MMA Handicapper Directory
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MMA Handicapper Stats: Jake Thomas

Jake Thomas (Jusworkin)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	84 (74%)	Right	79 (75%)	Right	2 (67%)	Right	3 (75%)
Wrong	29 (26%)	Wrong	27 (25%)	Wrong	1 (33%)	Wrong	1 (25%)
Avg Odds	1.37	Avg Odds	1.37	Avg Odds	1.46	Avg Odds	1.52
Units Bet	665.8	Units Bet	639.2	Units Bet	9.6	Units Bet	17.0
Avg Bet	5.89	Avg Bet	6.03	Avg Bet	3.18	Avg Bet	4.25
Units Profit	-2.92	Units Profit	-0.79	Units Profit	-2.64	Units Profit	0.51
ROI %	-0%	ROI %	-0%	ROI %	-28%	ROI %	3%

Jake Thomas: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
12th Oct '19	UFC on ESPN+ 19	11	4.2	38%	4.2 / 11 (38%)
5th Oct '19	UFC 243	10	12.0	120%	12.0 / 10 (120%)
28th Sep '19	Bellator 228	11	1.8	17%	1.8 / 11 (17%)
28th Sep '19	UFC Fight Night 160	36	-36.0	-100%	-36.0 / 36 (-100%)
21st Sep '19	UFC Fight Night 159	33	-4.7	-14%	-4.7 / 33 (-14%)
14th Sep '19	UFC Fight Night 158	51	-3.6	-7%	-3.6 / 51 (-7%)
7th Sep '19	UFC 242	48	-2.2	-5%	-2.2 / 48 (-5%)
31st Aug '19	UFC Fight Night 157	11	-6.8	-62%	-6.8 / 11 (-62%)
27th Aug '19	DWCS 26	5	-5.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
24th Aug '19	Bellator 225	9	2.1	24%	2.1 / 9 (24%)
20th Aug '19	DWCS 25	3.8	0.3	7%	0.3 / 3.8 (7%)
17th Aug '19	UFC 241	29	2.1	7%	2.1 / 29 (7%)
10th Aug '19	UFC Fight Night 156	20.1	4.5	22%	4.5 / 20.1 (22%)
8th Aug '19	PFL 2019: Week 6	25	3.8	15%	3.8 / 25 (15%)
7th Aug '19	DWCS 23	7.7	2.4	31%	2.4 / 7.7 (31%)
3rd Aug '19	UFC on ESPN 5	20.05	8.4	42%	7.4 / 18.5 (40%)	1.0 / 1.55 (65%)
31st Jul '19	DWCS 22	3	1.1	36%	1.1 / 3 (36%)
27th Jul '19	UFC 240	72.3	21.0	29%	21.0 / 72.3 (29%)
25th Jul '19	PFL 2019: Week 5	24	-9.6	-40%	-9.6 / 24 (-40%)
24th Jul '19	DWCS 21	7	2.0	29%	2.0 / 7 (29%)
20th Jul '19	UFC on ESPN 4	38.1	4.3	11%	4.3 / 38.1 (11%)
17th Jul '19	DWCS 20	12	0.0	0%	0.0 / 12 (0%)
13th Jul '19	UFC Fight Night 155	17.2	-17.2	-100%	-12.2 / 12.2 (-100%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
12th Jul '19	Bellator 224	7.1	2.4	33%	1.0 / 4.1 (24%)	1.4 / 3 (45%)
11th Jul '19	PFL 2019: Week 4	6	1.6	26%	1.6 / 6 (26%)
10th Jul '19	DWTNCS 19	5	2.2	43%	2.2 / 5 (43%)
6th Jul '19	UFC 239	16	5.4	33%	4.4 / 14 (31%)		1.0 / 2 (49%)
29th Jun '19	UFC on ESPN 3	34.5	2.4	7%	3.9 / 24.5 (16%)		-1.5 / 10 (-15%)
26th Jun '19	DWTNCS 18	9	2.0	22%	2.0 / 9 (22%)
22nd Jun '19	UFC Fight Night 154	10.8	-3.0	-28%	-3.0 / 10.8 (-28%)
22nd Jun '19	Bellator London	8.6	-4.5	-52%	-4.5 / 8.6 (-52%)
19th Jun '19	DWTNCS 17	6	-3.4	-56%	-3.4 / 6 (-56%)
14th Jun '19	Bellator 222	5.5	-1.0	-19%	-1.0 / 5.5 (-19%)
8th Jun '19	UFC 238	15	1.5	10%	0.5 / 10 (5%)		1.0 / 5 (20%)
23rd May '19	PFL 2019: Week 2	4	0.5	12%	0.5 / 4 (12%)
18th May '19	UFC Fight Night 152	11	2.8	25%	2.8 / 11 (25%)
11th May '19	UFC 237	8	-1.6	-20%	-1.6 / 8 (-20%)
4th May '19	UFC Fight Night 150	4	0.7	18%	0.7 / 4 (18%)
27th Apr '19	UFC on ESPN 3	4	1.3	33%	1.3 / 4 (33%)
20th Apr '19	UFC Fight Night 149	2	0.7	36%	0.7 / 2 (36%)
13th Apr '19	UFC 236	5	2.5	50%	2.5 / 5 (50%)

Winning Events: 28 (68%)
Losing Events: 13 (32%)

Average Staked Per Event: 16.24 units
Most Staked On One Event: 72.30 units
Best Event: 20.96 units
Worst Event: -36.00 units
Average Event: -0.07 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 9, Units: 45.55
Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -58.33

Jake Thomas: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2019	665.75	-2.9	-0%	-0.8 / 639.2 (-0%)	-2.6 / 9.55 (-28%)	0.5 / 17 (3%)	28 / 13 (68%)	-0.07

Jake Thomas: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Jake Thomas: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	507.05	-1.4	-0%	2.1 / 483.5 (0%)	-4.0 / 6.55 (-61%)	0.5 / 17 (3%)
Bellator	41.2	0.8	2%	-0.6 / 38.2 (-1%)	1.4 / 3 (45%)
PFL	59	-3.8	-6%	-3.8 / 59 (-6%)
Other	58.5	1.5	3%	1.5 / 58.5 (3%)

Jake Thomas: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	98 (83%)	78	80 %	564.40	-10.21	-0.10	-2%
Slight Favorites	14 (12%)	7	50 %	55.30	-6.96	-0.50	-13%
Slight Underdogs	6 (5%)	4	67 %	19.50	16.37	2.73	84%
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	17 (14%)	12	71 %	100.80	10.74	0.63	11%
Co-Main Event	15 (13%)	12	80 %	71.80	6.26	0.42	9%
Position 3-5	38 (32%)	26	68 %	213.30	-25.99	-0.68	-12%
6+ (Undercard)	48 (41%)	39	81 %	253.30	8.19	0.17	3%

Jake Thomas: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	11 (9%)	10	91 %	48.10	13.76	1.25	29%
Light Heavy	10 (8%)	7	70 %	37.00	-5.28	-0.53	-14%
Middleweight	12 (10%)	7	58 %	75.60	-7.95	-0.66	-11%
Welterweight	13 (11%)	11	85 %	65.90	8.48	0.65	13%
Lightweight	24 (20%)	20	83 %	144.30	3.74	0.16	3%
Featherweight	12 (10%)	9	75 %	54.00	9.93	0.83	18%
Bantamweight	12 (10%)	9	75 %	79.00	2.91	0.24	4%
Flyweight	1 (1%)	1	100 %	11.00	4.09	4.09	37%

Women's Fights	23 (19%)	15	65 %	124.30	-30.46	-1.32	-25%
Featherweight	4 (3%)	4	100 %	30.00	5.60	1.40	19%
Bantamweight	8 (7%)	4	50 %	53.20	-32.56	-4.07	-61%
Flyweight	6 (5%)	3	50 %	23.10	-2.59	-0.43	-11%
Strawweight	5 (4%)	4	80 %	18.00	-0.92	-0.18	-5%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	9 (100%)	7	78 %
Slight Favorites	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	9	7	78 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	1 (50%)	1	100 %
50-65%	1 (50%)	1	100 %
35-50%	0 (0%)	0	nan %
<35% chance	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	2	2	100 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	2 (100%)	2	100 %	1.54	1.65	1.45	1.1 (55%)
	2	2	100 %	1.54			1.1 (55%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Jake Thomas's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
13th Apr	UFC 236	5	2.5	50%	$5	$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,020.00
20th Apr	UFC Fight Night 149	2	0.7	36%		$10.20	$1,020.00	$1,027.29
27th Apr	UFC on ESPN 3	4	1.3	33%		$10.27	$1,027.29	$1,040.84
4th May	UFC Fight Night 150	4	0.7	18%		$10.41	$1,040.84	$1,048.25
11th May	UFC 237	8	-1.6	-20%		$10.48	$1,048.25	$1,031.58
18th May	UFC Fight Night 152	11	2.8	25%		$10.32	$1,031.58	$1,060.17
23rd May	PFL 2019: Week 2	4	0.5	12%		$10.60	$1,060.17	$1,065.47
8th Jun	UFC 238	15	1.5	10%		$10.65	$1,065.47	$1,081.29
14th Jun	Bellator 222	5.5	-1.0	-19%		$10.81	$1,081.29	$1,070.26
19th Jun	DWTNCS 17	6	-3.4	-56%		$10.70	$1,070.26	$1,034.25
22nd Jun	Bellator London	8.6	-4.5	-52%		$10.34	$1,034.25	$987.71
22nd Jun	UFC Fight Night 154	10.8	-3.0	-28%		$9.88	$987.71	$957.69
26th Jun	DWTNCS 18	9	2.0	22%		$9.58	$957.69	$976.85
29th Jun	UFC on ESPN 3	34.5	2.4	7%		$9.77	$976.85	$1,000.35
6th Jul	UFC 239	16	5.4	33%		$10.00	$1,000.35	$1,053.90
10th Jul	DWTNCS 19	5	2.2	43%		$10.54	$1,053.90	$1,076.81
11th Jul	PFL 2019: Week 4	6	1.6	26%		$10.77	$1,076.81	$1,093.60
12th Jul	Bellator 224	7.1	2.4	33%		$10.94	$1,093.60	$1,119.47
13th Jul	UFC Fight Night 155	17.2	-17.2	-100%		$11.19	$1,119.47	$926.92
17th Jul	DWCS 20	12	0.0	0%		$9.27	$926.92	$926.92
20th Jul	UFC on ESPN 4	38.1	4.3	11%		$9.27	$926.92	$966.64
24th Jul	DWCS 21	7	2.0	29%		$9.67	$966.64	$985.97
25th Jul	PFL 2019: Week 5	24	-9.6	-40%		$9.86	$985.97	$890.99
27th Jul	UFC 240	72.3	21.0	29%		$8.91	$890.99	$1,077.72
31st Jul	DWCS 22	3	1.1	36%		$10.78	$1,077.72	$1,089.27
3rd Aug	UFC on ESPN 5	20.05	8.4	42%		$10.89	$1,089.27	$1,180.57
7th Aug	DWCS 23	7.7	2.4	31%		$11.81	$1,180.57	$1,208.70
8th Aug	PFL 2019: Week 6	25	3.8	15%		$12.09	$1,208.70	$1,254.20
10th Aug	UFC Fight Night 156	20.1	4.5	22%		$12.54	$1,254.20	$1,310.70
17th Aug	UFC 241	29	2.1	7%		$13.11	$1,310.70	$1,338.50
20th Aug	DWCS 25	3.8	0.3	7%		$13.39	$1,338.50	$1,341.88
24th Aug	Bellator 225	9	2.1	24%		$13.42	$1,341.88	$1,370.28
27th Aug	DWCS 26	5	-5.0	-100%		$13.70	$1,370.28	$1,301.77
31st Aug	UFC Fight Night 157	11	-6.8	-62%		$13.02	$1,301.77	$1,212.65
7th Sep	UFC 242	48	-2.2	-5%		$12.13	$1,212.65	$1,185.90
14th Sep	UFC Fight Night 158	51	-3.6	-7%		$11.86	$1,185.90	$1,143.54
21st Sep	UFC Fight Night 159	33	-4.7	-14%		$11.44	$1,143.54	$1,089.67
28th Sep	UFC Fight Night 160	36	-36.0	-100%		$10.90	$1,089.67	$697.39
28th Sep	Bellator 228	11	1.8	17%		$6.97	$697.39	$710.17
5th Oct	UFC 243	10	12.0	120%		$7.10	$710.17	$795.39
12th Oct	UFC on ESPN+ 19	11	4.2	38%		$7.95	$795.39	$829.04

ROI % from starting bank balance: -17.10% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Jake Thomas: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Oct '19	Marvin Vettori	Andrew Sanchez	1.38	11	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Sep '19	A.J. McKee	Georgi Karakhanyan	1.17	11	TKO, R1 (0:8)
3.	Sep '19	Irene Aldana	Vanessa Melo	1.20	11	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Sep '19	Sergio Pettis	Tyson Nam	1.37	11	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Sep '19	Austin Hubbard	Kyle Prepolec	1.48	7	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Sep '19	Justin Gaethje	Donald Cerrone	1.53	11	TKO, R1 (4:18)
7.	Sep '19	Miles Johns	Cole Smith	1.84	11	Split Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Sep '19	Curtis Blaydes	Shamil Abdurakhimov	1.31	11	TKO, R2 (2:22)
9.	Sep '19	Khabib Nurmagomedov	Dustin Poirier	1.29	11	Sub, R3 (2:6)
10.	Aug '19	Damir Ismagulov	Thiago Moises	1.38	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Aug '19	Nick Newell	Corey Browning	1.26	4	Sub, R1 (3:15)
12.	Aug '19	Tyrell Fortune	Rudy Schaffroth	1.21	5	Sub, R2 (2:8)
13.	Aug '19	Mallory Martin	Micol DiSegni	1.35	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Sep '19	Belal Muhammad	Takashi Sato	1.38	3	Sub, R3 (1:55)
15.	Sep '19	Curtis Blaydes	Shamil Abdurakhimov	1.35	3	TKO, R2 (2:22)
16.	Oct '19	Israel Adesanya	Robert Whittaker	2.20	10	TKO, R2 (3:33)
17.	Aug '19	Cory Sandhagen	Raphael Assuncao	1.67	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Aug '19	Hannah Cifers	Jodie Esquibel	1.40	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Aug '19	Umar Nurmagomedov	Sidemar Honorio	1.07	11	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Aug '19	Vinny Magalhaes	Rakim Cleveland	1.30	4	Sub, R1 (1:56)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Sep '19	Jack Hermansson	Jared Cannonier	1.38	7	TKO, R2 (0:27)	No
2.	Sep '19	Michal Oleksiejczuk	Ovince St Preux	1.42	7	Sub, R2 (2:46)	No
3.	Sep '19	Macy Chiasson	Lina Lansberg	1.22	11	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Sep '19	Macy Chiasson	Lina Lansberg	1.27	11	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Sep '19	Sijara Eubanks	Bethe Correia	1.38	11	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Sep '19	Michel Pereira	Tristan Connelly	1.19	11	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Sep '19	Antonio Carlos Junior	Urijah Hall	1.62	11	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Sep '19	Mairbek Taisumov	Carlos Diego Ferreira	1.37	11	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Aug '19	Kailan Hill	Impa Kasanganay	1.29	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Aug '19	Khadis Ibragimov	Da Un Jung	1.36	3	Sub, R3 (2:0)	No
11.	Sep '19	Andrea Lee	Joanne Wood	1.55	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Aug '19	Jessica Andrade	Weili Zhang	1.56	5	TKO, R1 (0:42)	No
13.	Aug '19	Phil Caracappa	Ricky Steele	2.35	0.8	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Aug '19	Devonte Smith	Khama Worthy	1.14	7	TKO, R1 (4:15)	No
15.	Aug '19	Ian Heinisch	Derek Brunson	1.52	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Jul '19	Rashid Magomedov	Nate Andrews	1.15	11	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Jul '19	Ricardo Prasel	Don'tale Mayes	2.35	2	TKO, R1 (4:59)	No
18.	Jul '19	Domingo Pilarte	Felipe Colares	1.34	10	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Jul '19	Aspen Ladd	Germaine de Randamie	1.63	3.2	TKO, R1 (0:16)	No
20.	Jul '19	Ricky Simon	Urijah Faber	1.36	9	TKO, R1 (0:46)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Jake Thomas: Progress Chart

Chart

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