MMA Handicapper Directory
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MMA Handicapper Stats: mystic MMA

mystic MMA (mystic-MMA)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	40 (40%)	Right	12 (50%)	Right	19 (32%)	Right	9 (60%)
Wrong	59 (60%)	Wrong	12 (50%)	Wrong	41 (68%)	Wrong	6 (40%)
Avg Odds	2.32	Avg Odds	1.94	Avg Odds	2.58	Avg Odds	2.15
Units Bet	117.7	Units Bet	32.2	Units Bet	61.0	Units Bet	24.6
Avg Bet	1.19	Avg Bet	1.34	Avg Bet	1.02	Avg Bet	1.64
Units Profit	-0.45	Units Profit	0.14	Units Profit	-11.58	Units Profit	11.00
ROI %	-0%	ROI %	0%	ROI %	-19%	ROI %	45%

mystic MMA: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
20th Nov '21	UFC FN	9.62	-4.2	-44%	0.3 / 5.15 (5%)	-3.2 / 3.22 (-100%)	-1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)
6th Nov '21	UFC 268	12.65	-6.3	-50%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-5.3 / 11.65 (-46%)
30th Oct '21	UFC 267	8.5	2.9	34%		-1.9 / 4.5 (-42%)	4.8 / 4 (119%)
23rd Oct '21	UFC FN	5.45	5.2	95%	1.5 / 1.95 (77%)	2.2 / 2 (110%)	1.5 / 1.5 (98%)
23rd Oct '21	Bellator 269	1.5	-1.5	-100%			-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
16th Oct '21	Bellator 268	1.5	2.2	146%			2.2 / 1.5 (146%)
16th Oct '21	UFC FN	8.5	-6.0	-71%	-2.3 / 2.25 (-100%)	-2.3 / 4.75 (-48%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
9th Oct '21	UFC FN	5.38	1.7	32%		-0.2 / 3.1 (-8%)	2.0 / 2.28 (87%)
2nd Oct '21	UFC FN	10.56	0.9	9%	1.5 / 5.35 (28%)	-0.6 / 5.21 (-11%)
25th Sep '21	UFC 266	12.28	0.1	1%	1.9 / 3 (64%)	-3.9 / 7.28 (-53%)	2.1 / 2 (105%)
18th Sep '21	Bellator 266: Davis vs. Romero	3.06	-3.1	-100%			-3.1 / 3.06 (-100%)
18th Sep '21	UFC FN	8.36	3.2	38%	2.3 / 5.66 (40%)	0.9 / 2.7 (33%)
4th Sep '21	UFC FN	3.82	-1.9	-50%		-1.9 / 3.82 (-50%)
28th Aug '21	UFC FN	5.55	-3.7	-66%	-2.8 / 2.8 (-100%)	-0.9 / 2.75 (-31%)
27th Aug '21	LFA 114	1.5	2.3	154%			2.3 / 1.5 (154%)
21st Aug '21	UFC FN	6.5	0.3	4%	-0.2 / 2 (-8%)	1.4 / 3.5 (41%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
13th Aug '21	PFL 2021 #7: Playoffs	2	2.0	102%			2.0 / 2 (102%)
7th Aug '21	UFC 265	11	5.4	49%	-1.1 / 3 (-37%)	4.1 / 6.5 (63%)	2.4 / 1.5 (161%)

Winning Events: 11 (61%)
Losing Events: 7 (39%)

Average Staked Per Event: 6.54 units
Most Staked On One Event: 12.65 units
Best Event: 5.41 units
Worst Event: -6.35 units
Average Event: -0.02 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 10.05
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -10.54

mystic MMA: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2021	117.73	-0.4	-0%	0.1 / 32.16 (0%)		11.0 / 24.59 (45%)	11 / 7 (61%)	-0.02

mystic MMA: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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mystic MMA: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	111.23	-5.5	-5%	0.1 / 32.16 (0%)	-11.6 / 60.98 (-19%)	5.9 / 18.09 (33%)
Bellator	3	0.7	23%			0.7 / 3 (23%)
PFL	2	2.0	102%			2.0 / 2 (102%)
Other	1.5	2.3	154%			2.3 / 1.5 (154%)

mystic MMA: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%
Slight Favorites	16 (67%)	10	63 %	24.16	3.64	0.23	15%
Slight Underdogs	7 (29%)	2	29 %	7.00	-2.50	-0.36	-36%
Big Underdogs	1 (4%)	0	0 %	1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	4 (17%)	2	50 %	7.75	0.59	0.15	8%
Co-Main Event	2 (8%)	1	50 %	2.00	-0.12	-0.06	-6%
Position 3-5	6 (25%)	3	50 %	8.49	-0.95	-0.16	-11%
6+ (Undercard)	12 (50%)	6	50 %	13.92	0.62	0.05	4%

mystic MMA: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	1 (4%)		0 %	1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-100%
Light Heavy	1 (4%)	1	100 %	2.00	1.43	1.43	71%
Middleweight	2 (8%)		0 %	2.00	-2.00	-1.00	-100%
Welterweight	3 (13%)	1	33 %	4.25	-0.80	-0.27	-19%
Lightweight	4 (17%)	4	100 %	4.15	4.35	1.09	105%
Featherweight	4 (17%)	1	25 %	6.50	-1.59	-0.40	-24%
Bantamweight	2 (8%)	1	50 %	3.00	-1.12	-0.56	-37%

Women's Fights	7 (29%)	4	57 %	9.26	0.87	0.12	9%
Featherweight	1 (4%)		0 %	1.25	-1.25	-1.25	-100%
Bantamweight	1 (4%)	1	100 %	1.27	1.00	1.00	79%
Flyweight	3 (13%)	2	67 %	3.59	1.00	0.33	28%
Strawweight	2 (8%)	1	50 %	3.15	0.12	0.06	4%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	32 (84%)	28	88 %
Slight Favorites	6 (16%)	3	50 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	38	31	82 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	5 (8%)	5	100 %
50-65%	21 (32%)	10	48 %
35-50%	18 (27%)	6	33 %
<35% chance	22 (33%)	4	18 %
	66	25	38 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	3 (5%)	3	100 %	1.70	1.93	1.54	2.2 (72%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	19 (29%)	10	53 %	1.85	3.80	1.26	-1.6 (-9%)
Goes to Decision	2 (3%)	0	0 %	1.71	1.78	1.65	-2.0 (-100%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X	1 (2%)	0	0 %	1.82	1.82	1.82	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO	6 (9%)	1	17 %	2.97	7.00	2.05	-0.8 (-13%)
X Wins by Sub	9 (14%)	1	11 %	5.84	21.00	2.90	-6.1 (-68%)
X Wins by Decision	4 (6%)	1	25 %	3.07	7.00	2.25	-1.5 (-39%)
X Wins Inside Distance	11 (17%)	5	45 %	2.08	3.40	1.42	1.5 (13%)
X Wins in Round X	6 (9%)	0	0 %	10.65	25.25	5.00	-6.0 (-100%)
Others	5 (8%)	4	80 %	1.53	2.40	1.20	0.7 (14%)
	66	25	38 %	2.38			-14.8 (-22%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail mystic MMA's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
7th Aug	UFC 265	11	5.4	49%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,054.07
13th Aug	PFL 2021 #7: Playoffs	2	2.0	102%		$10.54	$1,054.07	$1,075.65
21st Aug	UFC FN	6.5	0.3	4%		$10.76	$1,075.65	$1,078.63
27th Aug	LFA 114	1.5	2.3	154%		$10.79	$1,078.63	$1,103.59
28th Aug	UFC FN	5.55	-3.7	-66%		$11.04	$1,103.59	$1,063.23
4th Sep	UFC FN	3.82	-1.9	-50%		$10.63	$1,063.23	$1,043.09
18th Sep	UFC FN	8.36	3.2	38%		$10.43	$1,043.09	$1,076.25
18th Sep	Bellator 266: Davis vs. Romero	3.06	-3.1	-100%		$10.76	$1,076.25	$1,043.32
25th Sep	UFC 266	12.28	0.1	1%		$10.43	$1,043.32	$1,044.72
2nd Oct	UFC FN	10.56	0.9	9%		$10.45	$1,044.72	$1,054.33
9th Oct	UFC FN	5.38	1.7	32%		$10.54	$1,054.33	$1,072.69
16th Oct	UFC FN	8.5	-6.0	-71%		$10.73	$1,072.69	$1,007.80
16th Oct	Bellator 268	1.5	2.2	146%		$10.08	$1,007.80	$1,029.87
23rd Oct	Bellator 269	1.5	-1.5	-100%		$10.30	$1,029.87	$1,014.42
23rd Oct	UFC FN	5.45	5.2	95%		$10.14	$1,014.42	$1,066.92
30th Oct	UFC 267	8.5	2.9	34%		$10.67	$1,066.92	$1,097.59
6th Nov	UFC 268	12.65	-6.3	-50%		$10.98	$1,097.59	$1,027.91
20th Nov	UFC FN	9.62	-4.2	-44%		$10.28	$1,027.91	$984.77

ROI % from starting bank balance: -1.52% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

mystic MMA: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Nov '21	Lupita Godinez	Loma Lookboonmee	1.64	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Nov '21	Rafa Garcia	Natan Levy	1.87	1.15	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Oct '21	Francisco Trinaldo	Dwight Grant	1.77	1.95	Split Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Oct '21	Stephanie Egger	Shanna Young	1.74	1.35	TKO, R2 (2:22)
5.	Oct '21	Jamie Mullarkey	Devonte Smith	2.35	1	TKO, R2 (2:51)
6.	Oct '21	Jared Gordon	Joe Solecki	2.15	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Sep '21	Alex Volkanovski	Brian Ortega	1.64	3	U Decision (5 rounds)
8.	Sep '21	Raquel Pennington	Pannie Kianzad	1.79	1.27	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Sep '21	Ariane Lipski	Mandy Bohm	1.81	1.24	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Sep '21	Anthony Smith	Ryan Spann	1.71	2	Sub, R1 (3:47)
11.	Aug '21	Vinc Pichel	Austin Hubbard	1.85	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Aug '21	Jose Aldo	Pedro Munhoz	1.88	1	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Nov '21	Tucker Lutz	Pat Sabatini	2.05	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Nov '21	Michael Chiesa	Sean Brady	2.45	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Nov '21	Gian Villante	Chris Barnett	2.04	1	TKO, R2 (2:23)	No
4.	Oct '21	Andrew Sanchez	Bruno Silva	2.35	1	TKO, R3 (2:35)	No
5.	Oct '21	Aspen Ladd	Norma Dumont	1.80	1.25	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
6.	Oct '21	Antonina Shevchenko	Casey O'Neill	2.95	1	TKO, R2 (4:47)	No
7.	Oct '21	Misha Cirkunov	Krzysztof Jotko	2.26	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Sep '21	Emily Whitmire	Hannah Goldy	1.87	1.15	Sub, R1 (4:17)	No
9.	Aug '21	Kevin Lee	Daniel Rodriguez	1.77	1.3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Aug '21	Edson Barboza	Giga Chikadze	1.86	1.5	TKO, R3 (1:44)	No
11.	Aug '21	Luis Saldana	Austin Lingo	1.89	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Aug '21	Casey Kenney	Yadong Song	1.93	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

mystic MMA: Progress Chart

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