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MMA Handicapper Stats: DontWorryMan

DontWorryMan (Allin)


MMA MHandicapper - DontWorryMan

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 27 (48%) Right 25 (60%) Right 2 (18%) Right 0 (0%)
Wrong 29 (52%) Wrong 17 (40%) Wrong 9 (82%) Wrong 3 (100%)
Avg Odds 1.79 Avg Odds 1.58 Avg Odds 3.16 Avg Odds 2.27
Units Bet 191.7 Units Bet 171.2 Units Bet 13.5 Units Bet 7.0
Avg Bet 3.42 Avg Bet 4.08 Avg Bet 1.23 Avg Bet 2.33
Units Profit -26.53 Units Profit -10.60 Units Profit -8.93 Units Profit -7.00
ROI % -14% ROI % -6% ROI % -66% ROI % -100%
View Handicapper's Profile

DontWorryMan : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
27th Apr '24 UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez 19 -2.4 -13% -2.4 / 19 (-13%)
26th Apr '24 LFA 182 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
20th Apr '24 Oktagon 56 16 3.1 19% 3.1 / 16 (19%)
20th Apr '24 Cage Warriors 171 12 -4.1 -34% -4.1 / 12 (-34%)
19th Apr '24 PFL 3: 2024 Regular Season 18 -3.8 -21% -3.8 / 18 (-21%)
13th Apr '24 UFC 300 12 5.2 44% 5.2 / 12 (44%)
12th Apr '24 CFFC 131 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
6th Apr '24 UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II 20 6.6 33% 6.6 / 20 (33%)
10th Feb '24 UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
3rd Feb '24 UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
20th Jan '24 UFC 297 25.46 -18.1 -71% -11.8 / 19.15 (-62%) -6.3 / 6.31 (-100%)
13th Jan '24 UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 12.83 0.8 6% 2.4 / 11.16 (22%) -1.7 / 1.67 (-100%)
12th Jan '24 LFA 174 4.5 2.5 56% 2.5 / 4.5 (56%)
29th Dec '23 Oktagon 51 7.3 -4.7 -64% -4.7 / 7.3 (-64%)
23rd Dec '23 A1 Combat 16 2.76 -2.8 -100% -2.8 / 2.76 (-100%)
16th Dec '23 UFC 296 16.84 3.5 21% 2.7 / 14.29 (19%) 0.8 / 2.55 (33%)
15th Dec '23 Cage Warriors 165 2.5 -1.3 -51% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) 0.2 / 1 (22%)
2nd Dec '23 UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan 1.9 -1.9 -100% -1.9 / 1.9 (-100%)
24th Nov '23 PFL 10: 2023 PFL World Championship 3.1 1.6 53% 1.6 / 3.1 (53%)
18th Nov '23 UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig 3.94 -0.5 -14% 1.3 / 2.14 (59%) -1.8 / 1.8 (-100%)
17th Nov '23 Bellator 301 5.6 -2.3 -41% 1.0 / 2.3 (43%) -3.3 / 3.3 (-100%)


Winning Events: 7 (33%)
Losing Events: 14 (67%)

Average Staked Per Event: 9.13 units
Most Staked On One Event: 25.46 units
Best Event: 6.63 units
Worst Event: -18.14 units
Average Event: -1.26 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 6.63
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -22.14

DontWorryMan : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2024 147.79 -18.2 -12% -8.2 / 137.81 (-6%) 5 / 8 (38%) -1.40
2023 43.94 -8.3 -19% -2.4 / 33.39 (-7%) -7.0 / 7 (-100%) 2 / 6 (25%) -1.04

DontWorryMan : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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DontWorryMan : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 115.97 -10.8 -9% 2.0 / 99.74 (2%) -9.2 / 12.53 (-73%) -3.7 / 3.7 (-100%)
Bellator 5.6 -2.3 -41% 1.0 / 2.3 (43%) -3.3 / 3.3 (-100%)
PFL 21.1 -2.1 -10% -2.1 / 21.1 (-10%)
Other 49.06 -11.3 -23% -11.5 / 48.06 (-24%) 0.2 / 1 (22%)

DontWorryMan : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 17 (40%) 14 82 % 97.50 12.79 0.75 13%
Slight Favorites 18 (42%) 10 56 % 58.69 -13.63 -0.76 -23%
Slight Underdogs 6 (14%) 1 17 % 11.01 -5.76 -0.96 -52%
Big Underdogs 2 (5%) 0 0 % 4.00 -4.00 -2.00 -100%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 3 (7%) 2 67 % 8.30 2.82 0.94 34%
Co-Main Event 6 (14%) 2 33 % 18.60 -8.62 -1.44 -46%
Position 3-5 15 (35%) 9 60 % 61.89 -3.23 -0.22 -5%
6+ (Undercard) 19 (44%) 12 63 % 82.41 -1.57 -0.08 -2%

DontWorryMan : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 2 (5%) 1 50 % 6.50 0.50 0.25 8%
Light Heavy 2 (5%) 2 100 % 8.10 5.15 2.58 64%
Middleweight 2 (5%) 2 100 % 4.50 3.79 1.90 84%
Welterweight 8 (19%) 5 63 % 44.10 -2.41 -0.30 -5%
Lightweight 6 (14%) 5 83 % 36.16 7.19 1.20 20%
Featherweight 8 (19%) 4 50 % 31.43 -8.70 -1.09 -28%
Bantamweight 8 (19%) 2 25 % 23.08 -13.78 -1.72 -60%
Flyweight 3 (7%) 2 67 % 6.19 -0.60 -0.20 -10%
               
Women's Fights 4 (9%) 2 50 % 11.14 -1.74 -0.44 -16%
Bantamweight 1 (2%) 1 100 % 2.14 1.26 1.26 59%
Flyweight 1 (2%) 1 100 % 5.00 1.00 1.00 20%
Strawweight 2 (5%) 0 % 4.00 -4.00 -2.00 -100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 5 (71%) 3 60 %
Slight Favorites 2 (29%) 1 50 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
7 4 57 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 1 (9%) 1 100 %
50-65% 2 (18%) 0 0 %
35-50% 3 (27%) 1 33 %
<35% chance 5 (45%) 0 0 %
11 2 18 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 3 (27%) 1 33 % 1.93 2.80Pick was incorrect 1.45Pick was correct -1.5 (-52%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 2 (18%) 1 50 % 2.60 2.60Pick was incorrect 2.60Pick was incorrect 0.6 (30%)
X Wins by Decision 1 (9%) 0 0 % 1.87 1.87Pick was incorrect 1.87Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins in Round X 1 (9%) 0 0 % 10.50 10.50Pick was incorrect 10.50Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Others 4 (36%) 0 0 % 5.96 10.00Pick was incorrect 3.75Pick was incorrect -4.0 (-100%)
11 2 18 % 3.03     -6.9 (-63%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail DontWorryMan 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
17th Nov Bellator 301 5.6 -2.3 -41% $10.00 $1,000.00 $977.00
18th Nov UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig 3.94 -0.5 -14% $9.77 $977.00 $971.71
24th Nov PFL 10: 2023 PFL World Championship 3.1 1.6 53% $9.72 $971.71 $987.57
2nd Dec UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan 1.9 -1.9 -100% $5 $9.88 $987.57 $963.80
15th Dec Cage Warriors 165 2.5 -1.3 -51% $5 $9.64 $963.80 $946.49
16th Dec UFC 296 16.84 3.5 21% $9.46 $946.49 $979.90
23rd Dec A1 Combat 16 2.76 -2.8 -100% $9.80 $979.90 $952.85
29th Dec Oktagon 51 7.3 -4.7 -64% $9.53 $952.85 $908.07
12th Jan LFA 174 4.5 2.5 56% $9.08 $908.07 $930.77
13th Jan UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 12.83 0.8 6% $9.31 $930.77 $938.03
20th Jan UFC 297 25.46 -18.1 -71% $9.38 $938.03 $767.91
3rd Feb UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov 2 -2.0 -100% $7.68 $767.91 $752.56
10th Feb UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer 2 -2.0 -100% $7.53 $752.56 $737.50
6th Apr UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II 20 6.6 33% $7.38 $737.50 $786.43
12th Apr CFFC 131 2 -2.0 -100% $7.86 $786.43 $770.70
13th Apr UFC 300 12 5.2 44% $7.71 $770.70 $810.97
19th Apr PFL 3: 2024 Regular Season 18 -3.8 -21% $5 $8.11 $810.97 $775.42
20th Apr Cage Warriors 171 12 -4.1 -34% $5 $7.75 $775.42 $738.67
20th Apr Oktagon 56 16 3.1 19% $7.39 $738.67 $761.31
26th Apr LFA 182 2 -2.0 -100% $7.61 $761.31 $746.08
27th Apr UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez 19 -2.4 -13% $7.46 $746.08 $728.03


ROI % from starting bank balance: -27.20% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

DontWorryMan : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Apr '24 Ivana Petrovic Na Liang 1.20 5 Sub, R3 (1:29) MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '24 Uros Medic Tim Means 1.32 8 TKO, R1 (2:9) MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '24 Shem Rock Stefano Catacoli 1.24 6 Sub, R1 (1:47) MMA Bookmaker
4. Apr '24 George Staines Tomas Ciganik 1.17 10 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '24 Sean Clancy Jr. Lucas Rodrigues 1.32 6 TKO, R2 (4:4) MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '24 Paid Pick Murad Ramazanov Laureano Staropoli 1.18 6 Sub, R1 (4:6) MMA Bookmaker
7. Apr '24 Paid Pick Brendan Loughnane Pedro Carvalho 1.19 6 TKO, R1 (1:26) MMA Bookmaker
8. Apr '24 Alex Pereira Jamahal Hill 1.70 5 TKO, R1 (3:14) MMA Bookmaker
9. Apr '24 Diego Lopes Sodiq Yusuff 1.74 5 TKO, R1 (1:29) MMA Bookmaker
10. Apr '24 Alex Morono Court McGee 1.35 10 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Apr '24 Ignacio Bahamondes Christos Giagos 1.31 10 TKO, R1 (3:34) MMA Bookmaker
12. Jan '24 Movsar Evloev Arnold Allen 1.54 2.78 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Jan '24 Chris Curtis Marc-Andre Barriault 1.52 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Jan '24 Jim Miller Gabriel Benitez 1.74 1.36 Sub, R3 (3:25) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
15. Jan '24 Steven Asplund Billy Ray Valdez 1.56 4.5 TKO, R1 (4:48) MMA Bookmaker
16. Dec '23 Radek Rousal Kallum Parker 1.63 1.6 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Jan '24 Farid Basharat Taylor Lapilus 1.50 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Jan '24 Brunno Ferreira Phil Hawes 2.10 2.5 TKO, R1 (4:55) MMA Bookmaker
19. Dec '23 Alexandre Pantoja Brandon Royval 1.54 1.84 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Dec '23 Tagir Ulanbekov Cody Durden 1.57 1.75 Sub, R2 (4:25) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Apr '24 Jonathan Pearce David Onama 1.56 6 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '24 Katarina Legorreta Kendra McIntyre 2.60 2 TKO, R3 (3:0) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '24 Paid Pick Reece McEwan Cameron Else 1.34 6 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Apr '24 Paid Pick Bubba Jenkins Kai Kamaka 1.67 6 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '24 Charles Oliveira Arman Tsarukyan 2.90 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '24 Greg Velasco Bailey Schoenfelder 2.70 2 TKO, R2 (3:24) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Feb '24 Bruna Brasil Loma Lookboonmee 3.51 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Jan '24 Yohan Lainesse Sam Patterson 1.74 6.8 Sub, R1 (2:3) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Jan '24 Malcolm Gordon Jimmy Flick 1.77 2.6 Sub, R2 (1:17) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Jan '24 Serhiy Sidey Ramon Taveras 1.62 3.22 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Jan '24 Ricky Simon Mario Bautista 1.61 3.3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Dec '23 Andreas Michailidis Bojan Velickovic 1.59 1.7 Sub, R3 (3:21) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Dec '23 Ion Sordu Stefano Paterno 1.50 4 Sub, R2 (2:37) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Dec '23 Jose Avalos Abdikabyl Kaldar 2.45 1.38 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Dec '23 Jose Avalos Abdikabyl Kaldar 2.45 1.38 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Jan '24 Arnold Allen Movsar Evloev 2.43 1.75 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Dec '23 Bryce Mitchell Josh Emmett 1.29 2.3 TKO, R1 (1:57) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Dec '23 Johnny Gill James Settle 1.67 1.5 TKO, R1 (3:23) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

DontWorryMan : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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