MMA Handicapper Stats: Bookies Will do nothin |
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Bookies Will do nothin: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 8 (30%) Losing Events: 19 (70%)
Average Staked Per Event: 2.58 units Most Staked On One Event: 15.00 units Best Event: 3.62 units Worst Event: -5.00 units Average Event: -0.45 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 5.96 Max Losing Streak: Events: 8, Units: -11.20 |
Bookies Will do nothin: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2022 |
2.25 |
-2.3 |
-100% |
-2.3 / 2.25 (-100%) |
0.0 / 0 (nan%) |
|
/ 1 (0%) |
-2.25 |
2021 |
7.2 |
-3.4 |
-48% |
-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) |
-1.9 / 2.7 (-69%) |
-0.1 / 3 (-2%) |
2 / 4 (33%) |
-0.57 |
2020 |
4.9 |
-2.0 |
-40% |
0.7 / 2.25 (31%) |
-0.9 / 0.85 (-100%) |
-1.8 / 1.8 (-100%) |
1 / 4 (20%) |
-0.39 |
2019 |
35.42 |
-3.1 |
-9% |
-2.1 / 34.37 (-6%) |
-0.8 / 0.8 (-100%) |
-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%) |
4 / 9 (31%) |
-0.24 |
2015 |
20 |
-1.4 |
-7% |
2.0 / 10 (20%) |
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-3.4 / 10 (-34%) |
1 / 1 (50%) |
-0.69 |
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Bookies Will do nothin: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Bookies Will do nothin: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
66.92 |
-13.1 |
-20% |
-4.0 / 48.27 (-8%) |
-3.6 / 3.6 (-100%) |
-5.5 / 15.05 (-37%) |
Bellator |
0.85 |
-0.9 |
-100% |
-0.9 / 0.85 (-100%) |
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PFL |
0.75 |
0.1 |
11% |
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0.1 / 0.75 (11%) |
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Other |
1.25 |
1.7 |
135% |
1.7 / 1.25 (135%) |
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Bookies Will do nothin: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
3 (8%) |
3 |
100 % |
11.25 |
2.50 |
0.83 |
22% |
Slight Favorites |
17 (46%) |
8 |
47 % |
22.52 |
-4.39 |
-0.26 |
-20% |
Slight Underdogs |
14 (38%) |
6 |
43 % |
15.25 |
0.08 |
0.01 |
1% |
Big Underdogs |
3 (8%) |
0 |
0 % |
1.35 |
-1.35 |
-0.45 |
-100% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
8 (22%) |
3 |
38 % |
15.52 |
-0.41 |
-0.05 |
-3% |
Co-Main Event |
7 (19%) |
3 |
43 % |
8.35 |
-2.78 |
-0.40 |
-33% |
Position 3-5 |
13 (35%) |
10 |
77 % |
17.00 |
7.12 |
0.55 |
42% |
6+ (Undercard) |
9 (24%) |
1 |
11 % |
9.50 |
-7.08 |
-0.79 |
-75% |
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Bookies Will do nothin: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
3 (8%) |
2 |
67 % |
3.25 |
0.24 |
0.08 |
7% |
Light Heavy |
6 (16%) |
4 |
67 % |
10.75 |
2.05 |
0.34 |
19% |
Middleweight |
2 (5%) |
1 |
50 % |
3.50 |
0.90 |
0.45 |
26% |
Welterweight |
10 (27%) |
5 |
50 % |
12.27 |
-0.25 |
-0.02 |
-2% |
Lightweight |
3 (8%) |
1 |
33 % |
2.25 |
0.44 |
0.15 |
19% |
Featherweight |
7 (19%) |
3 |
43 % |
8.60 |
-2.78 |
-0.40 |
-32% |
Bantamweight |
3 (8%) |
|
0 % |
2.75 |
-2.75 |
-0.92 |
-100% |
Flyweight |
1 (3%) |
1 |
100 % |
5.00 |
1.00 |
1.00 |
20% |
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|
|
|
|
|
|
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Women's Fights |
2 (5%) |
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0 % |
2.00 |
-2.00 |
-1.00 |
-100% |
Bantamweight |
1 (3%) |
|
0 % |
0.50 |
-0.50 |
-0.50 |
-100% |
Strawweight |
1 (3%) |
|
0 % |
1.50 |
-1.50 |
-1.50 |
-100% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
9 (64%) |
7 |
78 % |
Slight Favorites |
3 (21%) |
0 |
0 % |
Slight Underdogs |
2 (14%) |
2 |
100 % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
14 |
9 |
64 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
50-65% |
1 (8%) |
1 |
100 % |
35-50% |
5 (38%) |
1 |
20 % |
<35% chance |
7 (54%) |
0 |
0 % |
|
13 |
2 |
15 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Bookies Will do nothin's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
5th Sep |
UFC 191 - Johnson vs. Dodson 2 |
15 |
3.6 |
24% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,036.17 |
26th Sep |
UFC Fight Night - Barnett vs. Nelson |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.36 |
$1,036.17 |
$984.36 |
14th Sep |
UFC Fight Night 158 |
1.25 |
-1.3 |
-100% |
|
$9.84 |
$984.36 |
$972.06 |
27th Sep |
Bellator Dublin |
0.35 |
-0.4 |
-100% |
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$9.72 |
$972.06 |
$968.65 |
28th Sep |
UFC Fight Night 160 |
2 |
2.4 |
119% |
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$9.69 |
$968.65 |
$991.66 |
5th Oct |
UFC 243 |
3.5 |
3.6 |
102% |
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$9.92 |
$991.66 |
$1,027.21 |
12th Oct |
UFC on ESPN+ 19 |
2.35 |
-2.4 |
-100% |
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$10.27 |
$1,027.21 |
$1,003.07 |
18th Oct |
UFC ESPN 6 |
3.5 |
1.1 |
32% |
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$10.03 |
$1,003.07 |
$1,014.41 |
26th Oct |
UFC Fight Night 162 |
3.52 |
-0.2 |
-6% |
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$10.14 |
$1,014.41 |
$1,012.17 |
26th Oct |
Bellator 232 |
0.5 |
-0.5 |
-100% |
|
$10.12 |
$1,012.17 |
$1,007.11 |
2nd Nov |
UFC 244 |
4.45 |
2.0 |
45% |
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$10.07 |
$1,007.11 |
$1,027.08 |
9th Nov |
UFC Fight Night 163 |
2.5 |
-2.5 |
-100% |
|
$10.27 |
$1,027.08 |
$1,001.41 |
7th Dec |
UFC on ESPN 7 |
3.5 |
-1.8 |
-50% |
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$10.01 |
$1,001.41 |
$983.78 |
15th Dec |
UFC 245 |
5.5 |
-0.8 |
-14% |
|
$9.84 |
$983.78 |
$976.01 |
21st Dec |
UFC Fight Night 165 |
2.5 |
-2.5 |
-100% |
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$9.76 |
$976.01 |
$951.61 |
10th May |
UFC 249 |
1.8 |
-1.8 |
-100% |
|
$9.52 |
$951.61 |
$934.48 |
27th Jun |
UFC Fight Night 175 |
0.75 |
-0.8 |
-100% |
|
$9.34 |
$934.48 |
$927.47 |
18th Jul |
UFC Fight Island 2 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
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$9.27 |
$927.47 |
$918.20 |
4th Oct |
UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana |
0.1 |
-0.1 |
-100% |
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$9.18 |
$918.20 |
$917.28 |
12th Dec |
Cage Warriors 119 |
1.25 |
1.7 |
135% |
|
$9.17 |
$917.28 |
$932.76 |
20th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 185 |
1 |
1.9 |
194% |
|
$9.33 |
$932.76 |
$950.85 |
13th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 187 |
1.15 |
-1.2 |
-100% |
|
$9.51 |
$950.85 |
$939.92 |
17th Jul |
UFC FN |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.40 |
$939.92 |
$921.12 |
19th Aug |
PFL 2021 #8: Playoffs |
0.75 |
0.1 |
11% |
|
$9.21 |
$921.12 |
$921.86 |
21st Aug |
UFC FN |
0.8 |
-0.8 |
-100% |
|
$9.22 |
$921.86 |
$914.48 |
20th Nov |
UFC FN |
1.5 |
-1.5 |
-100% |
|
$9.14 |
$914.48 |
$900.77 |
29th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen |
2.25 |
-2.3 |
-100% |
|
$9.01 |
$900.77 |
$880.50 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -11.95% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Bookies Will do nothin: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Bookies Will do nothin: Progress Chart |
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