MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6365
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2352

MMA Handicapper Stats: JUST. LIKE. THAT.

JUST. LIKE. THAT. (ITSALLOVER_69)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	73 (34%)	Right	10 (48%)	Right	22 (34%)	Right	41 (32%)
Wrong	140 (66%)	Wrong	11 (52%)	Wrong	43 (66%)	Wrong	86 (68%)
Avg Odds	3.31	Avg Odds	1.79	Avg Odds	3.33	Avg Odds	3.83
Units Bet	1,581.5	Units Bet	122.5	Units Bet	438.1	Units Bet	1,020.9
Avg Bet	7.42	Avg Bet	5.83	Avg Bet	6.74	Avg Bet	8.04
Units Profit	158.47	Units Profit	-17.04	Units Profit	39.76	Units Profit	135.76
ROI %	10%	ROI %	-14%	ROI %	9%	ROI %	13%

JUST. LIKE. THAT.: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
8th Sep '18	UFC 228	88	-34.5	-39%		-22.0 / 22 (-100%)	-12.5 / 66 (-19%)
4th Aug '18	UFC 227	11	-11.0	-100%			-11.0 / 11 (-100%)
28th Jul '18	UFC on Fox 30	22	-22.0	-100%		-11.0 / 11 (-100%)	-11.0 / 11 (-100%)
22nd Jul '18	UFC Fight Night 134	22	-22.0	-100%		-22.0 / 22 (-100%)
14th Jul '18	UFC Fight Night 133	33	-9.9	-30%		1.1 / 22 (5%)	-11.0 / 11 (-100%)
7th Jul '18	TUF 27 Finale	44	1.9	4%		-11.0 / 11 (-100%)	12.9 / 33 (39%)
23rd Jun '18	UFC Fight Night 132	21	13.0	62%		-11.0 / 11 (-100%)	24.0 / 10 (240%)
9th Jun '18	UFC 225	32	-0.6	-2%			-0.6 / 32 (-2%)
27th May '18	UFC Fight Night 130	16	-16.0	-100%			-16.0 / 16 (-100%)
19th May '18	UFC Fight Night 129	33	38.5	117%		-11.0 / 11 (-100%)	49.5 / 22 (225%)
12th May '18	UFC 224	81	12.2	15%		1.2 / 16 (8%)	10.9 / 65 (17%)
14th Apr '18	UFC on Fox 29	55	-0.3	-1%			-0.3 / 55 (-1%)
7th Apr '18	UFC 223	71	16.5	23%		-16.2 / 60 (-27%)	32.8 / 11 (298%)
3rd Mar '18	UFC 222	27	1.6	6%		17.6 / 11 (160%)	-16.0 / 16 (-100%)
24th Feb '18	UFC on Fox 28	44	-10.9	-25%		11.1 / 22 (50%)	-22.0 / 22 (-100%)
20th Jan '18	UFC 220	58.5	-30.1	-52%		-2.4 / 25.5 (-9%)	-27.7 / 33 (-84%)
20th Jan '18	Bellator 192	11	-11.0	-100%		-11.0 / 11 (-100%)
14th Jan '18	UFC Fight Night 124	38	6.0	16%		12.0 / 32 (37%)	-6.0 / 6 (-100%)
31st Dec '17	UFC 219	83	0.2	0%		-7.6 / 45 (-17%)	7.9 / 38 (21%)
16th Dec '17	UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos	37	-8.7	-23%		15.3 / 13 (118%)	-24.0 / 24 (-100%)
9th Dec '17	UFC Fight Night 123	26.1	-12.1	-46%		7.9 / 6.1 (130%)	-20.0 / 20 (-100%)
2nd Dec '17	UFC 218	32.5	12.1	37%		-5.5 / 5.5 (-100%)	17.6 / 27 (65%)
18th Nov '17	UFC Fight Night 121 Sydney	66	90.2	137%		46.7 / 11 (425%)	43.4 / 55 (79%)
4th Nov '17	UFC 217	48.5	-48.5	-100%		-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)	-45.0 / 45 (-100%)
28th Oct '17	UFC Fight Night 119 Sao Paulo	88	38.0	43%	-11.0 / 11 (-100%)	18.7 / 11 (170%)	30.3 / 66 (46%)
21st Oct '17	UFC Fight Night 118 Gdansk	98.5	171.2	174%		42.1 / 32.5 (130%)	129.1 / 66 (196%)
9th Sep '17	UFC 215	12	-12.0	-100%		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-11.0 / 11 (-100%)
8th Jul '17	UFC 213	30	13.0	43%			13.0 / 30 (43%)
13th May '17	UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos	55	-55.0	-100%		-11.0 / 11 (-100%)	-44.0 / 44 (-100%)
15th Apr '17	UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis	34	-5.5	-16%	-11.0 / 11 (-100%)		5.5 / 23 (24%)
8th Apr '17	UFC 210 - Cormier vs. Johnson 2	77	-17.5	-23%	2.8 / 33 (8%)		-20.2 / 44 (-46%)
18th Mar '17	UFC Fight Night 107 Manuwa vs. Anderson	23	21.8	95%		12.1 / 11 (110%)	9.7 / 12 (81%)
19th Feb '17	UFC Fight Night 105 Lewis vs. Browne	13.5	16.0	119%			16.0 / 13.5 (119%)
28th Jan '17	UFC on FOX 23 Shevchenko vs. Pena	9	-9.0	-100%			-9.0 / 9 (-100%)
15th Jan '17	UFC Fight Night 103 Rodriguez vs. Penn	22.1	78.7	356%			78.7 / 22.1 (356%)
31st Dec '16	UFC 207	33.1	-33.1	-100%			-33.1 / 33.1 (-100%)
17th Dec '16	UFC on Fox 22	24.5	-19.4	-79%	-7.4 / 12.5 (-59%)		-12.0 / 12 (-100%)
10th Dec '16	UFC 206	5	5.8	116%			5.8 / 5 (116%)
3rd Dec '16	UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 24 Finale	1	-1.0	-100%			-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
19th Nov '16	UFC Fight Night 100 Bader vs. Nogueira 2	14	4.7	33%	4.7 / 14 (33%)
19th Nov '16	UFC Fight Night 99 - Mousasi vs. Hall	15	-9.1	-61%	-9.1 / 15 (-61%)
5th Nov '16	UFC Mexico City	26	14.0	54%	14.0 / 26 (54%)

Winning Events: 19 (45%)
Losing Events: 23 (55%)

Average Staked Per Event: 37.65 units
Most Staked On One Event: 98.50 units
Best Event: 171.25 units
Worst Event: -55.00 units
Average Event: 3.72 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 209.22
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -99.44

JUST. LIKE. THAT.: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2018	707.5	-78.7	-11%		-74.6 / 287.5 (-26%)	-4.1 / 420 (-1%)	7 / 11 (39%)	-4.37
2017	755.2	273.0	36%	-19.2 / 55 (-35%)	114.3 / 150.6 (76%)	177.9 / 549.6 (32%)	9 / 8 (53%)	16.06
2016	118.6	-38.1	-32%	2.2 / 67.5 (3%)		-40.3 / 51.1 (-79%)	3 / 4 (43%)	-5.44

JUST. LIKE. THAT.: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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JUST. LIKE. THAT.: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	1570.3	167.1	11%	-17.0 / 122.5 (-14%)	50.8 / 427.1 (12%)	133.4 / 1020.7 (13%)
Bellator	11	-11.0	-100%		-11.0 / 11 (-100%)

JUST. LIKE. THAT.: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	9 (43%)	6	67 %	39.00	-0.74	-0.08	-2%
Slight Favorites	3 (14%)	1	33 %	6.00	-2.50	-0.83	-42%
Slight Underdogs	5 (24%)	2	40 %	39.50	-11.55	-2.31	-29%
Big Underdogs	4 (19%)	1	25 %	38.00	-2.25	-0.56	-6%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	3 (14%)	3	100 %	14.00	13.80	4.60	99%
Co-Main Event	6 (29%)	2	33 %	42.50	-23.85	-3.98	-56%
Position 3-5	5 (24%)	3	60 %	37.00	14.01	2.80	38%
6+ (Undercard)	7 (33%)	2	29 %	29.00	-21.00	-3.00	-72%

JUST. LIKE. THAT.: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	1 (5%)	1	100 %	2.00	1.50	1.50	75%
Light Heavy	1 (5%)	1	100 %	2.00	0.60	0.60	30%
Middleweight	2 (10%)	1	50 %	6.00	-3.60	-1.80	-60%
Welterweight	4 (19%)		0 %	32.00	-32.00	-8.00	-100%
Lightweight	4 (19%)	2	50 %	25.00	33.55	8.39	134%
Featherweight	1 (5%)		0 %	3.00	-3.00	-3.00	-100%
Bantamweight	2 (10%)	2	100 %	13.00	5.00	2.50	38%

Women's Fights	6 (29%)	3	50 %	39.50	-19.09	-3.18	-48%
Strawweight	6 (29%)	3	50 %	39.50	-19.09	-3.18	-48%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	106 (41%)	80	75 %
Slight Favorites	69 (27%)	44	64 %
Slight Underdogs	53 (21%)	22	42 %
Big Underdogs	30 (12%)	6	20 %
	258	152	59 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	57 (32%)	47	82 %
50-65%	49 (28%)	35	71 %
35-50%	30 (17%)	10	33 %
<35% chance	40 (23%)	10	25 %
	176	102	58 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	58 (33%)	48	83 %	1.50	2.20	1.20	13.2 (23%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	13 (7%)	3	23 %	1.76	3.01	1.20	-6.8 (-52%)
Goes to Decision	3 (2%)	1	33 %	1.80	2.25	1.57	-1.3 (-43%)
Does not go to Decision	38 (22%)	29	76 %	1.56	3.85	1.22	8.2 (21%)
X Wins by KO	3 (2%)	1	33 %	4.22	13.50	2.20	-0.8 (-27%)
X Wins by Sub	1 (1%)	0	0 %	14.25	14.25	14.25	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	23 (13%)	6	26 %	2.73	7.00	1.80	-7.6 (-33%)
X Wins Inside Distance	12 (7%)	3	25 %	3.11	7.50	1.72	-3.2 (-27%)
X Wins in Round X	8 (5%)	2	25 %	7.78	15.00	5.00	15.5 (194%)
Others	17 (10%)	9	53 %	2.40	50.99	1.40	1.3 (8%)
	176	102	58 %	1.89			17.5 (10%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail JUST. LIKE. THAT.'s bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
5th Nov	UFC Mexico City	26	14.0	54%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,140.00
19th Nov	UFC Fight Night 99 - Mousasi vs. Hall	15	-9.1	-61%		$11.40	$1,140.00	$1,036.26
19th Nov	UFC Fight Night 100 Bader vs. Nogueira 2	14	4.7	33%		$10.36	$1,036.26	$1,084.55
3rd Dec	UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 24 Finale	1	-1.0	-100%		$10.85	$1,084.55	$1,073.70
10th Dec	UFC 206	5	5.8	116%		$10.74	$1,073.70	$1,135.97
17th Dec	UFC on Fox 22	24.5	-19.4	-79%		$11.36	$1,135.97	$916.16
31st Dec	UFC 207	33.1	-33.1	-100%		$9.16	$916.16	$612.91
15th Jan	UFC Fight Night 103 Rodriguez vs. Penn	22.1	78.7	356%		$6.13	$612.91	$1,095.00
28th Jan	UFC on FOX 23 Shevchenko vs. Pena	9	-9.0	-100%		$10.95	$1,095.00	$996.45
19th Feb	UFC Fight Night 105 Lewis vs. Browne	13.5	16.0	119%		$9.96	$996.45	$1,156.17
18th Mar	UFC Fight Night 107 Manuwa vs. Anderson	23	21.8	95%		$11.56	$1,156.17	$1,408.13
8th Apr	UFC 210 - Cormier vs. Johnson 2	77	-17.5	-23%		$14.08	$1,408.13	$1,161.85
15th Apr	UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis	34	-5.5	-16%		$11.62	$1,161.85	$1,097.51
13th May	UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos	55	-55.0	-100%		$10.98	$1,097.51	$493.88
8th Jul	UFC 213	30	13.0	43%		$4.94	$493.88	$557.98
9th Sep	UFC 215	12	-12.0	-100%		$5.58	$557.98	$491.03
21st Oct	UFC Fight Night 118 Gdansk	98.5	171.2	174%		$4.91	$491.03	$1,331.90
28th Oct	UFC Fight Night 119 Sao Paulo	88	38.0	43%		$13.32	$1,331.90	$1,837.60
4th Nov	UFC 217	48.5	-48.5	-100%		$18.38	$1,837.60	$946.37
18th Nov	UFC Fight Night 121 Sydney	66	90.2	137%		$9.46	$946.37	$1,799.88
2nd Dec	UFC 218	32.5	12.1	37%		$18.00	$1,799.88	$2,018.21
9th Dec	UFC Fight Night 123	26.1	-12.1	-46%		$20.18	$2,018.21	$1,774.01
16th Dec	UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos	37	-8.7	-23%		$17.74	$1,774.01	$1,620.55
31st Dec	UFC 219	83	0.2	0%		$16.21	$1,620.55	$1,624.60
14th Jan	UFC Fight Night 124	38	6.0	16%		$16.25	$1,624.60	$1,721.59
20th Jan	UFC 220	58.5	-30.1	-52%		$17.22	$1,721.59	$1,202.76
20th Jan	Bellator 192	11	-11.0	-100%		$12.03	$1,202.76	$1,070.46
24th Feb	UFC on Fox 28	44	-10.9	-25%		$10.70	$1,070.46	$953.88
3rd Mar	UFC 222	27	1.6	6%		$9.54	$953.88	$969.14
7th Apr	UFC 223	71	16.5	23%		$9.69	$969.14	$1,129.42
14th Apr	UFC on Fox 29	55	-0.3	-1%		$11.29	$1,129.42	$1,125.58
12th May	UFC 224	81	12.2	15%		$11.26	$1,125.58	$1,262.69
19th May	UFC Fight Night 129	33	38.5	117%		$12.63	$1,262.69	$1,748.30
27th May	UFC Fight Night 130	16	-16.0	-100%		$17.48	$1,748.30	$1,468.57
9th Jun	UFC 225	32	-0.6	-2%		$14.69	$1,468.57	$1,459.37
23rd Jun	UFC Fight Night 132	21	13.0	62%		$14.59	$1,459.37	$1,649.33
7th Jul	TUF 27 Finale	44	1.9	4%		$16.49	$1,649.33	$1,681.26
14th Jul	UFC Fight Night 133	33	-9.9	-30%		$16.81	$1,681.26	$1,514.82
22nd Jul	UFC Fight Night 134	22	-22.0	-100%		$15.15	$1,514.82	$1,181.56
28th Jul	UFC on Fox 30	22	-22.0	-100%		$11.82	$1,181.56	$921.61
4th Aug	UFC 227	11	-11.0	-100%		$9.22	$921.61	$820.24
8th Sep	UFC 228	88	-34.5	-39%		$8.20	$820.24	$536.92

ROI % from starting bank balance: -46.31% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

JUST. LIKE. THAT.: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Apr '17	Charles Oliveira	Will Brooks	3.25	11	Sub, R1 (2:30)
2.	Dec '16	Michelle Waterson	Paige VanZant	2.06	2.5	Sub, R1 (3:21)
3.	Nov '16	Justin Ledet	Mark Godbeer	1.75	2	Sub, R1 (2:16)
4.	Nov '16	Thomas Almeida	Albert Morales	1.35	10	TKO, R2 (1:37)
5.	Nov '16	Claudia Gadelha	Cortney Casey	1.28	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Nov '16	Ryan Bader	Rogerio Nogueira	1.30	2	TKO, R3 (3:51)
7.	Nov '16	Gegard Mousasi	Urijah Hall	1.20	2	TKO, R1 (4:31)
8.	Nov '16	Erik Perez	Felipe Arantes	1.50	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Nov '16	Alexa Grasso	Heather Clark	1.27	10	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Nov '16	Tony Ferguson	Rafael dos Anjos	2.28	10	U Decision (5 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Oct '17	Demian Maia	Colby Covington	2.55	11	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Apr '17	Michelle Waterson	Rose Namajunas	2.10	11	Sub, R2 (2:47)	No
3.	Apr '17	Sean Strickland	Kamaru Usman	3.75	11	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Apr '17	Pearl Gonzalez	Cynthia Calvillo	3.00	11	Sub, R3 (3:45)	No
5.	Dec '16	Bryan Barberena	Colby Covington	3.32	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	Yes
6.	Dec '16	Sage Northcutt	Mickey Gall	2.26	5	Sub, R2 (1:40)	No
7.	Nov '16	Magnus Cedenblad	Jack Marshman	1.49	4	TKO, R2 (3:32)	No
8.	Nov '16	Anna Elmose	Amanda Cooper	1.78	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Nov '16	Magomed Mustafaev	Kevin Lee	1.96	1	Sub, R2 (4:31)	No
10.	Nov '16	Teruto Ishihara	Artem Lobov	1.40	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Nov '16	Marcin Held	Diego Sanchez	1.53	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

JUST. LIKE. THAT.: Progress Chart

Chart

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