MMA Handicapper Stats: Big Dan |
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Big Dan: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 10 (59%)
Losing Events: 7 (41%)
Average Staked Per Event: 51.94 units
Most Staked On One Event: 99.00 units
Best Event: 65.27 units
Worst Event: -45.25 units
Average Event: -0.66 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 65.27
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -87.85 |
Big Dan: Year on Year Profit |
| Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
| 2016 |
883 |
-11.3 |
-1% |
63.7 / 753 (8%) |
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-75.0 / 130 (-58%) |
10 / 7 (59%) |
-0.66 |
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Big Dan: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Big Dan: Profit / Loss by Organization |
| Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
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UFC |
860 |
-18.6 |
-2% |
56.3 / 730 (8%) |
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-75.0 / 130 (-58%) |
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Bellator |
23 |
7.3 |
32% |
7.3 / 23 (32%) |
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Big Dan: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Big Favorites |
25 (28%) |
19 |
76 % |
275.00 |
1.98 |
0.08 |
1% |
| Slight Favorites |
29 (32%) |
11 |
38 % |
250.00 |
-59.88 |
-2.06 |
-24% |
| Slight Underdogs |
24 (27%) |
11 |
46 % |
162.00 |
33.16 |
1.38 |
20% |
| Big Underdogs |
12 (13%) |
5 |
42 % |
66.00 |
88.44 |
7.37 |
134% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Main Event |
13 (14%) |
7 |
54 % |
106.00 |
51.65 |
3.97 |
49% |
| Co-Main Event |
11 (12%) |
6 |
55 % |
85.00 |
-5.28 |
-0.48 |
-6% |
| Position 3-5 |
24 (27%) |
11 |
46 % |
213.00 |
-31.65 |
-1.32 |
-15% |
| 6+ (Undercard) |
42 (47%) |
22 |
52 % |
349.00 |
48.97 |
1.17 |
14% |
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Big Dan: Profit by Weight Class |
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Heavyweight |
11 (12%) |
4 |
36 % |
77.00 |
-27.40 |
-2.49 |
-36% |
| Light Heavy |
3 (3%) |
2 |
67 % |
18.00 |
6.00 |
2.00 |
33% |
| Middleweight |
11 (12%) |
8 |
73 % |
90.00 |
128.66 |
11.70 |
143% |
| Welterweight |
16 (18%) |
6 |
38 % |
146.00 |
-49.79 |
-3.11 |
-34% |
| Lightweight |
18 (20%) |
10 |
56 % |
155.00 |
15.55 |
0.86 |
10% |
| Featherweight |
7 (8%) |
5 |
71 % |
55.00 |
16.15 |
2.31 |
29% |
| Bantamweight |
9 (10%) |
2 |
22 % |
68.00 |
-41.97 |
-4.66 |
-62% |
| Flyweight |
3 (3%) |
2 |
67 % |
33.00 |
1.98 |
0.66 |
6% |
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| Women's Fights |
12 (13%) |
7 |
58 % |
111.00 |
14.51 |
1.21 |
13% |
| Bantamweight |
7 (8%) |
5 |
71 % |
62.00 |
28.15 |
4.02 |
45% |
| Flyweight |
1 (1%) |
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0 % |
11.00 |
-11.00 |
-11.00 |
-100% |
| Strawweight |
4 (4%) |
2 |
50 % |
38.00 |
-2.64 |
-0.66 |
-7% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| Big Favorites |
22 (43%) |
15 |
68 % |
| Slight Favorites |
19 (37%) |
6 |
32 % |
| Slight Underdogs |
8 (16%) |
5 |
63 % |
| Big Underdogs |
2 (4%) |
0 |
0 % |
|
51 |
26 |
51 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| >65% chance |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
| 50-65% |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
| 35-50% |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
| <35% chance |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
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0 |
0 |
nan % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
| Prop Type |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Avg
Odds |
Longest
Odds |
Shortest
Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
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0 |
0 |
nan % |
nan |
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0.0 (nan%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Big Dan's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
| 6th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 82 - Hendricks vs. Thompson |
18 |
1.5 |
8% |
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$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,014.98 |
| 19th Feb |
Bellator 149: Shamrock vs. Gracie 3 |
23 |
7.3 |
32% |
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$10.15 |
$1,014.98 |
$1,089.52 |
| 21st Feb |
UFC Fight Night 82 - Cerrone vs. Oliveira |
30 |
1.7 |
6% |
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$10.90 |
$1,089.52 |
$1,108.08 |
| 27th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 84 - Silva vs. Bisping |
44 |
9.4 |
21% |
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$11.08 |
$1,108.08 |
$1,212.37 |
| 5th Mar |
UFC 196 - McGregor vs. Diaz |
24 |
-16.1 |
-67% |
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$12.12 |
$1,212.37 |
$1,017.79 |
| 19th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 84 - Hunt vs. Mir |
67 |
9.6 |
14% |
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$10.18 |
$1,017.79 |
$1,115.44 |
| 10th Apr |
UFC Fight Night 86 - Zagreb |
11 |
-11.0 |
-100% |
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$11.15 |
$1,115.44 |
$992.75 |
| 16th Apr |
UFC on Fox 19 - Teixeira vs. Evans |
66 |
37.8 |
57% |
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$9.93 |
$992.75 |
$1,367.87 |
| 23rd Apr |
UFC 197 - Jones vs. St Preux |
55 |
-28.2 |
-51% |
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$13.68 |
$1,367.87 |
$981.45 |
| 8th May |
UFC Fight Night - Overeem vs. Arlovski |
84 |
4.4 |
5% |
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$9.81 |
$981.45 |
$1,024.21 |
| 14th May |
UFC 198 - Werdum vs. Miocic |
49 |
1.1 |
2% |
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$10.24 |
$1,024.21 |
$1,035.49 |
| 29th May |
UFC Fight Night - Almeida vs. Garbrandt |
63 |
-45.2 |
-72% |
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$10.35 |
$1,035.49 |
$566.93 |
| 4th Jun |
UFC 199 - Rockhold vs Bisping 2 |
89 |
65.3 |
73% |
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$5.67 |
$566.93 |
$936.96 |
| 18th Jun |
UFC Fight Night - MacDonald vs. Thompson |
73 |
-39.5 |
-54% |
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$9.37 |
$936.96 |
$567.29 |
| 7th Jul |
UFC Fight Night - Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez |
33 |
-13.5 |
-41% |
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$5.67 |
$567.29 |
$490.54 |
| 8th Jul |
UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 23 Finale |
55 |
-34.9 |
-63% |
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$4.91 |
$490.54 |
$319.49 |
| 13th Jul |
UFC Fight Night 91 - McDonald vs. Lineker |
99 |
39.1 |
39% |
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$3.19 |
$319.49 |
$444.25 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -55.58% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Big Dan: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
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Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
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| 1. |
Jul '16 |
Rani Yahya |
Matthew Lopez |
2.02 |
11 |
Sub, R3 (4:19) |
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| 2. |
Jul '16 |
Alex Nicholson |
Devin Clark |
2.91 |
11 |
TKO, R1 (4:57) |
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| 3. |
Jul '16 |
Katlyn Chookagian |
Lauren Murphy |
2.69 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 4. |
Jul '16 |
Louis Smolka |
Ben Nguyen |
1.93 |
11 |
TKO, R2 (4:41) |
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| 5. |
Jul '16 |
Tim Boetsch |
Josh Samman |
3.00 |
11 |
TKO, R2 (3:49) |
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| 6. |
Jul '16 |
Joanna Jedrzejczyk |
Claudia Gadelha |
1.83 |
11 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
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| 7. |
Jul '16 |
John Makdessi |
Mehdi Baghdad |
1.77 |
11 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 8. |
Jun '16 |
Colby Covington |
Jonathan Meunier |
1.36 |
11 |
Sub, R3 (0:54) |
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| 9. |
Jun '16 |
Donald Cerrone |
Patrick Cote |
1.69 |
11 |
TKO, R3 (2:35) |
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| 10. |
Jun '16 |
Sean Strickland |
Tom Breese |
2.10 |
11 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 11. |
Jun '16 |
Beneil Dariush |
James Vick |
1.67 |
11 |
TKO, R1 (4:16) |
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| 12. |
Jun '16 |
Dustin Poirier |
Bobby Green |
1.45 |
11 |
TKO, R1 (2:53) |
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| 13. |
Jun '16 |
Max Holloway |
Ricardo Lamas |
1.30 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 14. |
Jun '16 |
Michael Bisping |
Luke Rockhold |
7.50 |
11 |
TKO, R1 (3:36) |
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| 15. |
May '16 |
Chris Camozzi |
Vitor Miranda |
2.05 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 16. |
May '16 |
Jeremy Stephens |
Renan Barao |
2.50 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 17. |
May '16 |
Stipe Miocic |
Fabricio Werdum |
2.45 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (2:47) |
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| 18. |
May '16 |
Francisco Trinaldo |
Yancy Medeiros |
1.43 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 19. |
May '16 |
Cristiane Justino |
Leslie Smith |
1.08 |
11 |
TKO, R1 (1:21) |
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| 20. |
May '16 |
Magnus Cedenblad |
Garreth McLellan |
1.33 |
11 |
TKO, R2 (0:47) |
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Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Big Dan: Progress Chart |
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