MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6371
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2341

MMA Handicapper Stats: geybear

geybear (MMANerd)

MMA MHandicapper - geybear

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	24 (62%)	Right	24 (63%)	Right	0 (nan%)	Right	0 (0%)
Wrong	15 (38%)	Wrong	14 (37%)	Wrong	0 (nan%)	Wrong	1 (100%)
Avg Odds	1.90	Avg Odds	1.90	Avg Odds	nan	Avg Odds	1.86
Units Bet	48.9	Units Bet	47.0	Units Bet	0.0	Units Bet	1.9
Avg Bet	1.25	Avg Bet	1.24	Avg Bet	nan	Avg Bet	1.85
Units Profit	6.47	Units Profit	8.32	Units Profit	0.00	Units Profit	-1.85
ROI %	13%	ROI %	18%	ROI %	nan%	ROI %	-100%

geybear : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
30th Jul '22	UFC 277	4	-0.6	-14%	-0.6 / 4 (-14%)
21st Dec '19	UFC Fight Night 165	1.85	-1.9	-100%			-1.9 / 1.85 (-100%)
28th Sep '19	UFC Fight Night 160	2.25	-2.3	-100%	-2.3 / 2.25 (-100%)
20th Jul '19	UFC on ESPN 4	3	1.5	49%	1.5 / 3 (49%)
13th Jul '19	UFC Fight Night 155	4.25	0.8	19%	0.8 / 4.25 (19%)
4th May '19	UFC Fight Night 150	5	-3.4	-68%	-3.4 / 5 (-68%)
13th Apr '19	UFC 236	3	-1.3	-42%	-1.3 / 3 (-42%)
30th Mar '19	UFC on ESPN 2	3	0.5	18%	0.5 / 3 (18%)
23rd Mar '19	UFC Fight Night 148	2	2.6	132%	2.6 / 2 (132%)
16th Mar '19	UFC Fight Night 147	1	0.7	71%	0.7 / 1 (71%)
2nd Mar '19	UFC 235	2	-2.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
23rd Feb '19	UFC Fight Night 145	1	0.8	85%	0.8 / 1 (85%)
17th Feb '19	UFC on ESPN 1	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
9th Feb '19	UFC 234	1	0.8	81%	0.8 / 1 (81%)
2nd Feb '19	UFC Fight Night 144	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
19th Jan '19	UFC on ESPN+ 1	1	0.6	61%	0.6 / 1 (61%)
29th Dec '18	UFC 232	1	1.4	135%	1.4 / 1 (135%)
15th Dec '18	UFC Fight Night Milwaukee	1	0.6	63%	0.6 / 1 (63%)
8th Dec '18	UFC 231	1	0.9	91%	0.9 / 1 (91%)
8th Sep '18	UFC 228	1.5	-1.5	-100%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
25th Aug '18	UFC Fight Night 135	2	2.4	120%	2.4 / 2 (120%)
4th Aug '18	UFC 227	1	0.8	80%	0.8 / 1 (80%)
28th Jul '18	UFC on Fox 30	1	1.1	105%	1.1 / 1 (105%)
14th Jul '18	UFC Fight Night 133	1	0.6	59%	0.6 / 1 (59%)
7th Jul '18	UFC 226	3	5.2	172%	5.2 / 3 (172%)

Winning Events: 16 (64%)
Losing Events: 9 (36%)

Average Staked Per Event: 1.95 units
Most Staked On One Event: 5.00 units
Best Event: 5.15 units
Worst Event: -3.38 units
Average Event: 0.26 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 9.99
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -4.66

geybear : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2022	4	-0.6	-14%	-0.6 / 4 (-14%)			/ 1 (0%)	-0.56
2019	32.35	-4.3	-13%	-2.5 / 30.5 (-8%)		-1.9 / 1.85 (-100%)	8 / 7 (53%)	-0.29
2018	12.5	11.4	91%	11.4 / 12.5 (91%)			8 / 1 (89%)	1.26

geybear : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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geybear : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	48.85	6.5	13%	8.3 / 47 (18%)		-1.9 / 1.85 (-100%)

geybear : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	2 (5%)	2	100 %	3.00	1.47	0.74	49%
Slight Favorites	25 (64%)	14	56 %	29.75	-5.52	-0.22	-19%
Slight Underdogs	10 (26%)	8	80 %	11.25	9.37	0.94	83%
Big Underdogs	2 (5%)	1	50 %	3.00	3.00	1.50	100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	11 (28%)	7	64 %	14.75	5.68	0.52	39%
Co-Main Event	6 (15%)	4	67 %	6.00	1.71	0.28	28%
Position 3-5	12 (31%)	8	67 %	15.25	1.15	0.10	8%
6+ (Undercard)	10 (26%)	6	60 %	11.00	-0.22	-0.02	-2%

geybear : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	4 (10%)	3	75 %	5.00	4.25	1.06	85%
Light Heavy	4 (10%)	2	50 %	5.25	-1.59	-0.40	-30%
Middleweight	2 (5%)	2	100 %	2.00	1.43	0.71	71%
Welterweight	6 (15%)	4	67 %	6.50	0.71	0.12	11%
Lightweight	5 (13%)	3	60 %	7.00	-0.28	-0.06	-4%
Featherweight	9 (23%)	6	67 %	10.00	1.81	0.20	18%
Bantamweight	3 (8%)	1	33 %	4.00	-2.20	-0.73	-55%
Flyweight	2 (5%)	1	50 %	2.00	0.33	0.17	17%

Women's Fights	4 (10%)	3	75 %	5.25	3.86	0.96	74%
Bantamweight	3 (8%)	2	67 %	4.25	2.56	0.85	60%
Strawweight	1 (3%)	1	100 %	1.00	1.30	1.30	130%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	1 (50%)	1	100 %
Slight Favorites	1 (50%)	0	0 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	2	1	50 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
50-65%	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
35-50%	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
<35% chance	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
	0	0	nan %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
	0	0	nan %	nan			0.0 (nan%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail geybear 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
7th Jul	UFC 226	3	5.2	172%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,051.50
14th Jul	UFC Fight Night 133	1	0.6	59%		$10.52	$1,051.50	$1,057.69
28th Jul	UFC on Fox 30	1	1.1	105%		$10.58	$1,057.69	$1,068.79
4th Aug	UFC 227	1	0.8	80%		$10.69	$1,068.79	$1,077.34
25th Aug	UFC Fight Night 135	2	2.4	120%		$10.77	$1,077.34	$1,103.20
8th Sep	UFC 228	1.5	-1.5	-100%		$11.03	$1,103.20	$1,086.65
8th Dec	UFC 231	1	0.9	91%		$10.87	$1,086.65	$1,096.53
15th Dec	UFC Fight Night Milwaukee	1	0.6	63%		$10.97	$1,096.53	$1,103.43
29th Dec	UFC 232	1	1.4	135%		$11.03	$1,103.43	$1,118.32
19th Jan	UFC on ESPN+ 1	1	0.6	61%		$11.18	$1,118.32	$1,125.14
2nd Feb	UFC Fight Night 144	1	-1.0	-100%		$11.25	$1,125.14	$1,113.89
9th Feb	UFC 234	1	0.8	81%		$11.14	$1,113.89	$1,122.95
17th Feb	UFC on ESPN 1	1	-1.0	-100%		$11.23	$1,122.95	$1,111.72
23rd Feb	UFC Fight Night 145	1	0.8	85%		$11.12	$1,111.72	$1,121.14
2nd Mar	UFC 235	2	-2.0	-100%		$11.21	$1,121.14	$1,098.71
16th Mar	UFC Fight Night 147	1	0.7	71%		$10.99	$1,098.71	$1,106.51
23rd Mar	UFC Fight Night 148	2	2.6	132%		$11.07	$1,106.51	$1,135.61
30th Mar	UFC on ESPN 2	3	0.5	18%		$11.36	$1,135.61	$1,141.63
13th Apr	UFC 236	3	-1.3	-42%		$11.42	$1,141.63	$1,127.25
4th May	UFC Fight Night 150	5	-3.4	-68%		$11.27	$1,127.25	$1,089.16
13th Jul	UFC Fight Night 155	4.25	0.8	19%		$10.89	$1,089.16	$1,097.77
20th Jul	UFC on ESPN 4	3	1.5	49%		$10.98	$1,097.77	$1,113.91
28th Sep	UFC Fight Night 160	2.25	-2.3	-100%		$11.14	$1,113.91	$1,088.85
21st Dec	UFC Fight Night 165	1.85	-1.9	-100%		$10.89	$1,088.85	$1,068.70
30th Jul	UFC 277	4	-0.6	-14%		$10.69	$1,068.70	$1,062.67

ROI % from starting bank balance: 6.27% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

geybear : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Jul '22	Joselyne Edwards	Ji Yeon Kim	1.77	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Jul '22	Sergey Pavlovich	Derrick Lewis	1.67	1	TKO, R1 (0:55)
3.	Jul '19	Alexander Hernandez	Francisco Trinaldo	1.49	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Jul '19	Alexander Hernandez	Francisco Trinaldo	1.49	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Jul '19	Germaine de Randamie	Aspen Ladd	2.24	2.25	TKO, R1 (0:16)
6.	May '19	Shane Burgos	Cub Swanson	1.62	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Apr '19	Belal Muhammad	Curtis Millender	1.74	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Mar '19	Sodiq Yusuff	Sheymon da Silva Moraes	1.73	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Mar '19	Jack Hermansson	David Branch	1.80	1	Sub, R1 (0:49)
10.	Mar '19	Jussier Formiga	Deiveson Figueiredo	2.33	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Mar '19	Randa Markos	Angela Hill	2.30	1	Sub, R1 (4:24)
12.	Mar '19	Leon Edwards	Gunnar Nelson	1.71	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Feb '19	Thiago Santos	Jan Blachowicz	1.85	1	TKO, R3 (0:39)
14.	Feb '19	Jim Crute	Sam Alvey	1.81	1	TKO, R1 (2:49)
15.	Jan '19	Geoff Neal	Belal Muhammad	1.61	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Dec '18	Alex Volkanovski	Chad Mendes	2.35	1	TKO, R2 (4:14)
17.	Dec '18	Jack Hermansson	Gerald Meerschaert	1.63	1	Sub, R1 (4:25)
18.	Dec '18	Max Holloway	Brian Ortega	1.91	1	TKO, R4 (5:0)
19.	Aug '18	Michael Johnson	Andre Fili	2.15	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Aug '18	Justin Gaethje	James Vick	2.25	1	TKO, R1 (1:27)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Jul '22	Kai Kara-France	Brandon Moreno	2.80	1	TKO, R3 (4:34)	No
2.	Jul '22	Julianna Pena	Amanda Nunes	3.15	1	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
3.	Sep '19	Khalil Rountree	Ion Cutelaba	1.91	2.25	TKO, R1 (2:35)	No
4.	Jul '19	Mirsad Bektic	Josh Emmett	1.65	2	TKO, R1 (4:25)	No
5.	May '19	Aiemann Zahabi	Vincent Morales	1.63	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	May '19	Al Iaquinta	Donald Cerrone	1.90	2	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
7.	Apr '19	Jalin Turner	Matt Frevola	1.80	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Apr '19	Alan Jouban	Dwight Grant	1.89	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Mar '19	Enrique Barzola	Kevin Aguilar	1.88	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Mar '19	Misha Cirkunov	Johnny Walker	2.42	1	TKO, R1 (0:36)	No
11.	Mar '19	Cody Garbrandt	Pedro Munhoz	1.69	1	TKO, R1 (4:52)	No
12.	Feb '19	Cain Velasquez	Francis Ngannou	1.61	1	TKO, R1 (0:26)	No
13.	Feb '19	Renato Moicano	Jose Aldo	1.75	1	TKO, R2 (0:44)	No
14.	Sep '18	Darren Till	Tyron Woodley	1.95	1.5	Sub, R2 (4:19)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

geybear : Progress Chart

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