MMA Handicapper Stats: Capnap |
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Capnap : Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
13th Dec '20 |
UFC 256 |
6.5 |
-3.9 |
-60% |
-4.5 / 4.5 (-100%) |
0.6 / 2 (31%) |
|
6th Dec '20 |
UFC Vegas 16 |
35 |
-17.1 |
-49% |
-13.0 / 13 (-100%) |
-0.6 / 11 (-5%) |
-3.5 / 11 (-32%) |
16th Mar '19 |
UFC Fight Night 147 |
45 |
-12.7 |
-28% |
1.8 / 26 (7%) |
1.5 / 3 (50%) |
-16.0 / 16 (-100%) |
9th Mar '19 |
UFC Fight Night 146 |
32 |
11.8 |
37% |
5.6 / 12 (46%) |
|
6.3 / 20 (31%) |
2nd Mar '19 |
UFC 235 |
56 |
-49.6 |
-89% |
-28.0 / 28 (-100%) |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
-19.6 / 26 (-75%) |
23rd Feb '19 |
UFC Fight Night 145 |
32.5 |
-6.7 |
-21% |
0.0 / 18.5 (0%) |
|
-6.7 / 14 (-48%) |
17th Feb '19 |
UFC on ESPN 1 |
52 |
31.6 |
61% |
15.2 / 25 (61%) |
|
16.3 / 27 (60%) |
16th Feb '19 |
Bellator 216 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
|
|
9th Feb '19 |
UFC 234 |
36 |
-19.9 |
-55% |
-10.0 / 10 (-100%) |
-2.6 / 6 (-43%) |
-7.3 / 20 (-37%) |
2nd Feb '19 |
UFC Fight Night 144 |
36.5 |
12.4 |
34% |
11.0 / 24.5 (45%) |
|
1.5 / 12 (12%) |
26th Jan '19 |
Bellator Los Angeles |
2.5 |
-2.5 |
-100% |
-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) |
|
|
19th Jan '19 |
UFC on ESPN+ 1 |
42.5 |
40.8 |
96% |
24.6 / 29.5 (83%) |
2.4 / 4 (61%) |
13.8 / 9 (153%) |
29th Dec '18 |
UFC 232 |
38.78 |
-3.0 |
-8% |
-3.0 / 38.78 (-8%) |
|
|
15th Dec '18 |
UFC Fight Night Milwaukee |
28 |
10.4 |
37% |
-0.1 / 21 (-0%) |
|
10.5 / 7 (151%) |
8th Dec '18 |
UFC 231 |
67.25 |
14.1 |
21% |
2.3 / 40 (6%) |
27.8 / 11.25 (247%) |
-16.0 / 16 (-100%) |
1st Dec '18 |
UFC Fight Night 142 |
52 |
-36.4 |
-70% |
-19.4 / 35 (-55%) |
-6.0 / 6 (-100%) |
-11.0 / 11 (-100%) |
30th Nov '18 |
TUF Finale |
40 |
-1.7 |
-4% |
-7.0 / 30 (-23%) |
|
5.3 / 10 (53%) |
Winning Events: 6 (35%) Losing Events: 11 (65%)
Average Staked Per Event: 35.74 units Most Staked On One Event: 67.25 units Best Event: 40.77 units Worst Event: -49.60 units Average Event: -2.19 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 40.77 Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -56.27 |
Capnap : Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2020 |
41.5 |
-21.0 |
-51% |
-17.5 / 17.5 (-100%) |
0.0 / 13 (0%) |
-3.5 / 11 (-32%) |
/ 2 (0%) |
-10.49 |
2019 |
340 |
0.2 |
0% |
12.6 / 181 (7%) |
-0.6 / 15 (-4%) |
-11.8 / 144 (-8%) |
4 / 6 (40%) |
0.02 |
2018 |
226.03 |
-16.5 |
-7% |
-27.1 / 164.78 (-16%) |
21.8 / 17.25 (126%) |
-11.1 / 44 (-25%) |
2 / 3 (40%) |
-3.30 |
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Capnap : Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Capnap : Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
600.03 |
-29.8 |
-5% |
-24.5 / 355.78 (-7%) |
21.1 / 45.25 (47%) |
-26.4 / 199 (-13%) |
Bellator |
7.5 |
-7.5 |
-100% |
-7.5 / 7.5 (-100%) |
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Capnap : Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
1 (1%) |
1 |
100 % |
5.00 |
2.50 |
2.50 |
50% |
Slight Favorites |
26 (32%) |
15 |
58 % |
130.78 |
-5.62 |
-0.22 |
-4% |
Slight Underdogs |
36 (44%) |
15 |
42 % |
170.50 |
-1.45 |
-0.04 |
-1% |
Big Underdogs |
19 (23%) |
4 |
21 % |
57.00 |
-27.40 |
-1.44 |
-48% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
13 (16%) |
5 |
38 % |
58.00 |
-3.02 |
-0.23 |
-5% |
Co-Main Event |
9 (11%) |
6 |
67 % |
37.50 |
16.08 |
1.79 |
43% |
Position 3-5 |
20 (24%) |
7 |
35 % |
82.28 |
-28.10 |
-1.40 |
-34% |
6+ (Undercard) |
40 (49%) |
17 |
43 % |
185.50 |
-16.94 |
-0.42 |
-9% |
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Capnap : Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
8 (10%) |
5 |
63 % |
31.50 |
12.20 |
1.52 |
39% |
Light Heavy |
11 (13%) |
3 |
27 % |
50.00 |
-23.80 |
-2.16 |
-48% |
Middleweight |
8 (10%) |
3 |
38 % |
41.00 |
-8.00 |
-1.00 |
-20% |
Welterweight |
12 (15%) |
6 |
50 % |
48.50 |
1.74 |
0.14 |
4% |
Lightweight |
14 (17%) |
6 |
43 % |
57.00 |
3.62 |
0.26 |
6% |
Featherweight |
12 (15%) |
6 |
50 % |
59.78 |
-0.58 |
-0.05 |
-1% |
Bantamweight |
7 (9%) |
2 |
29 % |
30.00 |
-7.65 |
-1.09 |
-26% |
Flyweight |
4 (5%) |
1 |
25 % |
17.50 |
-4.25 |
-1.06 |
-24% |
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|
|
|
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Women's Fights |
6 (7%) |
3 |
50 % |
28.00 |
-5.25 |
-0.88 |
-19% |
Featherweight |
2 (2%) |
2 |
100 % |
7.00 |
7.81 |
3.90 |
112% |
Flyweight |
4 (5%) |
1 |
25 % |
21.00 |
-13.06 |
-3.26 |
-62% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
87 (48%) |
58 |
67 % |
Slight Favorites |
36 (20%) |
23 |
64 % |
Slight Underdogs |
51 (28%) |
20 |
39 % |
Big Underdogs |
8 (4%) |
2 |
25 % |
|
182 |
103 |
57 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
50-65% |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
35-50% |
1 (10%) |
1 |
100 % |
<35% chance |
9 (90%) |
2 |
22 % |
|
10 |
3 |
30 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Capnap 's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
30th Nov |
TUF Finale |
40 |
-1.7 |
-4% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$983.39 |
1st Dec |
UFC Fight Night 142 |
52 |
-36.4 |
-70% |
|
$9.83 |
$983.39 |
$625.68 |
8th Dec |
UFC 231 |
67.25 |
14.1 |
21% |
|
$6.26 |
$625.68 |
$713.81 |
15th Dec |
UFC Fight Night Milwaukee |
28 |
10.4 |
37% |
|
$7.14 |
$713.81 |
$788.36 |
29th Dec |
UFC 232 |
38.78 |
-3.0 |
-8% |
|
$7.88 |
$788.36 |
$764.66 |
19th Jan |
UFC on ESPN+ 1 |
42.5 |
40.8 |
96% |
|
$7.65 |
$764.66 |
$1,076.45 |
26th Jan |
Bellator Los Angeles |
2.5 |
-2.5 |
-100% |
|
$10.76 |
$1,076.45 |
$1,049.54 |
2nd Feb |
UFC Fight Night 144 |
36.5 |
12.4 |
34% |
|
$10.50 |
$1,049.54 |
$1,179.95 |
9th Feb |
UFC 234 |
36 |
-19.9 |
-55% |
|
$11.80 |
$1,179.95 |
$944.99 |
16th Feb |
Bellator 216 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.45 |
$944.99 |
$897.74 |
17th Feb |
UFC on ESPN 1 |
52 |
31.6 |
61% |
|
$8.98 |
$897.74 |
$1,181.26 |
23rd Feb |
UFC Fight Night 145 |
32.5 |
-6.7 |
-21% |
|
$11.81 |
$1,181.26 |
$1,102.48 |
2nd Mar |
UFC 235 |
56 |
-49.6 |
-89% |
|
$11.02 |
$1,102.48 |
$555.60 |
9th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 146 |
32 |
11.8 |
37% |
$10 |
$5.56 |
$555.60 |
$611.30 |
16th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 147 |
45 |
-12.7 |
-28% |
$10 |
$6.11 |
$611.30 |
$523.66 |
6th Dec |
UFC Vegas 16 |
35 |
-17.1 |
-49% |
|
$5.24 |
$523.66 |
$434.16 |
13th Dec |
UFC 256 |
6.5 |
-3.9 |
-60% |
|
$4.34 |
$434.16 |
$417.30 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -58.27% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Capnap : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Mar '19 |
Mike Grundy |
Nad Narimani |
2.90 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (4:42) |
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|
2. |
Mar '19 |
Saparbek Safarov |
Nick Negumereanu |
2.75 |
4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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|
3. |
Mar '19 |
Marc Diakiese |
Joseph Duffy |
2.70 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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|
4. |
Mar '19 |
Niko Price |
Tim Means |
2.60 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (4:50) |
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5. |
Mar '19 |
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos |
Curtis Millender |
1.95 |
5 |
Sub, R1 (2:35) |
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|
6. |
Feb '19 |
Stefan Struve |
Marcos Rogerio de Lima |
2.10 |
5 |
Sub, R2 (2:21) |
|
|
7. |
Feb '19 |
Ismail Naurdiev |
Michel Prazeres |
4.00 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
8. |
Feb '19 |
Andre Fili |
Myles Jury |
2.60 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
9. |
Feb '19 |
Aljamain Sterling |
Jimmie Rivera |
2.60 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
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10. |
Feb '19 |
Markus Perez |
Anthony Hernandez |
2.80 |
5 |
Sub, R2 (1:7) |
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|
11. |
Feb '19 |
Charles Oliveira |
David Teymur |
2.30 |
4 |
Sub, R2 (0:55) |
|
|
12. |
Feb '19 |
Francis Ngannou |
Cain Velasquez |
2.85 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (0:26) |
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|
13. |
Feb '19 |
Jose Aldo |
Renato Moicano |
2.45 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (0:44) |
|
|
14. |
Jan '19 |
Paige VanZant |
Rachael Ostovich |
1.59 |
5 |
Sub, R2 (1:50) |
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15. |
Jan '19 |
Dennis Bermudez |
Te Edwards |
1.83 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
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16. |
Jan '19 |
Geoff Neal |
Belal Muhammad |
1.65 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
17. |
Jan '19 |
Donald Cerrone |
Alexander Hernandez |
2.65 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (3:43) |
|
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18. |
Jan '19 |
Allen Crowder |
Greg Hardy |
4.50 |
0.5 |
|
|
|
19. |
Jan '19 |
Henry Cejudo |
T.J. Dillashaw |
2.65 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (0:32) |
|
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20. |
Dec '18 |
Curtis Millender |
Siyar Bahadurzada |
1.65 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Capnap : Progress Chart |
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