MMA Handicapper Directory
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MMA Handicapper Stats: The Norseman Bet

The Norseman Bet (TheNorsemanBet)

MMA MHandicapper - The Norseman Bet

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	108 (44%)	Right	42 (48%)	Right	37 (37%)	Right	29 (49%)
Wrong	140 (56%)	Wrong	46 (52%)	Wrong	64 (63%)	Wrong	30 (51%)
Avg Odds	2.36	Avg Odds	2.08	Avg Odds	3.01	Avg Odds	2.03
Units Bet	611.8	Units Bet	240.5	Units Bet	183.8	Units Bet	187.5
Avg Bet	2.47	Avg Bet	2.73	Avg Bet	1.82	Avg Bet	3.18
Units Profit	-0.43	Units Profit	3.31	Units Profit	2.22	Units Profit	-5.96
ROI %	-0%	ROI %	1%	ROI %	1%	ROI %	-3%

The Norseman Bet : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
10th Jun '23	UFC 289	8	7.4	93%	4.0 / 3 (132%)	3.5 / 5 (69%)
18th Mar '23	UFC 286	12.5	5.2	42%	5.2 / 10 (52%)	0.0 / 2.5 (0%)
12th Nov '22	UFC 281	19	0.3	1%	-4.2 / 13 (-32%)	4.4 / 6 (73%)
22nd Oct '22	UFC 280	27	-12.5	-46%	-4.5 / 14 (-32%)	-4.0 / 9 (-44%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
20th Aug '22	UFC 278	2.5	-2.5	-100%	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
23rd Jul '22	UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall	11	-4.0	-36%	-3.0 / 6 (-50%)	-1.0 / 5 (-20%)
11th Jun '22	UFC 275	17	-1.8	-10%	2.9 / 7.5 (39%)	-1.2 / 6 (-20%)	-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
4th Jun '22	UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik	9.5	-9.5	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)		-7.5 / 7.5 (-100%)
21st May '22	UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira	14.5	8.9	61%	0.9 / 4 (23%)	4.7 / 7 (66%)	3.4 / 3.5 (96%)
14th May '22	UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić	8	3.1	39%	1.6 / 3 (54%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	2.5 / 4 (62%)
7th May '22	UFC 274	24.5	13.1	53%	9.8 / 9.5 (103%)	1.0 / 11 (9%)	2.2 / 4 (56%)
16th Apr '22	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II	3	-3.0	-100%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
9th Apr '22	UFC 273	16.5	0.4	2%		-2.2 / 12.5 (-17%)	2.6 / 4 (64%)
12th Mar '22	UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev	3.5	2.1	61%	2.1 / 3.5 (61%)
5th Mar '22	UFC 272	24.5	2.3	9%	0.6 / 13.5 (4%)	-0.5 / 7.5 (-6%)	2.2 / 3.5 (63%)
19th Feb '22	Bellator 274	3.5	-3.5	-100%	-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
12th Feb '22	UFC 271	23	3.5	15%	1.9 / 8 (24%)	-3.4 / 8.5 (-40%)	5.0 / 6.5 (77%)
28th Jan '22	EFC 44	3	-3.0	-100%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
22nd Jan '22	UFC 270	23	12.3	53%	8.2 / 10 (82%)	1.7 / 9.5 (18%)	2.3 / 3.5 (67%)
15th Jan '22	UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze	3	-3.0	-100%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
18th Dec '21	UFC FN	11	6.3	57%	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)	6.1 / 5 (122%)	2.7 / 3.5 (76%)
11th Dec '21	UFC 269	14.5	7.3	50%	1.9 / 3 (65%)	9.8 / 7 (140%)	-4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)
6th Nov '21	UFC 268	16	-4.0	-25%	-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)	-0.4 / 5.5 (-7%)	-0.1 / 7 (-2%)
30th Oct '21	UFC 267	24.75	-1.5	-6%	0.4 / 6.5 (6%)	-4.8 / 14.25 (-34%)	2.9 / 4 (73%)
23rd Oct '21	UFC FN	11	10.0	91%	10.0 / 11 (91%)
25th Sep '21	UFC 266	13	3.5	27%		-2.4 / 8 (-31%)	5.9 / 5 (118%)
28th Aug '21	UFC FN	4	-4.0	-100%	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
7th Aug '21	UFC 265	5.5	1.3	23%	2.8 / 4 (69%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
10th Jul '21	UFC 264	20.5	-2.8	-14%	-1.3 / 7.5 (-17%)	-6.5 / 6.5 (-100%)	4.9 / 6.5 (76%)
12th Jun '21	UFC 263	5	-5.0	-100%			-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
15th May '21	UFC 262	25.5	-14.8	-58%	-15.0 / 20.5 (-73%)	0.2 / 5 (4%)
8th May '21	UFC FN	5	6.1	121%	2.2 / 3.5 (62%)	3.9 / 1.5 (260%)
24th Apr '21	UFC 261	34.5	-14.2	-41%	-0.5 / 5.5 (-9%)	0.0 / 9 (1%)	-13.8 / 20 (-69%)
17th Apr '21	UFC FN	24	0.3	1%	-2.8 / 8 (-35%)	-1.1 / 4.5 (-24%)	4.2 / 11.5 (36%)
10th Apr '21	UFC FN	20.5	1.5	7%	-1.4 / 7 (-20%)	-1.5 / 3.5 (-43%)	4.3 / 10 (43%)
28th Mar '21	UFC 260	15.5	-5.4	-35%	-4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)	2.8 / 2.5 (110%)	-3.6 / 8.5 (-43%)
20th Mar '21	UFC Fight Night 188	20.5	-1.7	-8%	-1.3 / 7.5 (-17%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	0.0 / 12.5 (0%)
13th Mar '21	UFC Fight Night 187	7	-2.4	-35%			-2.4 / 7 (-35%)
6th Mar '21	UFC 259	30.5	-5.9	-19%	5.1 / 5.5 (93%)	0.8 / 6 (14%)	-11.8 / 19 (-62%)
28th Feb '21	UFC Fight Night 186	15.5	2.0	13%	3.4 / 2.5 (137%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	0.1 / 11.5 (1%)
20th Feb '21	UFC Fight Night 185	6.5	12.0	184%	3.0 / 2.5 (120%)	5.0 / 1 (500%)	4.0 / 3 (132%)
24th Jan '21	UFC 257	31	-4.7	-15%	2.5 / 9.5 (27%)	-8.2 / 16.5 (-50%)	1.0 / 5 (21%)

Winning Events: 21 (50%)
Losing Events: 21 (50%)

Average Staked Per Event: 14.71 units
Most Staked On One Event: 34.50 units
Best Event: 13.08 units
Worst Event: -14.81 units
Average Event: -0.01 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 25.10
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -30.22

The Norseman Bet : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2023	20.5	12.7	62%	9.2 / 13 (71%)			2 / (100%)	6.34
2022	236	3.2	1%	-0.6 / 109 (-1%)		5.2 / 44 (12%)	9 / 9 (50%)	0.18
2021	361.25	-16.3	-5%	-5.3 / 118.5 (-5%)		-11.1 / 143.5 (-8%)	10 / 12 (45%)	-0.74

The Norseman Bet : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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The Norseman Bet : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	611.25	6.1	1%	9.8 / 234 (4%)	2.2 / 189.75 (1%)	-6.0 / 187.5 (-3%)
Bellator	3.5	-3.5	-100%	-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
Other	3	-3.0	-100%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)

The Norseman Bet : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	2 (2%)	1	50 %	6.50	-2.00	-1.00	-31%
Slight Favorites	40 (44%)	25	63 %	121.50	2.76	0.07	2%
Slight Underdogs	32 (35%)	13	41 %	75.00	-2.66	-0.08	-4%
Big Underdogs	17 (19%)	6	35 %	37.50	5.21	0.31	14%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	11 (12%)	2	18 %	32.00	-21.73	-1.98	-68%
Co-Main Event	15 (16%)	8	53 %	43.00	15.23	1.02	35%
Position 3-5	23 (25%)	13	57 %	54.00	8.41	0.37	16%
6+ (Undercard)	42 (46%)	22	52 %	111.50	1.40	0.03	1%

The Norseman Bet : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	4 (4%)	1	25 %	11.50	-6.31	-1.58	-55%
Light Heavy	4 (4%)	1	25 %	10.50	-5.67	-1.42	-54%
Middleweight	9 (10%)	4	44 %	24.00	-4.05	-0.45	-17%
Welterweight	11 (12%)	4	36 %	28.50	-8.15	-0.74	-29%
Lightweight	21 (23%)	10	48 %	66.50	-1.62	-0.08	-2%
Featherweight	10 (11%)	5	50 %	25.50	1.16	0.12	5%
Bantamweight	5 (5%)	3	60 %	12.50	3.81	0.76	30%
Flyweight	5 (5%)	4	80 %	9.50	10.38	2.08	109%

Women's Fights	22 (24%)	13	59 %	52.00	13.76	0.63	26%
Featherweight	1 (1%)		0 %	0.50	-0.50	-0.50	-100%
Bantamweight	3 (3%)	2	67 %	9.00	3.33	1.11	37%
Flyweight	7 (8%)	2	29 %	17.50	-7.42	-1.06	-42%
Strawweight	11 (12%)	9	82 %	25.00	18.35	1.67	73%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	57 (92%)	40	70 %
Slight Favorites	5 (8%)	4	80 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	62	44	71 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	50 (30%)	38	76 %
50-65%	29 (17%)	19	66 %
35-50%	30 (18%)	9	30 %
<35% chance	58 (35%)	12	21 %
	167	78	47 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	46 (28%)	34	74 %	1.36	2.75	1.16	-0.7 (-1%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	9 (5%)	9	100 %	1.63	2.10	1.20	6.0 (67%)
Goes to Decision	1 (1%)	1	100 %	1.67	1.67	1.67	0.7 (67%)
Does not go to Decision	9 (5%)	7	78 %	1.53	2.52	1.21	2.4 (27%)
X Wins by KO	24 (14%)	4	17 %	2.74	6.50	1.50	-9.3 (-39%)
X Wins by Sub	25 (15%)	4	16 %	6.00	27.00	2.50	-4.8 (-19%)
X Wins by Decision	11 (7%)	4	36 %	3.25	14.30	1.65	3.3 (30%)
X Wins Inside Distance	22 (13%)	11	50 %	2.39	5.50	1.28	4.2 (19%)
X Wins in Round X	6 (4%)	0	0 %	7.28	22.00	3.60	-6.0 (-100%)
Others	14 (8%)	4	29 %	2.05	11.00	1.40	-4.4 (-31%)
	167	78	47 %	2.11			-8.6 (-5%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail The Norseman Bet 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
24th Jan	UFC 257	31	-4.7	-15%	$2	$10.00	$1,000.00	$951.30
20th Feb	UFC Fight Night 185	6.5	12.0	184%	$2	$9.51	$951.30	$1,063.19
28th Feb	UFC Fight Night 186	15.5	2.0	13%	$2	$10.63	$1,063.19	$1,082.48
6th Mar	UFC 259	30.5	-5.9	-19%	$2	$10.82	$1,082.48	$1,016.81
13th Mar	UFC Fight Night 187	7	-2.4	-35%	$2	$10.17	$1,016.81	$990.25
20th Mar	UFC Fight Night 188	20.5	-1.7	-8%	$2	$9.90	$990.25	$971.42
28th Mar	UFC 260	15.5	-5.4	-35%	$2	$9.71	$971.42	$917.30
10th Apr	UFC FN	20.5	1.5	7%	$2	$9.17	$917.30	$928.75
17th Apr	UFC FN	24	0.3	1%	$2	$9.29	$928.75	$929.40
24th Apr	UFC 261	34.5	-14.2	-41%	$2	$9.29	$929.40	$795.52
8th May	UFC FN	5	6.1	121%	$2	$7.96	$795.52	$841.81
15th May	UFC 262	25.5	-14.8	-58%	$2	$8.42	$841.81	$715.14
12th Jun	UFC 263	5	-5.0	-100%	$2	$7.15	$715.14	$677.38
10th Jul	UFC 264	20.5	-2.8	-14%	$2	$6.77	$677.38	$656.15
7th Aug	UFC 265	5.5	1.3	23%	$2	$6.56	$656.15	$662.41
28th Aug	UFC FN	4	-4.0	-100%	$2	$6.62	$662.41	$633.92
25th Sep	UFC 266	13	3.5	27%	$2	$6.34	$633.92	$653.98
23rd Oct	UFC FN	11	10.0	91%	$2	$6.54	$653.98	$717.24
30th Oct	UFC 267	24.75	-1.5	-6%	$2	$7.17	$717.24	$704.46
6th Nov	UFC 268	16	-4.0	-25%	$2	$7.04	$704.46	$674.19
11th Dec	UFC 269	14.5	7.3	50%	$2	$6.74	$674.19	$721.20
18th Dec	UFC FN	11	6.3	57%	$2	$7.21	$721.20	$764.51
15th Jan	UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze	3	-3.0	-100%	$2	$7.65	$764.51	$739.58
22nd Jan	UFC 270	23	12.3	53%	$2	$7.40	$739.58	$828.46
28th Jan	EFC 44	3	-3.0	-100%	$2	$8.28	$828.46	$801.61
12th Feb	UFC 271	23	3.5	15%	$2	$8.02	$801.61	$827.62
19th Feb	Bellator 274	3.5	-3.5	-100%	$2	$8.28	$827.62	$796.65
5th Mar	UFC 272	24.5	2.3	9%	$2	$7.97	$796.65	$812.76
12th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev	3.5	2.1	61%	$2	$8.13	$812.76	$828.11
9th Apr	UFC 273	16.5	0.4	2%	$2	$8.28	$828.11	$829.24
16th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II	3	-3.0	-100%	$2	$8.29	$829.24	$802.37
7th May	UFC 274	24.5	13.1	53%	$2	$8.02	$802.37	$905.29
14th May	UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić	8	3.1	39%	$2	$9.05	$905.29	$931.44
21st May	UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira	14.5	8.9	61%	$2	$9.31	$931.44	$1,012.48
4th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik	9.5	-9.5	-100%	$2	$10.12	$1,012.48	$914.30
11th Jun	UFC 275	17	-1.8	-10%		$9.14	$914.30	$898.10
23rd Jul	UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall	11	-4.0	-36%	$2	$8.98	$898.10	$860.17
20th Aug	UFC 278	2.5	-2.5	-100%		$8.60	$860.17	$838.67
22nd Oct	UFC 280	27	-12.5	-46%		$8.39	$838.67	$734.25
12th Nov	UFC 281	19	0.3	1%		$7.34	$734.25	$736.16
18th Mar	UFC 286	12.5	5.2	42%		$7.36	$736.16	$774.81
10th Jun	UFC 289	8	7.4	93%		$7.75	$774.81	$832.38

ROI % from starting bank balance: -16.76% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

The Norseman Bet : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Jun '23	Charles Oliveira	Beneil Dariush	2.32	3	TKO, R1 (4:10)
2.	Mar '23	Justin Gaethje	Rafael Fiziev	3.05	5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Nov '22	Renato Moicano	Brad Riddell	1.83	2.5	Sub, R1 (3:20)
4.	Nov '22	Daniel Hooker	Claudio Puelles	1.71	2.5	TKO, R2 (4:6)
5.	Oct '22	Aljamain Sterling	T.J. Dillashaw	1.67	3	TKO, R2 (3:44)
6.	Oct '22	Manon Fiorot	Katlyn Chookagian	1.50	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Jul '22	Jack Hermansson	Chris Curtis	2.00	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Jun '22	Weili Zhang	Joanna Jedrzejczyk	1.66	1	TKO, R2 (2:28)
9.	Jun '22	Jake Matthews	Andre Fialho	2.30	2	TKO, R2 (2:24)
10.	Jun '22	Weili Zhang	Joanna Jedrzejczyk	1.66	2.5	TKO, R2 (2:28)
11.	May '22	Sam Hughes	Elise Reed	2.45	2	TKO, R3 (3:52)
12.	May '22	Virna Jandiroba	Angela Hill	1.54	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	May '22	Carla Esparza	Rose Namajunas	2.98	3	Split Decision (5 rounds)
14.	May '22	Lupita Godinez	Ariane Carnelossi	1.59	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	May '22	Charles Oliveira	Justin Gaethje	1.61	2.5	Sub, R1 (3:22)
16.	Mar '22	Alex Pereira	Bruno Silva	1.61	3.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Mar '22	Tim Elliott	Tagir Ulanbekov	3.05	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Mar '22	Tim Elliott	Tagir Ulanbekov	3.05	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Mar '22	Rafael dos Anjos	Renato Moicano	1.61	4	U Decision (5 rounds)
20.	Feb '22	Jared Cannonier	Derek Brunson	1.69	3	TKO, R2 (4:29)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Mar '23	Rafael Fiziev	Justin Gaethje	3.00	5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Nov '22	Carla Esparza	Weili Zhang	4.10	1.5	Sub, R2 (1:5)	No
3.	Nov '22	Dominick Reyes	Ryan Spann	1.48	3.5	TKO, R1 (1:20)	No
4.	Nov '22	Nick Negumereanu	Carlos Ulberg	2.16	2	TKO, R1 (3:44)	No
5.	Nov '22	Molly McCann	Erin Blanchfield	4.30	1	Sub, R1 (3:37)	No
6.	Oct '22	Mateusz Gamrot	Beneil Dariush	1.54	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Aug '22	Jose Aldo	Merab Dvalishvili	2.20	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Jul '22	Makwan Amirkhani	Jonathan Pearce	2.80	2.5	TKO, R2 (4:10)	No
9.	Oct '22	Charles Oliveira	Islam Makhachev	2.90	5	Sub, R2 (3:16)	No
10.	Jun '22	Glover Teixeira	Jiri Prochazka	2.90	2	Sub, R5 (4:32)	No
11.	Jun '22	Zhalgas Zhumagulov	Jeff Molina	2.65	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Jul '22	Jordan Leavitt	Paddy Pimblett	4.20	2	Sub, R2 (2:46)	No
13.	May '22	Polyana Viana	Tabatha Ricci	2.12	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Apr '22	Vicente Luque	Belal Muhammad	1.61	3	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
15.	Mar '22	Jamie Mullarkey	Jalin Turner	2.38	2	TKO, R2 (0:46)	No
16.	Mar '22	Jorge Masvidal	Colby Covington	3.75	1.5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
17.	Mar '22	Mariya Agapova	Maryna Moroz	1.54	3.5	Sub, R2 (3:27)	No
18.	Feb '22	Neiman Gracie	Logan Storley	1.62	3.5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
19.	Feb '22	Robert Whittaker	Israel Adesanya	3.40	2	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
20.	Jan '22	Tyrone Spong	Sergei Kharitonov	1.59	3	TKO, R2 (2:55)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

The Norseman Bet : Progress Chart

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