MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6375
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2342

MMA Handicapper Stats: hednuts

hednuts (hednuts5)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	24 (55%)	Right	21 (60%)	Right	0 (nan%)	Right	3 (33%)
Wrong	20 (45%)	Wrong	14 (40%)	Wrong	0 (nan%)	Wrong	6 (67%)
Avg Odds	1.67	Avg Odds	1.57	Avg Odds	nan	Avg Odds	2.18
Units Bet	109.3	Units Bet	101.5	Units Bet	0.0	Units Bet	7.8
Avg Bet	2.48	Avg Bet	2.90	Avg Bet	nan	Avg Bet	0.87
Units Profit	0.74	Units Profit	1.54	Units Profit	0.00	Units Profit	-0.80
ROI %	1%	ROI %	2%	ROI %	nan%	ROI %	-10%

hednuts : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
8th Mar '20	UFC 248	10	4.0	40%	4.0 / 10 (40%)
9th Feb '20	UFC 247	7.5	-4.3	-58%	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)		-1.8 / 5 (-37%)
26th Jan '20	Bellator 238	2.5	0.9	36%	0.9 / 2.5 (36%)
25th Jan '20	UFC Fight Night 166	4.5	1.8	40%	0.5 / 2 (24%)		1.3 / 2.5 (53%)
18th Jan '20	UFC 246	9	1.6	18%	1.6 / 9 (18%)
29th Dec '19	Bellator 237	2	-2.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
15th Dec '19	UFC 245	12	3.0	25%	3.0 / 12 (25%)
9th Nov '19	UFC Fight Night 163	6	0.5	9%	0.5 / 6 (9%)
2nd Nov '19	UFC 244	10	-2.9	-29%	-2.9 / 10 (-29%)
26th Oct '19	UFC Fight Night 162	5	-5.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
18th Oct '19	UFC ESPN 6	20.1	5.1	25%	5.2 / 20 (26%)		-0.1 / 0.1 (-100%)
12th Oct '19	UFC on ESPN+ 19	14.1	-4.7	-34%	-4.6 / 14 (-33%)		-0.1 / 0.1 (-100%)
5th Oct '19	UFC 243	6.6	2.9	43%	3.0 / 6.5 (46%)		-0.1 / 0.1 (-100%)

Winning Events: 8 (62%)
Losing Events: 5 (38%)

Average Staked Per Event: 8.41 units
Most Staked On One Event: 20.10 units
Best Event: 5.06 units
Worst Event: -5.00 units
Average Event: 0.06 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 5.06
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -7.92

hednuts : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2020	33.5	4.0	12%	4.5 / 26 (17%)		-0.5 / 7.5 (-7%)	4 / 1 (80%)	0.79
2019	75.8	-3.2	-4%	-2.9 / 75.5 (-4%)		-0.3 / 0.3 (-100%)	4 / 4 (50%)	-0.40

hednuts : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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hednuts : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	104.8	1.8	2%	2.6 / 97 (3%)		-0.8 / 7.8 (-10%)
Bellator	4.5	-1.1	-24%	-1.1 / 4.5 (-24%)

hednuts : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	15 (38%)	13	87 %	44.00	11.73	0.78	27%
Slight Favorites	19 (49%)	11	58 %	50.50	-3.18	-0.17	-6%
Slight Underdogs	4 (10%)	0	0 %	6.00	-6.00	-1.50	-100%
Big Underdogs	1 (3%)	0	0 %	1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	14 (36%)	10	71 %	44.00	9.96	0.71	23%
Co-Main Event	7 (18%)	3	43 %	16.00	-3.11	-0.44	-19%
Position 3-5	7 (18%)	5	71 %	18.75	5.37	0.77	29%
6+ (Undercard)	11 (28%)	6	55 %	22.75	-10.67	-0.97	-47%

hednuts : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	5 (13%)	2	40 %	9.25	-1.03	-0.21	-11%
Light Heavy	3 (8%)	2	67 %	10.00	-1.77	-0.59	-18%
Middleweight	4 (10%)	2	50 %	14.50	1.84	0.46	13%
Welterweight	9 (23%)	6	67 %	20.50	2.57	0.29	13%
Lightweight	2 (5%)		0 %	3.00	-3.00	-1.50	-100%
Featherweight	8 (21%)	5	63 %	21.00	-2.02	-0.25	-10%
Bantamweight	3 (8%)	3	100 %	8.50	2.88	0.96	34%

Women's Fights	5 (13%)	4	80 %	14.75	2.09	0.42	14%
Featherweight	1 (3%)	1	100 %	0.25	0.05	0.05	18%
Bantamweight	2 (5%)	2	100 %	7.00	3.29	1.65	47%
Flyweight	1 (3%)		0 %	2.50	-2.50	-2.50	-100%
Strawweight	1 (3%)	1	100 %	5.00	1.25	1.25	25%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	21 (72%)	17	81 %
Slight Favorites	7 (24%)	4	57 %
Slight Underdogs	1 (3%)	0	0 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	29	21	72 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
50-65%	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
35-50%	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
<35% chance	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
	0	0	nan %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
	0	0	nan %	nan			0.0 (nan%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail hednuts 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
5th Oct	UFC 243	6.6	2.9	43%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,028.62
12th Oct	UFC on ESPN+ 19	14.1	-4.7	-34%		$10.29	$1,028.62	$979.88
18th Oct	UFC ESPN 6	20.1	5.1	25%		$9.80	$979.88	$1,029.50
26th Oct	UFC Fight Night 162	5	-5.0	-100%		$10.30	$1,029.50	$978.03
2nd Nov	UFC 244	10	-2.9	-29%		$9.78	$978.03	$949.42
9th Nov	UFC Fight Night 163	6	0.5	9%		$9.49	$949.42	$954.31
15th Dec	UFC 245	12	3.0	25%		$9.54	$954.31	$982.98
29th Dec	Bellator 237	2	-2.0	-100%		$9.83	$982.98	$963.32
18th Jan	UFC 246	9	1.6	18%		$9.63	$963.32	$978.54
25th Jan	UFC Fight Night 166	4.5	1.8	40%		$9.79	$978.54	$996.27
26th Jan	Bellator 238	2.5	0.9	36%		$9.96	$996.27	$1,005.32
9th Feb	UFC 247	7.5	-4.3	-58%		$10.05	$1,005.32	$961.76
8th Mar	UFC 248	10	4.0	40%		$9.62	$961.76	$1,000.15

ROI % from starting bank balance: 0.02% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

hednuts : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Mar '20	Sean O'Malley	Jose Quinonez	1.36	5	TKO, R1 (2:2)
2.	Jan '20	Sergio Pettis	Alfred Khashakyan	1.36	2.5	Sub, R1 (3:0)
3.	Jan '20	Montel Jackson	Felipe Colares	1.15	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Jan '20	Curtis Blaydes	Junior dos Santos	1.33	1	TKO, R2 (1:6)
5.	Mar '20	Israel Adesanya	Yoel Romero	1.43	5	U Decision (5 rounds)
6.	Jan '20	Holly Holm	Raquel Pennington	1.77	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Jan '20	Conor McGregor	Donald Cerrone	1.41	5	TKO, R1 (0:40)
8.	Nov '19	Zabit Magomedsharipov	Calvin Kattar	1.30	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Nov '19	Hakeem Dawodu	Julio Arce	1.71	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Nov '19	Shane Burgos	Makwan Amirkhani	1.40	1	TKO, R3 (4:32)
11.	Nov '19	Stephen Thompson	Vicente Luque	1.98	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Oct '19	Sean Brady	Court McGee	1.41	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Oct '19	Yair Rodriguez	Jeremy Stephens	1.87	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Oct '19	Yair Rodriguez	Jeremy Stephens	1.87	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Oct '19	Greg Hardy	Ben Sosoli	1.38	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Oct '19	Niko Price	James Vick	1.56	2	TKO, R1 (1:44)
17.	Oct '19	Dominick Reyes	Chris Weidman	1.65	2	TKO, R1 (1:43)
18.	Dec '19	Kamaru Usman	Colby Covington	1.67	3	TKO, R5 (4:10)
19.	Oct '19	Megan Anderson	Zara Fairn Dos Santos	1.18	0.25	Sub, R1 (3:57)
20.	Dec '19	Amanda Nunes	Germaine de Randamie	1.35	5	U Decision (5 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Feb '20	Andrea Lee	Lauren Murphy	1.30	2.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Jan '20	Andre Fili	Sodiq Yusuff	2.15	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Dec '19	Quinton Jackson	Fedor Emelianenko	2.10	2	TKO, R1 (2:44)	No
4.	Nov '19	Greg Hardy	Alexander Volkov	3.65	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Nov '19	Johnny Walker	Corey Anderson	1.67	5	TKO, R1 (2:7)	No
6.	Oct '19	Ben Askren	Demian Maia	1.71	2	Sub, R3 (3:54)	No
7.	Oct '19	Ben Askren	Demian Maia	1.71	3	Sub, R3 (3:54)	No
8.	Oct '19	Deron Winn	Darren Stewart	1.74	1.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Oct '19	Kevin Holland	Brendan Allen	1.65	3	Sub, R2 (3:38)	No
10.	Oct '19	Kron Gracie	Cub Swanson	1.59	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Oct '19	Luis Pena	Matt Frevola	1.59	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Oct '19	Tai Tuivasa	Sergey Spivak	1.25	0.25	Sub, R2 (3:14)	No
13.	Dec '19	Max Holloway	Alex Volkanovski	1.57	2	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
14.	Nov '19	Nate Diaz	Jorge Masvidal	2.45	1	TKO, R3 (5:0)	No
15.	Oct '19	Al Iaquinta	Daniel Hooker	2.40	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

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