MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6424
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2371

MMA Handicapper Stats: MMA Goat

MMA Goat (MMAGoat)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	144 (45%)	Right	80 (49%)	Right	49 (40%)	Right	15 (38%)
Wrong	179 (55%)	Wrong	83 (51%)	Wrong	72 (60%)	Wrong	24 (62%)
Avg Odds	2.41	Avg Odds	1.98	Avg Odds	2.79	Avg Odds	4.72
Units Bet	1,136.4	Units Bet	659.0	Units Bet	328.0	Units Bet	149.4
Avg Bet	3.52	Avg Bet	4.04	Avg Bet	2.71	Avg Bet	3.83
Units Profit	60.55	Units Profit	-23.41	Units Profit	42.27	Units Profit	41.70
ROI %	5%	ROI %	-4%	ROI %	13%	ROI %	28%

MMA Goat: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
2nd Jul '22	UFC 276	15	-15.0	-100%	-15.0 / 15 (-100%)
4th Jun '22	UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik	16	-1.2	-8%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)	4.8 / 10 (48%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
21st May '22	UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira	15	3.7	25%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)	8.7 / 10 (87%)
7th May '22	UFC 274	45	-9.3	-21%	-3.4 / 20 (-17%)	9.1 / 10 (91%)	-15.0 / 15 (-100%)
30th Apr '22	UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera	10	11.5	115%	11.5 / 10 (115%)
9th Apr '22	UFC 273	26	-9.7	-37%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)	-4.7 / 21 (-23%)
26th Mar '22	UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus	5	5.3	105%	5.3 / 5 (105%)
19th Mar '22	UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall	8	5.2	66%	5.2 / 8 (66%)
5th Mar '22	UFC 272	13	6.0	46%	0.0 / 8 (0%)	6.0 / 5 (120%)
19th Feb '22	UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill	20	-5.5	-27%	-0.5 / 15 (-3%)		-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
12th Feb '22	UFC 271	21	14.5	69%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	2.5 / 3 (83%)	15.0 / 15 (100%)
5th Feb '22	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland	13	17.8	137%		5.7 / 8 (72%)	12.1 / 5 (242%)
22nd Jan '22	UFC 270	36	-3.3	-9%	-8.9 / 18 (-49%)	5.6 / 18 (31%)
15th Jan '22	UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze	20	-4.0	-20%	-2.1 / 10 (-21%)	3.2 / 5 (63%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
18th Dec '21	UFC FN	8	8.6	108%	8.6 / 8 (108%)
11th Dec '21	UFC 269	22	-0.9	-4%	4.1 / 17 (24%)		-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
4th Dec '21	UFC FN	23	-23.0	-100%	-18.0 / 18 (-100%)		-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
20th Nov '21	UFC FN	24.2	15.3	63%	11.6 / 14 (83%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)	8.7 / 5.2 (167%)
13th Nov '21	UFC FN	41	-17.0	-41%	-6.5 / 27 (-24%)	-2.5 / 6 (-42%)	-8.0 / 8 (-100%)
6th Nov '21	UFC 268	53.5	-4.2	-8%	-6.5 / 30 (-22%)	2.3 / 23.5 (10%)
5th Nov '21	Bellator 270	3	-3.0	-100%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
30th Oct '21	UFC 267	40	-7.0	-18%	-3.0 / 33 (-9%)	-4.0 / 7 (-57%)
23rd Oct '21	UFC FN	46	14.9	32%	-0.3 / 17 (-2%)	11.9 / 24 (50%)	3.3 / 5 (66%)
16th Oct '21	UFC FN	28	10.6	38%	15.4 / 16 (96%)	-1.8 / 9 (-20%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
9th Oct '21	UFC FN	15	17.5	117%	7.6 / 10 (76%)		9.9 / 5 (199%)
2nd Oct '21	UFC FN	17	7.0	41%	5.0 / 14 (36%)	1.9 / 3 (65%)
25th Sep '21	UFC 266	56	-0.6	-1%	3.0 / 40 (8%)	-2.6 / 15 (-18%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
22nd Sep '21	DWCS 2021: Week 4	5	-5.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
18th Sep '21	UFC FN	23.5	-17.3	-74%	-9.8 / 16 (-61%)	-7.5 / 7.5 (-100%)
4th Sep '21	UFC FN	11	-8.4	-76%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)	-3.4 / 6 (-57%)
28th Aug '21	UFC FN	5	-5.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
21st Aug '21	UFC FN	20	-1.3	-6%	-1.8 / 10 (-18%)	0.5 / 10 (5%)
7th Aug '21	UFC 265	52	56.1	108%	5.2 / 18 (29%)	1.1 / 19 (6%)	49.8 / 15 (332%)
31st Jul '21	UFC FN	42	-42.0	-100%	-25.0 / 25 (-100%)	-12.0 / 12 (-100%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
24th Jul '21	UFC FN	24.4	-24.4	-100%	-13.0 / 13 (-100%)	-6.0 / 6 (-100%)	-5.4 / 5.4 (-100%)
17th Jul '21	UFC FN	31	28.9	93%	13.0 / 19 (68%)	10.3 / 7 (146%)	5.6 / 5 (113%)
10th Jul '21	UFC 264	35	31.5	90%	12.6 / 27 (47%)	8.0 / 7 (114%)	10.9 / 1 (1,093%)
26th Jun '21	UFC FN	45	-1.5	-3%	-4.4 / 11 (-40%)	5.9 / 24 (25%)	-3.1 / 10 (-31%)
19th Jun '21	UFC FN	41	10.5	26%	7.0 / 21 (33%)	-2.1 / 15 (-14%)	5.6 / 5 (111%)
12th Jun '21	UFC 263	34	-17.1	-50%	0.6 / 10 (6%)	-2.7 / 9 (-30%)	-15.0 / 15 (-100%)
5th Jun '21	UFC FN	23.83	3.1	13%	-0.6 / 15 (-4%)	5.5 / 7 (79%)	-1.8 / 1.83 (-100%)
22nd May '21	UFC FN	10.5	5.5	52%	3.8 / 4 (94%)	0.6 / 5.5 (10%)	1.2 / 1 (116%)
15th May '21	UFC 262	22	5.8	27%	6.8 / 21 (33%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
8th May '21	UFC FN	24	-5.7	-24%	-3.7 / 18 (-21%)	-1.0 / 5 (-20%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
1st May '21	UFC FN	9.5	-0.7	-8%	0.0 / 7 (1%)	-0.8 / 2.5 (-30%)
24th Apr '21	UFC 261	10	-4.5	-45%	-4.5 / 10 (-45%)
17th Apr '21	UFC FN	19	14.5	76%	8.7 / 16 (54%)	5.8 / 3 (193%)
10th Apr '21	UFC FN	10	3.4	34%	4.4 / 9 (49%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)

Winning Events: 22 (46%)
Losing Events: 26 (54%)

Average Staked Per Event: 23.70 units
Most Staked On One Event: 56.00 units
Best Event: 56.05 units
Worst Event: -42.00 units
Average Event: 1.26 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 60.36
Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -66.40

MMA Goat: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2022	263	16.1	6%	-25.8 / 127 (-20%)		1.1 / 46 (2%)	7 / 7 (50%)	1.15
2021	874.43	44.4	5%	2.4 / 532 (0%)		40.6 / 103.43 (39%)	15 / 19 (44%)	1.31

MMA Goat: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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MMA Goat: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	1129.43	68.6	6%	-15.4 / 651 (-2%)	42.3 / 329 (13%)	41.7 / 149.43 (28%)
Bellator	3	-3.0	-100%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
Other	5	-5.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)

MMA Goat: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	24 (13%)	16	67 %	126.00	-13.23	-0.55	-10%
Slight Favorites	64 (36%)	39	61 %	264.00	9.20	0.14	3%
Slight Underdogs	66 (37%)	24	36 %	200.00	-29.89	-0.45	-15%
Big Underdogs	24 (13%)	9	38 %	69.00	10.50	0.44	15%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	23 (13%)	13	57 %	102.00	5.41	0.24	5%
Co-Main Event	21 (12%)	10	48 %	89.00	-9.81	-0.47	-11%
Position 3-5	39 (22%)	16	41 %	146.00	-19.76	-0.51	-14%
6+ (Undercard)	95 (53%)	49	52 %	322.00	0.73	0.01	0%

MMA Goat: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	18 (10%)	9	50 %	62.00	0.32	0.02	1%
Light Heavy	10 (6%)	5	50 %	33.00	-10.42	-1.04	-32%
Middleweight	30 (17%)	19	63 %	115.00	11.91	0.40	10%
Welterweight	25 (14%)	10	40 %	89.00	-25.68	-1.03	-29%
Lightweight	22 (12%)	10	45 %	85.00	-16.21	-0.74	-19%
Featherweight	19 (11%)	6	32 %	67.00	1.00	0.05	1%
Bantamweight	21 (12%)	9	43 %	87.00	-11.80	-0.56	-14%
Flyweight	8 (4%)	6	75 %	35.00	10.94	1.37	31%

Women's Fights	25 (14%)	14	56 %	86.00	16.53	0.66	19%
Featherweight	1 (1%)	1	100 %	3.00	4.14	4.14	138%
Bantamweight	2 (1%)		0 %	3.00	-3.00	-1.50	-100%
Flyweight	11 (6%)	5	45 %	44.00	-7.22	-0.66	-16%
Strawweight	11 (6%)	8	73 %	36.00	22.60	2.05	63%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	92 (56%)	68	74 %
Slight Favorites	58 (35%)	39	67 %
Slight Underdogs	12 (7%)	6	50 %
Big Underdogs	2 (1%)	1	50 %
	164	114	70 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	9 (7%)	6	67 %
50-65%	33 (25%)	23	70 %
35-50%	34 (26%)	14	41 %
<35% chance	56 (42%)	11	20 %
	132	54	41 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	22 (17%)	15	68 %	1.63	2.35	1.33	3.1 (14%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	13 (10%)	9	69 %	1.87	2.40	1.56	4.8 (37%)
Goes to Decision	1 (1%)	1	100 %	1.65	1.65	1.65	0.6 (65%)
Does not go to Decision	3 (2%)	2	67 %	1.69	2.25	1.42	0.7 (22%)
X Wins by KO	21 (16%)	6	29 %	3.56	8.00	2.25	-0.0 (-0%)
X Wins by Sub	4 (3%)	1	25 %	5.77	15.00	4.00	0.0 (0%)
X Wins by Decision	11 (8%)	3	27 %	3.21	5.50	1.74	-3.1 (-28%)
X Wins Inside Distance	26 (20%)	7	27 %	2.41	7.00	1.67	-11.1 (-43%)
X Wins in Round X	16 (12%)	2	13 %	8.59	17.00	2.35	4.0 (25%)
Others	15 (11%)	8	53 %	3.13	31.00	1.50	22.8 (152%)
	132	54	41 %	2.62			21.9 (17%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail MMA Goat's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
10th Apr	UFC FN	10	3.4	34%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,033.77
17th Apr	UFC FN	19	14.5	76%		$10.34	$1,033.77	$1,183.21
24th Apr	UFC 261	10	-4.5	-45%		$11.83	$1,183.21	$1,130.07
1st May	UFC FN	9.5	-0.7	-8%		$11.30	$1,130.07	$1,121.95
8th May	UFC FN	24	-5.7	-24%		$11.22	$1,121.95	$1,057.58
15th May	UFC 262	22	5.8	27%		$10.58	$1,057.58	$1,119.39
22nd May	UFC FN	10.5	5.5	52%		$11.19	$1,119.39	$1,180.75
5th Jun	UFC FN	23.83	3.1	13%		$11.81	$1,180.75	$1,217.02
12th Jun	UFC 263	34	-17.1	-50%		$12.17	$1,217.02	$1,008.80
19th Jun	UFC FN	41	10.5	26%		$10.09	$1,008.80	$1,114.73
26th Jun	UFC FN	45	-1.5	-3%		$11.15	$1,114.73	$1,097.75
10th Jul	UFC 264	35	31.5	90%		$10.98	$1,097.75	$1,443.48
17th Jul	UFC FN	31	28.9	93%		$14.43	$1,443.48	$1,860.23
24th Jul	UFC FN	24.4	-24.4	-100%		$18.60	$1,860.23	$1,406.33
31st Jul	UFC FN	42	-42.0	-100%		$14.06	$1,406.33	$815.67
7th Aug	UFC 265	52	56.1	108%		$8.16	$815.67	$1,272.89
21st Aug	UFC FN	20	-1.3	-6%		$12.73	$1,272.89	$1,256.67
28th Aug	UFC FN	5	-5.0	-100%		$12.57	$1,256.67	$1,193.84
4th Sep	UFC FN	11	-8.4	-76%		$11.94	$1,193.84	$1,093.55
18th Sep	UFC FN	23.5	-17.3	-74%		$10.94	$1,093.55	$904.48
22nd Sep	DWCS 2021: Week 4	5	-5.0	-100%		$9.04	$904.48	$859.25
25th Sep	UFC 266	56	-0.6	-1%		$8.59	$859.25	$854.31
2nd Oct	UFC FN	17	7.0	41%		$8.54	$854.31	$913.68
9th Oct	UFC FN	15	17.5	117%		$9.14	$913.68	$1,073.82
16th Oct	UFC FN	28	10.6	38%		$10.74	$1,073.82	$1,187.91
23rd Oct	UFC FN	46	14.9	32%		$11.88	$1,187.91	$1,364.59
30th Oct	UFC 267	40	-7.0	-18%		$13.65	$1,364.59	$1,268.78
5th Nov	Bellator 270	3	-3.0	-100%		$12.69	$1,268.78	$1,230.71
6th Nov	UFC 268	53.5	-4.2	-8%		$12.31	$1,230.71	$1,178.99
13th Nov	UFC FN	41	-17.0	-41%		$11.79	$1,178.99	$978.91
20th Nov	UFC FN	24.2	15.3	63%		$9.79	$978.91	$1,128.52
4th Dec	UFC FN	23	-23.0	-100%		$11.29	$1,128.52	$868.96
11th Dec	UFC 269	22	-0.9	-4%		$8.69	$868.96	$861.32
18th Dec	UFC FN	8	8.6	108%		$8.61	$861.32	$935.59
15th Jan	UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze	20	-4.0	-20%		$9.36	$935.59	$898.37
22nd Jan	UFC 270	36	-3.3	-9%		$8.98	$898.37	$869.07
5th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland	13	17.8	137%		$8.69	$869.07	$1,024.16
12th Feb	UFC 271	21	14.5	69%		$10.24	$1,024.16	$1,172.24
19th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill	20	-5.5	-27%		$11.72	$1,172.24	$1,108.30
5th Mar	UFC 272	13	6.0	46%		$11.08	$1,108.30	$1,175.14
19th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall	8	5.2	66%		$11.75	$1,175.14	$1,236.83
26th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus	5	5.3	105%		$12.37	$1,236.83	$1,301.76
9th Apr	UFC 273	26	-9.7	-37%		$13.02	$1,301.76	$1,174.84
30th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera	10	11.5	115%		$11.75	$1,174.84	$1,309.95
7th May	UFC 274	45	-9.3	-21%		$13.10	$1,309.95	$1,188.30
21st May	UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira	15	3.7	25%		$11.88	$1,188.30	$1,232.86
4th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik	16	-1.2	-8%		$12.33	$1,232.86	$1,217.59
2nd Jul	UFC 276	15	-15.0	-100%		$12.18	$1,217.59	$1,034.96

ROI % from starting bank balance: 3.50% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

MMA Goat: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	May '22	Blagoy Ivanov	Marcos Rogerio de Lima	1.66	10	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Apr '22	Marlon Vera	Rob Font	2.15	10	U Decision (5 rounds)
3.	Mar '22	Matheus Nicolau	David Dvorak	2.05	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Mar '22	Makwan Amirkhani	Mike Grundy	2.65	5	Sub, R1 (0:57)
5.	Mar '22	Rafael dos Anjos	Renato Moicano	1.61	5	U Decision (5 rounds)
6.	Feb '22	Kyle Daukaus	Jamie Pickett	1.45	10	Sub, R1 (4:59)
7.	Jan '22	Jasmine Jasudavicius	Kay Hansen	3.05	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Dec '21	Belal Muhammad	Stephen Thompson	3.15	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Dec '21	Gerald Meerschaert	Dustin Stoltzfus	1.43	5	Sub, R3 (2:58)
10.	Jan '22	Brandon Royval	Rogerio Bontorin	1.57	5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Dec '21	Geoff Neal	Santiago Ponzinibbio	2.04	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Dec '21	Charles Oliveira	Dustin Poirier	2.45	3	Sub, R3 (1:2)
13.	Dec '21	Kai Kara-France	Cody Garbrandt	2.55	3	TKO, R1 (3:21)
14.	Nov '21	Yilan Sha	Sean Soriano	3.45	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Nov '21	Yilan Sha	Sean Soriano	3.05	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Nov '21	Yadong Song	Julio Arce	1.79	3	TKO, R2 (1:35)
17.	Nov '21	Sean Woodson	Collin Anglin	1.38	5	TKO, R1 (4:30)
18.	Nov '21	Rose Namajunas	Weili Zhang	1.95	3	Split Decision (5 rounds)
19.	Nov '21	Rose Namajunas	Weili Zhang	1.85	5	Split Decision (5 rounds)
20.	Nov '21	Yadong Song	Julio Arce	1.65	5	TKO, R2 (1:35)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Jul '22	Sean Strickland	Alex Pereira	1.80	5	TKO, R1 (2:36)	No
2.	Jul '22	Jessica Eye	Maycee Barber	3.65	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Jul '22	Gabriel Green	Ian Garry	2.71	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Jun '22	Andreas Michailidis	Rinat Fakhretdinov	3.15	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	May '22	Vincent Morales	Jonathan Martinez	2.95	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	May '22	Ariane Carnelossi	Lupita Godinez	2.41	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	May '22	Melissa Gatto	Tracy Cortez	2.46	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Apr '22	Vinc Pichel	Mark O. Madsen	1.83	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Mar '22	Shamil Abdurakhimov	Sergey Pavlovich	3.50	3	TKO, R1 (4:3)	No
10.	Mar '22	Jamie Mullarkey	Jalin Turner	2.45	3	TKO, R2 (0:46)	No
11.	Feb '22	Gabriel Benitez	David Onama	2.40	5	TKO, R1 (4:24)	No
12.	Jan '22	Brandon Moreno	Deiveson Figueiredo	1.59	10	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
13.	Feb '22	Derek Brunson	Jared Cannonier	2.65	3	TKO, R2 (4:29)	No
14.	Jan '22	Ciryl Gane	Francis Ngannou	1.91	5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
15.	Jan '22	Giga Chikadze	Calvin Kattar	1.49	5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
16.	Dec '21	Augusto Sakai	Tai Tuivasa	2.04	3	TKO, R2 (0:26)	No
17.	Dec '21	Brad Riddell	Rafael Fiziev	2.05	3	TKO, R3 (2:20)	No
18.	Dec '21	Rob Font	Jose Aldo	1.72	5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
19.	Dec '21	Dan Ige	Josh Emmett	2.85	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Nov '21	Kyung Ho Kang	Rani Yahya	1.87	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

MMA Goat: Progress Chart

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