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MMA Handicapper Stats: Cage Prophet

Cage Prophet (CageProphet.com)

MMA MHandicapper - Cage Prophet

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays
Right 65 (39%) Right 41 (47%) Right 9 (35%) Right 15 (29%)
Wrong 101 (61%) Wrong 47 (53%) Wrong 17 (65%) Wrong 37 (71%)
Avg Odds 2.13 Avg Odds 1.79 Avg Odds 2.50 Avg Odds 2.86
Units Bet 253.6 Units Bet 164.3 Units Bet 21.8 Units Bet 67.6
Avg Bet 1.53 Avg Bet 1.87 Avg Bet 0.84 Avg Bet 1.30
Units Profit -80.45 Units Profit -60.31 Units Profit -0.74 Units Profit -19.40
ROI % -32% ROI % -37% ROI % -3% ROI % -29%
View Handicapper's Profile

Cage Prophet: Event by Event Predictions
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 53 -44.9 -85% -30.9 / 39 (-79%) -14.0 / 14 (-100%)
1st Dec '18 UFC Fight Night 142 10 -10.0 -100% -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 11.5 -8.5 -74% -6.0 / 9 (-66%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 7 -5.6 -80% -0.6 / 2 (-31%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 2.2 2.9 132% 0.2 / 0.2 (110%) 2.7 / 2 (134%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 18.5 -14.0 -76% -7.5 / 12 (-63%) -6.5 / 6.5 (-100%)
15th Sep '18 UFC FIght Night Moscow 7.5 -5.1 -68% -3.7 / 5.5 (-68%) -1.3 / 2 (-67%)
8th Sep '18 UFC 228 4 -0.7 -17% 0.3 / 3 (11%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
25th Aug '18 UFC Fight Night 135 1 0.0 3% 0.0 / 1 (3%)
4th Aug '18 UFC 227 2.5 -1.5 -60% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -0.5 / 1.5 (-33%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
28th Jul '18 UFC on Fox 30 9.5 1.1 11% 1.3 / 6 (21%) -0.2 / 3.5 (-6%)
10th Jul '18 DWTNCS 12 2 -0.7 -36% -0.7 / 2 (-36%)
7th Jul '18 UFC 226 7.8 1.1 14% 1.6 / 5 (33%) -0.5 / 2.8 (-18%)
9th Jun '18 UFC 225 9.5 1.4 14% -1.2 / 5.5 (-21%) 1.8 / 3 (58%) 0.8 / 1 (78%)
7th Apr '18 UFC 223 3 0.1 2% 0.3 / 2 (13%) 0.3 / 0.5 (63%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
16th Dec '17 UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos 7 -7.0 -100% -7.0 / 7 (-100%)
9th Dec '17 UFC Fight Night 123 9 -5.0 -56% 0.0 / 4 (0%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
2nd Dec '17 UFC 218 12 -0.0 -0% -0.8 / 7 (-12%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 1.8 / 4 (46%)
25th Nov '17 UFC Fight Night 122 Bisping vs. Gastellum 4 -2.8 -70% -1.8 / 3 (-60%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
4th Nov '17 UFC 217 13 -1.7 -13% -1.5 / 6 (-24%) 0.8 / 6 (13%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
7th Oct '17 UFC 216 0.6 -0.6 -100% -0.6 / 0.6 (-100%)
16th Sep '17 UFC Fight Night 116 Rockhold vs. Branch 11.75 9.2 78% 4.3 / 6.25 (69%) 0.3 / 1.5 (18%) 4.6 / 4 (116%)
9th Sep '17 UFC 215 7.25 5.1 71% 2.8 / 5 (56%) 2.4 / 2.25 (105%)
2nd Sep '17 UFC Fight Night Struve vs. Volkov 10.5 2.0 19% -0.5 / 4.5 (-11%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) 3.0 / 5.5 (54%)
29th Aug '17 DWTNCS 8 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
26th Aug '17 Bellator 182 4 3.3 81% 1.3 / 2 (63%) 2.0 / 2 (100%)
22nd Aug '17 DWTNCS 7 4 -1.4 -35% -1.4 / 4 (-35%)
15th Aug '17 DWTNCS 6 3 1.7 55% 1.2 / 2 (58%) 0.5 / 1 (50%)
8th Aug '17 DWTNCS 5 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
5th Aug '17 UFC Fight Night 114 Pettis vs. Moreno 3 2.5 83% 1.2 / 2 (61%) 1.3 / 1 (128%)
29th Jul '17 UFC 214 10.5 1.1 11% 1.0 / 5 (21%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) 2.6 / 3 (86%)
22nd Jul '17 UFC on Fox 25 4 -1.5 -37% -0.5 / 3 (-16%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)


Winning Events: 13 (41%)
Losing Events: 19 (59%)

Average Staked Per Event: 7.93 units
Most Staked On One Event: 53.00 units
Best Event: 9.22 units
Worst Event: -44.87 units
Average Event: -2.51 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 16.38
Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -68.98

Cage Prophet: Year on Year Profit
Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Events
Won / Lost (%)		 Profit
Per Event
2019 53 -44.9 -85% -30.9 / 39 (-79%) -14.0 / 14 (-100%) / 1 (0%) -44.87
2018 96 -39.5 -41% -26.7 / 63.5 (-42%) 0.3 / 6.7 (4%) -13.1 / 25.8 (-51%) 6 / 8 (43%) -2.82
2017 104.6 3.9 4% -2.7 / 61.75 (-4%) -1.0 / 15.1 (-7%) 7.7 / 27.75 (28%) 7 / 10 (41%) 0.23

Cage Prophet: Yearly Straight Pick Stats
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Cage Prophet: Profit / Loss by Organization
Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 239.6 -82.2 -34% -59.6 / 153.25 (-39%) -3.2 / 18.8 (-17%) -19.4 / 67.55 (-29%)
Bellator 4 3.3 81% 1.3 / 2 (63%) 2.0 / 2 (100%)
Other 10 -1.5 -15% -2.0 / 9 (-22%) 0.5 / 1 (50%)

Cage Prophet: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 23 (25%) 17 74 % 26.25 -0.88 -0.04 -3%
Slight Favorites 32 (35%) 14 44 % 79.25 -32.43 -1.01 -41%
Slight Underdogs 27 (30%) 10 37 % 52.50 -20.74 -0.77 -40%
Big Underdogs 9 (10%) 0 0 % 6.25 -6.25 -0.69 -100%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 12 (13%) 3 25 % 27.00 -20.36 -1.70 -75%
Co-Main Event 12 (13%) 5 42 % 15.00 -6.43 -0.54 -43%
Position 3-5 33 (36%) 12 36 % 74.25 -42.82 -1.30 -58%
6+ (Undercard) 33 (36%) 20 61 % 47.00 8.73 0.26 19%

Cage Prophet: Profit by Weight Class
  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 6 (7%) 1 17 % 18.00 -13.67 -2.28 -76%
Light Heavy 9 (10%) 5 56 % 16.25 0.35 0.04 2%
Middleweight 3 (3%) 2 67 % 4.00 0.80 0.27 20%
Welterweight 15 (16%) 6 40 % 22.00 -11.27 -0.75 -51%
Lightweight 19 (21%) 10 53 % 27.50 -0.25 -0.01 -1%
Featherweight 18 (20%) 7 39 % 21.75 -3.80 -0.21 -17%
Bantamweight 9 (10%) 4 44 % 39.25 -32.46 -3.61 -83%
Flyweight 4 (4%) 1 25 % 4.25 -1.66 -0.42 -39%
               
Women's Fights 8 (9%) 5 63 % 11.25 1.65 0.21 15%
Bantamweight 3 (3%) 2 67 % 3.25 1.35 0.45 41%
Strawweight 5 (5%) 3 60 % 8.00 0.30 0.06 4%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 58 (46%) 37 64 %
Slight Favorites 50 (39%) 23 46 %
Slight Underdogs 18 (14%) 10 56 %
Big Underdogs 1 (1%) 0 0 %
127 70 55 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 1 (4%) 1 100 %
50-65% 9 (35%) 4 44 %
35-50% 5 (19%) 3 60 %
<35% chance 11 (42%) 1 9 %
26 9 35 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types
Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds		 Longest
Odds		 Shortest
Odds		 1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 9 (35%) 7 78 % 1.79 2.10Pick was correct 1.50Pick was correct 3.4 (38%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 7 (27%) 1 14 % 2.37 3.95Pick was incorrect 1.83Pick was incorrect -5.0 (-71%)
X Wins by KO 4 (15%) 0 0 % 4.29 11.25Pick was incorrect 3.00Pick was incorrect -4.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub 2 (8%) 0 0 % 7.19 7.50Pick was incorrect 6.90Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 1 (4%) 0 0 % 3.15 3.15Pick was incorrect 3.15Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance 1 (4%) 0 0 % 5.50 5.50Pick was incorrect 5.50Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Others 2 (8%) 1 50 % 2.84 9.50Pick was correct 1.67Pick was incorrect 7.5 (375%)
26 9 35 % 2.50     -2.1 (-8%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Cage Prophet's bets
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
22nd Jul UFC on Fox 25 4 -1.5 -37% $10.00 $1,000.00 $985.20
29th Jul UFC 214 10.5 1.1 11% $9.85 $985.20 $996.14
5th Aug UFC Fight Night 114 Pettis vs. Moreno 3 2.5 83% $9.96 $996.14 $1,020.91
8th Aug DWTNCS 5 0.5 -0.5 -100% $10.21 $1,020.91 $1,015.81
15th Aug DWTNCS 6 3 1.7 55% $10.16 $1,015.81 $1,032.63
22nd Aug DWTNCS 7 4 -1.4 -35% $10.33 $1,032.63 $1,018.05
26th Aug Bellator 182 4 3.3 81% $10.18 $1,018.05 $1,051.24
29th Aug DWTNCS 8 0.5 -0.5 -100% $10.51 $1,051.24 $1,045.99
2nd Sep UFC Fight Night Struve vs. Volkov 10.5 2.0 19% $10.46 $1,045.99 $1,067.09
9th Sep UFC 215 7.25 5.1 71% $10.67 $1,067.09 $1,121.94
16th Sep UFC Fight Night 116 Rockhold vs. Branch 11.75 9.2 78% $11.22 $1,121.94 $1,225.38
7th Oct UFC 216 0.6 -0.6 -100% $12.25 $1,225.38 $1,218.03
4th Nov UFC 217 13 -1.7 -13% $12.18 $1,218.03 $1,197.93
25th Nov UFC Fight Night 122 Bisping vs. Gastellum 4 -2.8 -70% $11.98 $1,197.93 $1,164.49
2nd Dec UFC 218 12 -0.0 -0% $11.64 $1,164.49 $1,164.33
9th Dec UFC Fight Night 123 9 -5.0 -56% $11.64 $1,164.33 $1,106.12
16th Dec UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos 7 -7.0 -100% $11.06 $1,106.12 $1,028.69
7th Apr UFC 223 3 0.1 2% $10.29 $1,028.69 $1,029.33
9th Jun UFC 225 9.5 1.4 14% $10.29 $1,029.33 $1,043.39
7th Jul UFC 226 7.8 1.1 14% $10.43 $1,043.39 $1,055.17
10th Jul DWTNCS 12 2 -0.7 -36% $10.55 $1,055.17 $1,047.64
28th Jul UFC on Fox 30 9.5 1.1 11% $10.48 $1,047.64 $1,058.96
4th Aug UFC 227 2.5 -1.5 -60% $10.59 $1,058.96 $1,043.07
25th Aug UFC Fight Night 135 1 0.0 3% $10.43 $1,043.07 $1,043.33
8th Sep UFC 228 4 -0.7 -17% $10.43 $1,043.33 $1,036.44
15th Sep UFC FIght Night Moscow 7.5 -5.1 -68% $10.36 $1,036.44 $983.75
6th Oct UFC 229 18.5 -14.0 -76% $9.84 $983.75 $845.83
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 2.2 2.9 132% $8.46 $845.83 $870.38
3rd Nov UFC 230 7 -5.6 -80% $8.70 $870.38 $821.38
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 11.5 -8.5 -74% $8.21 $821.38 $751.77
1st Dec UFC Fight Night 142 10 -10.0 -100% $7.52 $751.77 $676.60
2nd Mar UFC 235 53 -44.9 -85% $6.77 $676.60 $372.97


ROI % from starting bank balance: -62.70% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Cage Prophet: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)
Last 20 Wins
  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Mar '19 Johnny Walker Misha Cirkunov 1.63 5 TKO, R1 (0:36) MMA Bookmaker
2. Nov '18 Germaine de Randamie Raquel Pennington 1.51 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Nov '18 Karl Roberson Jack Marshman 1.37 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Oct '18 Aspen Ladd Tonya Evinger 1.57 1 TKO, R1 (3:26) MMA Bookmaker
5. Sep '18 Magomed Ankalaev Marcin Prachnio 1.20 0.25 TKO, R1 (3:9) MMA Bookmaker
6. Sep '18 Merab Dvalishvili Terrion Ware 1.20 0.25 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Sep '18 Rustam Khabilov Kajan Johnson 1.12 0.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Sep '18 Mairbek Taisumov Desmond Green 1.18 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Oct '18 Nik Lentz Gray Maynard 1.45 2 TKO, R2 (1:19) MMA Bookmaker
10. Sep '18 Jimmie Rivera John Dodson 1.71 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Sep '18 Aljamain Sterling Cody Stamann 1.63 1 Sub, R2 (3:42) MMA Bookmaker
12. Aug '18 Michael Johnson Andre Fili 2.05 0.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Jul '18 Nina Nunes Randa Markos 1.73 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Jul '18 Ion Cutelaba Gadzhimurad Antigulov 1.91 2 TKO, R1 (4:25) MMA Bookmaker
15. Jul '18 Kevin Aguilar Joey Gomez (2) 1.29 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
16. Jul '18 Daniel Hooker Gilbert Burns 1.83 1 TKO, R1 (2:28) MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '18 Mike Perry Paul Felder 2.32 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Jul '18 Drakkar Klose Lando Vannata 2.50 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Jun '18 Tai Tuivasa Andrei Arlovski 1.44 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Apr '18 Olivier Aubin-Mercier Evan Dunham 2.25 1 TKO, R1 (0:53) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Mar '19 Cody Garbrandt Pedro Munhoz 1.68 11 TKO, R1 (4:52) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '19 Cody Garbrandt Pedro Munhoz 1.71 11 TKO, R1 (4:52) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '19 Tyron Woodley Kamaru Usman 1.63 2 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '19 Cody Garbrandt Pedro Munhoz 1.67 10 TKO, R1 (4:52) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '18 Tai Tuivasa Junior dos Santos 2.35 10 TKO, R2 (2:30) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Nov '18 Luis Pena Mike Trizano 1.59 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Nov '18 Mike Perry Donald Cerrone 1.51 2 Sub, R1 (4:46) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Nov '18 Chan Sung Jung Yair Rodriguez 1.88 1 TKO, R5 (4:59) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Nov '18 Chas Skelly Bobby Moffett 1.91 2 Sub, R2 (2:43) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Nov '18 Jason Knight Jordan Rinaldi 1.39 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Oct '18 Alexander Volkov Derrick Lewis 1.55 1 TKO, R3 (4:49) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Oct '18 Felice Herrig Michelle Waterson 1.76 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Oct '18 Ovince St Preux Dominick Reyes 2.70 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Oct '18 Conor McGregor Khabib Nurmagomedov 2.41 1 Sub, R4 (3:2) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Sep '18 Andrei Arlovski Shamil Abdurakhimov 2.13 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Sep '18 Nikita Krylov Jan Blachowicz 1.85 2 Sub, R2 (2:41) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Sep '18 Niko Price Abdul Razak Alhassan 2.04 1 TKO, R1 (0:43) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Aug '18 Jon Tuck Drew Dober 2.90 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Oct '18 Conor McGregor Khabib Nurmagomedov 2.25 4 Sub, R4 (3:2) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Aug '18 Cub Swanson Renato Moicano 4.35 0.5 Sub, R1 (4:15) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Cage Prophet: Progress Chart
Chart

 
 
 
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