MMA Handicapper Directory
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MMA Handicapper Stats: danlo

danlo (danlo)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	25 (56%)	Right	19 (53%)	Right	2 (67%)	Right	4 (67%)
Wrong	20 (44%)	Wrong	17 (47%)	Wrong	1 (33%)	Wrong	2 (33%)
Avg Odds	1.96	Avg Odds	1.97	Avg Odds	2.16	Avg Odds	1.85
Units Bet	82.7	Units Bet	69.0	Units Bet	2.9	Units Bet	10.8
Avg Bet	1.84	Avg Bet	1.92	Avg Bet	0.97	Avg Bet	1.80
Units Profit	7.07	Units Profit	5.66	Units Profit	0.15	Units Profit	1.26
ROI %	9%	ROI %	8%	ROI %	5%	ROI %	12%

danlo : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
6th Oct '18	UFC 229	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
8th Sep '18	UFC 228	5	0.4	8%	2.4 / 3 (80%)		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
25th Aug '18	UFC Fight Night 135	5.5	-1.1	-20%	-1.1 / 5.5 (-20%)
7th Aug '18	DWTNCS 16	3.3	-0.3	-9%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)		1.2 / 1.8 (67%)
4th Aug '18	UFC 227	7.5	-2.4	-32%	-4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)		2.1 / 3 (70%)
28th Jul '18	UFC on Fox 30	9.5	-3.1	-33%	-3.1 / 9.5 (-33%)
24th Jul '18	DWTNCS 14	2.5	-2.5	-100%	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
22nd Jul '18	UFC Fight Night 134	6.2	-2.3	-36%	-4.2 / 4.2 (-100%)		1.9 / 2 (97%)
14th Jul '18	UFC Fight Night 133	11.3	8.0	71%	8.0 / 11.3 (71%)
7th Jul '18	UFC 226	8	1.6	20%	3.6 / 6 (60%)		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
7th Jul '18	TUF 27 Finale	2	1.7	87%	1.7 / 2 (87%)
23rd Jun '18	UFC Fight Night 132	1	1.1	105%	1.1 / 1 (105%)
12th Jun '18	DWTNCS 9	1	0.7	71%	0.7 / 1 (71%)
9th Jun '18	UFC 225	2.5	1.9	74%	1.9 / 2.5 (74%)
3rd Mar '18	UFC 222	6.1	4.0	66%	4.4 / 4 (109%)	-0.3 / 2.1 (-16%)
24th Feb '18	UFC on Fox 28	6	1.1	19%	1.1 / 6 (19%)
10th Feb '18	UFC 221	4.3	-0.8	-18%	-1.2 / 3.5 (-36%)	0.5 / 0.8 (61%)

Winning Events: 9 (53%)
Losing Events: 8 (47%)

Average Staked Per Event: 4.86 units
Most Staked On One Event: 11.30 units
Best Event: 7.99 units
Worst Event: -3.15 units
Average Event: 0.42 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 8, Units: 20.13
Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -11.69

danlo : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2018	82.7	7.1	9%	5.7 / 69 (8%)	0.2 / 2.9 (5%)	1.3 / 10.8 (12%)	9 / 8 (53%)	0.42

danlo : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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danlo : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	75.9	9.1	12%	8.9 / 64 (14%)	0.2 / 2.9 (5%)	0.0 / 9 (1%)
Other	6.8	-2.1	-30%	-3.3 / 5 (-66%)		1.2 / 1.8 (67%)

danlo : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	1 (2%)	0	0 %	2.00	-2.00	-2.00	-100%
Slight Favorites	21 (51%)	12	57 %	43.10	1.67	0.08	4%
Slight Underdogs	15 (37%)	9	60 %	20.50	9.39	0.63	46%
Big Underdogs	4 (10%)	0	0 %	3.40	-3.40	-0.85	-100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	12 (29%)	6	50 %	17.90	2.02	0.17	11%
Co-Main Event	4 (10%)	2	50 %	8.00	1.39	0.35	17%
Position 3-5	13 (32%)	6	46 %	19.00	2.76	0.21	15%
6+ (Undercard)	12 (29%)	7	58 %	24.10	-0.51	-0.04	-2%

danlo : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	3 (7%)	2	67 %	4.50	0.39	0.13	9%
Light Heavy	2 (5%)		0 %	1.40	-1.40	-0.70	-100%
Middleweight	3 (7%)	2	67 %	4.00	1.99	0.66	50%
Welterweight	8 (20%)	4	50 %	14.80	3.35	0.42	23%
Lightweight	7 (17%)	4	57 %	12.50	0.30	0.04	2%
Featherweight	5 (12%)	2	40 %	7.50	0.24	0.05	3%
Bantamweight	8 (20%)	6	75 %	14.80	7.88	0.98	53%
Flyweight	4 (10%)		0 %	8.00	-8.00	-2.00	-100%

Women's Fights	1 (2%)	1	100 %	1.50	0.91	0.91	61%
Strawweight	1 (2%)	1	100 %	1.50	0.91	0.91	61%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	11 (92%)	10	91 %
Slight Favorites	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Slight Underdogs	1 (8%)	0	0 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	12	10	83 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	0 (0%)	0	nan %
50-65%	1 (33%)	1	100 %
35-50%	1 (33%)	0	0 %
<35% chance	1 (33%)	1	100 %
	3	2	67 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	2 (67%)	1	50 %	1.91	2.35	1.61	-0.4 (-20%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (33%)	1	100 %	2.95	2.95	2.95	2.0 (195%)
	3	2	67 %	2.16			1.6 (52%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail danlo 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
10th Feb	UFC 221	4.3	-0.8	-18%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$992.35
24th Feb	UFC on Fox 28	6	1.1	19%		$9.92	$992.35	$1,003.68
3rd Mar	UFC 222	6.1	4.0	66%		$10.04	$1,003.68	$1,044.26
9th Jun	UFC 225	2.5	1.9	74%		$10.44	$1,044.26	$1,063.60
12th Jun	DWTNCS 9	1	0.7	71%		$10.64	$1,063.60	$1,071.19
23rd Jun	UFC Fight Night 132	1	1.1	105%		$10.71	$1,071.19	$1,082.44
7th Jul	TUF 27 Finale	2	1.7	87%		$10.82	$1,082.44	$1,101.27
7th Jul	UFC 226	8	1.6	20%		$11.01	$1,101.27	$1,118.89
14th Jul	UFC Fight Night 133	11.3	8.0	71%		$11.19	$1,118.89	$1,208.25
22nd Jul	UFC Fight Night 134	6.2	-2.3	-36%		$12.08	$1,208.25	$1,180.98
24th Jul	DWTNCS 14	2.5	-2.5	-100%		$11.81	$1,180.98	$1,151.46
28th Jul	UFC on Fox 30	9.5	-3.1	-33%		$11.51	$1,151.46	$1,115.22
4th Aug	UFC 227	7.5	-2.4	-32%		$11.15	$1,115.22	$1,088.50
7th Aug	DWTNCS 16	3.3	-0.3	-9%		$10.88	$1,088.50	$1,085.37
25th Aug	UFC Fight Night 135	5.5	-1.1	-20%		$10.85	$1,085.37	$1,073.43
8th Sep	UFC 228	5	0.4	8%		$10.73	$1,073.43	$1,077.72
6th Oct	UFC 229	1	-1.0	-100%		$10.78	$1,077.72	$1,066.95

ROI % from starting bank balance: 6.69% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

danlo : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Sep '18	Jimmie Rivera	John Dodson	1.80	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Aug '18	Justin Gaethje	James Vick	2.20	1	TKO, R1 (1:27)
3.	Aug '18	Justin Gaethje	James Vick	2.20	1	TKO, R1 (1:27)
4.	Jul '18	Dustin Poirier	Eddie Alvarez	1.59	4	TKO, R2 (4:5)
5.	Jul '18	Chad Mendes	Myles Jury	1.80	1.5	TKO, R1 (2:52)
6.	Jul '18	Junior dos Santos	Blagoy Ivanov	1.59	2	U Decision (5 rounds)
7.	Jul '18	Said Nurmagomedov	Justin Scoggins	1.63	1.8	Split Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Jul '18	Alejandro Perez	Eddie Wineland	1.57	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Jul '18	Niko Price	Randy Brown	2.10	2	TKO, R2 (1:9)
10.	Jul '18	Israel Adesanya	Brad Tavares	1.87	2	U Decision (5 rounds)
11.	Jul '18	Mike Perry	Paul Felder	2.40	2.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Jul '18	Mike Perry	Paul Felder	2.40	1.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Jun '18	Yadong Song	Felipe Arantes	2.05	1	TKO, R2 (4:59)
14.	Jun '18	Greg Hardy	Austen Lane	1.71	1	TKO, R1 (0:57)
15.	Jun '18	Colby Covington	Rafael dos Anjos	1.74	2.5	U Decision (5 rounds)
16.	Mar '18	Cody Stamann	Bryan Caraway	1.67	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Mar '18	Brian Ortega	Frankie Edgar	2.52	2	TKO, R1 (4:44)
18.	Feb '18	Manny Bermudez	Albert Morales	1.59	1.5	Sub, R2 (2:33)
19.	Feb '18	Angela Hill	Maryna Moroz	1.61	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Feb '18	Brian Kelleher	Renan Barao	2.35	1	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Aug '18	John Moraga	Deiveson Figueiredo	2.45	1.5	TKO, R2 (3:8)	No
2.	Aug '18	Andre Fili	Michael Johnson	2.45	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Aug '18	Tebaris Gordon	Greg Hardy	5.25	1.5	TKO, R1 (0:17)	No
4.	Aug '18	Jose Torres	Alex Perez	2.20	1.5	TKO, R1 (3:36)	No
5.	Aug '18	Cody Garbrandt	T.J. Dillashaw	2.10	0.5	TKO, R1 (4:10)	No
6.	Oct '18	Conor McGregor	Khabib Nurmagomedov	2.65	1	Sub, R4 (3:2)	No
7.	Aug '18	Kevin Holland	Thiago Santos	4.05	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Aug '18	Cody Garbrandt	T.J. Dillashaw	2.00	1	TKO, R1 (4:10)	No
9.	Aug '18	Cub Swanson	Renato Moicano	4.75	0.5	Sub, R1 (4:15)	No
10.	Jul '18	Matheus Nicolau	Dustin Ortiz	1.56	4	TKO, R1 (3:49)	No
11.	Jul '18	Jeremy Stephens	Jose Aldo	1.83	1.5	TKO, R1 (4:19)	No
12.	Jul '18	Nick Newell	Alex Munoz	1.57	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Jul '18	Emil Meek	Bartosz Fabinski	1.59	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Jul '18	Emil Meek	Bartosz Fabinski	1.63	1.8	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Jul '18	Mauricio Rua	Anthony Smith	2.95	0.4	TKO, R1 (1:29)	No
16.	Jul '18	Michael Chiesa	Anthony Pettis	1.63	2	Sub, R2 (0:52)	No
17.	Feb '18	Eric Shelton	Alex Perez	1.83	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Feb '18	Ovince St Preux	Ilir Latifi	1.65	1	Sub, R1 (3:48)	No
19.	Feb '18	Li Jingliang	Jake Matthews	1.67	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Feb '18	Li Jingliang	Jake Matthews	1.50	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

danlo : Progress Chart

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