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MMA Handicapper Stats: The MMA Model

The MMA Model (StraightPicks)


MMA MHandicapper - The MMA Model

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 216 (44%) Right 144 (49%) Right 65 (35%) Right 7 (58%)
Wrong 279 (56%) Wrong 151 (51%) Wrong 123 (65%) Wrong 5 (42%)
Avg Odds 2.32 Avg Odds 1.99 Avg Odds 3.18 Avg Odds 2.22
Units Bet 1,605.7 Units Bet 1,167.6 Units Bet 403.5 Units Bet 34.6
Avg Bet 3.24 Avg Bet 3.96 Avg Bet 2.15 Avg Bet 2.88
Units Profit 44.15 Units Profit 24.51 Units Profit 19.79 Units Profit -0.15
ROI % 3% ROI % 2% ROI % 5% ROI % -0%
View Handicapper's Profile

The MMA Model : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
4th Sep '21 UFC FN 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
21st Aug '21 UFC FN 15 -3.3 -22% -3.3 / 15 (-22%)
1st May '21 UFC FN 4 -4.0 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
24th Apr '21 UFC 261 22 -3.2 -15% 0.1 / 10 (1%) -3.3 / 12 (-27%)
17th Apr '21 UFC FN 8 2.3 29% 0.3 / 4 (7%) 2.0 / 4 (50%)
21st Nov '20 UFC 255 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
14th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 14 12 1.3 11% 1.3 / 12 (11%)
24th Oct '20 UFC 254 14 -0.1 -0% -0.1 / 14 (-0%)
6th Jun '20 UFC 250 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
16th May '20 UFC Fight Night 171 4 -4.0 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
10th May '20 UFC 249 6 -1.9 -32% -1.9 / 6 (-32%)
14th Mar '20 UFC Fight Night 169 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
29th Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 2 1.6 80% 1.6 / 2 (80%)
9th Feb '20 UFC 247 9 -3.0 -33% -1.0 / 7 (-14%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
25th Jan '20 UFC Fight Night 166 10 1.3 13% 1.3 / 10 (13%)
18th Jan '20 UFC 246 8 8.7 109% 8.7 / 8 (109%)
15th Dec '19 UFC 245 8.64 0.7 8% 0.7 / 8.64 (8%)
9th Nov '19 UFC Fight Night 163 4 -4.0 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
2nd Nov '19 UFC 244 8 4.0 50% 4.0 / 8 (50%)
26th Oct '19 UFC Fight Night 162 28 2.1 7% 2.1 / 28 (7%)
18th Oct '19 UFC ESPN 6 0.8 -0.8 -100% -0.8 / 0.8 (-100%)
12th Oct '19 UFC on ESPN+ 19 6.5 1.0 15% 1.0 / 6.5 (15%)
5th Oct '19 UFC 243 4.6 -4.6 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -2.6 / 2.6 (-100%)
28th Sep '19 UFC Fight Night 160 6.4 6.2 96% 8.6 / 4 (214%) -2.4 / 2.4 (-100%)
14th Sep '19 UFC Fight Night 158 5.6 2.4 42% 0.5 / 5 (11%) 1.8 / 0.6 (300%)
7th Sep '19 UFC 242 4.62 0.1 2% -1.4 / 1.42 (-100%) 1.5 / 3.2 (47%)
31st Aug '19 UFC Fight Night 157 2.4 -2.4 -100% -2.4 / 2.4 (-100%)
17th Aug '19 UFC 241 4.5 0.3 8% 1.3 / 3.5 (39%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
10th Aug '19 UFC Fight Night 156 1 1.0 100% 1.0 / 1 (100%)
3rd Aug '19 UFC on ESPN 5 2 1.0 50% 1.0 / 2 (50%)
27th Jul '19 UFC 240 1.6 1.1 69% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 2.1 / 0.6 (350%)
20th Jul '19 UFC on ESPN 4 2 0.2 10% 0.2 / 2 (10%)
13th Jul '19 UFC Fight Night 155 3 -0.6 -20% -0.6 / 3 (-20%)
10th Jul '19 DWTNCS 19 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
6th Jul '19 UFC 239 10.32 0.8 8% -2.1 / 5 (-42%) 3.0 / 5.32 (56%)
29th Jun '19 UFC on ESPN 3 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
22nd Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 154 2.8 -0.2 -6% -0.2 / 2.8 (-6%)
14th Jun '19 Bellator 222 2 0.4 22% 0.4 / 2 (22%)
8th Jun '19 UFC 238 21.38 -1.8 -8% -1.2 / 3.4 (-36%) -2.8 / 14.58 (-20%) 2.2 / 3.4 (66%)
1st Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 153 2.8 2.8 101% 2.8 / 2.8 (101%)
18th May '19 UFC Fight Night 152 1.3 1.5 115% 1.8 / 1 (180%) -0.3 / 0.3 (-100%)
11th May '19 UFC 237 10.2 -1.3 -13% 1.6 / 4.8 (33%) -2.9 / 5.4 (-53%)
11th May '19 Bellator 221 6 2.1 36% 2.1 / 6 (36%)
4th May '19 UFC Fight Night 150 7.56 -0.8 -10% -2.2 / 2.2 (-100%) 1.4 / 5.36 (27%)
27th Apr '19 UFC on ESPN 3 7.31 1.8 24% 1.8 / 7.31 (24%)
20th Apr '19 UFC Fight Night 149 13.09 1.8 14% -5.8 / 5.8 (-100%) 7.6 / 7.29 (105%)
13th Apr '19 UFC 236 19.84 3.6 18% 3.2 / 15.6 (20%) 0.5 / 4.24 (11%)
31st Mar '19 One FC - A New Era 2 1.1 53% 1.1 / 2 (53%)
30th Mar '19 UFC on ESPN 2 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
23rd Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 148 8.8 1.0 11% 0.2 / 2.4 (8%) 0.8 / 6.4 (12%)
22nd Mar '19 Bellator 218 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
16th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 147 5 -1.7 -35% -1.7 / 5 (-35%)
9th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 146 5 3.8 76% 5.8 / 3 (193%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 4.8 1.0 20% 1.0 / 4.8 (20%)
23rd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 145 1.4 0.8 57% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 1.8 / 0.4 (450%)
17th Feb '19 UFC on ESPN 1 1.4 0.6 43% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 1.6 / 0.4 (400%)
16th Feb '19 Bellator 216 2.6 0.7 27% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 1.7 / 1.6 (106%)
9th Feb '19 UFC 234 5.5 5.3 97% 5.3 / 5.5 (97%)
2nd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 144 2.4 -2.4 -100% -2.4 / 2.4 (-100%)
26th Jan '19 Bellator Los Angeles 3 1.5 50% 1.5 / 3 (50%)
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 2 2.5 125% 2.5 / 2 (125%)
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 15.87 3.3 21% 1.9 / 14.5 (13%) 1.4 / 1.37 (101%)
15th Dec '18 UFC Fight Night Milwaukee 6 -1.9 -32% 1.1 / 3 (36%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 23.5 -2.8 -12% -0.5 / 10 (-5%) -2.3 / 13.5 (-17%)
1st Dec '18 UFC Fight Night 142 4 -4.0 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
30th Nov '18 TUF Finale 4 -4.0 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
24th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 141 8.5 -1.7 -21% -5.0 / 5 (-100%) 3.3 / 3.5 (93%)
17th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 140 9.5 8.0 84% 8.0 / 9.5 (84%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 10 -3.0 -30% -5.0 / 5 (-100%) 2.0 / 5 (40%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 5 2.0 40% 2.0 / 5 (40%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 17 1.0 6% 1.0 / 17 (6%)
13th Oct '18 Bellator 208 1.5 -1.5 -100% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
12th Oct '18 Bellator 207 5 2.2 44% 2.2 / 5 (44%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 62 27.8 45% 31.3 / 58.5 (53%) -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
29th Sep '18 Bellator 206 5 2.7 53% 2.7 / 5 (53%)
22nd Sep '18 UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 5 2.0 40% 2.0 / 5 (40%)
15th Sep '18 UFC FIght Night Moscow 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
8th Sep '18 UFC 228 33.14 -19.5 -59% -15.0 / 15 (-100%) -4.5 / 18.14 (-25%)
1st Sep '18 Cage Warriors 96 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
25th Aug '18 UFC Fight Night 135 16 -5.7 -36% -10.0 / 10 (-100%) 4.3 / 6 (71%)
4th Aug '18 UFC 227 13.5 2.0 15% 7.0 / 8.5 (82%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
28th Jul '18 UFC on Fox 30 23 -8.0 -35% -8.0 / 23 (-35%)
22nd Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 134 9 13.4 149% 13.4 / 9 (149%)
14th Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 133 19.25 6.5 34% 1.5 / 14.25 (11%) 5.0 / 5 (101%)
13th Jul '18 One FC 77 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
10th Jul '18 DWTNCS 12 5 -2.8 -56% -2.8 / 5 (-56%)
7th Jul '18 UFC 226 12 17.4 145% 19.4 / 10 (194%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
7th Jul '18 TUF 27 Finale 10 -1.0 -10% -1.0 / 10 (-10%)
23rd Jun '18 UFC Fight Night 132 5 2.9 57% 2.9 / 5 (57%)
16th Jun '18 Cage Warriors 94 7 -7.0 -100% -7.0 / 7 (-100%)
12th Jun '18 DWTNCS 9 5 5.9 118% 5.9 / 5 (118%)
9th Jun '18 UFC 225 42 5.1 12% 5.5 / 5 (110%) -0.4 / 37 (-1%)
1st Jun '18 UFC Fight Night 131 56 3.1 5% 4.1 / 44 (9%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 1.0 / 10 (10%)
27th May '18 UFC Fight Night 130 93.5 -16.7 -18% -5.8 / 74 (-8%) -10.9 / 19.5 (-56%)
25th May '18 Bellator 200 24 -9.0 -38% -9.0 / 24 (-38%)
19th May '18 UFC Fight Night 129 64.5 9.6 15% -7.6 / 45.5 (-17%) 22.2 / 14 (159%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
12th May '18 UFC 224 82.5 28.2 34% 26.0 / 67.5 (38%) 2.2 / 15 (15%)
21st Apr '18 UFC Fight Night 128 53 3.5 7% 3.5 / 53 (7%)
14th Apr '18 UFC on Fox 29 88 9.7 11% 9.7 / 88 (11%)
7th Apr '18 UFC 223 59 12.2 21% 3.7 / 36 (10%) 9.5 / 22 (43%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
17th Mar '18 UFC Fight Night 127 25 -8.0 -32% -8.0 / 25 (-32%)
10th Feb '18 UFC 221 11 7.4 67% 7.4 / 11 (67%)
4th Feb '18 UFC Fight Night 125 22 -22.0 -100% -11.0 / 11 (-100%) -11.0 / 11 (-100%)
27th Jan '18 UFC on Fox 27 26.4 5.3 20% 5.3 / 26.4 (20%)
20th Jan '18 UFC 220 11 -11.0 -100% -11.0 / 11 (-100%)
16th Dec '17 UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos 28.6 -2.6 -9% -2.6 / 28.6 (-9%)
9th Dec '17 UFC Fight Night 123 2 2.7 134% 2.7 / 2 (134%)
2nd Dec '17 UFC 218 50 0.4 1% 0.4 / 50 (1%)
2nd Dec '17 TUF 26 Finale 16 1.7 10% 1.7 / 16 (10%)
25th Nov '17 UFC Fight Night 122 Bisping vs. Gastellum 40 -4.3 -11% -4.3 / 40 (-11%)
18th Nov '17 UFC Fight Night 121 Sydney 28.18 12.4 44% 12.4 / 28.18 (44%)
22nd Sep '17 UFC Fight Night 117 St. Preux vs. Shogun 2 24 -17.2 -72% -17.2 / 24 (-72%)
16th Sep '17 UFC Fight Night 116 Rockhold vs. Branch 29.08 5.6 19% 5.6 / 29.08 (19%)


Winning Events: 63 (56%)
Losing Events: 50 (44%)

Average Staked Per Event: 14.21 units
Most Staked On One Event: 93.50 units
Best Event: 28.23 units
Worst Event: -22.00 units
Average Event: 0.39 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 63.25
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -35.25

The MMA Model : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2021 54 -13.2 -25% -11.9 / 38 (-31%) -1.3 / 16 (-8%) 1 / 4 (20%) -2.65
2020 71 -2.1 -3% -5.8 / 39 (-15%) 3.7 / 32 (11%) 4 / 7 (36%) -0.19
2019 250.16 24.6 10% 7.3 / 162.75 (5%) 12.5 / 78.81 (16%) 4.8 / 8.6 (56%) 30 / 15 (67%) 0.55
2018 1012.66 36.1 4% 36.1 / 710 (5%) 4.9 / 276.66 (2%) -5.0 / 26 (-19%) 23 / 21 (52%) 0.82
2017 217.86 -1.2 -1% -1.2 / 217.86 (-1%) 5 / 3 (63%) -0.15

The MMA Model : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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The MMA Model : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 1524.58 60.9 4% 44.0 / 1090.11 (4%) 18.1 / 401.87 (5%) -1.2 / 32.6 (-4%)
Bellator 50.1 -1.9 -4% -3.6 / 48.5 (-7%) 1.7 / 1.6 (106%)
Other 31 -14.8 -48% -15.9 / 29 (-55%) 1.1 / 2 (53%)

The MMA Model : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 70 (23%) 51 73 % 424.72 37.78 0.54 9%
Slight Favorites 73 (24%) 37 51 % 358.30 -26.10 -0.36 -7%
Slight Underdogs 103 (34%) 43 42 % 284.90 -16.42 -0.16 -6%
Big Underdogs 58 (19%) 22 38 % 99.69 29.24 0.50 29%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 60 (20%) 32 53 % 231.66 11.30 0.19 5%
Co-Main Event 43 (14%) 23 53 % 140.88 34.64 0.81 25%
Position 3-5 73 (24%) 33 45 % 293.94 -48.07 -0.66 -16%
6+ (Undercard) 128 (42%) 65 51 % 501.13 26.65 0.21 5%

The MMA Model : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 30 (10%) 16 53 % 100.85 15.52 0.52 15%
Light Heavy 18 (6%) 7 39 % 51.00 0.22 0.01 0%
Middleweight 46 (15%) 24 52 % 169.31 19.10 0.42 11%
Welterweight 61 (20%) 34 56 % 261.08 19.18 0.31 7%
Lightweight 42 (14%) 27 64 % 195.40 53.06 1.26 27%
Featherweight 31 (10%) 16 52 % 103.70 0.26 0.01 0%
Bantamweight 25 (8%) 7 28 % 84.50 -43.56 -1.74 -52%
Flyweight 11 (4%) 5 45 % 28.33 -2.18 -0.20 -8%
               
Women's Fights 40 (13%) 17 43 % 173.44 -37.09 -0.93 -21%
Featherweight 3 (1%) 1 33 % 7.50 -1.88 -0.63 -25%
Bantamweight 5 (2%) 2 40 % 16.14 -4.44 -0.89 -28%
Flyweight 8 (3%) 4 50 % 36.50 -10.27 -1.28 -28%
Strawweight 24 (8%) 10 42 % 113.30 -20.50 -0.85 -18%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 14 (56%) 14 100 %
Slight Favorites 8 (32%) 2 25 %
Slight Underdogs 3 (12%) 2 67 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
25 18 72 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 12 (6%) 9 75 %
50-65% 35 (18%) 20 57 %
35-50% 34 (18%) 19 56 %
<35% chance 112 (58%) 20 18 %
193 68 35 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 24 (12%) 15 63 % 1.70 3.00Pick was correct 1.33Pick was correct 2.1 (9%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 8 (4%) 3 38 % 2.25 3.50Pick was incorrect 1.80Pick was incorrect -1.9 (-24%)
Goes to Decision 11 (6%) 3 27 % 2.33 3.40Pick was correct 1.38Pick was correct -3.6 (-33%)
Does not go to Decision 9 (5%) 7 78 % 1.94 3.40Pick was incorrect 1.40Pick was correct 4.0 (44%)
Fight Starts Round X 6 (3%) 5 83 % 1.82 2.38Pick was correct 1.44Pick was incorrect 3.7 (62%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X 2 (1%) 1 50 % 1.79 2.00Pick was correct 1.62Pick was incorrect 0.0 (0%)
X Wins by KO 14 (7%) 4 29 % 5.26 9.50Pick was incorrect 2.05Pick was correct 1.0 (7%)
X Does NOT Win by KO 2 (1%) 2 100 % 1.33 1.33Pick was correct 1.33Pick was correct 0.7 (33%)
X Wins by Sub 17 (9%) 1 6 % 9.78 23.00Pick was incorrect 5.50Pick was incorrect -8.0 (-47%)
X Wins by Decision 51 (26%) 17 33 % 3.57 12.00Pick was correct 1.72Pick was correct 19.0 (37%)
X Does NOT Win by Decision 3 (2%) 1 33 % 1.54 1.57Pick was correct 1.50Pick was incorrect -1.4 (-48%)
X Wins Inside Distance 7 (4%) 0 0 % 3.01 12.00Pick was incorrect 1.90Pick was incorrect -7.0 (-100%)
X Wins in Round X 25 (13%) 5 20 % 8.75 34.00Pick was incorrect 3.75Pick was incorrect 20.0 (80%)
Others 14 (7%) 4 29 % 3.91 19.00Pick was incorrect 1.72Pick was correct -5.4 (-39%)
193 68 35 % 3.09     23.0 (12%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail The MMA Model 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
16th Sep UFC Fight Night 116 Rockhold vs. Branch 29.08 5.6 19% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,056.17
22nd Sep UFC Fight Night 117 St. Preux vs. Shogun 2 24 -17.2 -72% $10.56 $1,056.17 $874.51
18th Nov UFC Fight Night 121 Sydney 28.18 12.4 44% $8.75 $874.51 $983.17
25th Nov UFC Fight Night 122 Bisping vs. Gastellum 40 -4.3 -11% $9.83 $983.17 $941.09
2nd Dec TUF 26 Finale 16 1.7 10% $9.41 $941.09 $956.90
2nd Dec UFC 218 50 0.4 1% $9.57 $956.90 $960.92
9th Dec UFC Fight Night 123 2 2.7 134% $9.61 $960.92 $986.67
16th Dec UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos 28.6 -2.6 -9% $9.87 $986.67 $961.41
20th Jan UFC 220 11 -11.0 -100% $9.61 $961.41 $855.66
27th Jan UFC on Fox 27 26.4 5.3 20% $8.56 $855.66 $900.83
4th Feb UFC Fight Night 125 22 -22.0 -100% $9.01 $900.83 $702.65
10th Feb UFC 221 11 7.4 67% $7.03 $702.65 $754.44
17th Mar UFC Fight Night 127 25 -8.0 -32% $7.54 $754.44 $694.08
7th Apr UFC 223 59 12.2 21% $5 $6.94 $694.08 $773.48
14th Apr UFC on Fox 29 88 9.7 11% $7.73 $773.48 $848.35
21st Apr UFC Fight Night 128 53 3.5 7% $8.48 $848.35 $878.39
12th May UFC 224 82.5 28.2 34% $8.78 $878.39 $1,126.32
19th May UFC Fight Night 129 64.5 9.6 15% $11.26 $1,126.32 $1,234.89
25th May Bellator 200 24 -9.0 -38% $12.35 $1,234.89 $1,123.26
27th May UFC Fight Night 130 93.5 -16.7 -18% $11.23 $1,123.26 $935.56
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 131 56 3.1 5% $9.36 $935.56 $964.19
9th Jun UFC 225 42 5.1 12% $9.64 $964.19 $1,013.07
12th Jun DWTNCS 9 5 5.9 118% $10.13 $1,013.07 $1,072.84
16th Jun Cage Warriors 94 7 -7.0 -100% $10.73 $1,072.84 $997.74
23rd Jun UFC Fight Night 132 5 2.9 57% $9.98 $997.74 $1,026.18
7th Jul TUF 27 Finale 10 -1.0 -10% $10.26 $1,026.18 $1,015.91
7th Jul UFC 226 12 17.4 145% $10.16 $1,015.91 $1,192.18
10th Jul DWTNCS 12 5 -2.8 -56% $11.92 $1,192.18 $1,158.80
13th Jul One FC 77 5 -5.0 -100% $11.59 $1,158.80 $1,100.86
14th Jul UFC Fight Night 133 19.25 6.5 34% $11.01 $1,100.86 $1,172.94
22nd Jul UFC Fight Night 134 9 13.4 149% $11.73 $1,172.94 $1,329.76
28th Jul UFC on Fox 30 23 -8.0 -35% $13.30 $1,329.76 $1,222.85
4th Aug UFC 227 13.5 2.0 15% $12.23 $1,222.85 $1,247.31
25th Aug UFC Fight Night 135 16 -5.7 -36% $12.47 $1,247.31 $1,175.59
1st Sep Cage Warriors 96 5 -5.0 -100% $11.76 $1,175.59 $1,116.81
8th Sep UFC 228 33.14 -19.5 -59% $11.17 $1,116.81 $899.00
15th Sep UFC FIght Night Moscow 5 -5.0 -100% $8.99 $899.00 $854.05
22nd Sep UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 5 2.0 40% $8.54 $854.05 $871.13
29th Sep Bellator 206 5 2.7 53% $8.71 $871.13 $894.22
6th Oct UFC 229 62 27.8 45% $8.94 $894.22 $1,142.37
12th Oct Bellator 207 5 2.2 44% $11.42 $1,142.37 $1,167.50
13th Oct Bellator 208 1.5 -1.5 -100% $11.68 $1,167.50 $1,149.99
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 17 1.0 6% $11.50 $1,149.99 $1,161.49
3rd Nov UFC 230 5 2.0 40% $11.61 $1,161.49 $1,184.72
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 10 -3.0 -30% $11.85 $1,184.72 $1,149.18
17th Nov UFC Fight Night 140 9.5 8.0 84% $11.49 $1,149.18 $1,241.12
24th Nov UFC Fight Night 141 8.5 -1.7 -21% $12.41 $1,241.12 $1,219.40
30th Nov TUF Finale 4 -4.0 -100% $12.19 $1,219.40 $1,170.62
1st Dec UFC Fight Night 142 4 -4.0 -100% $11.71 $1,170.62 $1,123.80
8th Dec UFC 231 23.5 -2.8 -12% $11.24 $1,123.80 $1,092.33
15th Dec UFC Fight Night Milwaukee 6 -1.9 -32% $10.92 $1,092.33 $1,071.36
29th Dec UFC 232 15.87 3.3 21% $10.71 $1,071.36 $1,106.23
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 2 2.5 125% $11.06 $1,106.23 $1,133.89
26th Jan Bellator Los Angeles 3 1.5 50% $11.34 $1,133.89 $1,150.90
2nd Feb UFC Fight Night 144 2.4 -2.4 -100% $11.51 $1,150.90 $1,123.27
9th Feb UFC 234 5.5 5.3 97% $11.23 $1,123.27 $1,183.09
16th Feb Bellator 216 2.6 0.7 27% $11.83 $1,183.09 $1,191.37
17th Feb UFC on ESPN 1 1.4 0.6 43% $11.91 $1,191.37 $1,198.52
23rd Feb UFC Fight Night 145 1.4 0.8 57% $11.99 $1,198.52 $1,208.11
2nd Mar UFC 235 4.8 1.0 20% $12.08 $1,208.11 $1,219.82
9th Mar UFC Fight Night 146 5 3.8 76% $12.20 $1,219.82 $1,266.05
16th Mar UFC Fight Night 147 5 -1.7 -35% $12.66 $1,266.05 $1,243.90
22nd Mar Bellator 218 1 -1.0 -100% $12.44 $1,243.90 $1,231.46
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night 148 8.8 1.0 11% $12.31 $1,231.46 $1,243.77
30th Mar UFC on ESPN 2 2 -2.0 -100% $12.44 $1,243.77 $1,218.90
31st Mar One FC - A New Era 2 1.1 53% $12.19 $1,218.90 $1,231.86
13th Apr UFC 236 19.84 3.6 18% $12.32 $1,231.86 $1,276.75
20th Apr UFC Fight Night 149 13.09 1.8 14% $12.77 $1,276.75 $1,300.24
27th Apr UFC on ESPN 3 7.31 1.8 24% $13.00 $1,300.24 $1,323.12
4th May UFC Fight Night 150 7.56 -0.8 -10% $13.23 $1,323.12 $1,313.12
11th May Bellator 221 6 2.1 36% $13.13 $1,313.12 $1,341.22
11th May UFC 237 10.2 -1.3 -13% $13.41 $1,341.22 $1,324.05
18th May UFC Fight Night 152 1.3 1.5 115% $13.24 $1,324.05 $1,343.91
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 153 2.8 2.8 101% $13.44 $1,343.91 $1,381.81
8th Jun UFC 238 21.38 -1.8 -8% $13.82 $1,381.81 $1,356.77
14th Jun Bellator 222 2 0.4 22% $13.57 $1,356.77 $1,362.60
22nd Jun UFC Fight Night 154 2.8 -0.2 -6% $13.63 $1,362.60 $1,360.15
29th Jun UFC on ESPN 3 3 -3.0 -100% $13.60 $1,360.15 $1,319.35
6th Jul UFC 239 10.32 0.8 8% $13.19 $1,319.35 $1,330.41
10th Jul DWTNCS 19 2 -2.0 -100% $13.30 $1,330.41 $1,303.80
13th Jul UFC Fight Night 155 3 -0.6 -20% $13.04 $1,303.80 $1,295.98
20th Jul UFC on ESPN 4 2 0.2 10% $12.96 $1,295.98 $1,298.52
27th Jul UFC 240 1.6 1.1 69% $12.99 $1,298.52 $1,312.80
3rd Aug UFC on ESPN 5 2 1.0 50% $13.13 $1,312.80 $1,325.93
10th Aug UFC Fight Night 156 1 1.0 100% $13.26 $1,325.93 $1,339.19
17th Aug UFC 241 4.5 0.3 8% $13.39 $1,339.19 $1,343.87
31st Aug UFC Fight Night 157 2.4 -2.4 -100% $13.44 $1,343.87 $1,311.62
7th Sep UFC 242 4.62 0.1 2% $13.12 $1,311.62 $1,312.66
14th Sep UFC Fight Night 158 5.6 2.4 42% $13.13 $1,312.66 $1,343.51
28th Sep UFC Fight Night 160 6.4 6.2 96% $13.44 $1,343.51 $1,426.27
5th Oct UFC 243 4.6 -4.6 -100% $14.26 $1,426.27 $1,360.66
12th Oct UFC on ESPN+ 19 6.5 1.0 15% $13.61 $1,360.66 $1,374.27
18th Oct UFC ESPN 6 0.8 -0.8 -100% $13.74 $1,374.27 $1,363.27
26th Oct UFC Fight Night 162 28 2.1 7% $13.63 $1,363.27 $1,391.63
2nd Nov UFC 244 8 4.0 50% $13.92 $1,391.63 $1,447.30
9th Nov UFC Fight Night 163 4 -4.0 -100% $14.47 $1,447.30 $1,389.41
15th Dec UFC 245 8.64 0.7 8% $13.89 $1,389.41 $1,398.52
18th Jan UFC 246 8 8.7 109% $13.99 $1,398.52 $1,519.91
25th Jan UFC Fight Night 166 10 1.3 13% $15.20 $1,519.91 $1,539.98
9th Feb UFC 247 9 -3.0 -33% $15.40 $1,539.98 $1,493.78
29th Feb UFC Fight Night 2 1.6 80% $14.94 $1,493.78 $1,517.68
14th Mar UFC Fight Night 169 2 -2.0 -100% $15.18 $1,517.68 $1,487.32
10th May UFC 249 6 -1.9 -32% $14.87 $1,487.32 $1,458.77
16th May UFC Fight Night 171 4 -4.0 -100% $14.59 $1,458.77 $1,400.42
6th Jun UFC 250 2 -2.0 -100% $14.00 $1,400.42 $1,372.41
24th Oct UFC 254 14 -0.1 -0% $13.72 $1,372.41 $1,371.58
14th Nov UFC Vegas 14 12 1.3 11% $13.72 $1,371.58 $1,389.28
21st Nov UFC 255 2 -2.0 -100% $13.89 $1,389.28 $1,361.49
17th Apr UFC FN 8 2.3 29% $13.61 $1,361.49 $1,392.54
24th Apr UFC 261 22 -3.2 -15% $13.93 $1,392.54 $1,347.70
1st May UFC FN 4 -4.0 -100% $13.48 $1,347.70 $1,293.79
21st Aug UFC FN 15 -3.3 -22% $12.94 $1,293.79 $1,251.09
4th Sep UFC FN 5 -5.0 -100% $12.51 $1,251.09 $1,188.54


ROI % from starting bank balance: 18.85% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

The MMA Model : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Aug '21 Ignacio Bahamondes Roosevelt Roberts 2.34 5 TKO, R3 (4:55) MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '21 Urijah Hall Chris Weidman 2.20 2 TKO, R1 (0:17) MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '21 Rose Namajunas Weili Zhang 2.84 2 TKO, R1 (1:18) MMA Bookmaker
4. Apr '21 Gerald Meerschaert Bartosz Fabinski 2.14 2 Sub, R1 (2:0) MMA Bookmaker
5. Nov '20 Don'tale Mayes Roque Martinez 1.53 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Nov '20 Kalinn Williams Abdul Razak Alhassan 2.90 3 TKO, R1 (0:30) MMA Bookmaker
7. Oct '20 Joel Alvarez Alexander Yakovlev 1.72 2 Sub, R1 (3:0) MMA Bookmaker
8. Oct '20 Miranda Maverick Liana Jojua 1.29 2 TKO, R1 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
9. Oct '20 Shavkat Rakhmonov Alex Oliveira 2.35 2 Sub, R1 (4:40) MMA Bookmaker
10. Oct '20 Alexander Volkov Walt Harris 1.61 2 TKO, R2 (1:15) MMA Bookmaker
11. Feb '20 Valentina Shevchenko Katlyn Chookagian 1.20 5 TKO, R3 (1:3) MMA Bookmaker
12. Dec '19 Amanda Nunes Germaine de Randamie 1.40 6.64 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Nov '19 Darren Till Kelvin Gastelum 3.00 4 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Oct '19 Randa Markos Ashley Yoder 1.86 10 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Oct '19 Demian Maia Ben Askren 2.87 4 Sub, R3 (3:54) MMA Bookmaker
16. Sep '19 Jared Cannonier Jack Hermansson 3.14 4 TKO, R2 (0:27) MMA Bookmaker
17. Sep '19 Augusto Sakai Marcin Tybura 2.11 1 TKO, R1 (0:59) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
18. Sep '19 Justin Gaethje Donald Cerrone 1.72 2 TKO, R1 (4:18) MMA Bookmaker
19. Oct '19 Joanna Jedrzejczyk Michelle Waterson 1.50 5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '19 Germaine de Randamie Aspen Ladd 2.40 1 TKO, R1 (0:16) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Sep '21 Ji Yeon Kim Molly McCann 2.02 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Aug '21 Domingo Pilarte Brian Kelleher 2.50 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Aug '21 Fabio Cherant William Knight 2.60 5 TKO, R1 (3:58) No MMA Bookmaker
4. May '21 KB Bhular Andreas Michailidis 3.10 4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '21 Stefan Sekulic Dwight Grant 2.80 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '21 Kevin Natividad Danaa Batgerel 2.79 2 TKO, R1 (0:50) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Apr '21 Na Liang Ariane Carnelossi 3.00 2 TKO, R2 (1:28) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Apr '21 Dakota Bush Austin Hubbard 2.84 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Nov '20 Jared Gooden Alan Jouban 2.00 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Nov '20 Brendan Allen Sean Strickland 2.10 3 TKO, R2 (1:32) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Nov '20 Rhys McKee Alex Morono 2.62 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Oct '20 Nathaniel Wood Casey Kenney 2.68 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Oct '20 Jared Cannonier Robert Whittaker 1.95 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Oct '20 Stefan Struve Tai Tuivasa 1.96 2 TKO, R1 (4:59) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Jun '20 Cory Sandhagen Aljamain Sterling 2.10 2 Sub, R1 (1:28) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Feb '20 Ilir Latifi Derrick Lewis 3.60 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Mar '20 Kevin Lee Charles Oliveira 2.06 2 Sub, R3 (0:28) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
18. Dec '19 Germaine de Randamie Amanda Nunes 5.00 2 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Nov '19 Calvin Kattar Zabit Magomedsharipov 3.50 4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Nov '19 Makwan Amirkhani Shane Burgos 3.25 4 TKO, R3 (4:32) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

The MMA Model : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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