MMA Handicapper Stats: Best Bets |
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Best Bets: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 34 (45%) Losing Events: 41 (55%)
Average Staked Per Event: 8.61 units Most Staked On One Event: 22.50 units Best Event: 11.20 units Worst Event: -12.50 units Average Event: -0.70 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 14.63 Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -24.60 |
Best Bets: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2023 |
4 |
1.3 |
31% |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
|
|
1 / (100%) |
1.26 |
2022 |
501.6 |
-30.1 |
-6% |
-19.9 / 256.5 (-8%) |
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-2.2 / 80.2 (-3%) |
26 / 32 (45%) |
-0.52 |
2021 |
140.25 |
-23.4 |
-17% |
-14.1 / 42.5 (-33%) |
|
0.9 / 2.75 (33%) |
7 / 9 (44%) |
-1.46 |
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Best Bets: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Best Bets: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
552 |
-37.4 |
-7% |
-33.3 / 242 (-14%) |
-13.8 / 249.65 (-6%) |
9.7 / 60.35 (16%) |
Bellator |
32.25 |
-13.1 |
-41% |
-11.4 / 18.25 (-63%) |
-2.8 / 9 (-31%) |
1.1 / 5 (22%) |
PFL |
26.1 |
3.1 |
12% |
4.4 / 14.25 (31%) |
1.7 / 3.25 (52%) |
-3.0 / 8.6 (-35%) |
Other |
35.5 |
-4.7 |
-13% |
4.3 / 26.5 (16%) |
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-9.0 / 9 (-100%) |
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Best Bets: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
6 (4%) |
4 |
67 % |
18.00 |
0.50 |
0.08 |
3% |
Slight Favorites |
53 (35%) |
26 |
49 % |
144.75 |
-12.65 |
-0.24 |
-9% |
Slight Underdogs |
69 (45%) |
26 |
38 % |
109.25 |
-18.79 |
-0.27 |
-17% |
Big Underdogs |
24 (16%) |
6 |
25 % |
29.00 |
-5.10 |
-0.21 |
-18% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
20 (13%) |
6 |
30 % |
42.75 |
-20.75 |
-1.04 |
-49% |
Co-Main Event |
17 (11%) |
6 |
35 % |
31.00 |
-4.68 |
-0.28 |
-15% |
Position 3-5 |
45 (30%) |
19 |
42 % |
83.00 |
-0.55 |
-0.01 |
-1% |
6+ (Undercard) |
70 (46%) |
31 |
44 % |
144.25 |
-10.05 |
-0.14 |
-7% |
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Best Bets: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
13 (9%) |
5 |
38 % |
25.25 |
-6.03 |
-0.46 |
-24% |
Light Heavy |
4 (3%) |
2 |
50 % |
12.00 |
0.25 |
0.06 |
2% |
Middleweight |
19 (13%) |
7 |
37 % |
39.00 |
-7.00 |
-0.37 |
-18% |
Welterweight |
18 (12%) |
7 |
39 % |
39.00 |
-10.32 |
-0.57 |
-26% |
Lightweight |
21 (14%) |
9 |
43 % |
38.75 |
-5.85 |
-0.28 |
-15% |
Featherweight |
16 (11%) |
7 |
44 % |
31.00 |
-3.70 |
-0.23 |
-12% |
Bantamweight |
18 (12%) |
5 |
28 % |
29.50 |
-6.07 |
-0.34 |
-21% |
Flyweight |
6 (4%) |
5 |
83 % |
18.50 |
7.82 |
1.30 |
42% |
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Women's Fights |
37 (24%) |
15 |
41 % |
68.00 |
-5.12 |
-0.14 |
-8% |
Featherweight |
3 (2%) |
2 |
67 % |
6.50 |
3.30 |
1.10 |
51% |
Bantamweight |
13 (9%) |
2 |
15 % |
22.25 |
-14.45 |
-1.11 |
-65% |
Flyweight |
10 (7%) |
8 |
80 % |
18.00 |
14.32 |
1.43 |
80% |
Strawweight |
11 (7%) |
3 |
27 % |
21.25 |
-8.30 |
-0.75 |
-39% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
69 (72%) |
56 |
81 % |
Slight Favorites |
20 (21%) |
9 |
45 % |
Slight Underdogs |
7 (7%) |
3 |
43 % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
96 |
68 |
71 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
8 (3%) |
3 |
38 % |
50-65% |
61 (26%) |
29 |
48 % |
35-50% |
59 (25%) |
23 |
39 % |
<35% chance |
106 (45%) |
20 |
19 % |
|
234 |
75 |
32 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Best Bets's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
ROI % from starting bank balance: -45.15% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Best Bets: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
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1. |
Aug '22 |
Nathan Kelly |
Ben Ellis |
2.75 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (2:45) |
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2. |
Aug '22 |
Matheus Scheffel |
Juan Adams |
2.75 |
0.75 |
TKO, R3 (3:45) |
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3. |
Aug '22 |
Vinicius Salvador |
Shannon Ross |
3.20 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (4:22) |
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4. |
Aug '22 |
Francis Marshall |
Connor Matthews |
1.73 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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5. |
Aug '22 |
Gerald Meerschaert |
Bruno Silva |
3.25 |
1 |
Sub, R3 (1:39) |
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6. |
Jul '22 |
Sergey Pavlovich |
Derrick Lewis |
2.00 |
1.5 |
TKO, R1 (0:55) |
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7. |
Jul '22 |
Joselyne Edwards |
Ji Yeon Kim |
1.80 |
2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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8. |
Jul '22 |
Brandon Moreno |
Kai Kara-France |
1.50 |
4 |
TKO, R3 (4:34) |
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9. |
Jul '22 |
Bill Algeo |
Herbert Burns |
1.62 |
4 |
TKO, R2 (1:50) |
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10. |
Jun '22 |
Caolan Loughran |
Festus Ahorlu |
1.91 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (3:20) |
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11. |
Jun '22 |
Killys Mota |
Dan Moret |
2.35 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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12. |
Jun '22 |
Ryoji Kudo |
Alejandro Flores |
2.55 |
1.5 |
TKO, R1 (2:52) |
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13. |
Jun '22 |
Chris Curtis |
Rodolfo Vieira |
1.67 |
3.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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14. |
Jun '22 |
Jeremiah Wells |
Court McGee |
2.10 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (1:34) |
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15. |
Jun '22 |
Mateusz Gamrot |
Arman Tsarukyan |
3.00 |
2 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
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16. |
Jun '22 |
Natalia Cristina da Silva |
Jasmine Jasudavicius |
3.10 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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17. |
Jul '22 |
Alex Pereira |
Sean Strickland |
1.83 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (2:36) |
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18. |
Jun '22 |
Ode Osbourne |
Zarrukh Adashev |
1.67 |
2.5 |
TKO, R1 (1:1) |
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19. |
Jun '22 |
Jeff Molina |
Zhalgas Zhumagulov |
1.67 |
4 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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20. |
Jun '22 |
Alexander Volkov |
Jairzinho Rozenstruik |
1.63 |
2.5 |
TKO, R1 (2:12) |
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Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
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1. |
Apr '23 |
Jorge Masvidal |
Gilbert Burns |
4.50 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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2. |
Apr '23 |
Alex Pereira |
Israel Adesanya |
2.10 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (4:21) |
No |
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3. |
Sep '22 |
Charles Jourdain |
Nathaniel Wood |
1.70 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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4. |
Aug '22 |
Claudia Leite |
Hailey Cowan |
2.20 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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5. |
Aug '22 |
Claudia Leite |
Hailey Cowan |
2.20 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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6. |
Aug '22 |
Claudia Leite |
Hailey Cowan |
2.25 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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7. |
Aug '22 |
Iasmin Lucindo |
Yazmin Jauregui |
2.75 |
0.75 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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8. |
Aug '22 |
Neiman Gracie |
Goiti Yamauchi |
1.57 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (3:58) |
No |
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9. |
Aug '22 |
Dominick Cruz |
Marlon Vera |
3.00 |
1 |
TKO, R4 (2:17) |
No |
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10. |
Aug '22 |
Augusto Sakai |
Sergey Spivak |
4.00 |
0.5 |
TKO, R2 (3:42) |
No |
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11. |
Aug '22 |
Augusto Sakai |
Sergey Spivak |
3.50 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (3:42) |
No |
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12. |
Aug '22 |
Charlie Campbell |
Chris Duncan (2) |
1.67 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (1:43) |
No |
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13. |
Aug '22 |
Dominick Cruz |
Marlon Vera |
2.63 |
2 |
TKO, R4 (2:17) |
No |
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14. |
Aug '22 |
Jason Witt |
Josh Quinlan |
2.85 |
1.25 |
TKO, R1 (2:9) |
No |
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15. |
Aug '22 |
Stephanie Egger |
Mayra Bueno Silva |
2.50 |
2 |
Sub, R1 (1:17) |
No |
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16. |
Jul '22 |
Julianna Pena |
Amanda Nunes |
3.25 |
0.5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
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17. |
Jul '22 |
Julianna Pena |
Amanda Nunes |
3.40 |
1 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
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18. |
Jul '22 |
Sidney Outlaw |
Tofiq Musayev |
2.30 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (0:27) |
No |
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19. |
Jul '22 |
Da Un Jung |
Dustin Jacoby |
1.91 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (3:13) |
No |
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20. |
Jul '22 |
Rafael dos Anjos |
Rafael Fiziev |
2.90 |
2 |
TKO, R5 (0:18) |
No |
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* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Best Bets: Progress Chart |
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