MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6365
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2352

MMA Handicapper Stats: First TakedownWins

First TakedownWins (1stTakedownWins)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	12 (31%)	Right	10 (34%)	Right	2 (20%)	Right	0 (nan%)
Wrong	27 (69%)	Wrong	19 (66%)	Wrong	8 (80%)	Wrong	0 (nan%)
Avg Odds	2.14	Avg Odds	2.09	Avg Odds	2.31	Avg Odds	nan
Units Bet	122.5	Units Bet	93.5	Units Bet	29.0	Units Bet	0.0
Avg Bet	3.14	Avg Bet	3.22	Avg Bet	2.90	Avg Bet	nan
Units Profit	-39.58	Units Profit	-19.80	Units Profit	-19.78	Units Profit	0.00
ROI %	-32%	ROI %	-21%	ROI %	-68%	ROI %	nan%

First TakedownWins: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
24th Oct '20	UFC 254	3	-3.0	-100%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
4th Oct '20	UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana	3	-3.0	-100%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
26th Sep '20	UFC 253	8	3.2	40%	0.8 / 6 (13%)	2.4 / 2 (120%)
7th Jul '18	UFC 226	5	8.1	163%	8.1 / 5 (163%)
19th Jun '18	DWTNCS 10	7	-7.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
10th Feb '18	UFC 221	55	-42.2	-77%	-22.1 / 30 (-74%)	-20.2 / 25 (-81%)
4th Feb '18	UFC Fight Night 125	30	9.9	33%	9.9 / 30 (33%)
20th Jan '18	UFC 220	2	-0.6	-32%	-0.6 / 2 (-32%)
14th Jan '18	UFC Fight Night 124	9.5	-4.9	-52%	-4.9 / 9.5 (-52%)

Winning Events: 3 (33%)
Losing Events: 6 (67%)

Average Staked Per Event: 13.61 units
Most Staked On One Event: 55.00 units
Best Event: 9.90 units
Worst Event: -42.24 units
Average Event: -4.40 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 11.35
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -49.24

First TakedownWins: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2020	14	-2.8	-20%	-5.2 / 12 (-43%)	2.4 / 2 (120%)		1 / 2 (33%)	-0.93
2018	108.5	-36.8	-34%	-14.6 / 81.5 (-18%)	-22.2 / 27 (-82%)		2 / 4 (33%)	-6.13

First TakedownWins: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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First TakedownWins: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	115.5	-32.6	-28%	-14.8 / 88.5 (-17%)	-17.8 / 27 (-66%)
Other	7	-7.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)

First TakedownWins: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	3 (9%)	2	67 %	4.00	-1.31	-0.44	-33%
Slight Favorites	11 (34%)	3	27 %	35.00	-16.34	-1.49	-47%
Slight Underdogs	11 (34%)	4	36 %	31.50	-3.00	-0.27	-10%
Big Underdogs	7 (22%)	3	43 %	23.00	0.85	0.12	4%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	5 (16%)	3	60 %	14.00	16.20	3.24	116%
Co-Main Event	5 (16%)	2	40 %	14.00	-5.84	-1.17	-42%
Position 3-5	9 (28%)	1	11 %	29.00	-20.15	-2.24	-69%
6+ (Undercard)	13 (41%)	6	46 %	36.50	-10.01	-0.77	-27%

First TakedownWins: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	5 (16%)	1	20 %	19.00	-5.85	-1.17	-31%
Light Heavy	4 (13%)	2	50 %	10.00	-1.84	-0.46	-18%
Middleweight	3 (9%)	2	67 %	6.00	11.05	3.68	184%
Welterweight	4 (13%)	2	50 %	15.00	-1.00	-0.25	-7%
Lightweight	3 (9%)	2	67 %	6.50	3.70	1.23	57%
Featherweight	4 (13%)	1	25 %	14.00	-6.06	-1.51	-43%
Bantamweight	2 (6%)	1	50 %	6.00	-4.67	-2.33	-78%
Flyweight	2 (6%)		0 %	7.00	-7.00	-3.50	-100%

Women's Fights	5 (16%)	1	20 %	10.00	-8.13	-1.63	-81%
Bantamweight	2 (6%)		0 %	3.00	-3.00	-1.50	-100%
Flyweight	1 (3%)		0 %	1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-100%
Strawweight	2 (6%)	1	50 %	6.00	-4.13	-2.07	-69%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
Slight Favorites	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
Slight Underdogs	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
	0	0	nan %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	1 (10%)	0	0 %
50-65%	2 (20%)	1	50 %
35-50%	5 (50%)	1	20 %
<35% chance	2 (20%)	0	0 %
	10	2	20 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	2 (20%)	0	0 %	2.31	2.74	2.00	-2.0 (-100%)
Does not go to Decision	1 (10%)	1	100 %	2.20	2.20	2.20	1.2 (120%)
X Wins by Decision	1 (10%)	0	0 %	5.85	5.85	5.85	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance	1 (10%)	0	0 %	5.45	5.45	5.45	-1.0 (-100%)
Others	5 (50%)	1	20 %	1.88	2.80	1.44	-3.4 (-68%)
	10	2	20 %	2.31			-6.2 (-62%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail First TakedownWins's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
14th Jan	UFC Fight Night 124	9.5	-4.9	-52%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$950.53
20th Jan	UFC 220	2	-0.6	-32%		$9.51	$950.53	$944.42
4th Feb	UFC Fight Night 125	30	9.9	33%		$9.44	$944.42	$1,037.88
10th Feb	UFC 221	55	-42.2	-77%		$10.38	$1,037.88	$599.47
19th Jun	DWTNCS 10	7	-7.0	-100%		$5.99	$599.47	$557.51
7th Jul	UFC 226	5	8.1	163%		$5.58	$557.51	$602.95
26th Sep	UFC 253	8	3.2	40%		$6.03	$602.95	$622.24
4th Oct	UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana	3	-3.0	-100%		$6.22	$622.24	$603.57
24th Oct	UFC 254	3	-3.0	-100%		$6.04	$603.57	$585.47

ROI % from starting bank balance: -41.45% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

First TakedownWins: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Sep '20	Jan Blachowicz	Dominick Reyes	3.40	2	TKO, R2 (4:36)
2.	Feb '18	Alex Volkanovski	Jeremy Kennedy	1.59	5	TKO, R2 (4:57)
3.	Jul '18	Daniel Cormier	Stipe Miocic	2.63	5	TKO, R1 (4:33)
4.	Feb '18	Michel Prazeres	Desmond Green	1.77	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Feb '18	Sergio Moraes	Tim Means	2.80	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Feb '18	Lyoto Machida	Eryk Anders	3.50	2	Split Decision (5 rounds)
7.	Feb '18	Sergio Moraes	Tim Means	2.80	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Feb '18	Lyoto Machida	Eryk Anders	3.35	3	Split Decision (5 rounds)
9.	Jan '18	J.J. Aldrich	Danielle Taylor	1.87	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Jan '18	Kyung Ho Kang	Guido Cannetti	1.33	1	Sub, R1 (4:53)
11.	Jan '18	Marco Polo Reyes	Matt Frevola	2.70	0.5	TKO, R1 (1:0)
12.	Jan '18	Daniel Cormier	Volkan Oezdemir	1.36	1	TKO, R2 (2:0)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Oct '20	Walt Harris	Alexander Volkov	2.60	3	TKO, R2 (1:15)	No
2.	Oct '20	Julianna Pena	Germaine de Randamie	2.35	1	Sub, R3 (3:25)	No
3.	Sep '20	Kai Kara-France	Brandon Royval	1.44	2	Sub, R2 (0:48)	No
4.	Oct '20	Julianna Pena	Germaine de Randamie	1.93	2	Sub, R3 (3:25)	No
5.	Sep '20	Khadis Ibragimov	Danilo Marques	1.67	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Jun '18	Jordan Wright	Anthony Hernandez	3.15	5	TKO, R1 (0:40)	No
7.	Feb '18	Mark Hunt	Curtis Blaydes	2.40	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Feb '18	Cyril Asker	Tai Tuivasa	3.50	5	TKO, R1 (2:18)	No
9.	Feb '18	Teruto Ishihara	Jose Quinonez	2.80	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Feb '18	Daichi Abe	Luke Jumeau	1.77	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Feb '18	Joseph Morales	Deiveson Figueiredo	2.30	5	TKO, R2 (4:34)	No
12.	Feb '18	Li Jingliang	Jake Matthews	1.59	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Feb '18	Marlon Vera	Douglas Silva de Andrade	1.80	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Feb '18	Maia Stevenson	Polyana Viana	4.10	5	Sub, R1 (3:50)	No
15.	Jan '18	Paige VanZant	Jessica-Rose Clark	2.10	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Jan '18	Alex White	James Krause	2.55	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Jan '18	Michael Johnson	Darren Elkins	1.61	1	Sub, R2 (2:22)	No
18.	Jan '18	Francis Ngannou	Stipe Miocic	1.59	1	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
19.	Jan '18	Emil Meek	Kamaru Usman	5.50	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Jan '18	Doo Ho Choi	Jeremy Stephens	1.54	3	TKO, R2 (2:36)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

First TakedownWins: Progress Chart

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