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MMA Handicapper Stats: Larkin8

Larkin8 (8larkin8)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Larkin8

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 32 (55%) Right 23 (59%) Right 2 (100%) Right 7 (41%)
Wrong 26 (45%) Wrong 16 (41%) Wrong 0 (0%) Wrong 10 (59%)
Avg Odds 1.81 Avg Odds 1.65 Avg Odds 1.94 Avg Odds 2.28
Units Bet 79.6 Units Bet 65.0 Units Bet 1.3 Units Bet 13.4
Avg Bet 1.37 Avg Bet 1.67 Avg Bet 0.63 Avg Bet 0.79
Units Profit 13.11 Units Profit 10.53 Units Profit 1.07 Units Profit 1.51
ROI % 16% ROI % 16% ROI % 86% ROI % 11%
View Handicapper's Profile

Larkin8 : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
17th Feb '24 UFC 298 3 1.7 56% 1.7 / 3 (56%)
10th Feb '24 UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer 3 -1.6 -53% -1.6 / 3 (-53%)
20th Jan '24 UFC 297 3 -1.4 -48% -1.4 / 3 (-48%)
13th Jan '24 UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 1 0.8 83% 0.8 / 1 (83%)
16th Dec '23 UFC 296 2.75 -1.2 -43% -0.9 / 2.5 (-37%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
9th Dec '23 UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez 1 0.7 68% 0.7 / 1 (68%)
2nd Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac 4 -0.9 -22% -0.9 / 4 (-22%)
12th Aug '23 UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos 2 -1.1 -54% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -0.1 / 1 (-9%)
5th Aug '23 UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font 5.5 0.8 15% 0.1 / 3 (3%) 0.8 / 2.5 (31%)
15th Jul '23 UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
22nd Apr '23 UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes 2.25 -2.3 -100% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) -0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)
15th Apr '23 UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen 2 1.2 61% 1.2 / 2 (61%)
4th Mar '23 UFC 285 4.85 2.2 45% 1.8 / 3.5 (50%) 0.8 / 1 (80%) -0.4 / 0.35 (-100%)
25th Feb '23 UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen 7.25 0.3 4% -0.1 / 4.5 (-3%) 0.3 / 0.25 (110%) 0.2 / 2.5 (6%)
18th Feb '23 UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield 3 -1.0 -35% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) 0.5 / 1.5 (30%)
11th Feb '23 UFC 284 3 0.8 27% 0.3 / 0.5 (65%) 0.5 / 2.5 (20%)
21st Jan '23 UFC 283 2 1.1 54% 1.1 / 2 (54%)
14th Jan '23 UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov 4 -0.1 -3% -0.1 / 4 (-3%)
29th Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 3 1.3 43% 1.3 / 3 (43%)
9th Feb '20 UFC 247 3 0.7 22% 0.7 / 3 (22%)
25th Aug '18 UFC Fight Night 135 3 4.4 145% 4.4 / 3 (145%)
4th Aug '18 UFC 227 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
28th Jul '18 UFC on Fox 30 11 8.4 77% 8.4 / 11 (77%)
14th Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 133 3 1.3 43% 1.3 / 3 (43%)


Winning Events: 14 (58%)
Losing Events: 10 (42%)

Average Staked Per Event: 3.32 units
Most Staked On One Event: 11.00 units
Best Event: 8.44 units
Worst Event: -2.25 units
Average Event: 0.55 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 9.74
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -4.25

Larkin8 : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2024 10 -0.5 -5% -0.5 / 10 (-5%) 2 / 2 (50%) -0.13
2023 45.6 -1.4 -3% -4.0 / 31 (-13%) 1.5 / 13.35 (11%) 7 / 7 (50%) -0.10
2020 6 2.0 33% 2.0 / 6 (33%) 2 / 0 (100%) 0.99
2018 18 13.1 73% 13.1 / 18 (73%) 3 / 1 (75%) 3.27

Larkin8 : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Larkin8 : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 79.6 13.1 16% 10.5 / 65 (16%) 1.1 / 1.25 (86%) 1.5 / 13.35 (11%)

Larkin8 : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 10 (24%) 9 90 % 21.00 6.15 0.62 29%
Slight Favorites 24 (59%) 13 54 % 30.50 -1.58 -0.07 -5%
Slight Underdogs 7 (17%) 3 43 % 13.50 5.95 0.85 44%
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan % 0.00 0.00 nan nan%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 11 (27%) 4 36 % 16.50 -0.17 -0.02 -1%
Co-Main Event 6 (15%) 6 100 % 12.50 10.11 1.69 81%
Position 3-5 13 (32%) 10 77 % 25.00 5.29 0.41 21%
6+ (Undercard) 11 (27%) 5 45 % 11.00 -4.71 -0.43 -43%

Larkin8 : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 2 (5%) 0 % 2.50 -2.50 -1.25 -100%
Light Heavy 3 (7%) 2 67 % 5.00 0.77 0.26 15%
Middleweight 3 (7%) 2 67 % 5.50 -0.00 -0.00 -0%
Welterweight 4 (10%) 1 25 % 4.50 -3.09 -0.77 -69%
Lightweight 5 (12%) 5 100 % 7.50 7.08 1.42 94%
Featherweight 11 (27%) 8 73 % 19.50 9.06 0.82 46%
Bantamweight 2 (5%) 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -1.00 -100%
Flyweight 4 (10%) 3 75 % 4.00 0.77 0.19 19%
               
Women's Fights 7 (17%) 4 57 % 14.50 0.45 0.06 3%
Featherweight 1 (2%) 1 100 % 3.00 1.30 1.30 43%
Bantamweight 1 (2%) 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -2.00 -100%
Flyweight 4 (10%) 2 50 % 6.50 0.01 0.00 0%
Strawweight 1 (2%) 1 100 % 3.00 1.13 1.13 38%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 33 (79%) 26 79 %
Slight Favorites 7 (17%) 2 29 %
Slight Underdogs 2 (5%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
42 28 67 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (0%) 0 nan %
50-65% 1 (33%) 1 100 %
35-50% 1 (33%) 1 100 %
<35% chance 1 (33%) 0 0 %
3 2 67 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (33%) 1 100 % 2.10 2.10Pick was correct 2.10Pick was correct 1.1 (110%)
X Wins in Round X 1 (33%) 0 0 % 5.00 5.00Pick was incorrect 5.00Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Others 1 (33%) 1 100 % 1.80 1.80Pick was correct 1.80Pick was correct 0.8 (80%)
3 2 67 % 2.44     0.9 (30%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Larkin8 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
14th Jul UFC Fight Night 133 3 1.3 43% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,013.04
28th Jul UFC on Fox 30 11 8.4 77% $10.13 $1,013.04 $1,098.54
4th Aug UFC 227 1 -1.0 -100% $10.99 $1,098.54 $1,087.56
25th Aug UFC Fight Night 135 3 4.4 145% $10.88 $1,087.56 $1,134.87
9th Feb UFC 247 3 0.7 22% $11.35 $1,134.87 $1,142.43
29th Feb UFC Fight Night 3 1.3 43% $11.42 $1,142.43 $1,157.33
14th Jan UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov 4 -0.1 -3% $11.57 $1,157.33 $1,156.18
21st Jan UFC 283 2 1.1 54% $11.56 $1,156.18 $1,168.61
11th Feb UFC 284 3 0.8 27% $11.69 $1,168.61 $1,178.13
18th Feb UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield 3 -1.0 -35% $11.78 $1,178.13 $1,165.77
25th Feb UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen 7.25 0.3 4% $11.66 $1,165.77 $1,169.37
4th Mar UFC 285 4.85 2.2 45% $11.69 $1,169.37 $1,195.11
15th Apr UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen 2 1.2 61% $11.95 $1,195.11 $1,209.59
22nd Apr UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes 2.25 -2.3 -100% $12.10 $1,209.59 $1,182.38
15th Jul UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva 2 -2.0 -100% $11.82 $1,182.38 $1,158.73
5th Aug UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font 5.5 0.8 15% $11.59 $1,158.73 $1,168.51
12th Aug UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos 2 -1.1 -54% $11.69 $1,168.51 $1,155.79
2nd Sep UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac 4 -0.9 -22% $11.56 $1,155.79 $1,145.51
9th Dec UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez 1 0.7 68% $11.46 $1,145.51 $1,153.25
16th Dec UFC 296 2.75 -1.2 -43% $11.53 $1,153.25 $1,139.66
13th Jan UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 1 0.8 83% $11.40 $1,139.66 $1,149.16
20th Jan UFC 297 3 -1.4 -48% $11.49 $1,149.16 $1,132.56
10th Feb UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer 3 -1.6 -53% $11.33 $1,132.56 $1,114.53
17th Feb UFC 298 3 1.7 56% $11.15 $1,114.53 $1,133.11


ROI % from starting bank balance: 13.31% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Larkin8 : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Feb '24 Anthony Hernandez Roman Kopylov 1.56 3 Sub, R2 (3:23) MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '24 Carlos Prates Trevin Giles 1.41 1 TKO, R2 (4:3) MMA Bookmaker
3. Jan '24 Movsar Evloev Arnold Allen 1.56 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Jan '24 Jim Miller Gabriel Benitez 1.83 1 Sub, R3 (3:25) MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '23 Alexandre Pantoja Brandon Royval 1.57 1 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Dec '23 Tim Elliott Su Mudaerji 1.68 1 Sub, R1 (4:2) MMA Bookmaker
7. Sep '23 Manon Fiorot Rose Namajunas 1.56 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Aug '23 Assu Almabaev Ode Osbourne 1.52 1 Sub, R2 (3:11) MMA Bookmaker
9. Aug '23 Billy Quarantillo Damon Jackson 1.56 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Apr '23 Max Holloway Arnold Allen 1.61 2 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Mar '23 Mateusz Gamrot Jalin Turner 1.47 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Mar '23 Marc-Andre Barriault Julian Marquez 1.67 0.5 TKO, R2 (4:12) MMA Bookmaker
13. Mar '23 Mateusz Gamrot Jalin Turner 1.48 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Feb '23 Jordan Leavitt Victor Martinez 1.95 0.5 TKO, R1 (2:33) MMA Bookmaker
15. Feb '23 Tatiana Suarez Montana De La Rosa 1.13 3 Sub, R2 (2:51) MMA Bookmaker
16. Feb '23 Yair Rodriguez Josh Emmett 1.65 0.5 Sub, R2 (4:19) MMA Bookmaker
17. Jan '23 Sean Strickland Nassourdine Imavov 2.10 1 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Jan '23 Dan Ige Damon Jackson 1.80 1 TKO, R2 (4:13) MMA Bookmaker
19. Feb '20 Megan Anderson Norma Dumont 1.43 3 TKO, R1 (3:31) MMA Bookmaker
20. Feb '20 Jon Jones Dominick Reyes 1.22 3 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Feb '24 Jeremiah Wells Max Griffin 1.68 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Jan '24 Brad Katona Garrett Armfield 1.56 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Jan '24 Charles Jourdain Sean Woodson 1.59 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Dec '23 Casey O'Neill Ariane Lipski 1.54 1 Sub, R2 (1:18) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '23 Colby Covington Leon Edwards 2.40 0.5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Sep '23 Sergey Spivak Ciryl Gane 2.44 2 TKO, R2 (3:44) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Aug '23 Rafael dos Anjos Vicente Luque 1.85 1 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Aug '23 Gavin Tucker Diego Lopes 2.44 1 Sub, R1 (1:38) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Jul '23 Holly Holm Mayra Bueno Silva 1.65 2 Sub, R2 (0:38) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Apr '23 Curtis Blaydes Sergey Pavlovich 1.69 0.5 TKO, R1 (3:8) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Apr '23 Francis Marshall William Gomis 1.51 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Feb '23 Charles Johnson Ode Osbourne 1.62 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Feb '23 William Knight Marcin Prachnio 1.87 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Feb '23 Jessica Andrade Erin Blanchfield 1.65 0.5 Sub, R2 (1:37) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Jan '23 Punahele Soriano Roman Kopylov 1.65 2 TKO, R2 (3:19) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Aug '18 Cody Garbrandt T.J. Dillashaw 2.00 1 TKO, R1 (4:10) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Larkin8 : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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