MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6365
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2352

MMA Handicapper Stats: LockPicker

LockPicker (LockPicker)

MMA MHandicapper - LockPicker

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	85 (53%)	Right	49 (60%)	Right	27 (44%)	Right	9 (56%)
Wrong	74 (47%)	Wrong	32 (40%)	Wrong	35 (56%)	Wrong	7 (44%)
Avg Odds	1.98	Avg Odds	1.77	Avg Odds	2.31	Avg Odds	2.06
Units Bet	466.6	Units Bet	334.5	Units Bet	90.1	Units Bet	42.0
Avg Bet	2.93	Avg Bet	4.13	Avg Bet	1.45	Avg Bet	2.63
Units Profit	40.06	Units Profit	32.21	Units Profit	4.10	Units Profit	3.76
ROI %	9%	ROI %	10%	ROI %	5%	ROI %	9%

LockPicker : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
4th Nov '17	UFC 217	25	-7.1	-28%	1.7 / 13 (13%)	-0.8 / 4 (-20%)	-8.0 / 8 (-100%)
22nd Sep '17	UFC Fight Night 117 St. Preux vs. Shogun 2	7	2.4	34%	2.4 / 7 (34%)
9th Sep '17	UFC 215	7	-7.0	-100%	-7.0 / 7 (-100%)
2nd Sep '17	UFC Fight Night Struve vs. Volkov	15	9.9	66%	5.7 / 9 (63%)	0.6 / 1 (61%)	3.6 / 5 (73%)
29th Jul '17	UFC 214	22	-11.2	-51%	-8.0 / 15 (-53%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	-0.2 / 4 (-4%)
16th Jul '17	UFC Fight Night 113	8	1.3	16%	1.3 / 8 (16%)
8th Jul '17	UFC 213	10	-0.9	-9%	-0.9 / 10 (-9%)
7th Jul '17	TUF Season 25 Finale	10	15.9	159%	11.9 / 5 (239%)		4.0 / 5 (79%)
25th Jun '17	UFC Fight Night 112	16	-0.2	-1%	4.8 / 11 (44%)		-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
24th Jun '17	Bellator 180 Sonnen vs. Silva	3	2.7	90%	2.7 / 3 (90%)
17th Jun '17	UFC Fight Night 111	20	10.7	53%	0.1 / 10 (1%)	1.1 / 1 (110%)	9.4 / 9 (105%)
10th Jun '17	UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis	8	6.4	80%	6.4 / 8 (80%)
28th May '17	UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira	21	-2.7	-13%	-2.7 / 21 (-13%)
13th May '17	UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos	24.5	-13.0	-53%	-7.8 / 12 (-65%)	-2.7 / 10 (-27%)	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
22nd Apr '17	UFC Fight Night 108 Swanson vs. Lobov	21.5	-0.5	-2%	-1.6 / 7.5 (-22%)	-1.2 / 10.5 (-12%)	2.4 / 3.5 (68%)
15th Apr '17	UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis	8.95	5.2	59%	0.5 / 4 (13%)	4.7 / 4.95 (95%)
8th Apr '17	UFC 210 - Cormier vs. Johnson 2	23.3	-1.2	-5%	0.8 / 16 (5%)	-2.0 / 7.3 (-27%)
18th Mar '17	UFC Fight Night 107 Manuwa vs. Anderson	16.5	-6.1	-37%	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)	3.9 / 6.5 (60%)
11th Mar '17	UFC Fight Night 106 Belfort vs. Gastelum	24.7	-4.8	-19%	-4.1 / 22.5 (-18%)	-0.7 / 2.2 (-30%)
4th Mar '17	UFC 209	15.6	1.1	7%	-0.1 / 11 (-0%)	1.2 / 4.6 (26%)
19th Feb '17	UFC Fight Night 105 Lewis vs. Browne	23.5	3.2	13%	-2.4 / 14 (-17%)	5.5 / 9.5 (58%)
18th Feb '17	Bellator 172	5	-0.1	-2%	-0.1 / 5 (-2%)
11th Feb '17	UFC 208	30.5	9.5	31%	11.3 / 26.5 (43%)	-1.8 / 4 (-46%)
4th Feb '17	UFC FN 104 K. Zombie vs. Bermudez	40.1	12.7	32%	13.0 / 17 (77%)	-0.3 / 23.1 (-1%)
28th Jan '17	UFC on FOX 23 Shevchenko vs. Pena	7.4	-0.6	-8%	-0.2 / 7 (-3%)	-0.4 / 0.4 (-100%)
15th Jan '17	UFC Fight Night 103 Rodriguez vs. Penn	21.5	6.6	31%	6.6 / 21.5 (31%)
31st Dec '16	UFC 207	31	5.3	17%	5.3 / 31 (17%)

Winning Events: 14 (52%)
Losing Events: 13 (48%)

Average Staked Per Event: 17.26 units
Most Staked On One Event: 40.10 units
Best Event: 15.92 units
Worst Event: -12.99 units
Average Event: 1.40 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 22.21
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -16.17

LockPicker : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2017	435.05	32.5	7%	24.6 / 301 (8%)	4.1 / 92.05 (4%)	3.8 / 42 (9%)	13 / 13 (50%)	1.25
2016	31	5.3	17%	5.3 / 31 (17%)			1 / 0 (100%)	5.32

LockPicker : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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LockPicker : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	458.05	35.2	8%	27.3 / 324 (8%)	4.1 / 92.05 (4%)	3.8 / 42 (9%)
Bellator	8	2.6	33%	2.6 / 8 (33%)

LockPicker : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	27 (33%)	20	74 %	142.00	7.65	0.28	5%
Slight Favorites	32 (39%)	20	63 %	122.50	13.44	0.42	11%
Slight Underdogs	14 (17%)	5	36 %	45.50	-9.63	-0.69	-21%
Big Underdogs	9 (11%)	4	44 %	24.50	20.75	2.31	85%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	13 (16%)	7	54 %	54.00	-1.27	-0.10	-2%
Co-Main Event	13 (16%)	7	54 %	46.50	5.96	0.46	13%
Position 3-5	23 (28%)	13	57 %	100.00	9.54	0.41	10%
6+ (Undercard)	32 (39%)	21	66 %	131.50	15.71	0.49	12%

LockPicker : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	10 (12%)	7	70 %	35.00	2.45	0.24	7%
Light Heavy	6 (7%)	3	50 %	23.50	-3.30	-0.55	-14%
Middleweight	8 (10%)	5	63 %	30.00	2.13	0.27	7%
Welterweight	16 (20%)	9	56 %	81.00	-2.38	-0.15	-3%
Lightweight	15 (18%)	11	73 %	61.50	36.90	2.46	60%
Featherweight	7 (9%)	2	29 %	27.00	-9.27	-1.32	-34%
Bantamweight	6 (7%)	2	33 %	25.00	-7.28	-1.21	-29%
Flyweight	2 (2%)	2	100 %	4.00	2.53	1.27	63%

Women's Fights	11 (13%)	7	64 %	45.00	8.15	0.74	18%
Featherweight	1 (1%)	1	100 %	5.00	4.25	4.25	85%
Bantamweight	5 (6%)	3	60 %	19.00	-2.04	-0.41	-11%
Strawweight	5 (6%)	3	60 %	21.00	5.94	1.19	28%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	19 (86%)	17	89 %
Slight Favorites	2 (9%)	0	0 %
Slight Underdogs	1 (5%)	0	0 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	22	17	77 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	17 (22%)	14	82 %
50-65%	23 (29%)	16	70 %
35-50%	11 (14%)	4	36 %
<35% chance	27 (35%)	2	7 %
	78	36	46 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	7 (9%)	5	71 %	1.52	1.73	1.40	0.4 (6%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	14 (18%)	7	50 %	1.93	3.10	1.43	0.6 (4%)
Goes to Decision	3 (4%)	1	33 %	3.06	5.20	1.83	-1.2 (-39%)
Does not go to Decision	14 (18%)	9	64 %	1.49	2.45	1.22	-0.3 (-2%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X	2 (3%)	2	100 %	1.15	1.15	1.15	0.3 (15%)
X Wins by KO	8 (10%)	1	13 %	2.93	5.20	1.24	-5.8 (-72%)
X Wins by Sub	4 (5%)	2	50 %	4.33	14.30	1.80	2.3 (58%)
X Wins by Decision	3 (4%)	0	0 %	3.44	6.55	2.45	-3.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance	12 (15%)	7	58 %	1.95	3.45	1.15	-0.2 (-1%)
X Wins in Round X	10 (13%)	1	10 %	8.04	22.50	3.50	1.0 (10%)
Others	1 (1%)	1	100 %	2.62	2.62	2.62	1.6 (162%)
	78	36	46 %	2.15			-4.2 (-5%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail LockPicker 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
31st Dec	UFC 207	31	5.3	17%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,053.20
15th Jan	UFC Fight Night 103 Rodriguez vs. Penn	21.5	6.6	31%	$25	$10.53	$1,053.20	$1,098.23
28th Jan	UFC on FOX 23 Shevchenko vs. Pena	7.4	-0.6	-8%	$25	$10.98	$1,098.23	$1,066.64
4th Feb	UFC FN 104 K. Zombie vs. Bermudez	40.1	12.7	32%	$25	$10.67	$1,066.64	$1,177.27
11th Feb	UFC 208	30.5	9.5	31%	$25	$11.77	$1,177.27	$1,264.05
18th Feb	Bellator 172	5	-0.1	-2%	$25	$12.64	$1,264.05	$1,237.78
19th Feb	UFC Fight Night 105 Lewis vs. Browne	23.5	3.2	13%	$25	$12.38	$1,237.78	$1,251.90
4th Mar	UFC 209	15.6	1.1	7%	$25	$12.52	$1,251.90	$1,241.29
11th Mar	UFC Fight Night 106 Belfort vs. Gastelum	24.7	-4.8	-19%	$25	$12.41	$1,241.29	$1,156.96
18th Mar	UFC Fight Night 107 Manuwa vs. Anderson	16.5	-6.1	-37%	$25	$11.57	$1,156.96	$1,061.62
8th Apr	UFC 210 - Cormier vs. Johnson 2	23.3	-1.2	-5%	$25	$10.62	$1,061.62	$1,023.77
15th Apr	UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis	8.95	5.2	59%	$25	$10.24	$1,023.77	$1,052.42
22nd Apr	UFC Fight Night 108 Swanson vs. Lobov	21.5	-0.5	-2%	$25	$10.52	$1,052.42	$1,022.37
13th May	UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos	24.5	-13.0	-53%	$25	$10.22	$1,022.37	$864.56
28th May	UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira	21	-2.7	-13%	$25	$8.65	$864.56	$816.22
10th Jun	UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis	8	6.4	80%	$25	$8.16	$816.22	$843.62
17th Jun	UFC Fight Night 111	20	10.7	53%	$25	$8.44	$843.62	$908.75
24th Jun	Bellator 180 Sonnen vs. Silva	3	2.7	90%	$25	$9.09	$908.75	$908.31
25th Jun	UFC Fight Night 112	16	-0.2	-1%	$25	$9.08	$908.31	$881.89
7th Jul	TUF Season 25 Finale	10	15.9	159%	$25	$8.82	$881.89	$997.28
8th Jul	UFC 213	10	-0.9	-9%	$25	$9.97	$997.28	$963.21
16th Jul	UFC Fight Night 113	8	1.3	16%	$25	$9.63	$963.21	$950.73
29th Jul	UFC 214	22	-11.2	-51%	$25	$9.51	$950.73	$819.65
2nd Sep	UFC Fight Night Struve vs. Volkov	15	9.9	66%	$25	$8.20	$819.65	$875.98
9th Sep	UFC 215	7	-7.0	-100%	$25	$8.76	$875.98	$789.66
22nd Sep	UFC Fight Night 117 St. Preux vs. Shogun 2	7	2.4	34%	$25	$7.90	$789.66	$783.46
4th Nov	UFC 217	25	-7.1	-28%	$25	$7.83	$783.46	$702.75

ROI % from starting bank balance: -29.72% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

LockPicker : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Nov '17	Paulo Costa	Johny Hendricks	1.37	5	TKO, R2 (1:23)
2.	Nov '17	Randy Brown	Mickey Gall	1.96	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Sep '17	Dong Hyun Ma	Takanori Gomi	1.34	7	TKO, R1 (1:30)
4.	Sep '17	Darren Till	Bojan Velickovic	1.55	6	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Sep '17	Alexander Volkov	Stefan Struve	1.79	3	TKO, R3 (3:34)
6.	Jul '17	Jon Jones	Daniel Cormier	1.40	5	TKO, R3 (3:1)
7.	Jul '17	Danny Roberts	Bobby Nash	1.61	2	TKO, R2 (3:59)
8.	Jul '17	Leslie Smith	Amanda Lemos	1.52	4	TKO, R2 (2:53)
9.	Jul '17	Drakkar Klose	Marc Diakiese	3.39	5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Jul '17	Alistair Overeem	Fabricio Werdum	1.83	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Jul '17	Robert Whittaker	Yoel Romero	1.81	3	U Decision (5 rounds)
12.	Jun '17	Matt Mitrione	Fedor Emelianenko	1.90	3	TKO, R1 (1:14)
13.	Jun '17	Tim Means	Alex Garcia	1.45	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Jun '17	Marcin Tybura	Andrei Arlovski	1.45	7	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Jun '17	Daniel Hooker	Ross Pearson	1.74	2	TKO, R2 (3:2)
16.	Jun '17	J.J. Aldrich	Chan-Mi Jeon	1.61	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Jun '17	Mark Hunt	Derrick Lewis	2.25	2	TKO, R4 (3:51)
18.	May '17	Damir Hadzovic	Marcin Held	3.55	3	TKO, R3 (0:7)
19.	Jun '17	Tim Boetsch	Johny Hendricks	3.35	3	TKO, R2 (0:46)
20.	May '17	Jason Knight	Chas Skelly	2.10	2	TKO, R3 (0:39)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Nov '17	Jorge Masvidal	Stephen Thompson	2.60	4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Sep '17	Gilbert Melendez	Jeremy Stephens	1.89	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Sep '17	Valentina Shevchenko	Amanda Nunes	1.80	4	Split Decision (5 rounds)	No
4.	Jul '17	Renan Barao	Aljamain Sterling	1.81	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Jul '17	Kailin Curran	Alexandra Albu	2.38	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Jul '17	Jimi Manuwa	Volkan Oezdemir	1.61	6	TKO, R1 (0:42)	No
7.	Jul '17	Daniel Teymur	Danny Henry	1.53	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Jul '17	Travis Browne	Aleksei Oleinik	1.49	5	Sub, R2 (3:44)	No
9.	May '17	Abdul Razak Alhassan	Omari Akhmedov	1.45	5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Jun '17	Michael Chiesa	Kevin Lee	2.00	4	Sub, R1 (4:37)	No
11.	Jun '17	Andrei Arlovski	Marcin Tybura	3.10	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	May '17	Nico Musoke	Bojan Velickovic	1.74	8	TKO, R3 (4:37)	No
13.	May '17	Yair Rodriguez	Frankie Edgar	2.20	1	TKO, R2 (5:0)	No
14.	May '17	Krzysztof Jotko	David Branch	1.67	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	May '17	Jessica Andrade	Joanna Jedrzejczyk	2.45	3	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
16.	May '17	Jorge Masvidal	Demian Maia	2.18	4	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Apr '17	Diego Sanchez	Al Iaquinta	4.35	1	TKO, R1 (1:38)	No
18.	Apr '17	Diego Sanchez	Al Iaquinta	4.25	2.5	TKO, R1 (1:38)	No
19.	Apr '17	Augusto Mendes	Aljamain Sterling	4.45	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Apr '17	Patrick Cote	Thiago Alves	1.78	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

LockPicker : Progress Chart

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