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MMA Handicapper Stats: Psilocybin Skull

Psilocybin Skull (Psilosybinskull)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	42 (55%)	Right	30 (73%)	Right	10 (32%)	Right	2 (40%)
Wrong	35 (45%)	Wrong	11 (27%)	Wrong	21 (68%)	Wrong	3 (60%)
Avg Odds	2.12	Avg Odds	1.73	Avg Odds	3.04	Avg Odds	2.02
Units Bet	219.9	Units Bet	160.8	Units Bet	39.6	Units Bet	19.5
Avg Bet	2.86	Avg Bet	3.92	Avg Bet	1.28	Avg Bet	3.90
Units Profit	37.82	Units Profit	44.81	Units Profit	-3.42	Units Profit	-3.57
ROI %	17%	ROI %	28%	ROI %	-9%	ROI %	-18%

Psilocybin Skull: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
10th Sep '22	UFC 279	11	-4.9	-44%	-4.9 / 11 (-44%)
23rd Aug '22	DWCS 2022: Week 5	0.25	-0.3	-100%		-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
20th Aug '22	UFC 278	6.5	5.4	83%	4.8 / 6 (80%)	0.6 / 0.5 (120%)
13th Aug '22	UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz	9.25	-3.0	-32%	2.0 / 4.25 (47%)		-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
6th Aug '22	UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill	8	3.0	38%	3.0 / 8 (38%)
30th Jul '22	UFC 277	6	-1.5	-25%	-0.5 / 5 (-10%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
23rd Jul '22	UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall	37	-18.2	-49%	-10.2 / 29 (-35%)	-8.0 / 8 (-100%)
16th Jul '22	UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez	7.75	1.9	25%	2.7 / 7 (38%)	-0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)
9th Jul '22	UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev	15	8.0	53%	5.5 / 11 (50%)	2.5 / 4 (63%)
2nd Jul '22	UFC 276	13	4.5	34%	6.5 / 11 (59%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
7th May '22	UFC 274	0.5	-0.5	-100%		-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
30th Apr '22	UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera	4	4.8	120%	4.8 / 4 (120%)
12th Mar '22	UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev	15	7.5	50%	2.9 / 7 (41%)		4.6 / 8 (57%)
5th Mar '22	UFC 272	5	2.2	44%	0.9 / 3 (29%)		1.3 / 2 (67%)
19th Feb '22	UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill	11	4.4	40%	4.4 / 11 (40%)
12th Feb '22	UFC 271	6.5	-6.5	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
5th Feb '22	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland	10	4.5	45%	4.5 / 10 (45%)
22nd Jan '22	UFC 270	3.3	1.8	56%	3.1 / 2 (157%)	-1.3 / 1.3 (-100%)
15th Jan '22	UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze	9.5	7.6	80%	8.1 / 9 (90%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
12th Jan '22	Invicta 45	5	5.0	100%	5.0 / 5 (100%)
18th Dec '21	UFC FN	5.1	3.1	60%		3.1 / 5.1 (60%)
11th Dec '21	UFC 269	11	8.5	77%	2.8 / 2 (140%)	9.7 / 5 (193%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
4th Dec '21	UFC FN	3.71	2.8	75%	0.0 / 3.5 (0%)	2.8 / 0.21 (1,329%)
6th Nov '21	UFC 268	6.5	0.9	13%	2.4 / 5 (47%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
30th Oct '21	UFC 267	10	-3.2	-32%	-2.0 / 6 (-33%)	-1.2 / 4 (-31%)

Winning Events: 17 (68%)
Losing Events: 8 (32%)

Average Staked Per Event: 8.79 units
Most Staked On One Event: 37.00 units
Best Event: 8.47 units
Worst Event: -18.17 units
Average Event: 1.51 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 8, Units: 34.16
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -19.67

Psilocybin Skull: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2022	183.55	25.9	14%	41.6 / 144.25 (29%)		0.4 / 15.5 (3%)	13 / 7 (65%)	1.29
2021	36.31	12.0	33%	3.2 / 16.5 (19%)		-4.0 / 4 (-100%)	4 / 1 (80%)	2.39

Psilocybin Skull: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Psilocybin Skull: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	214.61	33.1	15%	39.8 / 155.75 (26%)	-3.2 / 39.36 (-8%)	-3.6 / 19.5 (-18%)
Other	5.25	4.8	90%	5.0 / 5 (100%)	-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)

Psilocybin Skull: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	19 (44%)	17	89 %	100.25	24.65	1.30	25%
Slight Favorites	5 (12%)	4	80 %	24.00	9.35	1.87	39%
Slight Underdogs	14 (33%)	7	50 %	28.50	8.66	0.62	30%
Big Underdogs	5 (12%)	2	40 %	8.00	2.15	0.43	27%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	14 (33%)	8	57 %	56.75	21.36	1.53	38%
Co-Main Event	7 (16%)	5	71 %	24.00	5.28	0.75	22%
Position 3-5	11 (26%)	9	82 %	33.00	16.29	1.48	49%
6+ (Undercard)	11 (26%)	8	73 %	47.00	1.88	0.17	4%

Psilocybin Skull: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	2 (5%)	1	50 %	6.00	-1.97	-0.98	-33%
Light Heavy	6 (14%)	4	67 %	23.50	6.42	1.07	27%
Middleweight	4 (9%)	3	75 %	10.00	2.41	0.60	24%
Welterweight	10 (23%)	6	60 %	38.00	13.05	1.31	34%
Lightweight	4 (9%)	2	50 %	23.00	-3.45	-0.86	-15%
Featherweight	4 (9%)	3	75 %	18.00	5.60	1.40	31%
Bantamweight	4 (9%)	3	75 %	15.25	6.68	1.67	44%
Flyweight	6 (14%)	6	100 %	16.00	10.77	1.79	67%

Women's Fights	3 (7%)	2	67 %	11.00	5.29	1.76	48%
Bantamweight	1 (2%)		0 %	2.00	-2.00	-2.00	-100%
Flyweight	1 (2%)	1	100 %	4.00	2.29	2.29	57%
Strawweight	1 (2%)	1	100 %	5.00	5.00	5.00	100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	7 (70%)	6	86 %
Slight Favorites	2 (20%)	1	50 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	1 (10%)	0	0 %
	10	7	70 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	3 (9%)	1	33 %
50-65%	6 (19%)	3	50 %
35-50%	5 (16%)	2	40 %
<35% chance	18 (56%)	4	22 %
	32	10	31 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	2 (6%)	2	100 %	1.64	1.67	1.61	1.3 (64%)
Does not go to Decision	1 (3%)	1	100 %	2.20	2.20	2.20	1.2 (120%)
X Wins by KO	7 (22%)	3	43 %	2.71	4.25	1.67	0.7 (10%)
X Wins by Sub	6 (19%)	1	17 %	5.53	21.00	3.00	-2.0 (-33%)
X Does NOT Win by Sub	1 (3%)	1	100 %	15.00	15.00	15.00	14.0 (1,400%)
X Wins Inside Distance	2 (6%)	0	0 %	1.44	1.71	1.24	-2.0 (-100%)
X Wins in Round X	4 (13%)	0	0 %	18.99	26.00	13.00	-4.0 (-100%)
Others	9 (28%)	2	22 %	2.26	29.00	1.36	-4.4 (-49%)
	32	10	31 %	2.91			4.8 (15%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Psilocybin Skull's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
30th Oct	UFC 267	10	-3.2	-32%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$968.04
6th Nov	UFC 268	6.5	0.9	13%		$9.68	$968.04	$976.29
4th Dec	UFC FN	3.71	2.8	75%		$9.76	$976.29	$1,003.53
11th Dec	UFC 269	11	8.5	77%		$10.04	$1,003.53	$1,088.49
18th Dec	UFC FN	5.1	3.1	60%		$10.88	$1,088.49	$1,121.71
12th Jan	Invicta 45	5	5.0	100%		$11.22	$1,121.71	$1,177.79
15th Jan	UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze	9.5	7.6	80%		$11.78	$1,177.79	$1,267.48
22nd Jan	UFC 270	3.3	1.8	56%		$12.67	$1,267.48	$1,290.80
5th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland	10	4.5	45%		$12.91	$1,290.80	$1,349.48
12th Feb	UFC 271	6.5	-6.5	-100%		$13.49	$1,349.48	$1,261.76
19th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill	11	4.4	40%		$12.62	$1,261.76	$1,317.28
5th Mar	UFC 272	5	2.2	44%		$13.17	$1,317.28	$1,346.21
12th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev	15	7.5	50%		$13.46	$1,346.21	$1,446.57
30th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera	4	4.8	120%		$14.47	$1,446.57	$1,516.01
7th May	UFC 274	0.5	-0.5	-100%		$15.16	$1,516.01	$1,508.43
2nd Jul	UFC 276	13	4.5	34%		$15.08	$1,508.43	$1,575.86
9th Jul	UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev	15	8.0	53%		$15.76	$1,575.86	$1,701.93
16th Jul	UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez	7.75	1.9	25%		$17.02	$1,701.93	$1,734.86
23rd Jul	UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall	37	-18.2	-49%		$17.35	$1,734.86	$1,419.69
30th Jul	UFC 277	6	-1.5	-25%		$14.20	$1,419.69	$1,398.40
6th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill	8	3.0	38%		$13.98	$1,398.40	$1,440.61
13th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz	9.25	-3.0	-32%		$14.41	$1,440.61	$1,397.33
20th Aug	UFC 278	6.5	5.4	83%		$13.97	$1,397.33	$1,472.63
23rd Aug	DWCS 2022: Week 5	0.25	-0.3	-100%		$14.73	$1,472.63	$1,468.95
10th Sep	UFC 279	11	-4.9	-44%		$14.69	$1,468.95	$1,397.14

ROI % from starting bank balance: 39.71% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Psilocybin Skull: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Sep '22	Khamzat Chimaev	Kevin Holland	1.22	5	Sub, R1 (2:13)
2.	Aug '22	Leon Edwards	Kamaru Usman	4.15	1	TKO, R5 (4:4)
3.	Aug '22	Paulo Costa	Luke Rockhold	1.33	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Aug '22	Marlon Vera	Dominick Cruz	1.47	4.25	TKO, R4 (2:17)
5.	Aug '22	Jamahal Hill	Thiago Santos	1.38	8	TKO, R4 (2:31)
6.	Jul '22	Brandon Moreno	Kai Kara-France	1.50	3	TKO, R3 (4:34)
7.	Jul '22	Muhammad Mokaev	Charles Johnson	1.20	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Jul '22	Nathaniel Wood	Charles Rosa	1.17	11	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Jul '22	Li Jingliang	Muslim Salikhov	2.46	2	TKO, R2 (4:38)
10.	Jul '22	Shane Burgos	Charles Jourdain	1.59	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Jul '22	Rafael Fiziev	Rafael dos Anjos	1.50	11	TKO, R5 (0:18)
12.	Jul '22	Ian Garry	Gabriel Green	1.59	11	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Apr '22	Marlon Vera	Rob Font	2.20	4	U Decision (5 rounds)
14.	Mar '22	Alex Pereira	Bruno Silva	1.49	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Mar '22	Yadong Song	Marlon Moraes	1.38	5	TKO, R1 (2:6)
16.	Mar '22	Kevin Holland	Alex Oliveira	1.29	3	TKO, R2 (0:38)
17.	Feb '22	Jamahal Hill	Johnny Walker	1.40	11	TKO, R1 (2:55)
18.	Feb '22	Shavkat Rakhmonov	Carlston Harris	1.45	10	TKO, R1 (4:10)
19.	Jan '22	Deiveson Figueiredo	Brandon Moreno	2.57	2	U Decision (5 rounds)
20.	Jan '22	Katlyn Chookagian	Jennifer Maia	1.57	4	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Sep '22	Li Jingliang	Daniel Rodriguez	2.30	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Sep '22	Tony Ferguson	Nate Diaz	2.35	3	Sub, R4 (2:6)	No
3.	Sep '22	Li Jingliang	Daniel Rodriguez	2.30	0.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Sep '22	Tony Ferguson	Nate Diaz	2.35	0.5	Sub, R4 (2:6)	No
5.	Jul '22	Julianna Pena	Amanda Nunes	3.35	2	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
6.	Jul '22	Makwan Amirkhani	Jonathan Pearce	2.65	2	TKO, R2 (4:10)	No
7.	Jul '22	Mason Jones	Ludovit Klein	1.27	8	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Jul '22	Tom Aspinall	Curtis Blaydes	1.79	3	TKO, R1 (0:15)	No
9.	Jul '22	Da Un Jung	Dustin Jacoby	2.15	2	TKO, R1 (3:13)	No
10.	Feb '22	Robert Whittaker	Israel Adesanya	3.40	1	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
11.	Dec '21	Brad Riddell	Rafael Fiziev	2.00	2	TKO, R3 (2:20)	No
12.	Oct '21	Cory Sandhagen	Petr Yan	3.10	2	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
13.	Oct '21	Jan Blachowicz	Glover Teixeira	1.32	1	Sub, R2 (3:2)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Psilocybin Skull: Progress Chart

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