|
MMA Handicapper Stats: Smash More |
|
Smash More: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
4th Aug '18 |
UFC 227 |
2 |
1.5 |
74% |
1.5 / 2 (74%) |
|
|
7th Jul '18 |
UFC 226 |
1 |
1.6 |
160% |
1.6 / 1 (160%) |
|
|
9th Jun '18 |
UFC 225 |
3.5 |
-3.5 |
-100% |
-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%) |
|
|
1st Jun '18 |
UFC Fight Night 131 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
|
|
27th May '18 |
UFC Fight Night 130 |
5.5 |
-0.7 |
-12% |
-2.7 / 4 (-67%) |
2.0 / 1.5 (134%) |
|
19th May '18 |
UFC Fight Night 129 |
2 |
-0.6 |
-28% |
-0.6 / 2 (-28%) |
|
|
12th May '18 |
Bellator 199 |
2.5 |
0.4 |
18% |
0.4 / 2.5 (18%) |
|
|
12th May '18 |
UFC 224 |
2.5 |
-0.8 |
-30% |
-0.8 / 2.5 (-30%) |
|
|
28th Apr '18 |
Bellator 198 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
|
|
21st Apr '18 |
UFC Fight Night 128 |
7 |
0.9 |
13% |
-1.0 / 3.5 (-29%) |
1.4 / 3 (48%) |
0.4 / 0.5 (90%) |
14th Apr '18 |
UFC on Fox 29 |
8 |
2.0 |
25% |
0.6 / 7.5 (8%) |
1.4 / 0.5 (281%) |
|
7th Apr '18 |
UFC 223 |
3 |
0.9 |
30% |
0.9 / 3 (30%) |
|
|
17th Mar '18 |
UFC Fight Night 127 |
1 |
1.7 |
175% |
1.7 / 1 (175%) |
|
|
3rd Mar '18 |
UFC 222 |
6.5 |
-2.0 |
-31% |
-1.5 / 6 (-25%) |
|
-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) |
24th Feb '18 |
UFC on Fox 28 |
1 |
0.7 |
71% |
0.7 / 1 (71%) |
|
|
17th Feb '18 |
Bellator 194 |
1 |
0.6 |
56% |
0.6 / 1 (56%) |
|
|
10th Feb '18 |
UFC 221 |
6.5 |
-4.3 |
-66% |
-3.8 / 6 (-63%) |
|
-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) |
4th Feb '18 |
UFC Fight Night 125 |
2.5 |
-1.1 |
-45% |
-1.1 / 2.5 (-45%) |
|
|
27th Jan '18 |
UFC on Fox 27 |
42 |
20.6 |
49% |
3.3 / 31.5 (10%) |
0.3 / 0.5 (51%) |
17.1 / 10 (171%) |
20th Jan '18 |
UFC 220 |
4.5 |
2.3 |
51% |
0.5 / 2 (27%) |
2.2 / 2 (111%) |
-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) |
20th Jan '18 |
Bellator 192 |
2.75 |
0.7 |
26% |
1.2 / 2.25 (54%) |
|
-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) |
14th Jan '18 |
UFC Fight Night 124 |
2.5 |
3.8 |
150% |
3.8 / 2.5 (150%) |
|
|
Winning Events: 13 (59%) Losing Events: 9 (41%)
Average Staked Per Event: 5.01 units Most Staked On One Event: 42.00 units Best Event: 20.61 units Worst Event: -4.30 units Average Event: 0.99 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 27.36 Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -5.72 |
Smash More: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2018 |
110.25 |
21.8 |
20% |
-1.1 / 90.25 (-1%) |
7.3 / 7.5 (98%) |
15.5 / 12.5 (124%) |
13 / 9 (59%) |
0.99 |
|
Smash More: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
|
Smash More: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
102 |
22.1 |
22% |
-1.3 / 82.5 (-2%) |
7.3 / 7.5 (98%) |
16.0 / 12 (134%) |
Bellator |
8.25 |
-0.3 |
-3% |
0.2 / 7.75 (3%) |
|
-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) |
|
Smash More: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
10 (16%) |
7 |
70 % |
20.50 |
1.83 |
0.18 |
9% |
Slight Favorites |
21 (33%) |
10 |
48 % |
22.50 |
-2.50 |
-0.12 |
-11% |
Slight Underdogs |
22 (35%) |
10 |
45 % |
40.00 |
3.15 |
0.14 |
8% |
Big Underdogs |
10 (16%) |
2 |
20 % |
7.25 |
-3.54 |
-0.35 |
-49% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
20 (32%) |
11 |
55 % |
40.00 |
3.98 |
0.20 |
10% |
Co-Main Event |
7 (11%) |
2 |
29 % |
10.50 |
-4.35 |
-0.62 |
-41% |
Position 3-5 |
17 (27%) |
5 |
29 % |
13.75 |
-4.24 |
-0.25 |
-31% |
6+ (Undercard) |
19 (30%) |
11 |
58 % |
26.00 |
3.55 |
0.19 |
14% |
|
Smash More: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
10 (16%) |
7 |
70 % |
10.00 |
5.00 |
0.50 |
50% |
Light Heavy |
2 (3%) |
|
0 % |
2.00 |
-2.00 |
-1.00 |
-100% |
Middleweight |
12 (19%) |
5 |
42 % |
29.00 |
-2.42 |
-0.20 |
-8% |
Welterweight |
13 (21%) |
4 |
31 % |
23.00 |
-4.59 |
-0.35 |
-20% |
Lightweight |
5 (8%) |
3 |
60 % |
4.75 |
0.39 |
0.08 |
8% |
Featherweight |
6 (10%) |
4 |
67 % |
7.50 |
1.91 |
0.32 |
25% |
Bantamweight |
8 (13%) |
3 |
38 % |
7.50 |
-0.07 |
-0.01 |
-1% |
Flyweight |
1 (2%) |
|
0 % |
1.00 |
-1.00 |
-1.00 |
-100% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
6 (10%) |
3 |
50 % |
5.50 |
1.72 |
0.29 |
31% |
Bantamweight |
1 (2%) |
|
0 % |
1.00 |
-1.00 |
-1.00 |
-100% |
Flyweight |
2 (3%) |
2 |
100 % |
1.50 |
1.82 |
0.91 |
121% |
Strawweight |
3 (5%) |
1 |
33 % |
3.00 |
0.90 |
0.30 |
30% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
7 (54%) |
5 |
71 % |
Slight Favorites |
6 (46%) |
4 |
67 % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
13 |
9 |
69 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
4 (29%) |
3 |
75 % |
50-65% |
1 (7%) |
1 |
100 % |
35-50% |
3 (21%) |
2 |
67 % |
<35% chance |
6 (43%) |
4 |
67 % |
|
14 |
10 |
71 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Smash More's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
14th Jan |
UFC Fight Night 124 |
2.5 |
3.8 |
150% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,037.50 |
20th Jan |
UFC 220 |
4.5 |
2.3 |
51% |
|
$10.38 |
$1,037.50 |
$1,061.10 |
20th Jan |
Bellator 192 |
2.75 |
0.7 |
26% |
|
$10.61 |
$1,061.10 |
$1,068.75 |
27th Jan |
UFC on Fox 27 |
42 |
20.6 |
49% |
|
$10.69 |
$1,068.75 |
$1,289.07 |
4th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 125 |
2.5 |
-1.1 |
-45% |
|
$12.89 |
$1,289.07 |
$1,274.51 |
10th Feb |
UFC 221 |
6.5 |
-4.3 |
-66% |
|
$12.75 |
$1,274.51 |
$1,219.71 |
17th Feb |
Bellator 194 |
1 |
0.6 |
56% |
|
$12.20 |
$1,219.71 |
$1,226.48 |
24th Feb |
UFC on Fox 28 |
1 |
0.7 |
71% |
|
$12.26 |
$1,226.48 |
$1,235.24 |
3rd Mar |
UFC 222 |
6.5 |
-2.0 |
-31% |
|
$12.35 |
$1,235.24 |
$1,210.54 |
17th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 127 |
1 |
1.7 |
175% |
|
$12.11 |
$1,210.54 |
$1,231.72 |
7th Apr |
UFC 223 |
3 |
0.9 |
30% |
|
$12.32 |
$1,231.72 |
$1,242.87 |
14th Apr |
UFC on Fox 29 |
8 |
2.0 |
25% |
|
$12.43 |
$1,242.87 |
$1,267.99 |
21st Apr |
UFC Fight Night 128 |
7 |
0.9 |
13% |
|
$12.68 |
$1,267.99 |
$1,279.35 |
28th Apr |
Bellator 198 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$12.79 |
$1,279.35 |
$1,253.76 |
12th May |
UFC 224 |
2.5 |
-0.8 |
-30% |
|
$12.54 |
$1,253.76 |
$1,244.24 |
12th May |
Bellator 199 |
2.5 |
0.4 |
18% |
|
$12.44 |
$1,244.24 |
$1,249.83 |
19th May |
UFC Fight Night 129 |
2 |
-0.6 |
-28% |
|
$12.50 |
$1,249.83 |
$1,242.88 |
27th May |
UFC Fight Night 130 |
5.5 |
-0.7 |
-12% |
|
$12.43 |
$1,242.88 |
$1,234.59 |
1st Jun |
UFC Fight Night 131 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$12.35 |
$1,234.59 |
$1,222.24 |
9th Jun |
UFC 225 |
3.5 |
-3.5 |
-100% |
|
$12.22 |
$1,222.24 |
$1,179.46 |
7th Jul |
UFC 226 |
1 |
1.6 |
160% |
|
$11.79 |
$1,179.46 |
$1,198.33 |
4th Aug |
UFC 227 |
2 |
1.5 |
74% |
|
$11.98 |
$1,198.33 |
$1,216.09 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 21.61% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Smash More: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
May '18 |
Tom Breese |
Daniel Kelly |
1.32 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (3:33) |
|
|
2. |
May '18 |
Enrique Barzola |
Brandon Davis |
1.44 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
3. |
May '18 |
Jack Hermansson |
Thales Leites |
1.74 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (2:10) |
|
|
4. |
May '18 |
Cheick Kongo |
Javy Ayala |
1.54 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (2:29) |
|
|
5. |
Jul '18 |
Daniel Cormier |
Stipe Miocic |
2.60 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (4:33) |
|
|
6. |
Apr '18 |
Ryan LaFlare |
Alex Garcia |
1.67 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
7. |
Apr '18 |
Kevin Lee |
Edson Barboza |
1.67 |
1 |
TKO, R5 (2:18) |
|
|
8. |
Apr '18 |
Alex Oliveira |
Carlos Condit |
1.50 |
1.5 |
Sub, R2 (3:17) |
|
|
9. |
Apr '18 |
Lauren Mueller |
Shana Dobson |
1.67 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
10. |
Apr '18 |
Alejandro Perez |
Matthew Lopez |
2.05 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (3:42) |
|
|
11. |
Apr '18 |
Brad Tavares |
Krzysztof Jotko |
2.15 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (2:16) |
|
|
12. |
Aug '18 |
T.J. Dillashaw |
Cody Garbrandt |
1.74 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (4:10) |
|
|
13. |
Apr '18 |
Rose Namajunas |
Joanna Jedrzejczyk |
1.95 |
2 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
14. |
May '18 |
Ryan Bader |
Muhammed Lawal |
1.41 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (0:15) |
|
|
15. |
Mar '18 |
Alexander Volkov |
Fabricio Werdum |
2.75 |
1 |
TKO, R4 (1:38) |
|
|
16. |
Mar '18 |
Andrei Arlovski |
Stefan Struve |
2.60 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
17. |
Mar '18 |
Sean O'Malley |
Andre Soukhamthath |
1.90 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
18. |
Feb '18 |
Matt Mitrione |
Roy Nelson |
1.56 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
19. |
Feb '18 |
Luke Jumeau |
Daichi Abe |
2.20 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
20. |
Feb '18 |
Jeremy Stephens |
Josh Emmett |
1.71 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (1:35) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
May '18 |
Brad Scott |
Carlo Pedersoli Jr. |
2.40 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
2. |
May '18 |
Stephen Thompson |
Darren Till |
1.87 |
1 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
3. |
May '18 |
Nordine Taleb |
Claudio Silva |
1.33 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (4:31) |
No |
|
|
4. |
May '18 |
Jared Cannonier |
Dominick Reyes |
3.15 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (2:55) |
No |
|
|
5. |
May '18 |
Amanda Cooper |
Mackenzie Dern |
3.20 |
0.5 |
Sub, R1 (2:27) |
No |
|
|
6. |
May '18 |
Raquel Pennington |
Amanda Nunes |
7.65 |
1 |
TKO, R5 (2:36) |
No |
|
|
7. |
May '18 |
Paul Daley |
Jon Fitch |
2.50 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Jun '18 |
Jimmie Rivera |
Marlon Moraes |
1.87 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (0:33) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Apr '18 |
Kyle Walker |
Dillon Danis |
9.00 |
0.5 |
Sub, R1 (1:39) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Apr '18 |
Gerald Harris |
Rafael Lovato |
5.20 |
0.5 |
Sub, R1 (1:1) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Jun '18 |
Rafael dos Anjos |
Colby Covington |
1.77 |
2.5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Jun '18 |
Phil Brooks |
Mike Jackson |
3.00 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Apr '18 |
Merab Dvalishvili |
Ricky Simon |
2.25 |
0.5 |
TKO, R3 (5:0) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Apr '18 |
Brett Johns |
Aljamain Sterling |
1.91 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Apr '18 |
Patrick Cummins |
Corey Anderson |
2.25 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Apr '18 |
Marvin Vettori |
Israel Adesanya |
3.15 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Apr '18 |
Cortney Casey |
Michelle Waterson |
1.77 |
0.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Apr '18 |
Justin Gaethje |
Dustin Poirier |
2.05 |
1.5 |
TKO, R4 (0:33) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Apr '18 |
Calvin Kattar |
Renato Moicano |
1.91 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Apr '18 |
Frank Mir |
Fedor Emelianenko |
1.83 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (0:48) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Smash More: Progress Chart |
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