MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6365
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2352

MMA Handicapper Stats: SafeBet

SafeBet (SafeBet365)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	25 (22%)	Right	7 (39%)	Right	12 (25%)	Right	6 (12%)
Wrong	90 (78%)	Wrong	11 (61%)	Wrong	36 (75%)	Wrong	43 (88%)
Avg Odds	4.03	Avg Odds	1.95	Avg Odds	3.84	Avg Odds	7.18
Units Bet	213.3	Units Bet	59.2	Units Bet	75.7	Units Bet	78.5
Avg Bet	1.85	Avg Bet	3.29	Avg Bet	1.58	Avg Bet	1.60
Units Profit	-53.22	Units Profit	-23.81	Units Profit	-26.06	Units Profit	-3.35
ROI %	-25%	ROI %	-40%	ROI %	-34%	ROI %	-4%

SafeBet : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
5th Jun '21	UFC FN	0.1	-0.1	-100%			-0.1 / 0.1 (-100%)
28th Mar '21	UFC 260	0.1	-0.1	-100%			-0.1 / 0.1 (-100%)
20th Mar '21	UFC Fight Night 188	6.25	-6.3	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
24th Jan '21	UFC 257	6.5	-6.5	-100%	-4.3 / 4.25 (-100%)	-1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
20th Jan '21	UFC on ESPN 20	5	-5.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
16th Jan '21	UFC FN	4.25	-4.3	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)		-2.3 / 2.25 (-100%)
19th Dec '20	UFC Vegas 17	18.95	12.8	67%	0.6 / 1.9 (33%)	0.9 / 3.1 (29%)	11.3 / 13.95 (81%)
13th Dec '20	UFC 256	25.5	-25.5	-100%	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)		-15.5 / 15.5 (-100%)
6th Dec '20	UFC Vegas 16	16.25	1.1	7%		-10.3 / 10.25 (-100%)	11.3 / 6 (189%)
29th Nov '20	UFC Vegas 15	16.8	-16.8	-100%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	-1.1 / 1.1 (-100%)	-12.7 / 12.7 (-100%)
21st Nov '20	UFC 255	18.25	-7.9	-43%	-3.8 / 6 (-63%)	-2.8 / 3.75 (-75%)	-1.3 / 8.5 (-15%)
14th Nov '20	UFC Vegas 14	20.2	4.5	22%	3.3 / 5 (67%)	-2.7 / 11 (-24%)	3.8 / 4.2 (90%)
8th Nov '20	UFC Vegas 13	7.5	17.5	233%	8.0 / 4 (200%)	10.5 / 2.5 (420%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
31st Oct '20	UFC Vegas 12	14.5	-10.8	-74%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	-5.3 / 9 (-58%)	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
29th Oct '20	Bellator 250	3.5	2.0	57%	2.0 / 3.5 (57%)
24th Oct '20	UFC 254	15	2.3	16%		-5.0 / 5 (-100%)	7.3 / 10 (73%)
17th Oct '20	UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie	5.7	-5.7	-100%	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	-0.2 / 0.2 (-100%)
10th Oct '20	UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen	3	-3.0	-100%		-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
4th Oct '20	UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana	0.25	-0.3	-100%		-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
26th Sep '20	UFC 253	11	-9.4	-85%	0.6 / 1 (63%)	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
19th Sep '20	UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley	2.2	-2.2	-100%		-2.1 / 2.1 (-100%)	-0.1 / 0.1 (-100%)
12th Sep '20	UFC Fight Night 184	2.6	4.2	161%	1.7 / 1.5 (110%)	2.6 / 1 (263%)	-0.1 / 0.1 (-100%)
5th Sep '20	UFC Fight Night 183	5.9	1.9	32%		1.9 / 5.9 (32%)
22nd Aug '20	UFC Vegas 7	4	4.2	105%		4.2 / 4 (105%)

Winning Events: 9 (38%)
Losing Events: 15 (63%)

Average Staked Per Event: 8.89 units
Most Staked On One Event: 25.50 units
Best Event: 17.50 units
Worst Event: -25.50 units
Average Event: -2.22 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 21.96
Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -25.50

SafeBet : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2021	22.2	-22.2	-100%	-16.3 / 16.25 (-100%)	-2.3 / 2.25 (-100%)	-3.7 / 3.7 (-100%)	/ 6 (0%)	-3.70
2020	191.1	-31.0	-16%	-7.6 / 42.9 (-18%)	-23.8 / 73.45 (-32%)	0.3 / 74.75 (0%)	9 / 9 (50%)	-1.72

SafeBet : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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SafeBet : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	209.8	-55.2	-26%	-25.8 / 55.65 (-46%)	-26.1 / 75.7 (-34%)	-3.4 / 78.45 (-4%)
Bellator	3.5	2.0	57%	2.0 / 3.5 (57%)

SafeBet : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	3 (17%)	1	33 %	10.90	-8.37	-2.79	-77%
Slight Favorites	6 (33%)	3	50 %	26.50	-11.04	-1.84	-42%
Slight Underdogs	6 (33%)	2	33 %	16.00	-10.65	-1.78	-67%
Big Underdogs	3 (17%)	1	33 %	5.75	6.25	2.08	109%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	8 (44%)	4	50 %	25.00	2.46	0.31	10%
Co-Main Event	3 (17%)	1	33 %	8.00	-4.85	-1.62	-61%
Position 3-5	2 (11%)	1	50 %	6.00	-3.80	-1.90	-63%
6+ (Undercard)	5 (28%)	1	20 %	20.15	-17.62	-3.52	-87%

SafeBet : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Light Heavy	2 (11%)	1	50 %	9.00	3.00	1.50	33%
Middleweight	4 (22%)	3	75 %	7.90	1.76	0.44	22%
Welterweight	2 (11%)	1	50 %	6.00	-3.80	-1.90	-63%
Lightweight	5 (28%)	2	40 %	15.75	-4.27	-0.85	-27%
Featherweight	4 (22%)		0 %	17.50	-17.50	-4.38	-100%
Bantamweight	1 (6%)		0 %	3.00	-3.00	-3.00	-100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	22 (37%)	18	82 %
Slight Favorites	27 (46%)	15	56 %
Slight Underdogs	8 (14%)	2	25 %
Big Underdogs	2 (3%)	1	50 %
	59	36	61 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	15 (9%)	10	67 %
50-65%	13 (8%)	4	31 %
35-50%	21 (13%)	8	38 %
<35% chance	113 (70%)	21	19 %
	162	43	27 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	10 (6%)	6	60 %	1.56	2.05	1.15	-0.2 (-2%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (1%)	0	0 %	1.61	1.61	1.61	-1.0 (-100%)
Does not go to Decision	5 (3%)	3	60 %	1.75	2.05	1.40	0.3 (6%)
X Wins by KO	12 (7%)	3	25 %	4.20	8.00	2.30	0.4 (3%)
X Wins by Sub	52 (32%)	7	13 %	5.61	17.00	2.20	-17.3 (-33%)
X Wins by Decision	19 (12%)	5	26 %	3.07	8.00	1.61	1.0 (5%)
X Does NOT Win by Decision	4 (2%)	3	75 %	1.16	1.18	1.12	-0.5 (-12%)
X Wins Inside Distance	35 (22%)	12	34 %	2.43	5.00	1.36	-0.0 (-0%)
X Wins in Round X	22 (14%)	4	18 %	8.22	17.00	3.00	4.7 (21%)
Others	2 (1%)	0	0 %	3.81	41.00	2.00	-2.0 (-100%)
	162	43	27 %	3.29			-14.7 (-9%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail SafeBet 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
22nd Aug	UFC Vegas 7	4	4.2	105%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,042.00
5th Sep	UFC Fight Night 183	5.9	1.9	32%		$10.42	$1,042.00	$1,061.80
12th Sep	UFC Fight Night 184	2.6	4.2	161%		$10.62	$1,061.80	$1,106.22
19th Sep	UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley	2.2	-2.2	-100%		$11.06	$1,106.22	$1,081.89
26th Sep	UFC 253	11	-9.4	-85%		$10.82	$1,081.89	$980.46
4th Oct	UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana	0.25	-0.3	-100%		$9.80	$980.46	$978.01
10th Oct	UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen	3	-3.0	-100%		$9.78	$978.01	$948.67
17th Oct	UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie	5.7	-5.7	-100%		$9.49	$948.67	$894.59
24th Oct	UFC 254	15	2.3	16%		$8.95	$894.59	$915.40
29th Oct	Bellator 250	3.5	2.0	57%		$9.15	$915.40	$933.70
31st Oct	UFC Vegas 12	14.5	-10.8	-74%		$9.34	$933.70	$833.33
8th Nov	UFC Vegas 13	7.5	17.5	233%		$8.33	$833.33	$979.16
14th Nov	UFC Vegas 14	20.2	4.5	22%		$9.79	$979.16	$1,022.84
21st Nov	UFC 255	18.25	-7.9	-43%		$10.23	$1,022.84	$942.36
29th Nov	UFC Vegas 15	16.8	-16.8	-100%		$9.42	$942.36	$784.04
6th Dec	UFC Vegas 16	16.25	1.1	7%		$7.84	$784.04	$792.54
13th Dec	UFC 256	25.5	-25.5	-100%		$7.93	$792.54	$590.44
19th Dec	UFC Vegas 17	18.95	12.8	67%		$5.90	$590.44	$665.84
16th Jan	UFC FN	4.25	-4.3	-100%		$6.66	$665.84	$637.54
20th Jan	UFC on ESPN 20	5	-5.0	-100%		$6.38	$637.54	$605.67
24th Jan	UFC 257	6.5	-6.5	-100%		$6.06	$605.67	$566.30
20th Mar	UFC Fight Night 188	6.25	-6.3	-100%		$5.66	$566.30	$530.91
28th Mar	UFC 260	0.1	-0.1	-100%		$5.31	$530.91	$530.37
5th Jun	UFC FN	0.1	-0.1	-100%		$5.30	$530.37	$529.84

ROI % from starting bank balance: -47.02% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

SafeBet : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Dec '20	Tafon Nchukwi	Jamie Pickett	1.33	1.9	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Nov '20	Tim Means	Mike Perry	2.20	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Nov '20	Rafael dos Anjos	Paul Felder	1.67	5	Split Decision (5 rounds)
4.	Nov '20	Glover Teixeira	Thiago Santos	3.00	4	Sub, R3 (1:49)
5.	Oct '20	Gegard Mousasi	Douglas Lima	1.57	3.5	U Decision (5 rounds)
6.	Sep '20	Israel Adesanya	Paulo Costa	1.63	1	TKO, R2 (3:59)
7.	Sep '20	Ottman Azaitar	Khama Worthy	2.10	1.5	TKO, R1 (1:33)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Mar '21	Leonardo Santos	Grant Dawson	2.75	5	TKO, R3 (4:59)	No
2.	Jan '21	Matt Frevola	Arman Tsarukyan	5.50	0.25	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Jan '21	Mounir Lazzez	Warlley Alves	1.43	5	TKO, R1 (2:35)	No
4.	Jan '21	Calvin Kattar	Max Holloway	2.45	2	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
5.	Jan '21	Conor McGregor	Dustin Poirier	1.42	4	TKO, R2 (2:32)	No
6.	Dec '20	Billy Quarantillo	Gavin Tucker	1.72	10	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Nov '20	Luke Sanders	Nathan Maness	1.67	3	Sub, R2 (2:29)	No
8.	Nov '20	Mauricio Rua	Paul Craig	2.50	5	TKO, R2 (3:36)	No
9.	Oct '20	Anderson Silva	Urijah Hall	3.05	1.5	TKO, R4 (1:24)	No
10.	Oct '20	Andre Fili	Bryce Mitchell	2.25	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Oct '20	Chan Sung Jung	Brian Ortega	1.54	4	U Decision (5 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

SafeBet : Progress Chart

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