MMA Handicapper Stats: THE UFC GAMBLER |
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THE UFC GAMBLER: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
| Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
| 11th May '19 |
UFC 237 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
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| 13th Apr '19 |
UFC 236 |
2 |
1.1 |
53% |
1.1 / 2 (53%) |
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| 30th Mar '19 |
UFC on ESPN 2 |
1 |
1.5 |
145% |
1.5 / 1 (145%) |
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| 23rd Mar '19 |
UFC Fight Night 148 |
32 |
-20.2 |
-63% |
-20.2 / 32 (-63%) |
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| 16th Mar '19 |
UFC Fight Night 147 |
17.5 |
-5.6 |
-32% |
-4.1 / 14 (-29%) |
-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) |
1.0 / 1 (97%) |
| 9th Mar '19 |
UFC Fight Night 146 |
4 |
-1.4 |
-35% |
-1.4 / 4 (-35%) |
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| 2nd Mar '19 |
UFC 235 |
4 |
2.5 |
62% |
1.5 / 1 (145%) |
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1.0 / 3 (35%) |
| 23rd Feb '19 |
UFC Fight Night 145 |
19 |
-2.7 |
-14% |
-3.8 / 16 (-24%) |
|
1.0 / 3 (35%) |
| 17th Feb '19 |
UFC on ESPN 1 |
12.5 |
2.8 |
23% |
2.8 / 12.5 (23%) |
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| 9th Feb '19 |
UFC 234 |
8.5 |
3.0 |
36% |
3.0 / 8.5 (36%) |
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| 2nd Feb '19 |
UFC Fight Night 144 |
8 |
1.2 |
15% |
1.2 / 8 (15%) |
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| 19th Jan '19 |
UFC on ESPN+ 1 |
5.85 |
-1.9 |
-32% |
-0.6 / 3.85 (-15%) |
-0.3 / 1 (-33%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
| 29th Dec '18 |
UFC 232 |
10.15 |
2.0 |
20% |
2.0 / 10.15 (20%) |
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Winning Events: 7 (54%)
Losing Events: 6 (46%)
Average Staked Per Event: 9.65 units
Most Staked On One Event: 32.00 units
Best Event: 3.03 units
Worst Event: -20.24 units
Average Event: -1.45 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 7.09
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -27.28 |
THE UFC GAMBLER: Year on Year Profit |
| Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
| 2019 |
115.35 |
-20.8 |
-18% |
-20.1 / 103.85 (-19%) |
-2.8 / 3.5 (-81%) |
2.1 / 8 (26%) |
6 / 6 (50%) |
-1.74 |
| 2018 |
10.15 |
2.0 |
20% |
2.0 / 10.15 (20%) |
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1 / (100%) |
2.05 |
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THE UFC GAMBLER: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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THE UFC GAMBLER: Profit / Loss by Organization |
| Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
|
UFC |
125.5 |
-18.8 |
-15% |
-18.0 / 114 (-16%) |
-2.8 / 3.5 (-81%) |
2.1 / 8 (26%) |
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THE UFC GAMBLER: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Big Favorites |
22 (29%) |
15 |
68 % |
52.75 |
-8.24 |
-0.37 |
-16% |
| Slight Favorites |
23 (30%) |
13 |
57 % |
23.30 |
-6.97 |
-0.30 |
-30% |
| Slight Underdogs |
29 (38%) |
13 |
45 % |
26.95 |
4.95 |
0.17 |
18% |
| Big Underdogs |
3 (4%) |
1 |
33 % |
11.00 |
-7.75 |
-2.58 |
-70% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Main Event |
10 (13%) |
4 |
40 % |
18.50 |
-8.64 |
-0.86 |
-47% |
| Co-Main Event |
9 (12%) |
4 |
44 % |
14.50 |
-2.90 |
-0.32 |
-20% |
| Position 3-5 |
13 (17%) |
8 |
62 % |
22.35 |
-7.23 |
-0.56 |
-32% |
| 6+ (Undercard) |
45 (58%) |
26 |
58 % |
58.65 |
0.75 |
0.02 |
1% |
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THE UFC GAMBLER: Profit by Weight Class |
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Heavyweight |
6 (8%) |
2 |
33 % |
9.10 |
-5.68 |
-0.95 |
-62% |
| Light Heavy |
7 (9%) |
6 |
86 % |
7.25 |
2.21 |
0.32 |
30% |
| Middleweight |
3 (4%) |
2 |
67 % |
3.25 |
2.50 |
0.83 |
77% |
| Welterweight |
13 (17%) |
7 |
54 % |
23.35 |
-13.03 |
-1.00 |
-56% |
| Lightweight |
12 (16%) |
6 |
50 % |
13.35 |
2.88 |
0.24 |
22% |
| Featherweight |
11 (14%) |
8 |
73 % |
19.60 |
1.12 |
0.10 |
6% |
| Bantamweight |
9 (12%) |
5 |
56 % |
11.10 |
0.72 |
0.08 |
7% |
| Flyweight |
4 (5%) |
1 |
25 % |
11.50 |
-8.90 |
-2.23 |
-77% |
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| Women's Fights |
12 (16%) |
5 |
42 % |
15.50 |
0.16 |
0.01 |
1% |
| Featherweight |
2 (3%) |
|
0 % |
1.00 |
-1.00 |
-0.50 |
-100% |
| Flyweight |
6 (8%) |
3 |
50 % |
5.00 |
-0.52 |
-0.09 |
-10% |
| Strawweight |
4 (5%) |
2 |
50 % |
9.50 |
1.68 |
0.42 |
18% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| Big Favorites |
10 (100%) |
8 |
80 % |
| Slight Favorites |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
| Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
| Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
10 |
8 |
80 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| >65% chance |
2 (67%) |
1 |
50 % |
| 50-65% |
1 (33%) |
0 |
0 % |
| 35-50% |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
| <35% chance |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
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3 |
1 |
33 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail THE UFC GAMBLER's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
| 29th Dec |
UFC 232 |
10.15 |
2.0 |
20% |
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$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,020.48 |
| 19th Jan |
UFC on ESPN+ 1 |
5.85 |
-1.9 |
-32% |
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$10.20 |
$1,020.48 |
$1,001.12 |
| 2nd Feb |
UFC Fight Night 144 |
8 |
1.2 |
15% |
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$10.01 |
$1,001.12 |
$1,013.40 |
| 9th Feb |
UFC 234 |
8.5 |
3.0 |
36% |
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$10.13 |
$1,013.40 |
$1,044.07 |
| 17th Feb |
UFC on ESPN 1 |
12.5 |
2.8 |
23% |
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$10.44 |
$1,044.07 |
$1,073.65 |
| 23rd Feb |
UFC Fight Night 145 |
19 |
-2.7 |
-14% |
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$10.74 |
$1,073.65 |
$1,044.24 |
| 2nd Mar |
UFC 235 |
4 |
2.5 |
62% |
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$10.44 |
$1,044.24 |
$1,070.23 |
| 9th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 146 |
4 |
-1.4 |
-35% |
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$10.70 |
$1,070.23 |
$1,055.25 |
| 16th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 147 |
17.5 |
-5.6 |
-32% |
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$10.55 |
$1,055.25 |
$995.68 |
| 23rd Mar |
UFC Fight Night 148 |
32 |
-20.2 |
-63% |
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$9.96 |
$995.68 |
$794.20 |
| 30th Mar |
UFC on ESPN 2 |
1 |
1.5 |
145% |
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$7.94 |
$794.20 |
$805.71 |
| 13th Apr |
UFC 236 |
2 |
1.1 |
53% |
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$8.06 |
$805.71 |
$814.19 |
| 11th May |
UFC 237 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
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$8.14 |
$814.19 |
$806.05 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -19.39% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
THE UFC GAMBLER: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
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Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
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| 1. |
Mar '19 |
Chris Gutierrez |
Ryan MacDonald |
2.10 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 2. |
Mar '19 |
Maycee Barber |
J.J. Aldrich |
1.51 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (3:1) |
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| 3. |
Mar '19 |
Marc Diakiese |
Joseph Duffy |
2.80 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 4. |
Mar '19 |
Leon Edwards |
Gunnar Nelson |
1.80 |
2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 5. |
Mar '19 |
Arnold Allen |
Jordan Rinaldi |
1.74 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 6. |
Apr '19 |
Israel Adesanya |
Kelvin Gastelum |
1.53 |
2 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
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| 7. |
Mar '19 |
Justin Gaethje |
Edson Barboza |
2.45 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (2:30) |
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| 8. |
Mar '19 |
Matt Schnell |
Louis Smolka |
2.60 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (3:18) |
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| 9. |
Feb '19 |
Gillian Robertson |
Veronica Macedo |
1.71 |
0.5 |
Sub, R2 (3:27) |
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| 10. |
Feb '19 |
Magomed Ankalaev |
Klidson Farias de Abreu |
1.51 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 11. |
Feb '19 |
Petr Yan |
John Dodson |
1.41 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 12. |
Feb '19 |
Chris Fishgold |
Daniel Teymur |
1.53 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (1:10) |
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| 13. |
Feb '19 |
Dwight Grant |
Carlo Pedersoli Jr. |
2.10 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (4:59) |
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| 14. |
Feb '19 |
Damir Hadzovic |
Marco Polo Reyes |
2.00 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (2:3) |
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| 15. |
Feb '19 |
Andrea Lee |
Ashlee Evans-Smith |
1.61 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 16. |
Feb '19 |
Shane Young |
Austin Arnett |
1.40 |
2.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 17. |
Feb '19 |
Jim Crute |
Sam Alvey |
1.80 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (2:49) |
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| 18. |
Feb '19 |
Montana De La Rosa |
Nadia Kassem |
1.44 |
2.5 |
Sub, R2 (2:37) |
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| 19. |
Feb '19 |
Kyung Ho Kang |
Teruto Ishihara |
1.31 |
2 |
Sub, R1 (3:59) |
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| 20. |
Mar '19 |
Kamaru Usman |
Tyron Woodley |
2.45 |
1 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
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Last 20 Losses
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Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
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| 1. |
Mar '19 |
Eric Shelton |
Jordan Espinosa |
1.53 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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| 2. |
Mar '19 |
Deiveson Figueiredo |
Jussier Formiga |
1.69 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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| 3. |
Mar '19 |
Steven Peterson |
Luis Pena |
3.10 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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| 4. |
Mar '19 |
Justin Willis |
Curtis Blaydes |
3.35 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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| 5. |
Mar '19 |
Stephen Thompson |
Anthony Pettis |
1.23 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (4:55) |
No |
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| 6. |
Mar '19 |
Nad Narimani |
Mike Grundy |
1.74 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (4:42) |
No |
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| 7. |
Mar '19 |
Danny Henry |
Dan Ige |
2.10 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (1:17) |
No |
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| 8. |
Mar '19 |
Danny Roberts |
Claudio Silva |
2.40 |
1 |
Sub, R3 (2:37) |
No |
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| 9. |
Mar '19 |
Darren Till |
Jorge Masvidal |
1.47 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (3:5) |
No |
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| 10. |
Mar '19 |
Curtis Millender |
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos |
2.15 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (2:35) |
No |
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| 11. |
Feb '19 |
Rustam Khabilov |
Carlos Diego Ferreira |
1.87 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
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| 12. |
Feb '19 |
Marcos Rogerio de Lima |
Stefan Struve |
1.83 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (2:21) |
No |
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| 13. |
Feb '19 |
Michel Prazeres |
Ismail Naurdiev |
1.25 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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| 14. |
Feb '19 |
Lucie Pudilova |
Liz Carmouche |
2.25 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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| 15. |
Feb '19 |
Jan Blachowicz |
Thiago Santos |
2.40 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (0:39) |
No |
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| 16. |
Feb '19 |
Scott Holtzman |
Nik Lentz |
1.59 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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| 17. |
Feb '19 |
Alexandra Albu |
Emily Whitmire |
1.77 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (1:1) |
No |
|
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| 18. |
Mar '19 |
Ben Rothwell |
Blagoy Ivanov |
2.00 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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| 19. |
Feb '19 |
Renan Barao |
Luke Sanders |
2.70 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (1:1) |
No |
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| 20. |
Feb '19 |
Wuliji Buren |
Jonathan Martinez |
2.65 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
THE UFC GAMBLER: Progress Chart |
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