|
MMA Handicapper Stats: Danny S |
|
Danny S: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
23rd Jul '22 |
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall |
14.5 |
-3.3 |
-23% |
-0.9 / 7.5 (-12%) |
-2.4 / 7 (-34%) |
|
9th Feb '20 |
UFC 247 |
15 |
1.5 |
10% |
-3.7 / 7 (-54%) |
0.0 / 3 (2%) |
5.2 / 5 (104%) |
25th Jan '20 |
UFC Fight Night 166 |
13.5 |
7.6 |
56% |
4.9 / 5 (97%) |
-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%) |
6.2 / 5 (124%) |
18th Jan '20 |
UFC 246 |
14.5 |
-0.8 |
-5% |
-0.8 / 5 (-16%) |
5.0 / 4.5 (111%) |
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
31st Aug '19 |
UFC Fight Night 157 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
|
|
17th Aug '19 |
UFC 241 |
18.5 |
2.9 |
16% |
-4.8 / 11.5 (-42%) |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
9.7 / 5 (194%) |
10th Aug '19 |
UFC Fight Night 156 |
22.5 |
-5.1 |
-23% |
-0.9 / 14.5 (-6%) |
-4.3 / 8 (-53%) |
|
3rd Aug '19 |
UFC on ESPN 5 |
10 |
-10.0 |
-100% |
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
27th Jul '19 |
UFC 240 |
20 |
24.8 |
124% |
-9.5 / 9.5 (-100%) |
20.7 / 5.5 (376%) |
13.6 / 5 (271%) |
20th Jul '19 |
UFC on ESPN 4 |
30.9 |
8.7 |
28% |
8.9 / 17.9 (50%) |
4.8 / 8 (59%) |
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
13th Jul '19 |
UFC Fight Night 155 |
27.8 |
-20.3 |
-73% |
-13.8 / 21.3 (-65%) |
-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) |
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
11th Jul '19 |
PFL 2019: Week 4 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
|
10th Jul '19 |
DWTNCS 19 |
7 |
-2.6 |
-37% |
2.4 / 2 (121%) |
|
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
6th Jul '19 |
UFC 239 |
23.1 |
-6.3 |
-27% |
0.5 / 5.6 (8%) |
3.2 / 7.5 (43%) |
-10.0 / 10 (-100%) |
29th Jun '19 |
UFC on ESPN 3 |
20 |
17.2 |
86% |
3.2 / 8 (40%) |
7.3 / 7 (105%) |
6.7 / 5 (134%) |
26th Jun '19 |
DWTNCS 18 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
|
|
22nd Jun '19 |
UFC Fight Night 154 |
21.7 |
-16.7 |
-77% |
1.0 / 4 (24%) |
-7.7 / 7.7 (-100%) |
-10.0 / 10 (-100%) |
22nd Jun '19 |
Bellator London |
1.5 |
1.1 |
73% |
1.1 / 1.5 (73%) |
|
|
19th Jun '19 |
DWTNCS 17 |
0.5 |
3.1 |
620% |
3.1 / 0.5 (620%) |
|
|
14th Jun '19 |
Bellator 222 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
|
|
8th Jun '19 |
UFC 238 |
17.1 |
6.4 |
37% |
2.3 / 16.1 (14%) |
4.1 / 1 (410%) |
|
18th May '19 |
UFC Fight Night 152 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
|
|
11th May '19 |
UFC 237 |
14 |
-0.0 |
-0% |
-0.0 / 14 (-0%) |
|
|
11th May '19 |
Bellator 221 |
3.5 |
1.9 |
54% |
1.9 / 3.5 (54%) |
|
|
4th May '19 |
UFC Fight Night 150 |
14.5 |
9.8 |
67% |
0.2 / 9 (2%) |
-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) |
10.1 / 5 (202%) |
27th Apr '19 |
UFC on ESPN 3 |
12 |
1.3 |
11% |
-1.0 / 6 (-17%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
3.3 / 5 (66%) |
13th Apr '19 |
UFC 236 |
9.5 |
6.2 |
65% |
6.2 / 9.5 (65%) |
|
|
30th Mar '19 |
UFC on ESPN 2 |
13.5 |
-3.2 |
-23% |
0.8 / 9.5 (9%) |
|
-4.0 / 4 (-100%) |
23rd Mar '19 |
UFC Fight Night 148 |
5.5 |
4.7 |
86% |
0.5 / 1.5 (33%) |
|
4.2 / 4 (105%) |
16th Mar '19 |
UFC Fight Night 147 |
10.5 |
3.4 |
32% |
-0.5 / 6.5 (-8%) |
|
3.9 / 4 (97%) |
Winning Events: 15 (50%) Losing Events: 15 (50%)
Average Staked Per Event: 12.54 units Most Staked On One Event: 30.90 units Best Event: 24.77 units Worst Event: -20.32 units Average Event: 0.57 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 33.46 Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -31.25 |
Danny S: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2022 |
14.5 |
-3.3 |
-23% |
-0.9 / 7.5 (-12%) |
-2.4 / 7 (-34%) |
|
/ 1 (0%) |
-3.30 |
2020 |
43 |
8.3 |
19% |
0.3 / 17 (2%) |
1.6 / 11 (14%) |
6.4 / 15 (42%) |
2 / 1 (67%) |
2.75 |
2019 |
318.6 |
12.1 |
4% |
-14.5 / 187.9 (-8%) |
19.1 / 53.7 (36%) |
7.5 / 77 (10%) |
13 / 13 (50%) |
0.46 |
|
Danny S: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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|
Danny S: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
355.6 |
21.5 |
6% |
-17.6 / 198.9 (-9%) |
20.3 / 69.7 (29%) |
18.8 / 87 (22%) |
Bellator |
10 |
-2.0 |
-20% |
-2.0 / 10 (-20%) |
|
|
PFL |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
|
Other |
8.5 |
-0.5 |
-6% |
4.5 / 3.5 (129%) |
|
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
|
Danny S: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
1 (1%) |
1 |
100 % |
4.00 |
2.05 |
2.05 |
51% |
Slight Favorites |
38 (41%) |
17 |
45 % |
126.30 |
-31.19 |
-0.82 |
-25% |
Slight Underdogs |
26 (28%) |
13 |
50 % |
53.00 |
12.98 |
0.50 |
24% |
Big Underdogs |
28 (30%) |
8 |
29 % |
29.10 |
1.07 |
0.04 |
4% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
15 (16%) |
8 |
53 % |
40.00 |
4.32 |
0.29 |
11% |
Co-Main Event |
5 (5%) |
1 |
20 % |
9.50 |
-4.12 |
-0.82 |
-43% |
Position 3-5 |
32 (34%) |
11 |
34 % |
68.10 |
-10.02 |
-0.31 |
-15% |
6+ (Undercard) |
41 (44%) |
19 |
46 % |
94.80 |
-5.27 |
-0.13 |
-6% |
|
Danny S: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
8 (9%) |
6 |
75 % |
17.50 |
16.93 |
2.12 |
97% |
Light Heavy |
7 (8%) |
4 |
57 % |
13.90 |
7.17 |
1.02 |
52% |
Middleweight |
4 (4%) |
1 |
25 % |
10.00 |
-7.40 |
-1.85 |
-74% |
Welterweight |
12 (13%) |
5 |
42 % |
28.50 |
-6.21 |
-0.52 |
-22% |
Lightweight |
14 (15%) |
6 |
43 % |
29.10 |
4.24 |
0.30 |
15% |
Featherweight |
16 (17%) |
5 |
31 % |
40.10 |
-12.51 |
-0.78 |
-31% |
Bantamweight |
14 (15%) |
4 |
29 % |
31.30 |
-17.53 |
-1.25 |
-56% |
Flyweight |
2 (2%) |
2 |
100 % |
5.50 |
4.11 |
2.05 |
75% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
16 (17%) |
6 |
38 % |
36.50 |
-3.90 |
-0.24 |
-11% |
Featherweight |
1 (1%) |
|
0 % |
0.50 |
-0.50 |
-0.50 |
-100% |
Bantamweight |
5 (5%) |
2 |
40 % |
12.00 |
-2.38 |
-0.48 |
-20% |
Flyweight |
4 (4%) |
1 |
25 % |
5.50 |
-0.55 |
-0.14 |
-10% |
Strawweight |
6 (6%) |
3 |
50 % |
18.50 |
-0.47 |
-0.08 |
-3% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
47 (94%) |
38 |
81 % |
Slight Favorites |
3 (6%) |
2 |
67 % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
50 |
40 |
80 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
3 (5%) |
1 |
33 % |
50-65% |
4 (7%) |
2 |
50 % |
35-50% |
9 (15%) |
2 |
22 % |
<35% chance |
43 (73%) |
9 |
21 % |
|
59 |
14 |
24 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Danny S's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
16th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 147 |
10.5 |
3.4 |
32% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,033.67 |
23rd Mar |
UFC Fight Night 148 |
5.5 |
4.7 |
86% |
|
$10.34 |
$1,033.67 |
$1,082.35 |
30th Mar |
UFC on ESPN 2 |
13.5 |
-3.2 |
-23% |
|
$10.82 |
$1,082.35 |
$1,048.25 |
13th Apr |
UFC 236 |
9.5 |
6.2 |
65% |
|
$10.48 |
$1,048.25 |
$1,112.80 |
27th Apr |
UFC on ESPN 3 |
12 |
1.3 |
11% |
|
$11.13 |
$1,112.80 |
$1,127.42 |
4th May |
UFC Fight Night 150 |
14.5 |
9.8 |
67% |
|
$11.27 |
$1,127.42 |
$1,237.68 |
11th May |
Bellator 221 |
3.5 |
1.9 |
54% |
|
$12.38 |
$1,237.68 |
$1,261.20 |
11th May |
UFC 237 |
14 |
-0.0 |
-0% |
|
$12.61 |
$1,261.20 |
$1,260.67 |
18th May |
UFC Fight Night 152 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$12.61 |
$1,260.67 |
$1,235.46 |
8th Jun |
UFC 238 |
17.1 |
6.4 |
37% |
|
$12.35 |
$1,235.46 |
$1,313.98 |
14th Jun |
Bellator 222 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$13.14 |
$1,313.98 |
$1,248.28 |
19th Jun |
DWTNCS 17 |
0.5 |
3.1 |
620% |
|
$12.48 |
$1,248.28 |
$1,286.98 |
22nd Jun |
Bellator London |
1.5 |
1.1 |
73% |
|
$12.87 |
$1,286.98 |
$1,301.13 |
22nd Jun |
UFC Fight Night 154 |
21.7 |
-16.7 |
-77% |
|
$13.01 |
$1,301.13 |
$1,083.19 |
26th Jun |
DWTNCS 18 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.83 |
$1,083.19 |
$1,072.36 |
29th Jun |
UFC on ESPN 3 |
20 |
17.2 |
86% |
|
$10.72 |
$1,072.36 |
$1,256.92 |
6th Jul |
UFC 239 |
23.1 |
-6.3 |
-27% |
|
$12.57 |
$1,256.92 |
$1,177.12 |
10th Jul |
DWTNCS 19 |
7 |
-2.6 |
-37% |
|
$11.77 |
$1,177.12 |
$1,146.75 |
11th Jul |
PFL 2019: Week 4 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.47 |
$1,146.75 |
$1,123.82 |
13th Jul |
UFC Fight Night 155 |
27.8 |
-20.3 |
-73% |
|
$11.24 |
$1,123.82 |
$895.44 |
20th Jul |
UFC on ESPN 4 |
30.9 |
8.7 |
28% |
|
$8.95 |
$895.44 |
$973.21 |
27th Jul |
UFC 240 |
20 |
24.8 |
124% |
|
$9.73 |
$973.21 |
$1,214.30 |
3rd Aug |
UFC on ESPN 5 |
10 |
-10.0 |
-100% |
|
$12.14 |
$1,214.30 |
$1,092.87 |
10th Aug |
UFC Fight Night 156 |
22.5 |
-5.1 |
-23% |
|
$10.93 |
$1,092.87 |
$1,036.63 |
17th Aug |
UFC 241 |
18.5 |
2.9 |
16% |
|
$10.37 |
$1,036.63 |
$1,067.11 |
31st Aug |
UFC Fight Night 157 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.67 |
$1,067.11 |
$1,013.75 |
18th Jan |
UFC 246 |
14.5 |
-0.8 |
-5% |
|
$10.14 |
$1,013.75 |
$1,005.89 |
25th Jan |
UFC Fight Night 166 |
13.5 |
7.6 |
56% |
|
$10.06 |
$1,005.89 |
$1,081.85 |
9th Feb |
UFC 247 |
15 |
1.5 |
10% |
|
$10.82 |
$1,081.85 |
$1,097.85 |
23rd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall |
14.5 |
-3.3 |
-23% |
|
$10.98 |
$1,097.85 |
$1,061.62 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 6.16% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Danny S: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Jul '22 |
Curtis Blaydes |
Tom Aspinall |
2.20 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (0:15) |
|
|
2. |
Feb '20 |
Justin Tafa |
Juan Adams |
3.25 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (1:59) |
|
|
3. |
Jan '20 |
Herbert Burns |
Nate Landwehr |
2.00 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (2:43) |
|
|
4. |
Jan '20 |
Brett Johns |
Tony Gravely |
1.95 |
3 |
Sub, R3 (2:53) |
|
|
5. |
Jan '20 |
Askar Askarov |
Tim Elliott |
1.69 |
2.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
6. |
Aug '19 |
Casey Kenney |
Manny Bermudez |
2.37 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
7. |
Aug '19 |
Drakkar Klose |
Christos Giagos |
1.58 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
8. |
Aug '19 |
Marina Alcalde Rodriguez |
Tecia Torres |
2.30 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
9. |
Aug '19 |
Volkan Oezdemir |
Ilir Latifi |
1.63 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (4:31) |
|
|
10. |
Aug '19 |
Enrique Barzola |
Bobby Moffett |
1.76 |
3 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
11. |
Jul '19 |
Mario Bautista |
Jin Soo Son |
2.61 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
12. |
Jul '19 |
Klidson Farias de Abreu |
Sam Alvey |
1.59 |
3.4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
13. |
Jul '19 |
Daniel Hooker |
James Vick |
1.68 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (2:33) |
|
|
14. |
Jul '19 |
Raquel Pennington |
Irene Aldana |
2.38 |
1.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
15. |
Jul '19 |
Greg Hardy |
Juan Adams |
2.04 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (0:45) |
|
|
16. |
Jul '19 |
Brianna Van Buren |
Livia Renata Souza |
1.87 |
4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
17. |
Jul '19 |
Jonathan Pearce |
Jacob Rosales |
2.21 |
2 |
TKO, R3 (1:50) |
|
|
18. |
Jul '19 |
Julia Avila |
Pannie Kianzad |
1.51 |
4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
19. |
Jun '19 |
Joseph Benavidez |
Jussier Formiga |
1.79 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (4:47) |
|
|
20. |
Jun '19 |
Maurice Greene |
Junior Albini |
1.93 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (3:38) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Danny S: Progress Chart |
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