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MMA Handicapper Stats: MMA Statistician

MMA Statistician (MMAStatistician)


MMA MHandicapper - MMA Statistician

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 103 (56%) Right 53 (47%) Right 50 (69%) Right 0 (nan%)
Wrong 82 (44%) Wrong 60 (53%) Wrong 22 (31%) Wrong 0 (nan%)
Avg Odds 1.94 Avg Odds 2.14 Avg Odds 1.70 Avg Odds nan
Units Bet 1,183.1 Units Bet 856.7 Units Bet 326.4 Units Bet 0.0
Avg Bet 6.40 Avg Bet 7.58 Avg Bet 4.53 Avg Bet nan
Units Profit 137.07 Units Profit 80.80 Units Profit 56.27 Units Profit 0.00
ROI % 12% ROI % 9% ROI % 17% ROI % nan%
View Handicapper's Profile

MMA Statistician: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
12th Nov '16 UFC 205 - New York City 46.9 -20.1 -43% -19.9 / 31.9 (-62%) -0.2 / 15 (-1%)
5th Nov '16 UFC Mexico City 22.35 16.8 75% 11.1 / 12.35 (89%) 5.8 / 10 (58%)
8th Oct '16 UFC 204 - Bisping vs. Henderson 2 47.4 12.9 27% 15.9 / 44.4 (36%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
20th Aug '16 UFC 202 - Diaz vs. McGregor 2 65.7 -33.3 -51% -17.5 / 35.7 (-49%) -15.8 / 30 (-53%)
6th Aug '16 UFC Fight Night 92 - Rodriguez vs. Caceres 75.4 -46.7 -62% -37.4 / 50.4 (-74%) -9.3 / 25 (-37%)
30th Jul '16 UFC 201 - Lawler vs. Woodley 83.35 23.8 29% 25.7 / 53.35 (48%) -1.9 / 30 (-6%)
23rd Jul '16 UFC on Fox 20 - Holm vs. Shevchenko 50.7 4.9 10% 3.5 / 35.7 (10%) 1.4 / 15 (9%)
13th Jul '16 UFC Fight Night 91 - McDonald vs. Lineker 50.15 22.3 44% 7.0 / 35.15 (20%) 15.3 / 15 (102%)
9th Jul '16 UFC 200 - Tate vs. Nunes 94.3 38.2 40% 32.6 / 62.3 (52%) 5.6 / 32 (18%)
8th Jul '16 UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 23 Finale 25.4 11.4 45% 2.3 / 15.4 (15%) 9.1 / 10 (91%)
7th Jul '16 UFC Fight Night - Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez 83.35 41.1 49% 24.5 / 58.35 (42%) 16.6 / 25 (66%)
18th Jun '16 UFC Fight Night - MacDonald vs. Thompson 67.2 -3.9 -6% -17.0 / 47.2 (-36%) 13.1 / 20 (66%)
4th Jun '16 UFC 199 - Rockhold vs Bisping 2 77.8 46.7 60% 41.7 / 53.8 (78%) 5.0 / 24 (21%)
29th May '16 UFC Fight Night - Almeida vs. Garbrandt 91.7 42.7 47% 36.9 / 70.7 (52%) 5.8 / 21 (28%)
14th May '16 UFC 198 - Werdum vs. Miocic 46.44 -14.8 -32% -18.7 / 40 (-47%) 3.9 / 6.44 (61%)
8th May '16 UFC Fight Night - Overeem vs. Arlovski 100 -31.2 -31% -30.9 / 70 (-44%) -0.3 / 30 (-1%)
23rd Apr '16 UFC 197 - Jones vs. St Preux 75 2.6 3% -2.5 / 60 (-4%) 5.1 / 15 (34%)
16th Apr '16 UFC on Fox 19 - Teixeira vs. Evans 40 -15.0 -38% -15.0 / 40 (-38%)
10th Apr '16 UFC Fight Night 86 - Zagreb 40 38.5 96% 38.5 / 40 (96%)


Winning Events: 12 (63%)
Losing Events: 7 (37%)

Average Staked Per Event: 62.27 units
Most Staked On One Event: 100.00 units
Best Event: 46.70 units
Worst Event: -46.73 units
Average Event: 7.21 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 141.75
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -79.98

MMA Statistician: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2016 1183.14 137.1 12% 80.8 / 856.7 (9%) 56.3 / 326.44 (17%) 12 / 7 (63%) 7.21

MMA Statistician: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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MMA Statistician: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 1183.14 137.1 12% 80.8 / 856.7 (9%) 56.3 / 326.44 (17%)

MMA Statistician: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 15 (13%) 11 73 % 118.65 15.10 1.01 13%
Slight Favorites 33 (29%) 16 48 % 251.55 -15.11 -0.46 -6%
Slight Underdogs 34 (30%) 16 47 % 265.50 46.14 1.36 17%
Big Underdogs 31 (27%) 10 32 % 221.00 34.67 1.12 16%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 15 (13%) 8 53 % 120.05 42.87 2.86 36%
Co-Main Event 12 (11%) 7 58 % 106.50 5.68 0.47 5%
Position 3-5 39 (35%) 19 49 % 293.50 69.33 1.78 24%
6+ (Undercard) 47 (42%) 19 40 % 336.65 -37.08 -0.79 -11%

MMA Statistician: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 10 (9%) 7 70 % 83.90 36.81 3.68 44%
Light Heavy 8 (7%) 2 25 % 68.00 -38.04 -4.75 -56%
Middleweight 12 (11%) 7 58 % 89.20 44.58 3.71 50%
Welterweight 21 (19%) 10 48 % 172.40 2.02 0.10 1%
Lightweight 21 (19%) 9 43 % 154.00 10.05 0.48 7%
Featherweight 15 (13%) 6 40 % 105.10 -2.77 -0.18 -3%
Bantamweight 13 (12%) 6 46 % 95.65 15.37 1.18 16%
Flyweight 4 (4%) 2 50 % 38.00 -9.60 -2.40 -25%
               
Women's Fights 9 (8%) 4 44 % 50.45 22.38 2.49 44%
Bantamweight 5 (4%) 3 60 % 24.75 30.38 6.08 123%
Strawweight 4 (4%) 1 25 % 25.70 -8.00 -2.00 -31%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
Slight Favorites 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
Slight Underdogs 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
0 0 nan %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 26 (36%) 22 85 %
50-65% 28 (39%) 20 71 %
35-50% 16 (22%) 7 44 %
<35% chance 2 (3%) 1 50 %
72 50 69 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 54 (75%) 40 74 % 1.67 10.00Pick was incorrect 1.36Pick was correct 13.4 (25%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 18 (25%) 10 56 % 1.78 2.62Pick was correct 1.30Pick was correct -0.5 (-3%)
72 50 69 % 1.70     12.9 (18%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail MMA Statistician's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
10th Apr UFC Fight Night 86 - Zagreb 40 38.5 96% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,385.00
16th Apr UFC on Fox 19 - Teixeira vs. Evans 40 -15.0 -38% $13.85 $1,385.00 $1,177.25
23rd Apr UFC 197 - Jones vs. St Preux 75 2.6 3% $11.77 $1,177.25 $1,207.50
8th May UFC Fight Night - Overeem vs. Arlovski 100 -31.2 -31% $12.08 $1,207.50 $830.76
14th May UFC 198 - Werdum vs. Miocic 46.44 -14.8 -32% $8.31 $830.76 $708.09
29th May UFC Fight Night - Almeida vs. Garbrandt 91.7 42.7 47% $7.08 $708.09 $1,010.38
4th Jun UFC 199 - Rockhold vs Bisping 2 77.8 46.7 60% $10.10 $1,010.38 $1,482.22
18th Jun UFC Fight Night - MacDonald vs. Thompson 67.2 -3.9 -6% $14.82 $1,482.22 $1,425.15
7th Jul UFC Fight Night - Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez 83.35 41.1 49% $14.25 $1,425.15 $2,011.60
8th Jul UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 23 Finale 25.4 11.4 45% $20.12 $2,011.60 $2,240.92
9th Jul UFC 200 - Tate vs. Nunes 94.3 38.2 40% $5 $22.41 $2,240.92 $3,091.06
13th Jul UFC Fight Night 91 - McDonald vs. Lineker 50.15 22.3 44% $5 $30.91 $3,091.06 $3,774.65
23rd Jul UFC on Fox 20 - Holm vs. Shevchenko 50.7 4.9 10% $5 $37.75 $3,774.65 $3,955.55
30th Jul UFC 201 - Lawler vs. Woodley 83.35 23.8 29% $5 $39.56 $3,955.55 $4,893.54
6th Aug UFC Fight Night 92 - Rodriguez vs. Caceres 75.4 -46.7 -62% $5 $48.94 $4,893.54 $2,602.03
20th Aug UFC 202 - Diaz vs. McGregor 2 65.7 -33.3 -51% $5 $26.02 $2,602.03 $1,731.86
8th Oct UFC 204 - Bisping vs. Henderson 2 47.4 12.9 27% $5 $17.32 $1,731.86 $1,950.84
5th Nov UFC Mexico City 22.35 16.8 75% $5 $19.51 $1,950.84 $2,273.59
12th Nov UFC 205 - New York City 46.9 -20.1 -43% $5 $22.74 $2,273.59 $1,812.05


ROI % from starting bank balance: 81.20% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

MMA Statistician: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Nov '16 Paid Pick Jim Miller Thiago Alves 2.40 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Nov '16 Paid Pick Beneil Dariush Rashid Magomedov 2.38 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Nov '16 Paid Pick Tony Ferguson Rafael dos Anjos 2.30 5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Oct '16 Paid Pick Leonardo Santos Adriano Martins 2.90 2.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Oct '16 Paid Pick Leon Edwards Albert Tumenov 3.32 2.5 Sub, R3 (3:1) MMA Bookmaker
6. Oct '16 Paid Pick Michael Bisping Dan Henderson 1.62 10 U Decision (5 rounds) View Pick Writeup
7. Oct '16 Paid Pick Stefan Struve Daniel Omielanczuk 1.57 4.9 Sub, R2 (1:41) MMA Bookmaker
8. Oct '16 Paid Pick Gegard Mousasi Vitor Belfort 1.36 10 TKO, R2 (2:43) View Pick Writeup
9. Oct '16 Paid Pick Yuri Alcantara Brad Pickett 1.62 4.5 Sub, R1 (1:59) MMA Bookmaker
10. Aug '16 Paid Pick Donald Cerrone Rick Story 1.82 10 TKO, R2 (2:2) MMA Bookmaker
11. Aug '16 Paid Pick Dennis Bermudez Rony Jason 1.50 8.65 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Jul '16 Paid Pick Nikita Krylov Ed Herman 1.67 8 TKO, R2 (0:40) MMA Bookmaker
13. Jul '16 Paid Pick Erik Perez Francisco Rivera 1.91 8 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Jul '16 Paid Pick Jake Ellenberger Matt Brown 3.40 8 TKO, R1 (1:46) MMA Bookmaker
15. Jul '16 Paid Pick Tyron Woodley Robbie Lawler 2.90 8 TKO, R1 (2:12) MMA Bookmaker
16. Jul '16 Paid Pick Valentina Shevchenko Holly Holm 3.50 4.35 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '16 Paid Pick Eddie Wineland Frankie Saenz 2.40 10 TKO, R3 (1:54) MMA Bookmaker
18. Jul '16 Paid Pick Daniel Omielanczuk Aleksei Oleinik 2.75 10 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '16 Paid Pick Tim Boetsch Josh Samman 2.85 5.15 TKO, R2 (3:49) MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '16 Paid Pick Julianna Pena Cat Zingano 2.50 7 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Nov '16 Paid Pick Michael Johnson Khabib Nurmagomedov 3.60 5 Sub, R3 (2:31) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Nov '16 Paid Pick Rafael Natal Tim Boetsch 1.74 3.5 TKO, R1 (3:22) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Nov '16 Paid Pick Karolina Kowalkiewicz Joanna Jedrzejczyk 4.95 3.4 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Nov '16 Paid Pick Miesha Tate Raquel Pennington 1.60 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Nov '16 Paid Pick Jeremy Stephens Frankie Edgar 3.80 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup
6. Nov '16 Paid Pick Chris Weidman Yoel Romero 1.66 5 TKO, R3 (0:24) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Nov '16 Paid Pick Felipe Arantes Erik Perez 2.75 0.75 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Nov '16 Paid Pick Charles Oliveira Ricardo Lamas 1.89 1.6 Sub, R2 (2:13) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Oct '16 Paid Pick Ovince St Preux Jimi Manuwa 1.65 10 TKO, R2 (2:38) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Aug '16 Paid Pick Randa Markos Cortney Casey 1.73 4.3 Sub, R1 (4:0) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Aug '16 Paid Pick Neil Magny Lorenz Larkin 1.80 10 TKO, R1 (4:8) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Aug '16 Paid Pick Elizabeth Phillips Raquel Pennington 3.25 1.4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Aug '16 Paid Pick Glover Teixeira Anthony Johnson 3.00 10 TKO, R1 (0:13) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Aug '16 Paid Pick Tatsuya Kawajiri Cub Swanson 4.00 10 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Aug '16 Paid Pick Dominique Steele Court McGee 2.80 10 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Aug '16 Paid Pick Zak Cummings Santiago Ponzinibbio 3.00 10 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Aug '16 Paid Pick Chris Camozzi Thales Leites 2.75 3.55 Sub, R3 (2:58) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Aug '16 Paid Pick Alex Caceres Yair Rodriguez 3.50 8.2 Split Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '16 Paid Pick Rose Namajunas Karolina Kowalkiewicz 1.42 8 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '16 Paid Pick Freddy Serrano Ryan Benoit 1.78 8 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

MMA Statistician: Progress Chart

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