|
MMA Handicapper Stats: Cardiff Capper |
|
Cardiff Capper: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 32 (59%) Losing Events: 22 (41%)
Average Staked Per Event: 3.08 units Most Staked On One Event: 11.05 units Best Event: 12.06 units Worst Event: -3.57 units Average Event: 0.27 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 7, Units: 12.36 Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -7.68 |
Cardiff Capper: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2023 |
2 |
-0.9 |
-46% |
-0.4 / 1.5 (-28%) |
|
|
1 / 1 (50%) |
-0.46 |
2022 |
50.5 |
3.9 |
8% |
-1.2 / 21.45 (-5%) |
|
|
15 / 6 (71%) |
0.18 |
2021 |
113.72 |
11.4 |
10% |
8.8 / 46.68 (19%) |
|
-4.2 / 6.5 (-65%) |
16 / 15 (52%) |
0.37 |
|
Cardiff Capper: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
|
Cardiff Capper: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
156.97 |
14.5 |
9% |
8.5 / 61.38 (14%) |
10.2 / 89.09 (11%) |
-4.2 / 6.5 (-65%) |
Bellator |
7.75 |
-0.7 |
-10% |
-0.7 / 7.75 (-10%) |
|
|
PFL |
1.5 |
0.6 |
40% |
-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) |
1.1 / 1 (110%) |
|
|
Cardiff Capper: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
10 (14%) |
5 |
50 % |
21.80 |
-4.87 |
-0.49 |
-22% |
Slight Favorites |
10 (14%) |
8 |
80 % |
16.03 |
4.80 |
0.48 |
30% |
Slight Underdogs |
44 (61%) |
20 |
45 % |
27.55 |
4.94 |
0.11 |
18% |
Big Underdogs |
8 (11%) |
3 |
38 % |
4.25 |
2.36 |
0.30 |
56% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
7 (10%) |
5 |
71 % |
11.10 |
2.32 |
0.33 |
21% |
Co-Main Event |
3 (4%) |
1 |
33 % |
1.50 |
-0.25 |
-0.08 |
-17% |
Position 3-5 |
22 (31%) |
11 |
50 % |
19.60 |
5.39 |
0.25 |
28% |
6+ (Undercard) |
40 (56%) |
19 |
48 % |
37.43 |
-0.23 |
-0.01 |
-1% |
|
Cardiff Capper: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
3 (4%) |
3 |
100 % |
2.50 |
1.80 |
0.60 |
72% |
Light Heavy |
5 (7%) |
4 |
80 % |
4.50 |
3.19 |
0.64 |
71% |
Middleweight |
8 (11%) |
3 |
38 % |
7.75 |
2.39 |
0.30 |
31% |
Welterweight |
9 (13%) |
5 |
56 % |
10.38 |
1.59 |
0.18 |
15% |
Lightweight |
12 (17%) |
4 |
33 % |
12.00 |
-0.58 |
-0.05 |
-5% |
Featherweight |
12 (17%) |
6 |
50 % |
9.95 |
0.79 |
0.07 |
8% |
Bantamweight |
11 (15%) |
4 |
36 % |
11.75 |
-2.20 |
-0.20 |
-19% |
Flyweight |
5 (7%) |
4 |
80 % |
3.30 |
1.70 |
0.34 |
51% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
7 (10%) |
3 |
43 % |
7.50 |
-1.45 |
-0.21 |
-19% |
Featherweight |
1 (1%) |
|
0 % |
1.00 |
-1.00 |
-1.00 |
-100% |
Bantamweight |
1 (1%) |
1 |
100 % |
1.00 |
1.50 |
1.50 |
150% |
Flyweight |
1 (1%) |
1 |
100 % |
0.50 |
0.55 |
0.55 |
110% |
Strawweight |
4 (6%) |
1 |
25 % |
5.00 |
-2.50 |
-0.63 |
-50% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
2 (100%) |
1 |
50 % |
Slight Favorites |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
2 |
1 |
50 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
21 (23%) |
13 |
62 % |
50-65% |
12 (13%) |
5 |
42 % |
35-50% |
37 (40%) |
19 |
51 % |
<35% chance |
23 (25%) |
6 |
26 % |
|
93 |
43 |
46 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Cardiff Capper's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
13th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 187 |
2.05 |
1.2 |
57% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,011.63 |
20th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 188 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.12 |
$1,011.63 |
$991.39 |
28th Mar |
UFC 260 |
3.5 |
-1.4 |
-40% |
|
$9.91 |
$991.39 |
$977.51 |
10th Apr |
UFC FN |
2 |
6.0 |
300% |
|
$9.78 |
$977.51 |
$1,036.16 |
24th Apr |
UFC 261 |
3.12 |
1.6 |
51% |
|
$10.36 |
$1,036.16 |
$1,052.79 |
8th May |
UFC FN |
4.71 |
-2.1 |
-45% |
|
$10.53 |
$1,052.79 |
$1,030.49 |
15th May |
UFC 262 |
1.9 |
-1.9 |
-100% |
|
$10.30 |
$1,030.49 |
$1,010.91 |
21st May |
Bellator 259 |
3.5 |
-3.5 |
-100% |
|
$10.11 |
$1,010.91 |
$975.53 |
5th Jun |
UFC FN |
2 |
0.0 |
0% |
|
$9.76 |
$975.53 |
$975.53 |
12th Jun |
UFC 263 |
2.8 |
1.1 |
40% |
|
$9.76 |
$975.53 |
$986.46 |
17th Jul |
UFC FN |
3.5 |
2.4 |
69% |
|
$9.86 |
$986.46 |
$1,010.13 |
24th Jul |
UFC FN |
1 |
1.4 |
135% |
|
$10.10 |
$1,010.13 |
$1,023.77 |
31st Jul |
UFC FN |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.24 |
$1,023.77 |
$1,013.53 |
7th Aug |
UFC 265 |
3 |
2.3 |
75% |
|
$10.14 |
$1,013.53 |
$1,036.44 |
13th Aug |
Bellator 264 |
3.75 |
2.2 |
58% |
|
$10.36 |
$1,036.44 |
$1,059.06 |
21st Aug |
UFC FN |
5.25 |
2.7 |
51% |
|
$10.59 |
$1,059.06 |
$1,087.62 |
28th Aug |
UFC FN |
3.1 |
-3.1 |
-100% |
|
$10.88 |
$1,087.62 |
$1,053.91 |
4th Sep |
UFC FN |
5.5 |
-0.1 |
-3% |
|
$10.54 |
$1,053.91 |
$1,052.43 |
18th Sep |
UFC FN |
7 |
-0.1 |
-2% |
|
$10.52 |
$1,052.43 |
$1,050.96 |
25th Sep |
UFC 266 |
9.15 |
2.3 |
25% |
|
$10.51 |
$1,050.96 |
$1,074.82 |
2nd Oct |
UFC FN |
0.75 |
1.0 |
130% |
|
$10.75 |
$1,074.82 |
$1,085.30 |
9th Oct |
UFC FN |
1 |
0.1 |
13% |
|
$10.85 |
$1,085.30 |
$1,086.65 |
16th Oct |
UFC FN |
2.25 |
-2.3 |
-100% |
|
$10.87 |
$1,086.65 |
$1,062.20 |
23rd Oct |
UFC FN |
3 |
0.4 |
13% |
|
$10.62 |
$1,062.20 |
$1,066.45 |
27th Oct |
PFL 2021 #10: Championships |
1.5 |
0.6 |
40% |
|
$10.66 |
$1,066.45 |
$1,072.85 |
30th Oct |
UFC 267 |
7.89 |
-3.6 |
-45% |
|
$10.73 |
$1,072.85 |
$1,034.53 |
6th Nov |
UFC 268 |
7 |
-3.1 |
-44% |
|
$10.35 |
$1,034.53 |
$1,002.34 |
20th Nov |
UFC FN |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.02 |
$1,002.34 |
$992.32 |
4th Dec |
UFC FN |
5 |
1.8 |
36% |
|
$9.92 |
$992.32 |
$1,010.18 |
11th Dec |
UFC 269 |
3.45 |
-2.4 |
-70% |
|
$10.10 |
$1,010.18 |
$985.94 |
18th Dec |
UFC FN |
11.05 |
12.1 |
109% |
|
$9.86 |
$985.94 |
$1,104.80 |
15th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze |
5.35 |
0.3 |
6% |
|
$11.05 |
$1,104.80 |
$1,108.11 |
22nd Jan |
UFC 270 |
6.1 |
-3.2 |
-53% |
|
$11.08 |
$1,108.11 |
$1,072.25 |
5th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland |
4.75 |
2.4 |
49% |
|
$10.72 |
$1,072.25 |
$1,097.45 |
12th Feb |
UFC 271 |
3 |
-1.9 |
-63% |
|
$10.97 |
$1,097.45 |
$1,076.59 |
26th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev |
0.75 |
1.0 |
130% |
|
$10.77 |
$1,076.59 |
$1,087.09 |
5th Mar |
UFC 272 |
2.2 |
-2.2 |
-100% |
|
$10.87 |
$1,087.09 |
$1,063.18 |
12th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev |
2.1 |
1.8 |
83% |
|
$10.63 |
$1,063.18 |
$1,081.78 |
19th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall |
2 |
2.8 |
138% |
|
$10.82 |
$1,081.78 |
$1,111.53 |
9th Apr |
UFC 273 |
2 |
0.4 |
19% |
|
$11.12 |
$1,111.53 |
$1,115.64 |
30th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera |
1 |
1.1 |
110% |
|
$11.16 |
$1,115.64 |
$1,127.92 |
7th May |
UFC 274 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
125% |
|
$11.28 |
$1,127.92 |
$1,134.96 |
4th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik |
1 |
0.1 |
10% |
|
$11.35 |
$1,134.96 |
$1,136.10 |
11th Jun |
UFC 275 |
0.75 |
0.9 |
125% |
|
$11.36 |
$1,136.10 |
$1,146.75 |
18th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.47 |
$1,146.75 |
$1,135.28 |
2nd Jul |
UFC 276 |
1.25 |
-1.3 |
-100% |
|
$11.35 |
$1,135.28 |
$1,121.09 |
9th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev |
1 |
0.1 |
10% |
|
$11.21 |
$1,121.09 |
$1,122.21 |
16th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez |
5.3 |
3.0 |
57% |
|
$11.22 |
$1,122.21 |
$1,156.03 |
23rd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall |
3.2 |
0.3 |
9% |
|
$11.56 |
$1,156.03 |
$1,159.50 |
3rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa |
3.5 |
-2.4 |
-69% |
|
$11.60 |
$1,159.50 |
$1,131.67 |
10th Sep |
UFC 279 |
2 |
0.2 |
10% |
|
$11.32 |
$1,131.67 |
$1,133.94 |
5th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos |
1.75 |
1.0 |
57% |
|
$11.34 |
$1,133.94 |
$1,145.28 |
4th Feb |
Bellator 290 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
115% |
|
$11.45 |
$1,145.28 |
$1,151.86 |
4th Mar |
UFC 285 |
1.5 |
-1.5 |
-100% |
|
$11.52 |
$1,151.86 |
$1,134.58 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 13.46% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Cardiff Capper: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Feb '23 |
Grant Neal |
Karl Albrektsson |
2.15 |
0.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
2. |
Jul '22 |
Li Jingliang |
Muslim Salikhov |
2.30 |
0.5 |
TKO, R2 (4:38) |
|
|
3. |
Jul '22 |
Emily Ducote |
Jessica Penne |
1.67 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
4. |
Jun '22 |
Jake Matthews |
Andre Fialho |
2.25 |
0.75 |
TKO, R2 (2:24) |
|
|
5. |
May '22 |
Journey Newson |
Fernando Garcia |
2.25 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
6. |
Mar '22 |
Damon Jackson |
Kamuela Kirk |
1.91 |
1.1 |
Sub, R2 (4:42) |
|
|
7. |
Mar '22 |
Tom Aspinall |
Alexander Volkov |
2.00 |
0.5 |
Sub, R1 (3:45) |
|
|
8. |
Mar '22 |
Jack Shore |
Timur Valiev |
2.50 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
9. |
Feb '22 |
Armen Petrosyan |
Gregory Rodrigues |
2.30 |
0.75 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
10. |
Feb '22 |
John Castaneda |
Miles Johns |
2.70 |
0.5 |
Sub, R3 (1:38) |
|
|
11. |
Jan '22 |
Deiveson Figueiredo |
Brandon Moreno |
2.50 |
0.5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
12. |
Jan '22 |
Bill Algeo |
Joanderson Brito |
2.30 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
13. |
Jan '22 |
Calvin Kattar |
Giga Chikadze |
3.00 |
0.5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
14. |
Dec '21 |
Mateusz Gamrot |
Carlos Diego Ferreira |
1.53 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (3:26) |
|
|
15. |
Dec '21 |
Melissa Gatto |
Sijara Eubanks |
2.50 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (0:45) |
|
|
16. |
Dec '21 |
Erin Blanchfield |
Miranda Maverick |
2.10 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
17. |
Dec '21 |
Chris Curtis |
Brendan Allen |
3.80 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (1:58) |
|
|
18. |
Dec '21 |
Claudio Puelles |
Chris Gruetzemacher |
2.00 |
1.5 |
Sub, R3 (3:25) |
|
|
19. |
Nov '21 |
Chris Barnett |
Gian Villante |
2.00 |
0.5 |
TKO, R2 (2:23) |
|
|
20. |
Oct '21 |
Michal Oleksiejczuk |
Shamil Gamzatov |
2.30 |
0.5 |
TKO, R1 (3:31) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Mar '23 |
Jessica Penne |
Tabatha Ricci |
3.40 |
0.5 |
Sub, R2 (2:14) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Mar '23 |
Trevin Jones |
Cody Garbrandt |
2.40 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Sep '22 |
Michal Figlak |
Fares Ziam |
1.50 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Jul '22 |
Makwan Amirkhani |
Jonathan Pearce |
2.70 |
0.5 |
TKO, R2 (4:10) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Jul '22 |
Rafael dos Anjos |
Rafael Fiziev |
2.80 |
0.5 |
TKO, R5 (0:18) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Jul '22 |
Brad Riddell |
Jalin Turner |
2.25 |
0.75 |
Sub, R1 (0:45) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Jun '22 |
Julian Marquez |
Gregory Rodrigues |
2.50 |
0.5 |
TKO, R1 (3:18) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Jun '22 |
Guram Kutateladze |
Damir Ismagulov |
2.30 |
0.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Jun '22 |
Zhalgas Zhumagulov |
Jeff Molina |
2.50 |
0.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Mar '22 |
A.J. Fletcher |
Matt Semelsberger |
2.70 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Mar '22 |
Edson Barboza |
Bryce Mitchell |
2.40 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Mar '22 |
Michal Oleksiejczuk |
Dustin Jacoby |
2.62 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Mar '22 |
Jamie Mullarkey |
Jalin Turner |
2.37 |
0.5 |
TKO, R2 (0:46) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Feb '22 |
Alexander Hernandez |
Renato Moicano |
2.40 |
0.5 |
Sub, R2 (1:23) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Feb '22 |
Mike Trizano |
Hakeem Dawodu |
2.40 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Jan '22 |
Kay Hansen |
Jasmine Jasudavicius |
1.40 |
2.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Jan '22 |
Cody Stamann |
Said Nurmagomedov |
2.70 |
0.5 |
Sub, R1 (0:47) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Jan '22 |
Ramiz Brahimaj |
Court McGee |
1.91 |
1.1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Dec '21 |
Macy Chiasson |
Raquel Pennington |
2.50 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (3:7) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Dec '21 |
Jordan Wright |
Bruno Silva |
3.65 |
0.5 |
TKO, R1 (1:28) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Cardiff Capper: Progress Chart |
|
|
|
|