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MMA Handicapper Stats: Danny S

Danny S (dannybest559)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Danny S

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 61 (37%) Right 39 (42%) Right 13 (24%) Right 9 (47%)
Wrong 105 (63%) Wrong 53 (58%) Wrong 42 (76%) Wrong 10 (53%)
Avg Odds 2.69 Avg Odds 2.26 Avg Odds 4.41 Avg Odds 2.24
Units Bet 373.1 Units Bet 212.4 Units Bet 68.7 Units Bet 92.0
Avg Bet 2.25 Avg Bet 2.31 Avg Bet 1.25 Avg Bet 4.84
Units Profit 17.01 Units Profit -15.09 Units Profit 18.26 Units Profit 13.83
ROI % 5% ROI % -7% ROI % 27% ROI % 15%
View Handicapper's Profile

Danny S: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
23rd Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall 14.5 -3.3 -23% -0.9 / 7.5 (-12%) -2.4 / 7 (-34%)
9th Feb '20 UFC 247 15 1.5 10% -3.7 / 7 (-54%) 0.0 / 3 (2%) 5.2 / 5 (104%)
25th Jan '20 UFC Fight Night 166 13.5 7.6 56% 4.9 / 5 (97%) -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%) 6.2 / 5 (124%)
18th Jan '20 UFC 246 14.5 -0.8 -5% -0.8 / 5 (-16%) 5.0 / 4.5 (111%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
31st Aug '19 UFC Fight Night 157 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
17th Aug '19 UFC 241 18.5 2.9 16% -4.8 / 11.5 (-42%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 9.7 / 5 (194%)
10th Aug '19 UFC Fight Night 156 22.5 -5.1 -23% -0.9 / 14.5 (-6%) -4.3 / 8 (-53%)
3rd Aug '19 UFC on ESPN 5 10 -10.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
27th Jul '19 UFC 240 20 24.8 124% -9.5 / 9.5 (-100%) 20.7 / 5.5 (376%) 13.6 / 5 (271%)
20th Jul '19 UFC on ESPN 4 30.9 8.7 28% 8.9 / 17.9 (50%) 4.8 / 8 (59%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
13th Jul '19 UFC Fight Night 155 27.8 -20.3 -73% -13.8 / 21.3 (-65%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
11th Jul '19 PFL 2019: Week 4 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
10th Jul '19 DWTNCS 19 7 -2.6 -37% 2.4 / 2 (121%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
6th Jul '19 UFC 239 23.1 -6.3 -27% 0.5 / 5.6 (8%) 3.2 / 7.5 (43%) -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
29th Jun '19 UFC on ESPN 3 20 17.2 86% 3.2 / 8 (40%) 7.3 / 7 (105%) 6.7 / 5 (134%)
26th Jun '19 DWTNCS 18 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
22nd Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 154 21.7 -16.7 -77% 1.0 / 4 (24%) -7.7 / 7.7 (-100%) -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
22nd Jun '19 Bellator London 1.5 1.1 73% 1.1 / 1.5 (73%)
19th Jun '19 DWTNCS 17 0.5 3.1 620% 3.1 / 0.5 (620%)
14th Jun '19 Bellator 222 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
8th Jun '19 UFC 238 17.1 6.4 37% 2.3 / 16.1 (14%) 4.1 / 1 (410%)
18th May '19 UFC Fight Night 152 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
11th May '19 UFC 237 14 -0.0 -0% -0.0 / 14 (-0%)
11th May '19 Bellator 221 3.5 1.9 54% 1.9 / 3.5 (54%)
4th May '19 UFC Fight Night 150 14.5 9.8 67% 0.2 / 9 (2%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) 10.1 / 5 (202%)
27th Apr '19 UFC on ESPN 3 12 1.3 11% -1.0 / 6 (-17%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 3.3 / 5 (66%)
13th Apr '19 UFC 236 9.5 6.2 65% 6.2 / 9.5 (65%)
30th Mar '19 UFC on ESPN 2 13.5 -3.2 -23% 0.8 / 9.5 (9%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
23rd Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 148 5.5 4.7 86% 0.5 / 1.5 (33%) 4.2 / 4 (105%)
16th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 147 10.5 3.4 32% -0.5 / 6.5 (-8%) 3.9 / 4 (97%)


Winning Events: 15 (50%)
Losing Events: 15 (50%)

Average Staked Per Event: 12.54 units
Most Staked On One Event: 30.90 units
Best Event: 24.77 units
Worst Event: -20.32 units
Average Event: 0.57 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 33.46
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -31.25

Danny S: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2022 14.5 -3.3 -23% -0.9 / 7.5 (-12%) -2.4 / 7 (-34%) / 1 (0%) -3.30
2020 43 8.3 19% 0.3 / 17 (2%) 1.6 / 11 (14%) 6.4 / 15 (42%) 2 / 1 (67%) 2.75
2019 318.6 12.1 4% -14.5 / 187.9 (-8%) 19.1 / 53.7 (36%) 7.5 / 77 (10%) 13 / 13 (50%) 0.46

Danny S: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Danny S: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 355.6 21.5 6% -17.6 / 198.9 (-9%) 20.3 / 69.7 (29%) 18.8 / 87 (22%)
Bellator 10 -2.0 -20% -2.0 / 10 (-20%)
PFL 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
Other 8.5 -0.5 -6% 4.5 / 3.5 (129%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)

Danny S: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 1 (1%) 1 100 % 4.00 2.05 2.05 51%
Slight Favorites 38 (41%) 17 45 % 126.30 -31.19 -0.82 -25%
Slight Underdogs 26 (28%) 13 50 % 53.00 12.98 0.50 24%
Big Underdogs 28 (30%) 8 29 % 29.10 1.07 0.04 4%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 15 (16%) 8 53 % 40.00 4.32 0.29 11%
Co-Main Event 5 (5%) 1 20 % 9.50 -4.12 -0.82 -43%
Position 3-5 32 (34%) 11 34 % 68.10 -10.02 -0.31 -15%
6+ (Undercard) 41 (44%) 19 46 % 94.80 -5.27 -0.13 -6%

Danny S: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 8 (9%) 6 75 % 17.50 16.93 2.12 97%
Light Heavy 7 (8%) 4 57 % 13.90 7.17 1.02 52%
Middleweight 4 (4%) 1 25 % 10.00 -7.40 -1.85 -74%
Welterweight 12 (13%) 5 42 % 28.50 -6.21 -0.52 -22%
Lightweight 14 (15%) 6 43 % 29.10 4.24 0.30 15%
Featherweight 16 (17%) 5 31 % 40.10 -12.51 -0.78 -31%
Bantamweight 14 (15%) 4 29 % 31.30 -17.53 -1.25 -56%
Flyweight 2 (2%) 2 100 % 5.50 4.11 2.05 75%
               
Women's Fights 16 (17%) 6 38 % 36.50 -3.90 -0.24 -11%
Featherweight 1 (1%) 0 % 0.50 -0.50 -0.50 -100%
Bantamweight 5 (5%) 2 40 % 12.00 -2.38 -0.48 -20%
Flyweight 4 (4%) 1 25 % 5.50 -0.55 -0.14 -10%
Strawweight 6 (6%) 3 50 % 18.50 -0.47 -0.08 -3%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 47 (94%) 38 81 %
Slight Favorites 3 (6%) 2 67 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
50 40 80 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 3 (5%) 1 33 %
50-65% 4 (7%) 2 50 %
35-50% 9 (15%) 2 22 %
<35% chance 43 (73%) 9 21 %
59 14 24 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 2 (3%) 0 0 % 2.20 3.00Pick was incorrect 1.74Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO 19 (32%) 4 21 % 5.27 15.00Pick was incorrect 1.61Pick was correct -4.0 (-21%)
X Wins by Sub 11 (19%) 1 9 % 5.32 15.72Pick was incorrect 2.65Pick was incorrect 2.0 (18%)
X Wins by Decision 6 (10%) 4 67 % 3.91 12.00Pick was incorrect 2.30Pick was correct 6.6 (110%)
X Wins Inside Distance 7 (12%) 2 29 % 1.87 3.50Pick was correct 1.36Pick was correct -2.1 (-31%)
X Wins in Round X 11 (19%) 3 27 % 4.37 26.00Pick was incorrect 1.87Pick was correct -2.9 (-26%)
Others 3 (5%) 0 0 % 3.88 13.00Pick was incorrect 1.84Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-67%)
59 14 24 % 3.89     -4.4 (-7%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Danny S's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
16th Mar UFC Fight Night 147 10.5 3.4 32% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,033.67
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night 148 5.5 4.7 86% $10.34 $1,033.67 $1,082.35
30th Mar UFC on ESPN 2 13.5 -3.2 -23% $10.82 $1,082.35 $1,048.25
13th Apr UFC 236 9.5 6.2 65% $10.48 $1,048.25 $1,112.80
27th Apr UFC on ESPN 3 12 1.3 11% $11.13 $1,112.80 $1,127.42
4th May UFC Fight Night 150 14.5 9.8 67% $11.27 $1,127.42 $1,237.68
11th May Bellator 221 3.5 1.9 54% $12.38 $1,237.68 $1,261.20
11th May UFC 237 14 -0.0 -0% $12.61 $1,261.20 $1,260.67
18th May UFC Fight Night 152 2 -2.0 -100% $12.61 $1,260.67 $1,235.46
8th Jun UFC 238 17.1 6.4 37% $12.35 $1,235.46 $1,313.98
14th Jun Bellator 222 5 -5.0 -100% $13.14 $1,313.98 $1,248.28
19th Jun DWTNCS 17 0.5 3.1 620% $12.48 $1,248.28 $1,286.98
22nd Jun Bellator London 1.5 1.1 73% $12.87 $1,286.98 $1,301.13
22nd Jun UFC Fight Night 154 21.7 -16.7 -77% $13.01 $1,301.13 $1,083.19
26th Jun DWTNCS 18 1 -1.0 -100% $10.83 $1,083.19 $1,072.36
29th Jun UFC on ESPN 3 20 17.2 86% $10.72 $1,072.36 $1,256.92
6th Jul UFC 239 23.1 -6.3 -27% $12.57 $1,256.92 $1,177.12
10th Jul DWTNCS 19 7 -2.6 -37% $11.77 $1,177.12 $1,146.75
11th Jul PFL 2019: Week 4 2 -2.0 -100% $11.47 $1,146.75 $1,123.82
13th Jul UFC Fight Night 155 27.8 -20.3 -73% $11.24 $1,123.82 $895.44
20th Jul UFC on ESPN 4 30.9 8.7 28% $8.95 $895.44 $973.21
27th Jul UFC 240 20 24.8 124% $9.73 $973.21 $1,214.30
3rd Aug UFC on ESPN 5 10 -10.0 -100% $12.14 $1,214.30 $1,092.87
10th Aug UFC Fight Night 156 22.5 -5.1 -23% $10.93 $1,092.87 $1,036.63
17th Aug UFC 241 18.5 2.9 16% $10.37 $1,036.63 $1,067.11
31st Aug UFC Fight Night 157 5 -5.0 -100% $10.67 $1,067.11 $1,013.75
18th Jan UFC 246 14.5 -0.8 -5% $10.14 $1,013.75 $1,005.89
25th Jan UFC Fight Night 166 13.5 7.6 56% $10.06 $1,005.89 $1,081.85
9th Feb UFC 247 15 1.5 10% $10.82 $1,081.85 $1,097.85
23rd Jul UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall 14.5 -3.3 -23% $10.98 $1,097.85 $1,061.62


ROI % from starting bank balance: 6.16% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Danny S: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Jul '22 Curtis Blaydes Tom Aspinall 2.20 3 TKO, R1 (0:15) MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '20 Justin Tafa Juan Adams 3.25 1 TKO, R1 (1:59) MMA Bookmaker
3. Jan '20 Herbert Burns Nate Landwehr 2.00 2 TKO, R1 (2:43) MMA Bookmaker
4. Jan '20 Brett Johns Tony Gravely 1.95 3 Sub, R3 (2:53) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jan '20 Askar Askarov Tim Elliott 1.69 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Aug '19 Casey Kenney Manny Bermudez 2.37 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Aug '19 Drakkar Klose Christos Giagos 1.58 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Aug '19 Marina Alcalde Rodriguez Tecia Torres 2.30 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Aug '19 Volkan Oezdemir Ilir Latifi 1.63 3 TKO, R2 (4:31) MMA Bookmaker
10. Aug '19 Enrique Barzola Bobby Moffett 1.76 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Jul '19 Mario Bautista Jin Soo Son 2.61 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Jul '19 Klidson Farias de Abreu Sam Alvey 1.59 3.4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Jul '19 Daniel Hooker James Vick 1.68 3 TKO, R1 (2:33) MMA Bookmaker
14. Jul '19 Raquel Pennington Irene Aldana 2.38 1.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Jul '19 Greg Hardy Juan Adams 2.04 5 TKO, R1 (0:45) MMA Bookmaker
16. Jul '19 Brianna Van Buren Livia Renata Souza 1.87 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '19 Jonathan Pearce Jacob Rosales 2.21 2 TKO, R3 (1:50) MMA Bookmaker
18. Jul '19 Julia Avila Pannie Kianzad 1.51 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Jun '19 Joseph Benavidez Jussier Formiga 1.79 3 TKO, R2 (4:47) MMA Bookmaker
20. Jun '19 Maurice Greene Junior Albini 1.93 3 TKO, R1 (3:38) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Jul '22 Alexander Gustafsson Nikita Krylov 2.66 1 TKO, R1 (1:7) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Jul '22 Hannah Goldy Molly McCann 4.60 1 TKO, R1 (3:52) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Jul '22 Jordan Leavitt Paddy Pimblett 3.15 2.5 Sub, R2 (2:46) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '20 Miles Johns Mario Bautista 1.83 2 TKO, R2 (1:41) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '20 Mirsad Bektic Dan Ige 1.87 4 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Jan '20 J.J. Aldrich Sabina Mazo 1.87 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Jan '20 Anthony Pettis Carlos Diego Ferreira 2.90 0.5 Sub, R2 (1:46) Yes MMA Bookmaker
8. Aug '19 Jessica Andrade Weili Zhang 1.61 5 TKO, R1 (0:42) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Aug '19 Ian Heinisch Derek Brunson 1.70 4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Aug '19 Yoel Romero Paulo Costa 1.75 4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Aug '19 Alexey Kunchenko Gilbert Burns 1.75 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Aug '19 Mike Perry Vicente Luque 2.89 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Aug '19 Joaquim Silva Nasrat Haqparast 3.05 1 TKO, R2 (0:36) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Aug '19 Robbie Lawler Colby Covington 2.94 2 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Jul '19 Seung Woo Choi Gavin Tucker 1.92 4 Sub, R3 (3:17) Yes MMA Bookmaker
16. Jul '19 Sarah Frota Gillian Robertson 1.98 2 TKO, R2 (4:13) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '19 Kyle Stewart Erik Koch 1.84 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Jul '19 Frankie Edgar Max Holloway 4.00 1 U Decision (5 rounds) Yes MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '19 Gabriel Silva Ray Borg 2.82 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '19 Rafael dos Anjos Leon Edwards 2.05 2 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Danny S: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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