 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Sep '22 Chidi Njokuani Gregory Rodrigues 1.94 1.06 TKO, R2 (1:27) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Sep '22 Daniel Zellhuber Trey Ogden 1.41 2.45 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Sep '22 Pat Sabatini Damon Jackson 1.56 1.8 TKO, R1 (1:9) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Sep '22 Tanner Boser Rodrigo Nascimento Ferreira 1.61 1.65 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Sep '22 Marc-Andre Barriault Anthony Hernandez 2.55 1 Sub, R3 (1:53) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Sep '22 Hakeem Dawodu Julian Erosa 1.49 2.05 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Sep '22 Darian Weeks Yohan Lainesse 1.84 1.19 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Sep '22 Jamie Pickett Denis Tiuliulin 1.77 1.3 TKO, R2 (4:52) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Sep '22 Ion Cutelaba Johnny Walker 1.51 1.96 Sub, R1 (4:37) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Sep '22 Charles Jourdain Nathaniel Wood 1.71 1.4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

wiilli: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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