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MMA Handicapper Stats: The Judge |
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The Judge: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 7 (54%)
Losing Events: 6 (46%)
Average Staked Per Event: 19.88 units
Most Staked On One Event: 45.00 units
Best Event: 9.43 units
Worst Event: -12.59 units
Average Event: -0.07 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 28.98
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -32.83 |
The Judge: Year on Year Profit |
| Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
| 2023 |
10 |
-10.0 |
-100% |
-10.0 / 10 (-100%) |
|
|
/ 1 (0%) |
-10.00 |
| 2022 |
211.5 |
1.9 |
1% |
1.9 / 211.5 (1%) |
|
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4 / 3 (57%) |
0.27 |
| 2021 |
37 |
7.1 |
19% |
6.4 / 32 (20%) |
|
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3 / 2 (60%) |
1.43 |
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The Judge: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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The Judge: Profit / Loss by Organization |
| Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
|
UFC |
251.5 |
-1.9 |
-1% |
-2.6 / 246.5 (-1%) |
0.7 / 5 (15%) |
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| Other |
7 |
0.9 |
13% |
0.9 / 7 (13%) |
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The Judge: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Big Favorites |
23 (37%) |
21 |
91 % |
141.00 |
21.10 |
0.92 |
15% |
| Slight Favorites |
17 (27%) |
7 |
41 % |
53.00 |
-24.74 |
-1.46 |
-47% |
| Slight Underdogs |
20 (32%) |
9 |
45 % |
53.50 |
7.95 |
0.40 |
15% |
| Big Underdogs |
3 (5%) |
0 |
0 % |
6.00 |
-6.00 |
-2.00 |
-100% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Main Event |
11 (17%) |
8 |
73 % |
52.00 |
1.84 |
0.17 |
4% |
| Co-Main Event |
7 (11%) |
5 |
71 % |
25.00 |
8.00 |
1.14 |
32% |
| Position 3-5 |
21 (33%) |
13 |
62 % |
69.00 |
19.15 |
0.91 |
28% |
| 6+ (Undercard) |
24 (38%) |
11 |
46 % |
107.50 |
-30.69 |
-1.28 |
-29% |
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The Judge: Profit by Weight Class |
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Heavyweight |
8 (13%) |
7 |
88 % |
33.50 |
12.27 |
1.53 |
37% |
| Light Heavy |
6 (10%) |
4 |
67 % |
25.50 |
0.13 |
0.02 |
1% |
| Middleweight |
7 (11%) |
5 |
71 % |
23.50 |
10.60 |
1.51 |
45% |
| Welterweight |
7 (11%) |
5 |
71 % |
34.50 |
-2.49 |
-0.36 |
-7% |
| Lightweight |
10 (16%) |
5 |
50 % |
49.50 |
-6.77 |
-0.68 |
-14% |
| Featherweight |
6 (10%) |
|
0 % |
16.00 |
-16.00 |
-2.67 |
-100% |
| Bantamweight |
4 (6%) |
4 |
100 % |
18.00 |
8.77 |
2.19 |
49% |
| Flyweight |
1 (2%) |
|
0 % |
5.00 |
-5.00 |
-5.00 |
-100% |
| |
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| Women's Fights |
14 (22%) |
7 |
50 % |
48.00 |
-3.21 |
-0.23 |
-7% |
| Featherweight |
1 (2%) |
|
0 % |
1.00 |
-1.00 |
-1.00 |
-100% |
| Bantamweight |
2 (3%) |
1 |
50 % |
3.50 |
-1.70 |
-0.85 |
-49% |
| Flyweight |
8 (13%) |
5 |
63 % |
26.50 |
9.54 |
1.19 |
36% |
| Strawweight |
3 (5%) |
1 |
33 % |
17.00 |
-10.05 |
-3.35 |
-59% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| Big Favorites |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
| Slight Favorites |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
| Slight Underdogs |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
| Big Underdogs |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
0 |
0 |
nan % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| >65% chance |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
| 50-65% |
1 (50%) |
1 |
100 % |
| 35-50% |
1 (50%) |
0 |
0 % |
| <35% chance |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
2 |
1 |
50 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
| Prop Type |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Avg
Odds |
Longest
Odds |
Shortest
Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
| Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) |
1 (50%) |
1 |
100 % |
1.91 |
1.91 |
1.91 |
0.9 (91%) |
| Others |
1 (50%) |
0 |
0 % |
2.70 |
2.70 |
2.70 |
-1.0 (-100%) |
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2 |
1 |
50 % |
2.24 |
|
|
-0.1 (-4%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail The Judge's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
| 1st Sep |
DWCS 2021: Week 1 |
7 |
0.9 |
13% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,009.20 |
| 4th Sep |
UFC FN |
5 |
2.1 |
42% |
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$10.09 |
$1,009.20 |
$1,030.38 |
| 18th Sep |
UFC FN |
8 |
-0.1 |
-2% |
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$10.30 |
$1,030.38 |
$1,029.04 |
| 2nd Oct |
UFC FN |
12 |
4.3 |
35% |
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$10.29 |
$1,029.04 |
$1,072.88 |
| 13th Nov |
UFC FN |
5 |
0.0 |
0% |
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$10.73 |
$1,072.88 |
$1,072.88 |
| 12th Feb |
UFC 271 |
25 |
9.4 |
38% |
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$10.73 |
$1,072.88 |
$1,174.00 |
| 19th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill |
25 |
6.1 |
24% |
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$11.74 |
$1,174.00 |
$1,245.91 |
| 26th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev |
18 |
3.1 |
17% |
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$12.46 |
$1,245.91 |
$1,284.41 |
| 5th Mar |
UFC 272 |
25 |
6.1 |
24% |
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$12.84 |
$1,284.41 |
$1,362.44 |
| 12th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev |
30 |
-3.2 |
-11% |
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$13.62 |
$1,362.44 |
$1,318.71 |
| 19th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall |
43.5 |
-7.0 |
-16% |
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$13.19 |
$1,318.71 |
$1,225.94 |
| 3rd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland |
45 |
-12.6 |
-28% |
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$12.26 |
$1,225.94 |
$1,071.65 |
| 8th Jul |
UFC 290 |
10 |
-10.0 |
-100% |
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$10.72 |
$1,071.65 |
$964.49 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -3.55% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
The Judge: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
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Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
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| 1. |
Dec '22 |
Roman Dolidze |
Jack Hermansson |
2.55 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (4:6) |
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| 2. |
Dec '22 |
Sergey Pavlovich |
Tai Tuivasa |
1.56 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (0:54) |
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| 3. |
Dec '22 |
Rafael dos Anjos |
Bryan Barberena |
1.19 |
10 |
Sub, R2 (3:20) |
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| 4. |
Mar '22 |
Jack Shore |
Timur Valiev |
2.25 |
2.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 5. |
Mar '22 |
Sergey Pavlovich |
Shamil Abdurakhimov |
1.36 |
7 |
TKO, R1 (4:3) |
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| 6. |
Mar '22 |
Ilia Topuria |
Jai Herbert |
1.26 |
7 |
TKO, R2 (1:7) |
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| 7. |
Mar '22 |
Paddy Pimblett |
Rodrigo Vargas |
1.25 |
10 |
Sub, R1 (3:49) |
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| 8. |
Mar '22 |
J.J. Aldrich |
Gillian Robertson |
2.15 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 9. |
Mar '22 |
Yadong Song |
Marlon Moraes |
1.41 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (2:6) |
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| 10. |
Mar '22 |
Magomed Ankalaev |
Thiago Santos |
1.20 |
7.5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
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| 11. |
Mar '22 |
Marina Alcalde Rodriguez |
Yan Xiaonan |
1.39 |
5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 12. |
Mar '22 |
Sergey Spivak |
Greg Hardy |
1.48 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (2:16) |
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| 13. |
Mar '22 |
Kevin Holland |
Alex Oliveira |
1.38 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (0:38) |
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| 14. |
Mar '22 |
Colby Covington |
Jorge Masvidal |
1.31 |
7.5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
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| 15. |
Feb '22 |
Priscila Cachoeira |
Ji Yeon Kim |
2.42 |
2.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 16. |
Feb '22 |
Islam Makhachev |
Bobby Green |
1.13 |
8 |
TKO, R1 (3:23) |
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| 17. |
Feb '22 |
Arman Tsarukyan |
Joel Alvarez |
2.40 |
2.5 |
TKO, R2 (1:57) |
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| 18. |
Feb '22 |
Chad Anheliger |
Jesse Strader |
1.42 |
7.5 |
TKO, R3 (3:33) |
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| 19. |
Feb '22 |
Jim Miller |
Nikolas Motta |
2.55 |
2.5 |
TKO, R2 (1:58) |
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| 20. |
Feb '22 |
Parker Porter |
Alan Baudot |
1.40 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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Last 20 Losses
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Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
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| 1. |
Jul '23 |
Shannon Ross |
Jesus Santos Aguilar |
2.32 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (0:17) |
No |
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| 2. |
Jul '23 |
Jim Crute |
Alonzo Menifield |
1.76 |
5 |
Sub, R2 (1:55) |
No |
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| 3. |
Dec '22 |
Marc Diakiese |
Michael Johnson |
1.36 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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| 4. |
Dec '22 |
Emily Ducote |
Angela Hill |
1.83 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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| 5. |
Dec '22 |
Niko Price |
Phil Rowe |
1.74 |
5 |
TKO, R3 (3:26) |
No |
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| 6. |
Dec '22 |
Kevin Holland |
Stephen Thompson |
1.69 |
5 |
TKO, R4 (5:0) |
No |
|
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| 7. |
Mar '22 |
Cory McKenna |
Elise Reed |
1.44 |
7 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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| 8. |
Mar '22 |
Luana Carolina |
Molly McCann |
2.10 |
2.5 |
TKO, R3 (1:52) |
No |
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| 9. |
Mar '22 |
Daniel Hooker |
Arnold Allen |
1.97 |
2.5 |
TKO, R1 (2:33) |
No |
|
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| 10. |
Mar '22 |
Alexander Volkov |
Tom Aspinall |
2.00 |
5 |
Sub, R1 (3:45) |
No |
|
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| 11. |
Mar '22 |
Dalcha Lungiambula |
Cody Brundage |
1.83 |
2.5 |
Sub, R1 (3:41) |
No |
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| 12. |
Mar '22 |
Kamuela Kirk |
Damon Jackson |
1.95 |
5 |
Sub, R2 (4:42) |
No |
|
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| 13. |
Mar '22 |
Terrance McKinney |
Drew Dober |
2.52 |
2.5 |
TKO, R1 (3:17) |
No |
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| 14. |
Mar '22 |
Alex Caceres |
Sodiq Yusuff |
3.00 |
2.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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| 15. |
Mar '22 |
Edson Barboza |
Bryce Mitchell |
2.25 |
2.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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| 16. |
Feb '22 |
Zhu Rong |
Ignacio Bahamondes |
2.87 |
2.5 |
Sub, R3 (1:40) |
No |
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| 17. |
Feb '22 |
Joel Alvarez |
Arman Tsarukyan |
2.80 |
2.5 |
TKO, R2 (1:57) |
No |
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| 18. |
Feb '22 |
Jessica-Rose Clark |
Stephanie Egger |
1.56 |
2.5 |
Sub, R1 (3:44) |
No |
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| 19. |
Feb '22 |
Gabriel Benitez |
David Onama |
2.42 |
2.5 |
TKO, R1 (4:24) |
No |
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| 20. |
Feb '22 |
Derek Brunson |
Jared Cannonier |
2.37 |
2.5 |
TKO, R2 (4:29) |
No |
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* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
The Judge: Progress Chart |
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