|
MMA Handicapper Stats: MMATakes Podcast |
|
MMATakes Podcast: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 28 (40%) Losing Events: 42 (60%)
Average Staked Per Event: 11.80 units Most Staked On One Event: 17.00 units Best Event: 8.26 units Worst Event: -8.12 units Average Event: -0.60 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 8.90 Max Losing Streak: Events: 7, Units: -23.05 |
MMATakes Podcast: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2024 |
196 |
-10.1 |
-5% |
-0.8 / 171 (-0%) |
|
-4.0 / 12 (-33%) |
6 / 8 (43%) |
-0.72 |
2023 |
559 |
-40.8 |
-7% |
-27.6 / 485 (-6%) |
|
-6.6 / 41 (-16%) |
15 / 26 (37%) |
-0.99 |
2022 |
4.9 |
0.4 |
8% |
1.0 / 2.35 (41%) |
|
0.2 / 1.75 (12%) |
1 / 1 (50%) |
0.19 |
2021 |
66.17 |
8.8 |
13% |
7.8 / 29.55 (26%) |
|
6.5 / 29.8 (22%) |
6 / 7 (46%) |
0.68 |
|
MMATakes Podcast: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
|
MMATakes Podcast: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
824.27 |
-41.3 |
-5% |
-19.2 / 686.1 (-3%) |
-18.2 / 53.62 (-34%) |
-3.9 / 84.55 (-5%) |
PFL |
1.8 |
-0.4 |
-24% |
-0.4 / 1.8 (-24%) |
|
|
|
MMATakes Podcast: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
287 (41%) |
213 |
74 % |
288.20 |
-4.97 |
-0.02 |
-2% |
Slight Favorites |
211 (30%) |
126 |
60 % |
209.30 |
1.70 |
0.01 |
1% |
Slight Underdogs |
141 (20%) |
60 |
43 % |
135.40 |
-2.69 |
-0.02 |
-2% |
Big Underdogs |
58 (8%) |
12 |
21 % |
55.00 |
-13.70 |
-0.24 |
-25% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
59 (8%) |
30 |
51 % |
58.60 |
-11.23 |
-0.19 |
-19% |
Co-Main Event |
56 (8%) |
32 |
57 % |
55.80 |
1.65 |
0.03 |
3% |
Position 3-5 |
171 (25%) |
106 |
62 % |
165.40 |
3.61 |
0.02 |
2% |
6+ (Undercard) |
411 (59%) |
243 |
59 % |
408.10 |
-13.68 |
-0.03 |
-3% |
|
MMATakes Podcast: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
47 (7%) |
24 |
51 % |
47.00 |
-10.28 |
-0.22 |
-22% |
Light Heavy |
44 (6%) |
23 |
52 % |
44.00 |
-5.43 |
-0.12 |
-12% |
Middleweight |
79 (11%) |
43 |
54 % |
78.10 |
-6.45 |
-0.08 |
-8% |
Welterweight |
79 (11%) |
54 |
68 % |
77.20 |
15.27 |
0.19 |
20% |
Lightweight |
107 (15%) |
59 |
55 % |
103.10 |
-11.72 |
-0.11 |
-11% |
Featherweight |
88 (13%) |
54 |
61 % |
86.55 |
7.07 |
0.08 |
8% |
Bantamweight |
81 (12%) |
42 |
52 % |
80.20 |
-17.16 |
-0.21 |
-21% |
Flyweight |
53 (8%) |
33 |
62 % |
53.20 |
0.24 |
0.00 |
0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
119 (17%) |
79 |
66 % |
118.55 |
8.81 |
0.07 |
7% |
Featherweight |
4 (1%) |
2 |
50 % |
4.00 |
-1.08 |
-0.27 |
-27% |
Bantamweight |
29 (4%) |
21 |
72 % |
28.60 |
4.52 |
0.16 |
16% |
Flyweight |
39 (6%) |
22 |
56 % |
39.75 |
-4.63 |
-0.12 |
-12% |
Strawweight |
47 (7%) |
34 |
72 % |
46.20 |
10.00 |
0.21 |
22% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
140 (71%) |
104 |
74 % |
Slight Favorites |
50 (25%) |
27 |
54 % |
Slight Underdogs |
7 (4%) |
4 |
57 % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
197 |
135 |
69 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
12 (17%) |
6 |
50 % |
50-65% |
21 (30%) |
10 |
48 % |
35-50% |
19 (27%) |
5 |
26 % |
<35% chance |
19 (27%) |
2 |
11 % |
|
71 |
23 |
32 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail MMATakes Podcast's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
21st Aug |
UFC FN |
3.1 |
4.9 |
159% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,049.27 |
27th Aug |
PFL 2021 #9: Playoffs |
1.8 |
-0.4 |
-24% |
|
$10.49 |
$1,049.27 |
$1,044.77 |
28th Aug |
UFC FN |
3.9 |
-0.5 |
-13% |
|
$10.45 |
$1,044.77 |
$1,039.55 |
4th Sep |
UFC FN |
3.8 |
-2.0 |
-53% |
|
$10.40 |
$1,039.55 |
$1,018.76 |
18th Sep |
UFC FN |
5.2 |
3.0 |
57% |
|
$10.19 |
$1,018.76 |
$1,049.00 |
25th Sep |
UFC 266 |
6.2 |
-2.5 |
-41% |
|
$10.49 |
$1,049.00 |
$1,022.26 |
2nd Oct |
UFC FN |
8.6 |
5.0 |
58% |
|
$10.22 |
$1,022.26 |
$1,073.11 |
9th Oct |
UFC FN |
3.1 |
1.1 |
35% |
|
$10.73 |
$1,073.11 |
$1,084.69 |
16th Oct |
UFC FN |
3.7 |
-3.7 |
-100% |
|
$10.85 |
$1,084.69 |
$1,044.55 |
23rd Oct |
UFC FN |
5.9 |
-1.7 |
-29% |
|
$10.45 |
$1,044.55 |
$1,026.56 |
30th Oct |
UFC 267 |
8 |
1.3 |
16% |
|
$10.27 |
$1,026.56 |
$1,040.10 |
6th Nov |
UFC 268 |
8.82 |
6.1 |
70% |
|
$10.40 |
$1,040.10 |
$1,104.04 |
13th Nov |
UFC FN |
4.05 |
-1.7 |
-42% |
|
$11.04 |
$1,104.04 |
$1,085.27 |
15th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze |
2.8 |
-1.4 |
-51% |
|
$10.85 |
$1,085.27 |
$1,069.75 |
19th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill |
2.1 |
1.8 |
86% |
|
$10.70 |
$1,069.75 |
$1,089.07 |
14th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov |
12 |
-1.8 |
-15% |
|
$10.89 |
$1,089.07 |
$1,069.22 |
21st Jan |
UFC 283 |
17 |
4.4 |
26% |
|
$10.69 |
$1,069.22 |
$1,115.83 |
4th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak |
11 |
-7.0 |
-64% |
|
$11.16 |
$1,115.83 |
$1,037.59 |
11th Feb |
UFC 284 |
13 |
2.0 |
15% |
|
$10.38 |
$1,037.59 |
$1,058.16 |
18th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield |
11 |
0.2 |
2% |
|
$10.58 |
$1,058.16 |
$1,060.07 |
25th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen |
11 |
-2.2 |
-20% |
|
$10.60 |
$1,060.07 |
$1,036.96 |
4th Mar |
UFC 285 |
15 |
-4.2 |
-28% |
|
$10.37 |
$1,036.96 |
$993.20 |
11th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili |
14 |
-4.2 |
-30% |
|
$9.93 |
$993.20 |
$951.92 |
18th Mar |
UFC 286 |
15 |
-2.0 |
-13% |
|
$9.52 |
$951.92 |
$932.97 |
25th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen |
11 |
-2.9 |
-26% |
|
$9.33 |
$932.97 |
$905.93 |
8th Apr |
UFC 287 |
14 |
-1.6 |
-11% |
|
$9.06 |
$905.93 |
$891.53 |
15th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen |
17 |
-6.0 |
-35% |
|
$8.92 |
$891.53 |
$837.94 |
22nd Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes |
12 |
1.0 |
8% |
|
$8.38 |
$837.94 |
$846.01 |
29th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón |
13 |
-6.1 |
-47% |
|
$8.46 |
$846.01 |
$794.06 |
6th May |
UFC 288 |
14 |
8.3 |
59% |
|
$7.94 |
$794.06 |
$859.62 |
13th May |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida |
13 |
-4.4 |
-34% |
|
$8.60 |
$859.62 |
$822.14 |
20th May |
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern |
13 |
-2.2 |
-17% |
|
$8.22 |
$822.14 |
$803.87 |
3rd Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi |
15 |
-3.8 |
-25% |
|
$8.04 |
$803.87 |
$773.69 |
10th Jun |
UFC 289 |
12 |
-0.8 |
-7% |
|
$7.74 |
$773.69 |
$767.46 |
24th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria |
15 |
2.7 |
18% |
|
$7.67 |
$767.46 |
$788.10 |
1st Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov |
14 |
2.0 |
15% |
|
$7.88 |
$788.10 |
$804.10 |
8th Jul |
UFC 290 |
15 |
-2.7 |
-18% |
|
$8.04 |
$804.10 |
$782.73 |
15th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva |
14 |
2.6 |
18% |
|
$7.83 |
$782.73 |
$802.94 |
22nd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura |
17 |
2.0 |
12% |
|
$8.03 |
$802.94 |
$819.32 |
29th Jul |
UFC 291 |
13 |
-5.6 |
-43% |
|
$8.19 |
$819.32 |
$773.46 |
5th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font |
13 |
-3.4 |
-26% |
|
$7.73 |
$773.46 |
$747.01 |
12th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos |
15 |
3.5 |
24% |
|
$7.47 |
$747.01 |
$773.43 |
19th Aug |
UFC 292 |
14 |
-3.6 |
-26% |
|
$7.73 |
$773.43 |
$745.25 |
26th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung |
16 |
3.7 |
23% |
|
$7.45 |
$745.25 |
$772.80 |
2nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac |
13 |
0.5 |
4% |
|
$7.73 |
$772.80 |
$776.48 |
9th Sep |
UFC 293 |
14 |
-0.5 |
-3% |
|
$7.76 |
$776.48 |
$772.89 |
23rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot |
14 |
-8.1 |
-58% |
|
$7.73 |
$772.89 |
$710.11 |
7th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green |
12 |
-3.2 |
-26% |
|
$7.10 |
$710.11 |
$687.73 |
14th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza |
13 |
-1.2 |
-10% |
|
$6.88 |
$687.73 |
$679.21 |
21st Oct |
UFC 294 |
13 |
-2.3 |
-18% |
|
$6.79 |
$679.21 |
$663.26 |
4th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida |
11 |
4.6 |
42% |
|
$6.63 |
$663.26 |
$693.61 |
11th Nov |
UFC 295 |
14 |
4.3 |
31% |
|
$6.94 |
$693.61 |
$723.63 |
18th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig |
15 |
-1.0 |
-6% |
|
$7.24 |
$723.63 |
$716.72 |
2nd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan |
14 |
-2.0 |
-14% |
|
$7.17 |
$716.72 |
$702.55 |
9th Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez |
13 |
-0.9 |
-7% |
|
$7.03 |
$702.55 |
$695.91 |
16th Dec |
UFC 296 |
14 |
1.2 |
9% |
|
$6.96 |
$695.91 |
$704.44 |
13th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker |
13 |
2.1 |
16% |
|
$7.04 |
$704.44 |
$719.38 |
20th Jan |
UFC 297 |
14 |
0.5 |
3% |
|
$7.19 |
$719.38 |
$722.84 |
3rd Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov |
14 |
1.7 |
12% |
|
$7.23 |
$722.84 |
$735.03 |
10th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer |
15 |
-4.9 |
-33% |
|
$7.35 |
$735.03 |
$698.70 |
17th Feb |
UFC 298 |
13 |
5.5 |
42% |
|
$6.99 |
$698.70 |
$736.87 |
24th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval |
12 |
-2.1 |
-17% |
|
$7.37 |
$736.87 |
$721.43 |
2nd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev |
13 |
-3.2 |
-25% |
|
$7.21 |
$721.43 |
$698.44 |
9th Mar |
UFC 299 |
15 |
-2.3 |
-15% |
|
$6.98 |
$698.44 |
$682.70 |
16th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura |
14 |
1.0 |
7% |
|
$6.83 |
$682.70 |
$689.61 |
23rd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas |
15 |
-1.6 |
-10% |
|
$6.90 |
$689.61 |
$678.81 |
30th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot |
15 |
-2.9 |
-20% |
|
$6.79 |
$678.81 |
$658.90 |
6th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II |
13 |
-5.7 |
-44% |
|
$6.59 |
$658.90 |
$621.40 |
13th Apr |
UFC 300 |
15 |
-1.1 |
-8% |
|
$6.21 |
$621.40 |
$614.31 |
27th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez |
15 |
2.9 |
19% |
|
$6.14 |
$614.31 |
$632.17 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -36.78% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
MMATakes Podcast: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Apr '24 |
Hayisaer Maheshate |
Gabriel Benitez |
1.40 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
2. |
Apr '24 |
Ivana Petrovic |
Na Liang |
1.20 |
1 |
Sub, R3 (1:29) |
|
|
3. |
Apr '24 |
Ketlen Souza |
Marnic Mann |
1.28 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
4. |
Apr '24 |
Don'tale Mayes |
Caio Machado (2) |
1.93 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
5. |
Apr '24 |
Austin Hubbard |
Michal Figlak |
2.50 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
6. |
Apr '24 |
Victor Henry |
Rani Yahya |
1.25 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (2:36) |
|
|
7. |
Apr '24 |
Uros Medic |
Tim Means |
1.33 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (2:9) |
|
|
8. |
Apr '24 |
Jhonata Diniz |
Austen Lane |
1.29 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (2:12) |
|
|
9. |
Apr '24 |
Karine Silva |
Ariane Lipski |
1.62 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
10. |
Apr '24 |
Alex Perez |
Matheus Nicolau |
2.54 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (2:16) |
|
|
11. |
Apr '24 |
Bobby Green |
Jim Miller |
1.56 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
12. |
Apr '24 |
Jessica Andrade |
Marina Alcalde Rodriguez |
1.77 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
13. |
Apr '24 |
Diego Lopes |
Sodiq Yusuff |
1.70 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (1:29) |
|
|
14. |
Apr '24 |
Weili Zhang |
Yan Xiaonan |
1.21 |
1 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
15. |
Apr '24 |
Alex Pereira |
Jamahal Hill |
1.77 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (3:14) |
|
|
16. |
Apr '24 |
Bo Nickal |
Cody Brundage |
1.05 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (3:38) |
|
|
17. |
Apr '24 |
Jiri Prochazka |
Aleksandar Rakic |
2.00 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (3:17) |
|
|
18. |
Apr '24 |
Aljamain Sterling |
Calvin Kattar |
1.57 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
19. |
Apr '24 |
Kayla Harrison |
Holly Holm |
1.24 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (1:47) |
|
|
20. |
Apr '24 |
Ignacio Bahamondes |
Christos Giagos |
1.29 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (3:34) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Apr '24 |
James Llontop |
Chris Padilla |
1.23 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (4:33) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Apr '24 |
Jonathan Pearce |
David Onama |
1.68 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Apr '24 |
Ryan Spann |
Bogdan Guskov |
1.56 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (3:16) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Apr '24 |
Jalin Turner |
Renato Moicano |
1.44 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (4:11) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Apr '24 |
Cody Garbrandt |
Deiveson Figueiredo |
3.70 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (4:2) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Apr '24 |
Justin Gaethje |
Max Holloway |
1.62 |
1 |
TKO, R5 (4:59) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Apr '24 |
Charles Oliveira |
Arman Tsarukyan |
2.85 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Apr '24 |
Chris Curtis |
Brendan Allen |
2.70 |
1 |
Split Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Apr '24 |
Alexander Hernandez |
Damon Jackson |
1.49 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Apr '24 |
Morgan Charriere |
Jose Mariscal |
1.82 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Apr '24 |
Valter Walker |
Lukasz Brzeski |
1.32 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Apr '24 |
Dylan Budka |
César Almeida |
1.68 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (2:13) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Apr '24 |
Melissa Dixon |
Nora Cornolle |
1.28 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (3:6) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Mar '24 |
Lupita Godinez |
Virna Jandiroba |
1.46 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Mar '24 |
Anton Turkalj |
Ibo Aslan |
2.05 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (1:32) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Mar '24 |
Andre Petroski |
Jacob Malkoun |
2.95 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (0:39) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Mar '24 |
Erin Blanchfield |
Manon Fiorot |
1.51 |
1 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Mar '24 |
Bill Algeo |
Kyle Nelson |
1.41 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (4:0) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Mar '24 |
Bruno Silva |
Chris Weidman |
1.49 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Mar '24 |
Steven Nguyen |
Jarno Errens |
1.62 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
MMATakes Podcast: Progress Chart |
|
|
|
|