MMA Handicapper Stats: UFC Dummies |
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UFC Dummies: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
1st Dec '18 |
UFC Fight Night 142 |
64 |
13.9 |
22% |
10.8 / 25 (43%) |
-1.8 / 34 (-5%) |
4.9 / 5 (99%) |
10th Nov '18 |
UFC Fight Night Denver |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
|
3rd Nov '18 |
UFC 230 |
37 |
6.5 |
18% |
7.3 / 14 (52%) |
4.3 / 11 (39%) |
-5.1 / 12 (-42%) |
27th Oct '18 |
UFC Fight Night 138 |
35.2 |
-30.2 |
-86% |
-19.0 / 24 (-79%) |
-8.2 / 8.2 (-100%) |
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
13th Oct '18 |
Bellator 208 |
32 |
-8.4 |
-26% |
-7.0 / 14 (-50%) |
1.7 / 15 (11%) |
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
12th Oct '18 |
Bellator 207 |
31.2 |
-8.2 |
-26% |
0.2 / 4 (5%) |
1.6 / 17.2 (9%) |
-10.0 / 10 (-100%) |
6th Oct '18 |
UFC 229 |
39 |
3.6 |
9% |
-0.1 / 24 (-0%) |
1.6 / 5 (32%) |
2.1 / 10 (21%) |
29th Sep '18 |
Bellator 206 |
29 |
18.5 |
64% |
2.1 / 5 (41%) |
6.7 / 14 (48%) |
9.8 / 10 (98%) |
22nd Sep '18 |
UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo |
69 |
67.6 |
98% |
9.4 / 18 (52%) |
42.6 / 36 (118%) |
15.6 / 15 (104%) |
15th Sep '18 |
UFC FIght Night Moscow |
23.4 |
-12.5 |
-53% |
-0.2 / 4.5 (-4%) |
-11.4 / 15.8 (-72%) |
-0.9 / 3.1 (-30%) |
8th Sep '18 |
UFC 228 |
26.55 |
6.5 |
25% |
3.5 / 9.55 (37%) |
0.7 / 14.7 (5%) |
2.3 / 2.3 (101%) |
Winning Events: 6 (55%) Losing Events: 5 (45%)
Average Staked Per Event: 35.58 units Most Staked On One Event: 69.00 units Best Event: 67.56 units Worst Event: -30.20 units Average Event: 4.76 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 89.70 Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -46.79 |
UFC Dummies: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2018 |
391.35 |
52.3 |
13% |
6.9 / 142.05 (5%) |
32.7 / 175.9 (19%) |
12.8 / 73.4 (17%) |
6 / 5 (55%) |
4.76 |
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UFC Dummies: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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UFC Dummies: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
299.15 |
50.4 |
17% |
11.7 / 119.05 (10%) |
22.8 / 129.7 (18%) |
16.0 / 50.4 (32%) |
Bellator |
92.2 |
1.9 |
2% |
-4.8 / 23 (-21%) |
9.9 / 46.2 (21%) |
-3.2 / 23 (-14%) |
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UFC Dummies: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
5 (15%) |
4 |
80 % |
40.00 |
11.06 |
2.21 |
28% |
Slight Favorites |
11 (32%) |
7 |
64 % |
62.55 |
-4.38 |
-0.40 |
-7% |
Slight Underdogs |
8 (24%) |
4 |
50 % |
22.00 |
-1.75 |
-0.22 |
-8% |
Big Underdogs |
10 (29%) |
2 |
20 % |
17.50 |
1.95 |
0.20 |
11% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
5 (15%) |
3 |
60 % |
34.30 |
3.15 |
0.63 |
9% |
Co-Main Event |
1 (3%) |
1 |
100 % |
2.00 |
2.30 |
2.30 |
115% |
Position 3-5 |
13 (38%) |
5 |
38 % |
46.00 |
-1.64 |
-0.13 |
-4% |
6+ (Undercard) |
15 (44%) |
8 |
53 % |
59.75 |
3.08 |
0.21 |
5% |
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UFC Dummies: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
3 (9%) |
1 |
33 % |
22.00 |
-5.10 |
-1.70 |
-23% |
Light Heavy |
6 (18%) |
3 |
50 % |
31.00 |
-0.38 |
-0.06 |
-1% |
Middleweight |
5 (15%) |
2 |
40 % |
18.00 |
2.96 |
0.59 |
16% |
Welterweight |
8 (24%) |
3 |
38 % |
23.95 |
-8.44 |
-1.05 |
-35% |
Lightweight |
6 (18%) |
4 |
67 % |
30.00 |
10.71 |
1.79 |
36% |
Featherweight |
1 (3%) |
1 |
100 % |
2.00 |
5.30 |
5.30 |
265% |
Bantamweight |
2 (6%) |
1 |
50 % |
3.10 |
1.50 |
0.75 |
48% |
Flyweight |
1 (3%) |
1 |
100 % |
2.00 |
2.70 |
2.70 |
135% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
2 (6%) |
1 |
50 % |
10.00 |
-2.37 |
-1.18 |
-24% |
Bantamweight |
1 (3%) |
1 |
100 % |
5.00 |
2.63 |
2.63 |
53% |
Strawweight |
1 (3%) |
|
0 % |
5.00 |
-5.00 |
-5.00 |
-100% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
34 (77%) |
28 |
82 % |
Slight Favorites |
8 (18%) |
4 |
50 % |
Slight Underdogs |
2 (5%) |
1 |
50 % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
44 |
33 |
75 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
5 (8%) |
2 |
40 % |
50-65% |
27 (46%) |
14 |
52 % |
35-50% |
10 (17%) |
7 |
70 % |
<35% chance |
17 (29%) |
5 |
29 % |
|
59 |
28 |
47 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail UFC Dummies's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
8th Sep |
UFC 228 |
26.55 |
6.5 |
25% |
$50 |
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,015.07 |
15th Sep |
UFC FIght Night Moscow |
23.4 |
-12.5 |
-53% |
$50 |
$10.15 |
$1,015.07 |
$838.02 |
22nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo |
69 |
67.6 |
98% |
$50 |
$8.38 |
$838.02 |
$1,354.18 |
29th Sep |
Bellator 206 |
29 |
18.5 |
64% |
$50 |
$13.54 |
$1,354.18 |
$1,555.18 |
6th Oct |
UFC 229 |
39 |
3.6 |
9% |
$50 |
$15.55 |
$1,555.18 |
$1,561.20 |
12th Oct |
Bellator 207 |
31.2 |
-8.2 |
-26% |
$50 |
$15.61 |
$1,561.20 |
$1,382.74 |
13th Oct |
Bellator 208 |
32 |
-8.4 |
-26% |
$50 |
$13.83 |
$1,382.74 |
$1,217.10 |
27th Oct |
UFC Fight Night 138 |
35.2 |
-30.2 |
-86% |
$50 |
$12.17 |
$1,217.10 |
$799.54 |
3rd Nov |
UFC 230 |
37 |
6.5 |
18% |
$50 |
$8.00 |
$799.54 |
$801.90 |
10th Nov |
UFC Fight Night Denver |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
$50 |
$8.02 |
$801.90 |
$711.81 |
1st Dec |
UFC Fight Night 142 |
64 |
13.9 |
22% |
$50 |
$7.12 |
$711.81 |
$760.76 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -23.92% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
UFC Dummies: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Dec '18 |
Jim Crute |
Paul Craig |
1.42 |
10 |
Sub, R3 (4:51) |
|
|
2. |
Dec '18 |
Wilson Reis |
Ben Nguyen |
2.35 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
3. |
Dec '18 |
Junior dos Santos |
Tai Tuivasa |
1.69 |
10 |
TKO, R2 (2:30) |
|
|
4. |
Nov '18 |
Karl Roberson |
Jack Marshman |
1.40 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
5. |
Nov '18 |
Sheymon da Silva Moraes |
Julio Arce |
3.65 |
2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
6. |
Oct '18 |
Stevie Ray |
Jessin Ayari |
1.67 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
7. |
Oct '18 |
Anatoly Tokov |
Alexander Shlemenko |
1.74 |
4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
8. |
Oct '18 |
Mandel Nallo |
Carrington Banks |
2.10 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (0:57) |
|
|
9. |
Oct '18 |
Yana Santos |
Lina Lansberg |
1.53 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
10. |
Sep '18 |
Douglas Lima |
Andrey Koreshkov |
2.35 |
3 |
Sub, R5 (3:4) |
|
|
11. |
Sep '18 |
Francisco Trinaldo |
Evan Dunham |
1.53 |
10 |
TKO, R2 (4:12) |
|
|
12. |
Sep '18 |
Rogerio Nogueira |
Sam Alvey |
4.05 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (0:35) |
|
|
13. |
Sep '18 |
Jan Blachowicz |
Nikita Krylov |
2.15 |
2 |
Sub, R2 (2:41) |
|
|
14. |
Oct '18 |
Khabib Nurmagomedov |
Conor McGregor |
1.63 |
10 |
Sub, R4 (3:2) |
|
|
15. |
Sep '18 |
Geoff Neal |
Frank Camacho |
1.57 |
2.65 |
TKO, R2 (1:23) |
|
|
16. |
Sep '18 |
Aljamain Sterling |
Cody Stamann |
1.77 |
2.6 |
Sub, R2 (3:42) |
|
|
17. |
Sep '18 |
Tyron Woodley |
Darren Till |
1.87 |
2.3 |
Sub, R2 (4:19) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Dec '18 |
Jake Matthews |
Tony Martin |
1.91 |
3 |
Sub, R3 (1:19) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Nov '18 |
Derek Brunson |
Israel Adesanya |
3.70 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (4:51) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Oct '18 |
Alex Garcia |
Court McGee |
1.50 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Oct '18 |
Patrick Cummins |
Misha Cirkunov |
4.00 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (2:40) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Oct '18 |
Nordine Taleb |
Sean Strickland |
2.05 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (3:10) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Oct '18 |
Volkan Oezdemir |
Anthony Smith |
1.63 |
10 |
Sub, R3 (4:26) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Oct '18 |
Timothy Johnson |
Cheick Kongo |
1.77 |
10 |
TKO, R1 (3:49) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Oct '18 |
Matt Mitrione |
Ryan Bader |
3.80 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Oct '18 |
Felice Herrig |
Michelle Waterson |
1.83 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Oct '18 |
Jalin Turner |
Vicente Luque |
7.50 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (3:52) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Oct '18 |
Anthony Pettis |
Tony Ferguson |
4.05 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (5:0) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Sep '18 |
Leandro Higo |
Aaron Pico |
4.75 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (3:19) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Sep '18 |
Luis Henrique |
Ryan Spann |
2.40 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Sep '18 |
Adam Yandiev |
Jordan Johnson |
3.25 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (0:42) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Sep '18 |
Terrion Ware |
Merab Dvalishvili |
5.25 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Sep '18 |
C.B. Dollaway |
Khalid Murtazaliev |
2.50 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (5:0) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Sep '18 |
Niko Price |
Abdul Razak Alhassan |
2.25 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (0:43) |
No |
|
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* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
UFC Dummies: Progress Chart |
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