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MMA Handicapper Stats: LIMMA Test V1

LIMMA Test V1 (ufcguru)


MMA MHandicapper - LIMMA Test V1

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 18 (55%) Right 13 (65%) Right 1 (17%) Right 4 (57%)
Wrong 15 (45%) Wrong 7 (35%) Wrong 5 (83%) Wrong 3 (43%)
Avg Odds 1.92 Avg Odds 1.59 Avg Odds 4.16 Avg Odds 2.19
Units Bet 69.5 Units Bet 47.5 Units Bet 3.0 Units Bet 19.0
Avg Bet 2.11 Avg Bet 2.38 Avg Bet 0.50 Avg Bet 2.71
Units Profit -1.49 Units Profit 0.98 Units Profit -1.75 Units Profit -0.73
ROI % -2% ROI % 2% ROI % -58% ROI % -4%
View Handicapper's Profile

LIMMA Test V1: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
20th Mar '20 Cage Warriors 113 23 9.0 39% 2.0 / 17 (12%) 6.9 / 6 (115%)
14th Mar '20 UFC Fight Night 169 14 -3.2 -23% -1.4 / 11 (-13%) -0.8 / 2 (-38%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
8th Mar '20 UFC 248 15.5 0.5 3% 0.5 / 15.5 (3%)
22nd Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 168 3 0.8 27% 1.8 / 2 (91%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
29th Dec '19 Bellator 237 4 1.3 34% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 3.3 / 2 (167%)
15th Dec '19 UFC 245 10 -10.0 -100% -10.0 / 10 (-100%)


Winning Events: 4 (67%)
Losing Events: 2 (33%)

Average Staked Per Event: 11.58 units
Most Staked On One Event: 23.00 units
Best Event: 8.97 units
Worst Event: -10.00 units
Average Event: -0.25 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 8.97
Max Losing Streak: Events: 1, Units: -10.00

LIMMA Test V1: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2020 55.5 7.2 13% 3.0 / 45.5 (7%) -1.8 / 3 (-58%) 5.9 / 7 (85%) 3 / 1 (75%) 1.79
2019 14 -8.7 -62% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -6.7 / 12 (-55%) 1 / 1 (50%) -4.33

LIMMA Test V1: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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LIMMA Test V1: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 42.5 -11.8 -28% 0.9 / 28.5 (3%) -1.8 / 3 (-58%) -11.0 / 11 (-100%)
Bellator 4 1.3 34% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 3.3 / 2 (167%)
Other 23 9.0 39% 2.0 / 17 (12%) 6.9 / 6 (115%)

LIMMA Test V1: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 10 (50%) 9 90 % 30.00 7.11 0.71 24%
Slight Favorites 6 (30%) 2 33 % 12.00 -4.93 -0.82 -41%
Slight Underdogs 4 (20%) 2 50 % 5.50 -1.20 -0.30 -22%
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan % 0.00 0.00 nan nan%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 4 (20%) 1 25 % 10.00 -5.70 -1.42 -57%
Co-Main Event 2 (10%) 1 50 % 4.50 -0.75 -0.38 -17%
Position 3-5 5 (25%) 5 100 % 12.00 5.80 1.16 48%
6+ (Undercard) 9 (45%) 6 67 % 21.00 1.63 0.18 8%

LIMMA Test V1: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 1 (5%) 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -2.00 -100%
Light Heavy 1 (5%) 1 100 % 1.00 1.30 1.30 130%
Middleweight 3 (15%) 1 33 % 7.00 -2.70 -0.90 -39%
Welterweight 2 (10%) 2 100 % 5.00 2.42 1.21 48%
Lightweight 6 (30%) 5 83 % 17.00 3.53 0.59 21%
Featherweight 2 (10%) 1 50 % 4.00 -0.18 -0.09 -5%
Bantamweight 3 (15%) 3 100 % 7.00 3.11 1.04 44%
Flyweight 1 (5%) 0 % 3.00 -3.00 -3.00 -100%
               
Women's Fights 1 (5%) 0 % 1.50 -1.50 -1.50 -100%
Strawweight 1 (5%) 0 % 1.50 -1.50 -1.50 -100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 13 (76%) 13 100 %
Slight Favorites 4 (24%) 1 25 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
17 14 82 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (0%) 0 nan %
50-65% 0 (0%) 0 nan %
35-50% 0 (0%) 0 nan %
<35% chance 6 (100%) 1 17 %
6 1 17 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
X Wins by KO 2 (33%) 0 0 % 3.52 4.00Pick was incorrect 3.15Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub 3 (50%) 1 33 % 5.32 6.10Pick was incorrect 5.00Pick was correct 2.0 (67%)
X Wins by Decision 1 (17%) 0 0 % 3.20 3.20Pick was incorrect 3.20Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
6 1 17 % 4.16     -1.0 (-17%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail LIMMA Test V1's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
15th Dec UFC 245 10 -10.0 -100% $10.00 $1,000.00 $900.00
29th Dec Bellator 237 4 1.3 34% $9.00 $900.00 $912.13
22nd Feb UFC Fight Night 168 3 0.8 27% $9.12 $912.13 $919.59
8th Mar UFC 248 15.5 0.5 3% $9.20 $919.59 $924.45
14th Mar UFC Fight Night 169 14 -3.2 -23% $9.24 $924.45 $895.24
20th Mar Cage Warriors 113 23 9.0 39% $8.95 $895.24 $975.57


ROI % from starting bank balance: -2.44% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

LIMMA Test V1: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Mar '20 Aidan Stephen Jack Collins 1.44 3 TKO, R1 (1:24) MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '20 Paddy Pimblett Declan Dalton 1.30 3 TKO, R1 (2:51) MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '20 Mason Jones Joe McColgan 1.25 3 TKO, R1 (4:40) MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '20 David Bear Nathan Jones 1.53 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '20 James Hendin Kris Edwards 1.33 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '20 David Dvorak Bruno Silva 2.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '20 Renato Moicano Damir Hadzovic 1.32 4 Sub, R1 (0:44) MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '20 Nikita Krylov Johnny Walker 2.30 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Mar '20 Mark O. Madsen Austin Hubbard 1.45 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Mar '20 Sean O'Malley Jose Quinonez 1.37 3 TKO, R1 (2:2) MMA Bookmaker
11. Mar '20 Beneil Dariush Drakkar Klose 1.63 2 TKO, R2 (1:0) MMA Bookmaker
12. Mar '20 Israel Adesanya Yoel Romero 1.43 3 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Feb '20 Zubaira Tukhugov Kevin Aguilar 1.91 2 TKO, R1 (3:21) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Mar '20 Darren Stewart Bartosz Fabinski 1.45 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '20 Jussier Formiga Brandon Moreno 1.61 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '20 Kevin Lee Charles Oliveira 1.80 2 Sub, R3 (0:28) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '20 Deron Winn Gerald Meerschaert 1.74 1 Sub, R3 (2:13) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '20 Jamall Emmers Giga Chikadze 1.59 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '20 Joanna Jedrzejczyk Weili Zhang 2.65 1.5 Split Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Dec '19 Quinton Jackson Fedor Emelianenko 2.00 2 TKO, R1 (2:44) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

LIMMA Test V1: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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