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MMA Handicapper Stats: wolf man

wolf man (wolfeman3)


MMA MHandicapper - wolf man

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 9 (39%) Right 4 (50%) Right 2 (100%) Right 3 (23%)
Wrong 14 (61%) Wrong 4 (50%) Wrong 0 (0%) Wrong 10 (77%)
Avg Odds 1.92 Avg Odds 1.50 Avg Odds 1.42 Avg Odds 2.48
Units Bet 55.6 Units Bet 34.8 Units Bet 8.0 Units Bet 12.8
Avg Bet 2.42 Avg Bet 4.34 Avg Bet 4.00 Avg Bet 0.98
Units Profit -5.35 Units Profit -6.13 Units Profit 3.46 Units Profit -2.68
ROI % -10% ROI % -18% ROI % 43% ROI % -21%
View Handicapper's Profile

wolf man: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
14th Jun '19 Bellator 222 5.75 -5.8 -100% -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%) -2.3 / 2.25 (-100%)
8th Jun '19 UFC 238 7.1 -5.5 -77% -5.8 / 5.75 (-100%) 0.3 / 1.35 (20%)
6th Jun '19 PFL 2019: Week 3 1.3 -1.3 -100% -1.3 / 1.3 (-100%)
1st Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 153 3.75 0.4 10% 1.1 / 3 (38%) -0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)
18th May '19 UFC Fight Night 152 5.8 2.6 45% 2.3 / 5 (47%) 0.3 / 0.8 (36%)
11th May '19 UFC 237 8.35 3.2 38% 0.6 / 3.5 (17%) 2.6 / 4.85 (53%)
11th May '19 Bellator 221 8 1.5 19% 1.5 / 8 (19%)
4th May '19 UFC Fight Night 150 2.5 -2.5 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
27th Apr '19 UFC on ESPN 3 6.5 1.0 15% 1.5 / 6 (25%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
13th Apr '19 UFC 236 6.5 1.0 15% 1.5 / 6 (25%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)


Winning Events: 6 (60%)
Losing Events: 4 (40%)

Average Staked Per Event: 5.56 units
Most Staked On One Event: 8.35 units
Best Event: 3.17 units
Worst Event: -5.75 units
Average Event: -0.54 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 7.68
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -12.54

wolf man: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 55.55 -5.4 -10% -6.1 / 34.75 (-18%) 3.5 / 8 (43%) -2.7 / 12.8 (-21%) 6 / 4 (60%) -0.54

wolf man: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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wolf man: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 40.5 0.2 0% -4.1 / 23.25 (-18%) 3.5 / 8 (43%) 0.9 / 9.25 (9%)
Bellator 13.75 -4.2 -31% -2.0 / 11.5 (-17%) -2.3 / 2.25 (-100%)
PFL 1.3 -1.3 -100% -1.3 / 1.3 (-100%)

wolf man: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 4 (44%) 4 100 % 23.00 5.62 1.41 24%
Slight Favorites 4 (44%) 0 0 % 11.25 -11.25 -2.81 -100%
Slight Underdogs 1 (11%) 0 0 % 0.50 -0.50 -0.50 -100%
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan % 0.00 0.00 nan nan%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 1 (11%) 0 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -2.00 -100%
Co-Main Event 0 (0%) 0 nan % 0.00 0.00 nan nan%
Position 3-5 2 (22%) 2 100 % 11.00 2.62 1.31 24%
6+ (Undercard) 6 (67%) 2 33 % 21.75 -6.75 -1.13 -31%

wolf man: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 1 (11%) 1 100 % 8.00 1.51 1.51 19%
Middleweight 2 (22%) 0 % 5.75 -5.75 -2.88 -100%
Welterweight 1 (11%) 0 % 0.50 -0.50 -0.50 -100%
Lightweight 2 (22%) 1 50 % 8.00 -0.50 -0.25 -6%
Bantamweight 2 (22%) 1 50 % 9.50 -2.00 -1.00 -21%
               
Women's Fights 1 (11%) 1 100 % 3.00 1.11 1.11 37%
Bantamweight 1 (11%) 1 100 % 3.00 1.11 1.11 37%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 13 (87%) 12 92 %
Slight Favorites 1 (7%) 0 0 %
Slight Underdogs 1 (7%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
15 12 80 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 7 (41%) 4 57 %
50-65% 2 (12%) 0 0 %
35-50% 4 (24%) 1 25 %
<35% chance 4 (24%) 0 0 %
17 5 29 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Goes to Decision 1 (6%) 1 100 % 1.28 1.28Pick was correct 1.28Pick was correct 0.3 (28%)
Does not go to Decision 6 (35%) 2 33 % 1.40 1.69Pick was incorrect 1.18Pick was incorrect -3.4 (-56%)
Fight Starts Round X 1 (6%) 0 0 % 1.33 1.33Pick was incorrect 1.33Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO 1 (6%) 0 0 % 3.15 3.15Pick was incorrect 3.15Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance 8 (47%) 2 25 % 2.48 3.55Pick was incorrect 1.47Pick was correct -4.4 (-56%)
17 5 29 % 1.81     -9.6 (-56%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail wolf man's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
13th Apr UFC 236 6.5 1.0 15% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,010.00
27th Apr UFC on ESPN 3 6.5 1.0 15% $10.10 $1,010.00 $1,020.10
4th May UFC Fight Night 150 2.5 -2.5 -100% $10.20 $1,020.10 $994.60
11th May Bellator 221 8 1.5 19% $9.95 $994.60 $1,009.61
11th May UFC 237 8.35 3.2 38% $10.10 $1,009.61 $1,041.65
18th May UFC Fight Night 152 5.8 2.6 45% $10.42 $1,041.65 $1,068.90
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 153 3.75 0.4 10% $10.69 $1,068.90 $1,072.98
6th Jun PFL 2019: Week 3 1.3 -1.3 -100% $10.73 $1,072.98 $1,059.04
8th Jun UFC 238 7.1 -5.5 -77% $10.59 $1,059.04 $1,000.94
14th Jun Bellator 222 5.75 -5.8 -100% $10.01 $1,000.94 $943.39


ROI % from starting bank balance: -5.66% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

wolf man: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. May '19 Irene Aldana Bethe Correia 1.37 3 Sub, R3 (3:24) MMA Bookmaker
2. May '19 Jake Hager T.J. Jones 1.19 8 Sub, R1 (2:36) MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '19 Roosevelt Roberts Thomas Gifford 1.25 6 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Apr '19 Montel Jackson Andre Soukhamthath 1.25 6 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Jun '19 Darrion Caldwell Kyoji Horiguchi 1.77 3.5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Jun '19 Bevon Lewis Darren Stewart 1.65 1.75 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Jun '19 Bevon Lewis Darren Stewart 1.57 4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. May '19 Sergio Moraes Warlley Alves 2.30 0.5 TKO, R3 (4:13) No MMA Bookmaker
5. May '19 Al Iaquinta Donald Cerrone 1.87 2 U Decision (5 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

wolf man: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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