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MMA Handicapper Stats: Z W

Z W (ZWoodsMMA)
Mixed Martial Arts Management - Z W

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays
Right 96 (44%) Right 33 (42%) Right 44 (43%) Right 19 (51%)
Wrong 122 (56%) Wrong 46 (58%) Wrong 58 (57%) Wrong 18 (49%)
Avg Odds 2.28 Avg Odds 1.99 Avg Odds 2.61 Avg Odds 2.18
Units Bet 195.8 Units Bet 93.4 Units Bet 59.9 Units Bet 42.5
Avg Bet 0.90 Avg Bet 1.18 Avg Bet 0.59 Avg Bet 1.15
Units Profit -11.94 Units Profit -22.10 Units Profit 5.95 Units Profit 4.21
ROI % -6% ROI % -24% ROI % 10% ROI % 10%
View Handicapper's Profile

Z W: Event by Event Predictions
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
14th May '22 UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić 4 -0.9 -22% 0.1 / 3 (4%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
7th May '22 UFC 274 2.1 1.2 55% 0.6 / 0.5 (120%) 0.2 / 0.6 (38%) 0.3 / 1 (33%)
30th Apr '22 UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera 3.75 0.6 16% -0.4 / 1.5 (-28%) 0.5 / 1.75 (29%) 0.5 / 0.5 (107%)
23rd Apr '22 UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade 3.25 1.3 41% -0.0 / 3 (-0%) 1.3 / 0.25 (533%)
16th Apr '22 UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II 1.25 -0.2 -18% -0.2 / 1.25 (-18%)
9th Apr '22 UFC 273 5.25 -4.0 -76% -4.5 / 4.5 (-100%) 0.5 / 0.75 (67%)
26th Mar '22 UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus 2.5 -2.5 -100% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
19th Mar '22 UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall 2.75 -0.3 -11% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) 0.7 / 1.75 (40%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
12th Mar '22 UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev 3 2.8 94% 1.2 / 1.5 (77%) 0.6 / 1 (61%) 1.1 / 0.5 (210%)
5th Mar '22 UFC 272 2.5 0.1 3% 0.0 / 1.5 (2%) 0.1 / 1 (5%)
26th Feb '22 UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev 1.25 1.0 80% 1.0 / 1.25 (80%)
5th Feb '22 UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland 6 0.4 7% -0.1 / 1.25 (-10%) -0.4 / 4.25 (-9%) 0.9 / 0.5 (184%)
15th Jan '22 UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze 2 -1.0 -48% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 0.0 / 1 (5%)
16th Oct '21 Bellator 268 2.5 2.8 112% 2.8 / 2.5 (112%)
16th Oct '21 UFC FN 7.75 -2.1 -27% -2.3 / 4.25 (-54%) 0.2 / 3.5 (6%)
2nd Oct '21 UFC FN 3.75 -3.8 -100% -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%) -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
25th Sep '21 UFC 266 6 3.8 63% 1.1 / 1 (105%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) 4.2 / 3.5 (121%)
22nd Sep '21 DWCS 2021: Week 4 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
4th Sep '21 UFC FN 4.25 -4.3 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -0.8 / 0.75 (-100%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
28th Aug '21 UFC FN 3 -0.2 -7% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) 0.3 / 2.5 (12%)
21st Aug '21 UFC FN 4.5 -1.5 -34% -1.5 / 3.5 (-44%) 0.0 / 1 (0%)
7th Aug '21 UFC 265 4.75 1.1 23% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 2.4 / 3.5 (67%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
31st Jul '21 UFC FN 2 0.3 15% 1.3 / 1 (130%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
24th Jul '21 UFC FN 12.3 -5.8 -47% -6.5 / 6.5 (-100%) 0.7 / 5.8 (12%)
17th Jul '21 UFC FN 3.75 4.2 113% 2.2 / 1.25 (175%) 2.1 / 2.5 (82%)
10th Jul '21 UFC 264 3.5 -3.5 -100% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
26th Jun '21 UFC FN 5.75 -3.7 -64% -4.0 / 4 (-100%) 0.0 / 1.25 (0%) 0.3 / 0.5 (64%)
19th Jun '21 UFC FN 11 -3.3 -30% -6.4 / 9 (-71%) 3.1 / 2 (157%)
12th Jun '21 UFC 263 12 -0.4 -3% 1.0 / 4.25 (25%) 0.5 / 1.75 (30%) -2.0 / 6 (-33%)
5th Jun '21 UFC FN 10.25 1.5 15% 1.3 / 8 (16%) -0.2 / 1.25 (-12%) 0.4 / 1 (40%)
20th Mar '21 UFC Fight Night 188 5 3.9 79% 2.1 / 3 (70%) 1.8 / 2 (92%)
6th Mar '21 UFC 259 3 0.5 16% 0.6 / 1.5 (41%) 0.9 / 0.5 (175%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
20th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 185 7.5 -3.6 -48% -0.9 / 4 (-24%) -2.7 / 3.5 (-76%)
13th Feb '21 UFC 258 4.5 -4.5 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
6th Feb '21 UFC FN 7 4.1 58% 3.1 / 5 (61%) 0.6 / 1.5 (40%) 0.4 / 0.5 (85%)
24th Jan '21 UFC 257 6.5 -1.5 -23% -1.1 / 3 (-37%) 1.1 / 2 (56%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
20th Jan '21 UFC on ESPN 20 6.56 -0.1 -1% -0.2 / 2.36 (-10%) -0.8 / 3.2 (-25%) 1.0 / 1 (95%)
16th Jan '21 UFC FN 3.32 -1.0 -31% 1.3 / 1 (128%) -1.8 / 1.82 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
19th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 17 7 3.7 53% 1.1 / 4.5 (25%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) 3.1 / 2 (154%)
13th Dec '20 UFC 256 4.5 0.9 21% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 1.7 / 2.5 (70%) 0.2 / 1 (20%)
6th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 16 5 3.9 77% 0.8 / 2 (39%) 2.2 / 2 (108%) 0.9 / 1 (93%)


Winning Events: 19 (46%)
Losing Events: 22 (54%)

Average Staked Per Event: 4.84 units
Most Staked On One Event: 12.30 units
Best Event: 4.25 units
Worst Event: -5.79 units
Average Event: -0.29 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 8.49
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -10.85

Z W: Year on Year Profit
Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Events
Won / Lost (%)		 Profit
Per Event
2022 39.6 -1.5 -4% -2.7 / 15.5 (-17%) 1.0 / 16.35 (6%) 0.2 / 7.75 (3%) 7 / 6 (54%) -0.11
2021 142.43 -19.0 -13% -20.3 / 70.36 (-29%) 1.6 / 41.32 (4%) -0.2 / 30.75 (-1%) 9 / 16 (36%) -0.76
2020 16.5 8.5 51% 0.9 / 7.5 (12%) 3.4 / 5 (68%) 4.2 / 4 (105%) 3 / 0 (100%) 2.83

Z W: Yearly Straight Pick Stats
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Z W: Profit / Loss by Organization
Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 194.03 -12.7 -7% -20.1 / 91.36 (-22%) 6.0 / 62.67 (9%) 1.4 / 40 (4%)
Bellator 2.5 2.8 112% 2.8 / 2.5 (112%)
Other 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)

Z W: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 7 (9%) 6 86 % 12.25 4.11 0.59 34%
Slight Favorites 28 (35%) 12 43 % 46.36 -18.92 -0.68 -41%
Slight Underdogs 38 (48%) 14 37 % 29.00 -4.48 -0.12 -15%
Big Underdogs 7 (9%) 1 14 % 5.75 -2.80 -0.40 -49%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 6 (8%) 2 33 % 12.00 -4.00 -0.67 -33%
Co-Main Event 10 (13%) 5 50 % 11.70 1.61 0.16 14%
Position 3-5 29 (36%) 12 41 % 32.30 -8.77 -0.30 -27%
6+ (Undercard) 35 (44%) 14 40 % 37.36 -10.93 -0.31 -29%

Z W: Profit by Weight Class
  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 10 (13%) 6 60 % 15.20 5.56 0.56 37%
Light Heavy 2 (3%) 0 % 3.00 -3.00 -1.50 -100%
Middleweight 9 (11%) 4 44 % 9.86 -3.31 -0.37 -34%
Welterweight 10 (13%) 2 20 % 10.55 -6.25 -0.62 -59%
Lightweight 9 (11%) 6 67 % 11.75 1.03 0.11 9%
Featherweight 11 (14%) 5 45 % 11.00 -3.38 -0.31 -31%
Bantamweight 9 (11%) 2 22 % 11.50 -7.72 -0.86 -67%
Flyweight 8 (10%) 5 63 % 6.25 3.06 0.38 49%
               
Women's Fights 12 (15%) 3 25 % 14.25 -8.10 -0.67 -57%
Bantamweight 1 (1%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%
Flyweight 6 (8%) 3 50 % 9.00 -2.85 -0.47 -32%
Strawweight 5 (6%) 0 % 4.25 -4.25 -0.85 -100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 38 (90%) 28 74 %
Slight Favorites 4 (10%) 3 75 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
42 31 74 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 45 (28%) 37 82 %
50-65% 35 (22%) 23 66 %
35-50% 42 (26%) 20 48 %
<35% chance 37 (23%) 7 19 %
159 87 55 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types
Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds		 Longest
Odds		 Shortest
Odds		 1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 17 (11%) 13 76 % 1.72 2.80Pick was correct 1.25Pick was correct 6.0 (35%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 16 (10%) 11 69 % 1.78 2.40Pick was incorrect 1.29Pick was correct 3.4 (21%)
Goes to Decision 3 (2%) 1 33 % 1.54 1.71Pick was correct 1.38Pick was incorrect -1.3 (-43%)
Does not go to Decision 10 (6%) 8 80 % 1.58 2.10Pick was correct 1.36Pick was correct 3.5 (35%)
Fight Starts Round X 25 (16%) 23 92 % 1.28 1.67Pick was correct 1.09Pick was incorrect 4.7 (19%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X 4 (3%) 2 50 % 1.44 1.74Pick was correct 1.30Pick was incorrect -0.7 (-19%)
X Wins by KO 9 (6%) 2 22 % 3.26 8.00Pick was incorrect 1.83Pick was incorrect -0.8 (-8%)
X Wins by Sub 13 (8%) 6 46 % 3.80 21.00Pick was incorrect 1.80Pick was incorrect 9.0 (69%)
X Wins by Decision 12 (8%) 4 33 % 2.26 2.90Pick was incorrect 1.72Pick was correct -3.2 (-26%)
X Does NOT Win by Decision 2 (1%) 1 50 % 1.15 1.17Pick was correct 1.14Pick was incorrect 0.2 (8%)
X Wins Inside Distance 12 (8%) 5 42 % 2.36 4.00Pick was incorrect 1.61Pick was incorrect 1.2 (10%)
X Wins in Round X 16 (10%) 4 25 % 5.26 15.00Pick was incorrect 1.53Pick was correct -1.7 (-10%)
Others 20 (13%) 7 35 % 2.14 9.50Pick was incorrect 1.18Pick was correct -6.6 (-33%)
159 87 55 % 1.98     13.8 (9%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Z W's bets
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
6th Dec UFC Vegas 16 5 3.9 77% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,038.53
13th Dec UFC 256 4.5 0.9 21% $10.39 $1,038.53 $1,048.31
19th Dec UFC Vegas 17 7 3.7 53% $10.48 $1,048.31 $1,087.09
16th Jan UFC FN 3.32 -1.0 -31% $10.87 $1,087.09 $1,075.78
20th Jan UFC on ESPN 20 6.56 -0.1 -1% $10.76 $1,075.78 $1,074.97
24th Jan UFC 257 6.5 -1.5 -23% $10.75 $1,074.97 $1,058.89
6th Feb UFC FN 7 4.1 58% $10.59 $1,058.89 $1,102.09
13th Feb UFC 258 4.5 -4.5 -100% $11.02 $1,102.09 $1,052.49
20th Feb UFC Fight Night 185 7.5 -3.6 -48% $10.52 $1,052.49 $1,014.63
6th Mar UFC 259 3 0.5 16% $10.15 $1,014.63 $1,019.55
20th Mar UFC Fight Night 188 5 3.9 79% $10.20 $1,019.55 $1,059.65
5th Jun UFC FN 10.25 1.5 15% $10.60 $1,059.65 $1,075.62
12th Jun UFC 263 12 -0.4 -3% $10.76 $1,075.62 $1,071.17
19th Jun UFC FN 11 -3.3 -30% $10.71 $1,071.17 $1,036.30
26th Jun UFC FN 5.75 -3.7 -64% $10.36 $1,036.30 $998.15
10th Jul UFC 264 3.5 -3.5 -100% $9.98 $998.15 $963.22
17th Jul UFC FN 3.75 4.2 113% $9.63 $963.22 $1,004.13
24th Jul UFC FN 12.3 -5.8 -47% $10.04 $1,004.13 $945.97
31st Jul UFC FN 2 0.3 15% $9.46 $945.97 $948.80
7th Aug UFC 265 4.75 1.1 23% $9.49 $948.80 $959.30
21st Aug UFC FN 4.5 -1.5 -34% $9.59 $959.30 $944.45
28th Aug UFC FN 3 -0.2 -7% $9.44 $944.45 $942.48
4th Sep UFC FN 4.25 -4.3 -100% $9.42 $942.48 $902.42
22nd Sep DWCS 2021: Week 4 2 -2.0 -100% $9.02 $902.42 $884.37
25th Sep UFC 266 6 3.8 63% $8.84 $884.37 $917.82
2nd Oct UFC FN 3.75 -3.8 -100% $9.18 $917.82 $883.41
16th Oct UFC FN 7.75 -2.1 -27% $8.83 $883.41 $864.87
16th Oct Bellator 268 2.5 2.8 112% $8.65 $864.87 $889.07
15th Jan UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze 2 -1.0 -48% $8.89 $889.07 $880.62
5th Feb UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland 6 0.4 7% $8.81 $880.62 $884.26
26th Feb UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev 1.25 1.0 80% $8.84 $884.26 $893.11
5th Mar UFC 272 2.5 0.1 3% $8.93 $893.11 $893.79
12th Mar UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev 3 2.8 94% $8.94 $893.79 $918.93
19th Mar UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall 2.75 -0.3 -11% $9.19 $918.93 $916.25
26th Mar UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus 2.5 -2.5 -100% $9.16 $916.25 $893.35
9th Apr UFC 273 5.25 -4.0 -76% $8.93 $893.35 $857.61
16th Apr UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II 1.25 -0.2 -18% $8.58 $857.61 $855.68
23rd Apr UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade 3.25 1.3 41% $8.56 $855.68 $867.00
30th Apr UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera 3.75 0.6 16% $8.67 $867.00 $872.30
7th May UFC 274 2.1 1.2 55% $8.72 $872.30 $882.40
14th May UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić 4 -0.9 -22% $8.82 $882.40 $874.55


ROI % from starting bank balance: -12.54% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Z W: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)
Last 20 Wins
  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. May '22 Katlyn Chookagian Amanda Ribas 1.56 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. May '22 Journey Newson Fernando Garcia 2.20 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '22 Francisco Figueiredo Daniel Lacerda 2.15 0.5 Sub, R1 (1:18) MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '22 Cody Brundage Dalcha Lungiambula 2.10 0.5 Sub, R1 (3:41) MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '22 Drew Dober Terrance McKinney 1.61 1 TKO, R1 (3:17) MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '22 Rafael dos Anjos Renato Moicano 1.53 1 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Feb '22 Carlos Hernandez Victor Altamirano 1.80 1.25 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Feb '22 Bryan Battle Tresean Gore 2.25 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Oct '21 Andrei Arlovski Carlos Felipe 1.95 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Sep '21 Jalin Turner Uros Medic 2.05 1 Sub, R1 (4:1) MMA Bookmaker
11. Aug '21 Vinc Pichel Austin Hubbard 1.95 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Jul '21 Phil Rowe Orion Cosce 2.30 1 TKO, R2 (4:21) MMA Bookmaker
13. Jun '21 Josh Parisian Roque Martinez 1.73 1.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Jun '21 Steven Peterson Chase Hooper 1.88 1.25 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Jun '21 Brandon Moreno Deiveson Figueiredo 2.95 1 Sub, R3 (2:26) MMA Bookmaker
16. Jun '21 Kamuela Kirk Makwan Amirkhani 2.80 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Jun '21 Claudio Puelles Jordan Leavitt 2.65 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Jun '21 Marcin Tybura Walt Harris 1.63 3.2 TKO, R1 (4:6) MMA Bookmaker
19. Mar '21 Grant Dawson Leonardo Santos 1.50 2 TKO, R3 (4:59) MMA Bookmaker
20. Mar '21 Trevin Giles Roman Dolidze 2.10 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. May '22 Angela Hill Virna Jandiroba 2.75 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. May '22 Carlos Candelario Tatsuro Taira 3.40 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '22 Tristan Connelly Darren Elkins 2.45 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Apr '22 Jake Collier Andrei Arlovski 2.05 0.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '22 Vinc Pichel Mark O. Madsen 1.87 1.25 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '22 Darian Weeks Ian Garry 3.90 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Apr '22 Kay Hansen Piera Rodriguez 2.10 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Apr '22 Tecia Torres Mackenzie Dern 2.00 0.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Mar '22 Daniel Hooker Arnold Allen 2.02 0.5 TKO, R1 (2:33) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Apr '22 Tecia Torres Mackenzie Dern 1.68 1.75 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Mar '22 Edson Barboza Bryce Mitchell 2.35 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Feb '22 Carlston Harris Shavkat Rakhmonov 3.00 0.25 TKO, R1 (4:10) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Feb '22 Marc-Andre Barriault Chidi Njokuani 2.00 0.5 TKO, R1 (0:16) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Oct '21 Ludovit Klein Nate Landwehr 1.32 1.25 Sub, R3 (2:22) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Oct '21 Brandon Davis Danaa Batgerel 2.55 2 TKO, R1 (2:1) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Sep '21 Jacob Rosales Victor Martinez 1.59 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Sep '21 David Zawada Alex Morono 2.30 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Aug '21 Brady Hiestand Ricky Turcios 2.30 0.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Aug '21 Trevin Jones Saidyokub Kakhramonov 1.69 1.5 Sub, R3 (4:39) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Aug '21 Kelvin Gastelum Jared Cannonier 2.30 1 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Z W: Progress Chart
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