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MMA Handicapper Stats: Cuthbert The Cudgel

Cuthbert The Cudgel (Cuthbert)

MMA MHandicapper - Cuthbert The Cudgel

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	12 (39%)	Right	9 (53%)	Right	1 (11%)	Right	2 (40%)
Wrong	19 (61%)	Wrong	8 (47%)	Wrong	8 (89%)	Wrong	3 (60%)
Avg Odds	1.87	Avg Odds	1.82	Avg Odds	1.93	Avg Odds	1.91
Units Bet	94.3	Units Bet	52.7	Units Bet	28.9	Units Bet	12.7
Avg Bet	3.04	Avg Bet	3.10	Avg Bet	3.21	Avg Bet	2.54
Units Profit	-20.18	Units Profit	-5.60	Units Profit	-13.00	Units Profit	-1.58
ROI %	-21%	ROI %	-11%	ROI %	-45%	ROI %	-12%

Cuthbert The Cudgel: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
20th Feb '21	UFC Fight Night 185	11.5	-1.3	-12%	0.2 / 10 (2%)		-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
24th Jan '21	UFC 257	25.2	-5.5	-22%	-3.5 / 7.27 (-49%)	-2.0 / 17.93 (-11%)
16th Jan '21	UFC FN	13	-1.7	-13%	0.4 / 6.8 (6%)		-2.1 / 6.2 (-34%)
19th Dec '20	UFC Vegas 17	22.6	-4.1	-18%	3.9 / 14.6 (27%)	-8.0 / 8 (-100%)
13th Dec '20	UFC 256	22	-7.5	-34%	-6.5 / 14 (-47%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	2.0 / 5 (40%)

Winning Events: 0 (0%)
Losing Events: 5 (100%)

Average Staked Per Event: 18.86 units
Most Staked On One Event: 25.20 units
Best Event: 0.00 units
Worst Event: -7.52 units
Average Event: -4.04 units

Max Win Streak: Events: , Units: 0.00
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -20.18

Cuthbert The Cudgel: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2021	49.7	-8.6	-17%	-3.0 / 24.07 (-12%)	-2.0 / 17.93 (-11%)	-3.6 / 7.7 (-47%)	/ 3 (0%)	-2.85
2020	44.6	-11.6	-26%	-2.6 / 28.6 (-9%)	-11.0 / 11 (-100%)	2.0 / 5 (40%)	/ 2 (0%)	-5.81

Cuthbert The Cudgel: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Cuthbert The Cudgel: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	94.3	-20.2	-21%	-5.6 / 52.67 (-11%)	-13.0 / 28.93 (-45%)	-1.6 / 12.7 (-12%)

Cuthbert The Cudgel: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	3 (17%)	3	100 %	15.60	6.66	2.22	43%
Slight Favorites	8 (44%)	4	50 %	20.00	-5.21	-0.65	-26%
Slight Underdogs	7 (39%)	2	29 %	17.07	-7.05	-1.01	-41%
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	1 (6%)	0	0 %	1.80	-1.80	-1.80	-100%
Co-Main Event	1 (6%)	1	100 %	3.00	4.47	4.47	149%
Position 3-5	2 (11%)	1	50 %	2.00	0.55	0.27	27%
6+ (Undercard)	14 (78%)	7	50 %	45.87	-8.82	-0.63	-19%

Cuthbert The Cudgel: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	1 (6%)	1	100 %	3.00	1.20	1.20	40%
Middleweight	3 (17%)		0 %	4.27	-4.27	-1.42	-100%
Welterweight	1 (6%)	1	100 %	7.60	3.26	3.26	43%
Lightweight	2 (11%)	1	50 %	8.00	-0.53	-0.27	-7%
Featherweight	4 (22%)	2	50 %	13.80	-4.05	-1.01	-29%
Bantamweight	2 (11%)	1	50 %	4.00	-2.18	-1.09	-55%
Flyweight	2 (11%)	1	50 %	5.00	-1.28	-0.64	-26%

Women's Fights	3 (17%)	2	67 %	7.00	2.24	0.75	32%
Bantamweight	1 (6%)		0 %	2.00	-2.00	-2.00	-100%
Flyweight	2 (11%)	2	100 %	5.00	4.24	2.12	85%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	9 (100%)	5	56 %
Slight Favorites	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	9	5	56 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	3 (27%)	0	0 %
50-65%	4 (36%)	1	25 %
35-50%	3 (27%)	0	0 %
<35% chance	1 (9%)	0	0 %
	11	1	9 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	2 (18%)	1	50 %	1.57	1.69	1.46	-0.3 (-16%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	4 (36%)	0	0 %	1.71	2.45	1.50	-4.0 (-100%)
Goes to Decision	1 (9%)	0	0 %	1.90	1.90	1.90	-1.0 (-100%)
Does not go to Decision	1 (9%)	0	0 %	1.36	1.36	1.36	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance	2 (18%)	0	0 %	2.81	3.20	2.50	-2.0 (-100%)
X Wins in Round X	1 (9%)	0	0 %	2.00	2.00	2.00	-1.0 (-100%)
	11	1	9 %	1.81			-9.3 (-85%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Cuthbert The Cudgel's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
13th Dec	UFC 256	22	-7.5	-34%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$924.83
19th Dec	UFC Vegas 17	22.6	-4.1	-18%		$9.25	$924.83	$886.90
16th Jan	UFC FN	13	-1.7	-13%		$8.87	$886.90	$871.90
24th Jan	UFC 257	25.2	-5.5	-22%		$8.72	$871.90	$823.58
20th Feb	UFC Fight Night 185	11.5	-1.3	-12%		$8.24	$823.58	$812.67

ROI % from starting bank balance: -18.73% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Cuthbert The Cudgel: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Feb '21	Casey O'Neill	Shana Dobson	1.61	1	TKO, R2 (3:41)
2.	Feb '21	John Castaneda	Eddie Wineland	1.82	1	TKO, R1 (4:44)
3.	Feb '21	Tom Aspinall	Andrei Arlovski	1.40	3	Sub, R2 (1:9)
4.	Feb '21	Darrick Minner	Charles Rosa	2.55	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Jan '21	Amir Albazi	Zhalgas Zhumagulov	1.86	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Jan '21	Austin Lingo	Jacob Kilburn	1.44	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Dec '20	Anthony Pettis	Alex Morono	1.43	7.6	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Dec '20	Taila Santos	Gillian Robertson	1.91	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Dec '20	Charles Oliveira	Tony Ferguson	2.49	3	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Feb '21	Drako Rodriguez	Aiemann Zahabi	1.54	3	TKO, R1 (3:5)	No
2.	Feb '21	Nassourdine Imavov	Phil Hawes	2.06	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Jan '21	Antonio Carlos Junior	Brad Tavares	2.02	2.27	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Jan '21	Sara McMann	Julianna Pena	1.75	2	Sub, R3 (3:39)	No
5.	Jan '21	Antonio Carlos Junior	Brad Tavares	1.91	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Jan '21	Calvin Kattar	Max Holloway	2.25	1.8	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
7.	Dec '20	Cody Durden	Jimmy Flick	2.31	3	Sub, R1 (3:18)	No
8.	Dec '20	Renato Moicano	Rafael Fiziev	2.17	5	TKO, R1 (4:5)	No
9.	Dec '20	Daniel Pineda	Cub Swanson	1.61	6	TKO, R2 (1:52)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Cuthbert The Cudgel: Progress Chart

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