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MMA Handicapper Stats: UrPicks MMA

UrPicks MMA (zash)

MMA MHandicapper - UrPicks MMA

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays
Right 40 (51%) Right 29 (57%) Right 6 (30%) Right 5 (63%)
Wrong 39 (49%) Wrong 22 (43%) Wrong 14 (70%) Wrong 3 (38%)
Avg Odds 1.87 Avg Odds 1.69 Avg Odds 2.59 Avg Odds 1.87
Units Bet 338.6 Units Bet 278.0 Units Bet 37.0 Units Bet 23.6
Avg Bet 4.29 Avg Bet 5.45 Avg Bet 1.85 Avg Bet 2.95
Units Profit -37.27 Units Profit -33.33 Units Profit -7.98 Units Profit 4.05
ROI % -11% ROI % -12% ROI % -22% ROI % 17%
View Handicapper's Profile

UrPicks MMA: Event by Event Predictions
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
27th Aug '16 UFC on Fox 21 - Condit vs. Maia 28 -20.6 -74% -20.6 / 28 (-74%)
30th Jul '16 UFC 201 - Lawler vs. Woodley 41 17.4 42% 17.4 / 41 (42%)
4th Jun '16 UFC 199 - Rockhold vs Bisping 2 35 -13.8 -39% -13.8 / 35 (-39%)
14th May '16 UFC 198 - Werdum vs. Miocic 35 -14.9 -43% -14.9 / 35 (-43%)
23rd Apr '16 UFC 197 - Jones vs. St Preux 27 -0.6 -2% 5.4 / 21 (26%) -6.0 / 6 (-100%)
19th Mar '16 UFC Fight Night 84 - Hunt vs. Mir 13 12.3 95% 12.3 / 13 (95%)
6th Feb '16 UFC Fight Night 82 - Hendricks vs. Thompson 28 2.0 7% 2.0 / 28 (7%)
17th Jan '16 UFC Fight Night - Dillashaw vs. Cruz 7 -0.1 -1% 0.9 / 6 (16%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
2nd Jan '16 UFC 195 - Lawler vs Condit 10 -10.0 -100% -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
19th Dec '15 UFC on Fox 17 - Dos Anjos vs. Cerrone 2 17 -13.9 -82% -10.0 / 10 (-100%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -0.9 / 4 (-22%)
12th Dec '15 UFC 194 - Aldo vs. McGregor 4 0.8 19% 0.8 / 4 (19%)
12th Dec '15 UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 22 Finale 14 3.2 23% 7.2 / 10 (72%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
10th Dec '15 UFC Fight Night - VanZant vs Namajunas 15 3.1 20% -1.6 / 9 (-18%) 5.7 / 5 (114%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
21st Nov '15 UFC Fight Night 78 - Magny vs. Gastelum 8 3.9 48% 0.2 / 6 (3%) 3.7 / 2 (183%)
14th Nov '15 UFC 193 - Rousey vs. Holm 22 -7.7 -35% -10.0 / 10 (-100%) 3.5 / 2 (177%) -1.2 / 10 (-12%)
7th Nov '15 UFC Fight Night 77: Belfort vs. Henderson 3 9 1.4 15% -1.2 / 4 (-30%) 2.5 / 5 (51%)
24th Oct '15 UFC Fight Night 76 - Holohan vs. Smolka 10 -0.0 -0% -0.0 / 10 (-0%)
17th Oct '15 WSOF 24: Fitch vs. Okami 3.6 -1.0 -29% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 1.0 / 1.6 (60%)
3rd Oct '15 UFC 192 - Cormier vs. Gustafsson 12 1.5 12% 3.5 / 10 (35%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)


Winning Events: 9 (47%)
Losing Events: 10 (53%)

Average Staked Per Event: 17.82 units
Most Staked On One Event: 41.00 units
Best Event: 17.38 units
Worst Event: -20.60 units
Average Event: -1.96 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 17.38
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -29.31

UrPicks MMA: Year on Year Profit
Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Events
Won / Lost (%)		 Profit
Per Event
2016 224 -28.3 -13% -21.3 / 217 (-10%) -7.0 / 7 (-100%) 3 / 6 (33%) -3.15
2015 114.6 -9.0 -8% -12.0 / 61 (-20%) -1.0 / 30 (-3%) 4.0 / 23.6 (17%) 6 / 4 (60%) -0.90

UrPicks MMA: Yearly Straight Pick Stats
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UrPicks MMA: Profit / Loss by Organization
Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 335 -36.2 -11% -31.3 / 276 (-11%) -8.0 / 37 (-22%) 3.1 / 22 (14%)
PFL 3.6 -1.0 -29% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 1.0 / 1.6 (60%)

UrPicks MMA: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 21 (41%) 15 71 % 132.00 0.56 0.03 0%
Slight Favorites 17 (33%) 8 47 % 104.00 -27.88 -1.64 -27%
Slight Underdogs 11 (22%) 6 55 % 40.00 -4.01 -0.36 -10%
Big Underdogs 2 (4%) 0 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -1.00 -100%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 8 (16%) 2 25 % 41.00 -24.42 -3.05 -60%
Co-Main Event 7 (14%) 6 86 % 42.00 19.37 2.77 46%
Position 3-5 13 (25%) 7 54 % 73.00 -15.38 -1.18 -21%
6+ (Undercard) 23 (45%) 14 61 % 122.00 -12.90 -0.56 -11%

UrPicks MMA: Profit by Weight Class
  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 6 (12%) 1 17 % 45.00 -28.31 -4.72 -63%
Light Heavy 7 (14%) 4 57 % 41.00 -2.29 -0.33 -6%
Middleweight 11 (22%) 5 45 % 40.00 -13.82 -1.26 -35%
Welterweight 10 (20%) 5 50 % 72.00 -23.18 -2.32 -32%
Lightweight 8 (16%) 5 63 % 33.00 3.52 0.44 11%
Featherweight 5 (10%) 5 100 % 27.00 15.37 3.07 57%
Flyweight 1 (2%) 1 100 % 10.00 3.30 3.30 33%
               
Women's Fights 3 (6%) 3 100 % 10.00 12.08 4.03 121%
Bantamweight 1 (2%) 1 100 % 4.00 1.80 1.80 45%
Strawweight 2 (4%) 2 100 % 6.00 10.28 5.14 171%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 12 (100%) 9 75 %
Slight Favorites 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
12 9 75 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 10 (33%) 9 90 %
50-65% 3 (10%) 2 67 %
35-50% 10 (33%) 3 30 %
<35% chance 7 (23%) 1 14 %
30 15 50 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types
Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds		 Longest
Odds		 Shortest
Odds		 1U Bet (ROI %)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 2 (7%) 0 0 % 2.61 2.85Pick was incorrect 2.40Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
Goes to Decision 3 (10%) 2 67 % 1.65 2.05Pick was incorrect 1.40Pick was correct 0.0 (1%)
Does not go to Decision 3 (10%) 3 100 % 1.39 1.61Pick was correct 1.21Pick was correct 1.2 (41%)
Fight Starts Round X 1 (3%) 1 100 % 2.77 2.77Pick was correct 2.77Pick was incorrect 1.8 (177%)
X Wins by KO 5 (17%) 1 20 % 2.52 11.00Pick was incorrect 1.61Pick was incorrect -2.2 (-43%)
X Does NOT Win by KO 1 (3%) 1 100 % 1.11 1.11Pick was correct 1.11Pick was correct 0.1 (11%)
X Wins by Sub 4 (13%) 1 25 % 3.73 5.25Pick was incorrect 2.70Pick was incorrect -0.6 (-14%)
X Does NOT Win by Sub 2 (7%) 1 50 % 1.17 1.35Pick was incorrect 1.03Pick was correct -1.0 (-49%)
X Wins by Decision 2 (7%) 0 0 % 3.03 4.10Pick was incorrect 2.40Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance 4 (13%) 3 75 % 1.97 4.16Pick was incorrect 1.40Pick was correct 1.4 (34%)
X Does NOT Win Inside Distance 2 (7%) 2 100 % 1.30 1.37Pick was correct 1.24Pick was correct 0.6 (31%)
X Wins in Round X 1 (3%) 0 0 % 2.90 2.90Pick was incorrect 2.90Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
30 15 50 % 1.96     -3.6 (-12%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail UrPicks MMA's bets
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
3rd Oct UFC 192 - Cormier vs. Gustafsson 12 1.5 12% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,014.77
17th Oct WSOF 24: Fitch vs. Okami 3.6 -1.0 -29% $10.15 $1,014.77 $1,004.24
24th Oct UFC Fight Night 76 - Holohan vs. Smolka 10 -0.0 -0% $10.04 $1,004.24 $1,003.83
7th Nov UFC Fight Night 77: Belfort vs. Henderson 3 9 1.4 15% $10.04 $1,003.83 $1,017.40
14th Nov UFC 193 - Rousey vs. Holm 22 -7.7 -35% $10.17 $1,017.40 $939.15
21st Nov UFC Fight Night 78 - Magny vs. Gastelum 8 3.9 48% $9.39 $939.15 $975.38
10th Dec UFC Fight Night - VanZant vs Namajunas 15 3.1 20% $9.75 $975.38 $1,005.34
12th Dec UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 22 Finale 14 3.2 23% $10.05 $1,005.34 $1,037.39
12th Dec UFC 194 - Aldo vs. McGregor 4 0.8 19% $10.37 $1,037.39 $1,045.28
19th Dec UFC on Fox 17 - Dos Anjos vs. Cerrone 2 17 -13.9 -82% $10.45 $1,045.28 $900.12
2nd Jan UFC 195 - Lawler vs Condit 10 -10.0 -100% $9.00 $900.12 $810.11
17th Jan UFC Fight Night - Dillashaw vs. Cruz 7 -0.1 -1% $8.10 $810.11 $809.54
6th Feb UFC Fight Night 82 - Hendricks vs. Thompson 28 2.0 7% $8.10 $809.54 $825.67
19th Mar UFC Fight Night 84 - Hunt vs. Mir 13 12.3 95% $8.26 $825.67 $927.15
23rd Apr UFC 197 - Jones vs. St Preux 27 -0.6 -2% $9.27 $927.15 $921.49
14th May UFC 198 - Werdum vs. Miocic 35 -14.9 -43% $9.21 $921.49 $784.19
4th Jun UFC 199 - Rockhold vs Bisping 2 35 -13.8 -39% $7.84 $784.19 $675.97
30th Jul UFC 201 - Lawler vs. Woodley 41 17.4 42% $6.76 $675.97 $793.45
27th Aug UFC on Fox 21 - Condit vs. Maia 28 -20.6 -74% $7.93 $793.45 $630.00


ROI % from starting bank balance: -37.00% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

UrPicks MMA: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)
Last 20 Wins
  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Aug '16 Sam Alvey Kevin Casey 1.48 5 TKO, R2 (4:56) MMA Bookmaker
2. Jul '16 Wilson Reis Hector Sandoval 1.33 10 Sub, R1 (1:49) MMA Bookmaker
3. Jul '16 Jorge Masvidal Ross Pearson 1.48 10 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Jul '16 Nikita Krylov Ed Herman 1.48 11 TKO, R2 (0:40) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jul '16 Karolina Kowalkiewicz Rose Namajunas 2.80 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jun '16 Brian Ortega Clay Guida 1.37 10 TKO, R3 (4:40)
7. Jun '16 Dustin Poirier Bobby Green 1.50 5 TKO, R1 (2:53) MMA Bookmaker
8. May '16 Demian Maia Matt Brown 1.34 5 Sub, R3 (4:31)
9. May '16 Thiago Santos Nate Marquardt 1.31 5 TKO, R1 (3:39)
10. May '16 Ronaldo Souza Vitor Belfort 1.37 5 TKO, R1 (4:38)
11. Apr '16 James Vick Glaico Franca 1.57 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Apr '16 Yair Rodriguez Andre Fili 1.93 3 TKO, R2 (2:15) MMA Bookmaker
13. Apr '16 Edson Barboza Anthony Pettis 2.55 5 U Decision (3 rounds)
14. Mar '16 Ross Pearson Chad Laprise 1.98 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Mar '16 Neil Magny Hector Lombard 1.93 10 TKO, R3 (0:46) MMA Bookmaker
16. Feb '16 Ovince St Preux Rafael Cavalcante 1.33 10 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Feb '16 Roy Nelson Jared Rosholt 1.67 10 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Jan '16 Ilir Latifi Sean O'Connell 1.39 5 TKO, R1 (0:30) MMA Bookmaker
19. Dec '15 Yancy Medeiros John Makdessi 2.48 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
20. Dec '15 Luke Rockhold Chris Weidman 2.28 1 TKO, R4 (3:12) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Aug '16 Garreth McLellan Alessio Di Chirico 2.72 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Aug '16 Joe Lauzon Jim Miller 1.72 11 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Aug '16 Carlos Condit Demian Maia 1.91 11 Sub, R1 (1:52) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Jul '16 Matt Brown Jake Ellenberger 1.41 5 TKO, R1 (1:46) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Jun '16 Dong Hyun Ma Marco Polo Reyes 2.01 10 TKO, R3 (1:52) No
6. Jun '16 Tom Breese Sean Strickland 1.81 10 Split Decision (3 rounds) No
7. May '16 Patrick Cummins Rogerio Nogueira 1.43 10 TKO, R1 (4:52) No
8. May '16 Warlley Alves Bryan Barberena 1.21 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No
9. May '16 Fabricio Werdum Stipe Miocic 1.62 5 TKO, R1 (2:47) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Apr '16 Clint Hester Marcos Rogerio de Lima 2.18 3 Sub, R1 (4:35) No
11. Apr '16 Cody East Walt Harris 1.63 5 TKO, R1 (4:18) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Feb '16 Damian Grabowski Derrick Lewis 1.91 5 TKO, R1 (2:17) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Feb '16 Johny Hendricks Stephen Thompson 1.42 3 TKO, R1 (3:31) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Jan '16 Daron Cruickshank Paul Felder 3.26 1 Sub, R3 (3:56) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Jan '16 Carlos Condit Robbie Lawler 2.03 10 Split Decision (5 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
16. Dec '15 Junior dos Santos Alistair Overeem 1.38 10 TKO, R2 (4:43) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
17. Dec '15 Ronaldo Souza Yoel Romero 1.82 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
18. Dec '15 Elias Theodorou Thiago Santos 1.47 4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Nov '15 Efrain Escudero Leandro Silva 2.23 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Nov '15 Stefan Struve Jared Rosholt 1.83 10 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

UrPicks MMA: Progress Chart
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