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MMA Handicapper Stats: Alpha Male Bets |
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Alpha Male Bets : Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
| Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
| 6th Nov '21 |
UFC 268 |
23 |
-9.7 |
-42% |
-9.7 / 23 (-42%) |
|
|
| 25th Sep '21 |
UFC 266 |
21 |
3.1 |
15% |
3.1 / 21 (15%) |
|
|
| 18th Sep '21 |
UFC FN |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
|
|
| 8th Sep '21 |
DWCS 2021: Week 2 |
13 |
-13.0 |
-100% |
-13.0 / 13 (-100%) |
|
|
| 4th Sep '21 |
UFC FN |
34 |
3.2 |
9% |
3.2 / 34 (9%) |
|
|
| 28th Aug '21 |
UFC FN |
33 |
1.8 |
5% |
6.8 / 28 (24%) |
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
|
| 27th Aug '21 |
PFL 2021 #9: Playoffs |
23 |
2.1 |
9% |
2.1 / 23 (9%) |
|
|
| 21st Aug '21 |
UFC FN |
37 |
-14.0 |
-38% |
-14.0 / 37 (-38%) |
|
|
| 20th Aug '21 |
Bellator 265 |
15 |
6.3 |
42% |
6.3 / 15 (42%) |
|
|
| 19th Aug '21 |
PFL 2021 #8: Playoffs |
10 |
6.3 |
63% |
6.3 / 10 (63%) |
|
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| 13th Aug '21 |
Bellator 264 |
10 |
-10.0 |
-100% |
-10.0 / 10 (-100%) |
|
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| 13th Aug '21 |
PFL 2021 #7: Playoffs |
11 |
-0.5 |
-5% |
-0.5 / 11 (-5%) |
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| 7th Aug '21 |
UFC 265 |
36 |
30.9 |
86% |
27.5 / 31 (89%) |
3.4 / 5 (67%) |
|
| 24th Jul '21 |
UFC FN |
33 |
-2.9 |
-9% |
3.1 / 27 (11%) |
|
-6.0 / 6 (-100%) |
| 17th Jul '21 |
UFC FN |
27 |
20.0 |
74% |
16.9 / 21 (80%) |
|
3.2 / 6 (53%) |
| 26th Jun '21 |
UFC FN |
15 |
10.9 |
72% |
7.3 / 10 (73%) |
|
3.5 / 5 (70%) |
Winning Events: 9 (56%)
Losing Events: 7 (44%)
Average Staked Per Event: 21.63 units
Most Staked On One Event: 37.00 units
Best Event: 30.90 units
Worst Event: -13.98 units
Average Event: 1.83 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 30.90
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -18.00 |
Alpha Male Bets : Year on Year Profit |
| Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
| 2021 |
346 |
29.3 |
8% |
30.2 / 319 (9%) |
|
0.7 / 17 (4%) |
9 / 7 (56%) |
1.83 |
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Alpha Male Bets : Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Alpha Male Bets : Profit / Loss by Organization |
| Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
|
UFC |
264 |
38.2 |
14% |
39.2 / 237 (17%) |
-1.6 / 10 (-16%) |
0.7 / 17 (4%) |
|
Bellator |
25 |
-3.7 |
-15% |
-3.7 / 25 (-15%) |
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|
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PFL |
44 |
7.8 |
18% |
7.8 / 44 (18%) |
|
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| Other |
13 |
-13.0 |
-100% |
-13.0 / 13 (-100%) |
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Alpha Male Bets : Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Big Favorites |
7 (12%) |
4 |
57 % |
48.00 |
-9.72 |
-1.39 |
-20% |
| Slight Favorites |
16 (28%) |
13 |
81 % |
100.00 |
42.35 |
2.65 |
42% |
| Slight Underdogs |
28 (49%) |
12 |
43 % |
141.00 |
-5.75 |
-0.21 |
-4% |
| Big Underdogs |
6 (11%) |
2 |
33 % |
30.00 |
3.35 |
0.56 |
11% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Main Event |
10 (18%) |
5 |
50 % |
53.00 |
-0.34 |
-0.03 |
-1% |
| Co-Main Event |
7 (12%) |
2 |
29 % |
35.00 |
-13.05 |
-1.86 |
-37% |
| Position 3-5 |
20 (35%) |
10 |
50 % |
114.00 |
1.65 |
0.08 |
1% |
| 6+ (Undercard) |
20 (35%) |
14 |
70 % |
117.00 |
41.97 |
2.10 |
36% |
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Alpha Male Bets : Profit by Weight Class |
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Heavyweight |
5 (9%) |
4 |
80 % |
25.00 |
22.60 |
4.52 |
90% |
| Light Heavy |
6 (11%) |
3 |
50 % |
36.00 |
-1.88 |
-0.31 |
-5% |
| Middleweight |
9 (16%) |
5 |
56 % |
52.00 |
4.74 |
0.53 |
9% |
| Welterweight |
5 (9%) |
3 |
60 % |
25.00 |
6.30 |
1.26 |
25% |
| Lightweight |
7 (12%) |
3 |
43 % |
41.00 |
-7.71 |
-1.10 |
-19% |
| Featherweight |
9 (16%) |
4 |
44 % |
51.00 |
-2.94 |
-0.33 |
-6% |
| Bantamweight |
7 (12%) |
5 |
71 % |
40.00 |
8.97 |
1.28 |
22% |
| Flyweight |
3 (5%) |
1 |
33 % |
18.00 |
-0.90 |
-0.30 |
-5% |
| |
|
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|
|
|
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| Women's Fights |
6 (11%) |
3 |
50 % |
31.00 |
1.05 |
0.17 |
3% |
| Flyweight |
4 (7%) |
2 |
50 % |
21.00 |
0.05 |
0.01 |
0% |
| Strawweight |
2 (4%) |
1 |
50 % |
10.00 |
1.00 |
0.50 |
10% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| Big Favorites |
6 (100%) |
5 |
83 % |
| Slight Favorites |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
| Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
| Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
6 |
5 |
83 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| >65% chance |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
| 50-65% |
2 (100%) |
1 |
50 % |
| 35-50% |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
| <35% chance |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
2 |
1 |
50 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
| Prop Type |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Avg
Odds |
Longest
Odds |
Shortest
Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
| X Wins by KO |
1 (50%) |
0 |
0 % |
1.57 |
1.57 |
1.57 |
-1.0 (-100%) |
| Others |
1 (50%) |
1 |
100 % |
1.67 |
1.67 |
1.67 |
0.7 (67%) |
|
2 |
1 |
50 % |
1.62 |
|
|
-0.3 (-16%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Alpha Male Bets 's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
| 26th Jun |
UFC FN |
15 |
10.9 |
72% |
$10 |
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,098.62 |
| 17th Jul |
UFC FN |
27 |
20.0 |
74% |
|
$10.99 |
$1,098.62 |
$1,318.75 |
| 24th Jul |
UFC FN |
33 |
-2.9 |
-9% |
|
$13.19 |
$1,318.75 |
$1,279.84 |
| 7th Aug |
UFC 265 |
36 |
30.9 |
86% |
|
$12.80 |
$1,279.84 |
$1,675.32 |
| 13th Aug |
PFL 2021 #7: Playoffs |
11 |
-0.5 |
-5% |
|
$16.75 |
$1,675.32 |
$1,666.94 |
| 13th Aug |
Bellator 264 |
10 |
-10.0 |
-100% |
|
$16.67 |
$1,666.94 |
$1,500.24 |
| 19th Aug |
PFL 2021 #8: Playoffs |
10 |
6.3 |
63% |
|
$15.00 |
$1,500.24 |
$1,594.01 |
| 20th Aug |
Bellator 265 |
15 |
6.3 |
42% |
|
$15.94 |
$1,594.01 |
$1,693.64 |
| 21st Aug |
UFC FN |
37 |
-14.0 |
-38% |
|
$16.94 |
$1,693.64 |
$1,456.87 |
| 27th Aug |
PFL 2021 #9: Playoffs |
23 |
2.1 |
9% |
|
$14.57 |
$1,456.87 |
$1,486.88 |
| 28th Aug |
UFC FN |
33 |
1.8 |
5% |
$10 |
$14.87 |
$1,486.88 |
$1,503.79 |
| 4th Sep |
UFC FN |
34 |
3.2 |
9% |
$10 |
$15.04 |
$1,503.79 |
$1,541.46 |
| 8th Sep |
DWCS 2021: Week 2 |
13 |
-13.0 |
-100% |
$10 |
$15.41 |
$1,541.46 |
$1,331.07 |
| 18th Sep |
UFC FN |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
$10 |
$13.31 |
$1,331.07 |
$1,254.52 |
| 25th Sep |
UFC 266 |
21 |
3.1 |
15% |
$10 |
$12.55 |
$1,254.52 |
$1,283.16 |
| 6th Nov |
UFC 268 |
23 |
-9.7 |
-42% |
$10 |
$12.83 |
$1,283.16 |
$1,148.44 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 14.84% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Alpha Male Bets : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
| |
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
| 1. |
Nov '21 |
 Nassourdine Imavov |
Edmen Shahbazyan |
1.66 |
8 |
TKO, R2 (4:42) |
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|
| 2. |
Sep '21 |
Merab Dvalishvili |
Marlon Moraes |
1.44 |
8 |
TKO, R2 (4:25) |
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| 3. |
Sep '21 |
Alex Volkanovski |
Brian Ortega |
1.57 |
8 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
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| 4. |
Sep '21 |
Paddy Pimblett |
Luigi Vendramini |
1.66 |
8 |
TKO, R1 (4:25) |
|
|
| 5. |
Sep '21 |
Marc-Andre Barriault |
Dalcha Lungiambula |
1.58 |
8 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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|
| 6. |
Aug '21 |
Marthin Hamlet |
Cezar Ferreira |
1.57 |
8 |
TKO, R1 (0:13) |
|
|
| 7. |
Aug '21 |
Chris Wade |
Bubba Jenkins |
2.50 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 8. |
Aug '21 |
Dustin Jacoby |
Darren Stewart |
1.57 |
8 |
TKO, R1 (3:4) |
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| 9. |
Aug '21 |
Pat Sabatini |
Jamall Emmers |
2.20 |
5 |
Sub, R1 (1:53) |
|
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| 10. |
Sep '21 |
Derek Brunson |
Darren Till |
2.25 |
5 |
Sub, R3 (2:13) |
|
|
| 11. |
Aug '21 |
Ramiz Brahimaj |
Sasha Palatnikov |
1.67 |
6 |
Sub, R1 (2:33) |
|
|
| 12. |
Aug '21 |
Parker Porter |
Chase Sherman |
2.60 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 13. |
Aug '21 |
Mike Hamel |
Bryce Logan |
2.25 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 14. |
Aug '21 |
Cheick Kongo |
Sergei Kharitonov |
2.00 |
5 |
Sub, R2 (4:59) |
|
|
| 15. |
Aug '21 |
Ante Delija |
Denis Goltsov |
3.25 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 16. |
Aug '21 |
Daniel Rodriguez |
Kevin Lee |
2.25 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
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| 17. |
Aug '21 |
Ray Cooper III |
Rory MacDonald |
2.10 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 18. |
Aug '21 |
Melissa Gatto |
Victoria Leonardo |
1.91 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (5:0) |
|
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| 19. |
Aug '21 |
Miles Johns |
Anderson dos Santos |
1.50 |
6 |
TKO, R3 (1:16) |
|
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| 20. |
Aug '21 |
Jessica Penne |
Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
2.20 |
5 |
Sub, R1 (4:32) |
|
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Last 20 Losses
| |
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
| 1. |
Sep '21 |
Bruno Korea |
Carlos Vergara |
1.50 |
8 |
TKO, R1 (0:41) |
No |
|
|
| 2. |
Sep '21 |
Mario Sousa |
Chidi Njokuani |
1.80 |
5 |
TKO, R3 (1:35) |
No |
|
|
| 3. |
Nov '21 |
Weili Zhang |
Rose Namajunas |
2.00 |
5 |
Split Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 4. |
Nov '21 |
Michael Chandler |
Justin Gaethje |
2.50 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 5. |
Nov '21 |
Colby Covington |
Kamaru Usman |
3.40 |
5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 6. |
Sep '21 |
Ryan Spann |
Anthony Smith |
2.50 |
5 |
Sub, R1 (3:47) |
No |
|
|
| 7. |
Sep '21 |
Sergey Spivak |
Tom Aspinall |
3.00 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (2:30) |
No |
|
|
| 8. |
Sep '21 |
Cynthia Calvillo |
Jessica Andrade |
3.25 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (4:54) |
No |
|
|
| 9. |
Sep '21 |
Charles Jourdain |
Julian Erosa |
1.53 |
8 |
Sub, R3 (2:56) |
No |
|
|
| 10. |
Aug '21 |
Sam Alvey |
Wellington Turman |
2.00 |
5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 11. |
Aug '21 |
Jason Knight |
Bobby Moffett |
2.20 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 12. |
Aug '21 |
Brendan Loughnane |
Movlid Khaybulaev |
2.20 |
5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 13. |
Aug '21 |
Edson Barboza |
Giga Chikadze |
2.00 |
5 |
TKO, R3 (1:44) |
No |
|
|
| 14. |
Aug '21 |
Austin Hubbard |
Vinc Pichel |
2.00 |
6 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 15. |
Aug '21 |
Fabio Cherant |
William Knight |
2.37 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (3:58) |
No |
|
|
| 16. |
Aug '21 |
Brandon Royval |
Alexandre Pantoja |
2.50 |
5 |
Sub, R2 (1:46) |
No |
|
|
| 17. |
Aug '21 |
Clay Guida |
Mark O. Madsen |
2.30 |
5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 18. |
Aug '21 |
Keith Lee |
Jornel Lugo |
2.40 |
5 |
Sub, R1 (5:0) |
No |
|
|
| 19. |
Aug '21 |
Jamelle Jones |
Bruno Cappelozza |
2.65 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (1:33) |
No |
|
|
| 20. |
Aug '21 |
Clay Collard |
Raush Manfio |
1.52 |
6 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Alpha Male Bets : Progress Chart |
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