MMA Handicapper Stats: Reaper Project |
|
Reaper Project: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
27th Apr '24 |
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez |
9.98 |
-3.4 |
-34% |
-3.4 / 9.98 (-34%) |
|
|
13th Apr '24 |
UFC 300 |
53 |
25.9 |
49% |
25.9 / 53 (49%) |
|
|
7th Oct '23 |
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green |
38 |
-13.2 |
-35% |
-13.2 / 38 (-35%) |
|
|
23rd Sep '23 |
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot |
43 |
13.5 |
31% |
13.5 / 43 (31%) |
|
|
18th Dec '21 |
UFC FN |
100 |
-61.8 |
-62% |
|
-61.8 / 100 (-62%) |
|
11th Dec '21 |
UFC 269 |
97 |
22.9 |
24% |
|
22.9 / 97 (24%) |
|
4th Dec '21 |
UFC FN |
98 |
-60.6 |
-62% |
-13.0 / 20 (-65%) |
-47.6 / 78 (-61%) |
|
20th Nov '21 |
UFC FN |
88 |
41.9 |
48% |
|
41.9 / 88 (48%) |
|
13th Nov '21 |
UFC FN |
99 |
-48.5 |
-49% |
|
-48.5 / 99 (-49%) |
|
6th Nov '21 |
UFC 268 |
142 |
58.2 |
41% |
19.0 / 55 (35%) |
39.2 / 87 (45%) |
|
30th Oct '21 |
UFC 267 |
99 |
15.3 |
15% |
|
15.3 / 99 (15%) |
|
23rd Oct '21 |
UFC FN |
121 |
-4.9 |
-4% |
-21.3 / 35 (-61%) |
16.5 / 86 (19%) |
|
16th Oct '21 |
UFC FN |
88 |
-30.4 |
-35% |
-8.4 / 66 (-13%) |
-22.0 / 22 (-100%) |
|
9th Oct '21 |
UFC FN |
165 |
38.7 |
23% |
30.7 / 77 (40%) |
8.0 / 88 (9%) |
|
2nd Oct '21 |
UFC FN |
55 |
-16.9 |
-31% |
-16.9 / 55 (-31%) |
|
|
25th Sep '21 |
UFC 266 |
55 |
-1.4 |
-3% |
-1.4 / 55 (-3%) |
|
|
18th Sep '21 |
UFC FN |
55 |
-15.1 |
-27% |
-15.1 / 55 (-27%) |
|
|
4th Sep '21 |
UFC FN |
33 |
-12.4 |
-38% |
-12.4 / 33 (-38%) |
|
|
28th Aug '21 |
UFC FN |
22 |
24.9 |
113% |
24.9 / 22 (113%) |
|
|
21st Aug '21 |
UFC FN |
55 |
-7.1 |
-13% |
-7.1 / 55 (-13%) |
|
|
7th Aug '21 |
UFC 265 |
77 |
-10.7 |
-14% |
-10.7 / 77 (-14%) |
|
|
31st Jul '21 |
UFC FN |
11 |
5.5 |
50% |
5.5 / 11 (50%) |
|
|
24th Jul '21 |
UFC FN |
44 |
-13.8 |
-31% |
-13.8 / 44 (-31%) |
|
|
17th Jul '21 |
UFC FN |
55 |
13.4 |
24% |
13.4 / 55 (24%) |
|
|
10th Jul '21 |
UFC 264 |
99 |
-16.3 |
-16% |
-16.3 / 99 (-16%) |
|
|
26th Jun '21 |
UFC FN |
88 |
-15.4 |
-17% |
-15.4 / 88 (-17%) |
|
|
19th Jun '21 |
UFC FN |
88 |
0.4 |
0% |
0.4 / 88 (0%) |
|
|
12th Jun '21 |
UFC 263 |
110 |
-56.3 |
-51% |
-56.3 / 110 (-51%) |
|
|
5th Jun '21 |
UFC FN |
66 |
-31.0 |
-47% |
-31.0 / 66 (-47%) |
|
|
22nd May '21 |
UFC FN |
66 |
25.3 |
38% |
25.3 / 66 (38%) |
|
|
15th May '21 |
UFC 262 |
88 |
16.4 |
19% |
16.4 / 88 (19%) |
|
|
8th May '21 |
UFC FN |
88 |
39.7 |
45% |
39.7 / 88 (45%) |
|
|
1st May '21 |
UFC FN |
55 |
22.0 |
40% |
22.0 / 55 (40%) |
|
|
8th Nov '20 |
UFC Vegas 13 |
16 |
-4.3 |
-27% |
-4.3 / 16 (-27%) |
|
|
Winning Events: 15 (44%) Losing Events: 19 (56%)
Average Staked Per Event: 72.56 units Most Staked On One Event: 165.00 units Best Event: 58.20 units Worst Event: -61.77 units Average Event: -1.75 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 103.40 Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -87.34 |
Reaper Project: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2024 |
62.98 |
22.6 |
36% |
22.6 / 62.98 (36%) |
|
|
1 / 1 (50%) |
11.29 |
2023 |
81 |
0.3 |
0% |
0.3 / 81 (0%) |
|
|
1 / 1 (50%) |
0.17 |
2021 |
2307 |
-78.1 |
-3% |
-41.9 / 1463 (-3%) |
|
|
13 / 16 (45%) |
-2.69 |
2020 |
16 |
-4.3 |
-27% |
-4.3 / 16 (-27%) |
|
|
/ 1 (0%) |
-4.34 |
|
Reaper Project: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
|
Reaper Project: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
2466.98 |
-59.5 |
-2% |
-23.3 / 1622.98 (-1%) |
-36.2 / 844 (-4%) |
|
|
Reaper Project: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
33 (19%) |
21 |
64 % |
236.29 |
8.02 |
0.24 |
3% |
Slight Favorites |
62 (36%) |
38 |
61 % |
588.69 |
41.37 |
0.67 |
7% |
Slight Underdogs |
65 (37%) |
28 |
43 % |
662.00 |
-5.54 |
-0.09 |
-1% |
Big Underdogs |
14 (8%) |
2 |
14 % |
136.00 |
-67.14 |
-4.80 |
-49% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
25 (14%) |
13 |
52 % |
234.49 |
8.66 |
0.35 |
4% |
Co-Main Event |
18 (10%) |
12 |
67 % |
172.21 |
64.69 |
3.59 |
38% |
Position 3-5 |
45 (26%) |
27 |
60 % |
400.28 |
35.61 |
0.79 |
9% |
6+ (Undercard) |
86 (49%) |
37 |
43 % |
816.00 |
-132.24 |
-1.54 |
-16% |
|
Reaper Project: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
15 (9%) |
9 |
60 % |
132.08 |
-8.63 |
-0.58 |
-7% |
Light Heavy |
12 (7%) |
5 |
42 % |
104.21 |
-23.83 |
-1.99 |
-23% |
Middleweight |
26 (15%) |
11 |
42 % |
250.00 |
-75.66 |
-2.91 |
-30% |
Welterweight |
21 (12%) |
10 |
48 % |
203.00 |
-19.49 |
-0.93 |
-10% |
Lightweight |
24 (14%) |
11 |
46 % |
227.00 |
-34.12 |
-1.42 |
-15% |
Featherweight |
26 (15%) |
17 |
65 % |
248.82 |
104.84 |
4.03 |
42% |
Bantamweight |
16 (9%) |
7 |
44 % |
138.00 |
-20.24 |
-1.26 |
-15% |
Flyweight |
6 (3%) |
2 |
33 % |
56.49 |
-10.95 |
-1.82 |
-19% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
28 (16%) |
17 |
61 % |
263.38 |
64.78 |
2.31 |
25% |
Featherweight |
2 (1%) |
2 |
100 % |
22.00 |
30.58 |
15.29 |
139% |
Bantamweight |
4 (2%) |
3 |
75 % |
36.00 |
7.85 |
1.96 |
22% |
Flyweight |
11 (6%) |
7 |
64 % |
111.38 |
39.97 |
3.63 |
36% |
Strawweight |
11 (6%) |
5 |
45 % |
94.00 |
-13.62 |
-1.24 |
-14% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
Slight Favorites |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
0 |
0 |
nan % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
23 (27%) |
14 |
61 % |
50-65% |
37 (43%) |
18 |
49 % |
35-50% |
24 (28%) |
14 |
58 % |
<35% chance |
2 (2%) |
0 |
0 % |
|
86 |
46 |
53 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
Prop Type |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Avg
Odds |
Longest
Odds |
Shortest
Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
Goes to Decision |
19 (22%) |
14 |
74 % |
1.79 |
2.90 |
1.36 |
6.3 (33%) |
Does not go to Decision |
13 (15%) |
8 |
62 % |
1.65 |
2.80 |
1.28 |
2.0 (15%) |
Others |
54 (63%) |
24 |
44 % |
1.73 |
3.05 |
1.16 |
-12.1 (-22%) |
|
86 |
46 |
53 % |
1.73 |
|
|
-3.8 (-4%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Reaper Project's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
8th Nov |
UFC Vegas 13 |
16 |
-4.3 |
-27% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$956.60 |
1st May |
UFC FN |
55 |
22.0 |
40% |
|
$9.57 |
$956.60 |
$1,167.05 |
8th May |
UFC FN |
88 |
39.7 |
45% |
|
$11.67 |
$1,167.05 |
$1,630.49 |
15th May |
UFC 262 |
88 |
16.4 |
19% |
|
$16.30 |
$1,630.49 |
$1,897.74 |
22nd May |
UFC FN |
66 |
25.3 |
38% |
|
$18.98 |
$1,897.74 |
$2,377.86 |
5th Jun |
UFC FN |
66 |
-31.0 |
-47% |
|
$23.78 |
$2,377.86 |
$1,640.25 |
12th Jun |
UFC 263 |
110 |
-56.3 |
-51% |
|
$16.40 |
$1,640.25 |
$716.46 |
19th Jun |
UFC FN |
88 |
0.4 |
0% |
|
$7.16 |
$716.46 |
$719.14 |
26th Jun |
UFC FN |
88 |
-15.4 |
-17% |
|
$7.19 |
$719.14 |
$608.71 |
10th Jul |
UFC 264 |
99 |
-16.3 |
-16% |
|
$6.09 |
$608.71 |
$509.61 |
17th Jul |
UFC FN |
55 |
13.4 |
24% |
|
$5.10 |
$509.61 |
$578.00 |
24th Jul |
UFC FN |
44 |
-13.8 |
-31% |
|
$5.78 |
$578.00 |
$498.52 |
31st Jul |
UFC FN |
11 |
5.5 |
50% |
|
$4.99 |
$498.52 |
$525.94 |
7th Aug |
UFC 265 |
77 |
-10.7 |
-14% |
|
$5.26 |
$525.94 |
$469.54 |
21st Aug |
UFC FN |
55 |
-7.1 |
-13% |
|
$4.70 |
$469.54 |
$435.97 |
28th Aug |
UFC FN |
22 |
24.9 |
113% |
|
$4.36 |
$435.97 |
$544.35 |
4th Sep |
UFC FN |
33 |
-12.4 |
-38% |
|
$5.44 |
$544.35 |
$476.69 |
18th Sep |
UFC FN |
55 |
-15.1 |
-27% |
|
$4.77 |
$476.69 |
$404.85 |
25th Sep |
UFC 266 |
55 |
-1.4 |
-3% |
|
$4.05 |
$404.85 |
$399.06 |
2nd Oct |
UFC FN |
55 |
-16.9 |
-31% |
|
$3.99 |
$399.06 |
$331.46 |
9th Oct |
UFC FN |
165 |
38.7 |
23% |
|
$3.31 |
$331.46 |
$459.80 |
16th Oct |
UFC FN |
88 |
-30.4 |
-35% |
|
$4.60 |
$459.80 |
$320.20 |
23rd Oct |
UFC FN |
121 |
-4.9 |
-4% |
|
$3.20 |
$320.20 |
$304.64 |
30th Oct |
UFC 267 |
99 |
15.3 |
15% |
|
$3.05 |
$304.64 |
$351.22 |
6th Nov |
UFC 268 |
142 |
58.2 |
41% |
|
$3.51 |
$351.22 |
$555.63 |
13th Nov |
UFC FN |
99 |
-48.5 |
-49% |
|
$5.56 |
$555.63 |
$286.10 |
20th Nov |
UFC FN |
88 |
41.9 |
48% |
|
$2.86 |
$286.10 |
$406.00 |
4th Dec |
UFC FN |
98 |
-60.6 |
-62% |
|
$4.06 |
$406.00 |
$159.84 |
11th Dec |
UFC 269 |
97 |
22.9 |
24% |
|
$1.60 |
$159.84 |
$196.38 |
18th Dec |
UFC FN |
100 |
-61.8 |
-62% |
|
$1.96 |
$196.38 |
$75.08 |
23rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot |
43 |
13.5 |
31% |
|
$0.75 |
$75.08 |
$85.24 |
7th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green |
38 |
-13.2 |
-35% |
|
$0.85 |
$85.24 |
$73.99 |
13th Apr |
UFC 300 |
53 |
25.9 |
49% |
|
$0.74 |
$73.99 |
$93.19 |
27th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez |
9.98 |
-3.4 |
-34% |
|
$0.93 |
$93.19 |
$90.06 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -90.99% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Reaper Project: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Apr '24 |
Jhonata Diniz |
Austen Lane |
1.40 |
3.08 |
TKO, R2 (2:12) |
|
|
2. |
Apr '24 |
Karine Silva |
Ariane Lipski |
1.67 |
1.38 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
3. |
Apr '24 |
Aljamain Sterling |
Calvin Kattar |
1.57 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
4. |
Apr '24 |
Renato Moicano |
Jalin Turner |
2.85 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (4:11) |
|
|
5. |
Apr '24 |
Diego Lopes |
Sodiq Yusuff |
1.70 |
10 |
TKO, R1 (1:29) |
|
|
6. |
Apr '24 |
Jiri Prochazka |
Aleksandar Rakic |
2.00 |
10 |
TKO, R2 (3:17) |
|
|
7. |
Apr '24 |
Alex Pereira |
Jamahal Hill |
1.77 |
10 |
TKO, R1 (3:14) |
|
|
8. |
Oct '23 |
Drew Dober |
Rick Glenn |
1.23 |
10 |
TKO, R1 (2:36) |
|
|
9. |
Oct '23 |
Joe Pyfer |
Abdul Razak Alhassan |
1.25 |
10 |
Sub, R2 (2:5) |
|
|
10. |
Sep '23 |
Mohammed Usman |
Jake Collier |
1.67 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
11. |
Sep '23 |
Miles Johns |
Dan Argueta |
2.47 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
12. |
Sep '23 |
Marina Alcalde Rodriguez |
Michelle Waterson |
1.31 |
10 |
TKO, R2 (2:42) |
|
|
13. |
Sep '23 |
Bryan Battle |
A.J. Fletcher |
1.49 |
3 |
Sub, R2 (4:32) |
|
|
14. |
Sep '23 |
Bryce Mitchell |
Dan Ige |
1.49 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
15. |
Sep '23 |
Mateusz Gamrot |
Rafael Fiziev |
2.33 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (2:3) |
|
|
16. |
Dec '21 |
Alex Morono |
Mickey Gall |
1.40 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
17. |
Nov '21 |
Marlon Vera |
Frankie Edgar |
1.58 |
11 |
TKO, R3 (3:50) |
|
|
18. |
Nov '21 |
Shane Burgos |
Billy Quarantillo |
1.50 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
19. |
Nov '21 |
Chris Barnett |
Gian Villante |
2.08 |
11 |
TKO, R2 (2:23) |
|
|
20. |
Nov '21 |
Bobby Green |
Al Iaquinta |
1.57 |
11 |
TKO, R1 (2:25) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Apr '24 |
Jonathan Pearce |
David Onama |
1.57 |
1.82 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Apr '24 |
Ryan Spann |
Bogdan Guskov |
1.50 |
2.21 |
TKO, R2 (3:16) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Apr '24 |
Matheus Nicolau |
Alex Perez |
1.54 |
1.49 |
TKO, R2 (2:16) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Apr '24 |
Justin Gaethje |
Max Holloway |
1.65 |
10 |
TKO, R5 (4:59) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Oct '23 |
Kanako Murata |
Vanessa Demopoulos |
1.33 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Oct '23 |
Johnny Munoz |
Qileng Aori |
1.89 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Oct '23 |
Grant Dawson |
Bobby Green |
1.21 |
10 |
TKO, R1 (0:33) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Sep '23 |
Jacob Malkoun |
Cody Brundage |
1.20 |
1 |
|
No |
|
|
9. |
Sep '23 |
Andre Fialho |
Tim Means |
1.57 |
5 |
TKO, R3 (1:15) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Sep '23 |
Ricardo Ramos |
Charles Jourdain |
2.15 |
3 |
Sub, R1 (3:12) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Dec '21 |
Leonardo Santos |
Clay Guida |
1.43 |
5 |
Sub, R2 (1:21) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Dec '21 |
Brad Riddell |
Rafael Fiziev |
2.08 |
5 |
TKO, R3 (2:20) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Dec '21 |
Rob Font |
Jose Aldo |
1.65 |
5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Nov '21 |
Edmen Shahbazyan |
Nassourdine Imavov |
2.01 |
11 |
TKO, R2 (4:42) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Oct '21 |
Livia Renata Souza |
Randa Markos |
1.81 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Oct '21 |
Khama Worthy |
Jai Herbert |
2.56 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (2:47) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Oct '21 |
Laureano Staropoli |
Jamie Pickett |
1.45 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Oct '21 |
Jun Yong Park |
Gregory Rodrigues |
2.05 |
11 |
TKO, R2 (3:13) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Oct '21 |
Dwight Grant |
Francisco Trinaldo |
2.17 |
3 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Oct '21 |
Seung Woo Choi |
Alex Caceres |
1.36 |
3 |
Sub, R2 (3:31) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Reaper Project: Progress Chart |
|