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MMA Handicapper Stats: Seamus OConnell

Seamus OConnell (WildBoar)

MMA MHandicapper - Seamus OConnell

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	27 (50%)	Right	27 (50%)	Right	0 (nan%)	Right	0 (nan%)
Wrong	27 (50%)	Wrong	27 (50%)	Wrong	0 (nan%)	Wrong	0 (nan%)
Avg Odds	2.08	Avg Odds	2.08	Avg Odds	nan	Avg Odds	nan
Units Bet	193.0	Units Bet	193.0	Units Bet	0.0	Units Bet	0.0
Avg Bet	3.57	Avg Bet	3.57	Avg Bet	nan	Avg Bet	nan
Units Profit	54.30	Units Profit	54.30	Units Profit	0.00	Units Profit	0.00
ROI %	28%	ROI %	28%	ROI %	nan%	ROI %	nan%

Seamus OConnell: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
2nd Jul '22	UFC 276	3	2.6	85%	2.6 / 3 (85%)
9th Apr '22	UFC 273	2	-2.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
12th Mar '22	UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev	3	1.8	59%	1.8 / 3 (59%)
6th Nov '21	UFC 268	2	0.8	42%	0.8 / 2 (42%)
30th Oct '21	UFC 267	11	26.9	245%	26.9 / 11 (245%)
25th Sep '21	UFC 266	4	-4.0	-100%	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
7th Aug '21	UFC 265	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
10th Jul '21	UFC 264	5	-5.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
6th Oct '18	UFC 229	8	-0.3	-3%	-0.3 / 8 (-3%)
9th Jun '18	UFC 225	16	4.3	27%	4.3 / 16 (27%)
7th Apr '18	UFC 223	2	-2.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
8th Jul '17	UFC 213	2	4.6	230%	4.6 / 2 (230%)
25th Jun '17	UFC Fight Night 112	2	4.0	200%	4.0 / 2 (200%)
3rd Jun '17	UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway	5	6.4	128%	6.4 / 5 (128%)
13th May '17	UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos	11	9.2	84%	9.2 / 11 (84%)
8th Apr '17	UFC 210 - Cormier vs. Johnson 2	12	1.2	10%	1.2 / 12 (10%)
4th Mar '17	UFC 209	8	-8.0	-100%	-8.0 / 8 (-100%)
19th Feb '17	UFC Fight Night 105 Lewis vs. Browne	8	7.3	91%	7.3 / 8 (91%)
10th Dec '16	UFC 206	8	5.0	63%	5.0 / 8 (63%)
9th Dec '16	UFC Fight Night 102 Albany	4	2.2	54%	2.2 / 4 (54%)
12th Nov '16	UFC 205 - New York City	12	1.0	9%	1.0 / 12 (9%)
24th Sep '16	UFC Fight Night 95 - Brasilia	11	4.6	42%	4.6 / 11 (42%)
23rd Apr '16	UFC 197 - Jones vs. St Preux	19	-16.5	-87%	-16.5 / 19 (-87%)
19th Mar '16	UFC Fight Night 84 - Hunt vs. Mir	8	-8.0	-100%	-8.0 / 8 (-100%)
27th Feb '16	UFC Fight Night 84 - Silva vs. Bisping	4	10.3	257%	10.3 / 4 (257%)
6th Feb '16	UFC Fight Night 82 - Hendricks vs. Thompson	3	8.6	285%	8.6 / 3 (285%)
30th Jan '16	UFC on Fox 18 - Johnson vs. Bader	19	0.2	1%	0.2 / 19 (1%)

Winning Events: 18 (67%)
Losing Events: 9 (33%)

Average Staked Per Event: 7.15 units
Most Staked On One Event: 19.00 units
Best Event: 26.95 units
Worst Event: -16.48 units
Average Event: 2.01 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 29.56
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -24.48

Seamus OConnell: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2022	8	2.3	29%	2.3 / 8 (29%)			2 / 1 (67%)	0.77
2021	23	17.8	77%	17.8 / 23 (77%)			2 / 3 (40%)	3.56
2018	26	2.0	8%	2.0 / 26 (8%)			1 / 2 (33%)	0.67
2017	48	24.7	52%	24.7 / 48 (52%)			6 / 1 (86%)	3.53
2016	88	7.5	8%	7.5 / 88 (8%)			7 / 2 (78%)	0.83

Seamus OConnell: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Seamus OConnell: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	193	54.3	28%	54.3 / 193 (28%)

Seamus OConnell: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	12 (22%)	9	75 %	41.00	6.87	0.57	17%
Slight Favorites	14 (26%)	10	71 %	64.00	21.38	1.53	33%
Slight Underdogs	12 (22%)	3	25 %	42.00	-4.33	-0.36	-10%
Big Underdogs	16 (30%)	5	31 %	46.00	30.38	1.90	66%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	19 (35%)	9	47 %	83.00	37.84	1.99	46%
Co-Main Event	5 (9%)	4	80 %	14.00	13.08	2.62	93%
Position 3-5	17 (31%)	8	47 %	66.00	9.78	0.58	15%
6+ (Undercard)	13 (24%)	6	46 %	30.00	-6.41	-0.49	-21%

Seamus OConnell: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	10 (19%)	6	60 %	47.00	16.09	1.61	34%
Light Heavy	4 (7%)	1	25 %	24.00	13.95	3.49	58%
Middleweight	11 (20%)	8	73 %	31.00	23.21	2.11	75%
Welterweight	8 (15%)	4	50 %	31.00	10.83	1.35	35%
Lightweight	9 (17%)	2	22 %	25.00	-12.04	-1.34	-48%
Featherweight	5 (9%)	3	60 %	22.00	6.34	1.27	29%
Bantamweight	1 (2%)		0 %	1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-100%
Flyweight	2 (4%)	1	50 %	4.00	-1.48	-0.74	-37%

Women's Fights	4 (7%)	2	50 %	8.00	-1.61	-0.40	-20%
Flyweight	1 (2%)		0 %	1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-100%
Strawweight	3 (6%)	2	67 %	7.00	-0.61	-0.20	-9%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
Slight Favorites	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
Slight Underdogs	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
	0	0	nan %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
50-65%	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
35-50%	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
<35% chance	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
	0	0	nan %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
	0	0	nan %	nan			0.0 (nan%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Seamus OConnell's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
30th Jan	UFC on Fox 18 - Johnson vs. Bader	19	0.2	1%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,002.33
6th Feb	UFC Fight Night 82 - Hendricks vs. Thompson	3	8.6	285%		$10.02	$1,002.33	$1,088.03
27th Feb	UFC Fight Night 84 - Silva vs. Bisping	4	10.3	257%		$10.88	$1,088.03	$1,199.88
19th Mar	UFC Fight Night 84 - Hunt vs. Mir	8	-8.0	-100%	$10	$12.00	$1,199.88	$1,093.89
23rd Apr	UFC 197 - Jones vs. St Preux	19	-16.5	-87%		$10.94	$1,093.89	$913.62
24th Sep	UFC Fight Night 95 - Brasilia	11	4.6	42%		$9.14	$913.62	$955.83
12th Nov	UFC 205 - New York City	12	1.0	9%		$9.56	$955.83	$965.86
9th Dec	UFC Fight Night 102 Albany	4	2.2	54%		$9.66	$965.86	$986.72
10th Dec	UFC 206	8	5.0	63%		$9.87	$986.72	$1,036.46
19th Feb	UFC Fight Night 105 Lewis vs. Browne	8	7.3	91%		$10.36	$1,036.46	$1,111.91
4th Mar	UFC 209	8	-8.0	-100%	$10	$11.12	$1,111.91	$1,012.96
8th Apr	UFC 210 - Cormier vs. Johnson 2	12	1.2	10%	$10	$10.13	$1,012.96	$1,015.11
13th May	UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos	11	9.2	84%	$10	$10.15	$1,015.11	$1,098.94
3rd Jun	UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway	5	6.4	128%	$10	$10.99	$1,098.94	$1,159.28
25th Jun	UFC Fight Night 112	2	4.0	200%		$11.59	$1,159.28	$1,205.65
8th Jul	UFC 213	2	4.6	230%		$12.06	$1,205.65	$1,261.11
7th Apr	UFC 223	2	-2.0	-100%		$12.61	$1,261.11	$1,235.89
9th Jun	UFC 225	16	4.3	27%	$10	$12.36	$1,235.89	$1,278.66
6th Oct	UFC 229	8	-0.3	-3%		$12.79	$1,278.66	$1,275.33
10th Jul	UFC 264	5	-5.0	-100%		$12.75	$1,275.33	$1,211.57
7th Aug	UFC 265	1	-1.0	-100%		$12.12	$1,211.57	$1,199.45
25th Sep	UFC 266	4	-4.0	-100%		$11.99	$1,199.45	$1,151.47
30th Oct	UFC 267	11	26.9	245%		$11.51	$1,151.47	$1,461.79
6th Nov	UFC 268	2	0.8	42%		$14.62	$1,461.79	$1,474.07
12th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev	3	1.8	59%		$14.74	$1,474.07	$1,500.16
9th Apr	UFC 273	2	-2.0	-100%		$15.00	$1,500.16	$1,470.15
2nd Jul	UFC 276	3	2.6	85%		$14.70	$1,470.15	$1,507.64

ROI % from starting bank balance: 50.76% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Seamus OConnell: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Jul '22	Alex Pereira	Sean Strickland	1.85	3	TKO, R1 (2:36)
2.	Mar '22	Alex Pereira	Bruno Silva	1.59	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Nov '21	Alex Pereira	Andreas Michailidis	1.42	2	TKO, R2 (0:18)
4.	Oct '21	Glover Teixeira	Jan Blachowicz	3.45	11	Sub, R2 (3:2)
5.	Oct '18	Tony Ferguson	Anthony Pettis	1.29	6	TKO, R2 (5:0)
6.	Jun '18	Curtis Blaydes	Alistair Overeem	1.59	4	TKO, R3 (2:56)
7.	Jun '18	Claudia Gadelha	Carla Esparza	1.23	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Jun '18	Colby Covington	Rafael dos Anjos	1.83	3	U Decision (5 rounds)
9.	Jun '18	Robert Whittaker	Yoel Romero	1.49	4	Split Decision (5 rounds)
10.	Jul '17	Aleksei Oleinik	Travis Browne	3.30	2	Sub, R2 (3:44)
11.	Jun '17	Tim Boetsch	Johny Hendricks	3.00	2	TKO, R2 (0:46)
12.	Jun '17	Max Holloway	Jose Aldo	2.28	5	TKO, R3 (4:13)
13.	May '17	Demian Maia	Jorge Masvidal	1.84	11	Split Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Apr '17	Thiago Alves	Patrick Cote	2.20	6	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Feb '17	Derrick Lewis	Travis Browne	1.91	8	TKO, R2 (3:12)
16.	Dec '16	Max Holloway	Anthony Pettis	1.63	8	TKO, R3 (4:50)
17.	Dec '16	Derrick Lewis	Shamil Abdurakhimov	1.54	4	TKO, R4 (3:42)
18.	Nov '16	Frankie Edgar	Jeremy Stephens	1.30	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Nov '16	Joanna Jedrzejczyk	Karolina Kowalkiewicz	1.31	3	U Decision (5 rounds)
20.	Nov '16	Conor McGregor	Eddie Alvarez	1.74	3	TKO, R2 (3:4)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Apr '22	Chan Sung Jung	Alex Volkanovski	6.50	2	TKO, R4 (0:45)	No
2.	Sep '21	Jairzinho Rozenstruik	Curtis Blaydes	3.75	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Sep '21	Nick Diaz	Robbie Lawler	2.45	2	TKO, R3 (0:44)	No
4.	Sep '21	Lauren Murphy	Valentina Shevchenko	10.80	1	TKO, R4 (4:0)	No
5.	Aug '21	Derrick Lewis	Ciryl Gane	3.70	1	TKO, R3 (4:11)	No
6.	Jul '21	Carlos Condit	Max Griffin	2.62	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Jul '21	Kris Moutinho	Sean O'Malley	7.00	1	TKO, R3 (4:33)	No
8.	Jul '21	Conor McGregor	Dustin Poirier	2.00	3	TKO, R1 (5:0)	No
9.	Oct '18	Conor McGregor	Khabib Nurmagomedov	2.66	2	Sub, R4 (3:2)	No
10.	Jun '18	Joseph Benavidez	Sergio Pettis	1.45	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Jun '18	Clay Guida	Charles Oliveira	2.30	1	Sub, R1 (2:18)	No
12.	Apr '18	Al Iaquinta	Khabib Nurmagomedov	4.77	2	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
13.	Apr '17	Anthony Johnson	Daniel Cormier	1.83	6	Sub, R2 (3:37)	No
14.	Mar '17	Mark Hunt	Alistair Overeem	2.23	4	TKO, R3 (1:44)	No
15.	Mar '17	Stephen Thompson	Tyron Woodley	1.71	4	Split Decision (5 rounds)	No
16.	Nov '16	Chris Weidman	Yoel Romero	1.65	3	TKO, R3 (0:24)	No
17.	Apr '16	Rafael Natal	Robert Whittaker	3.79	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Apr '16	Efrain Escudero	Kevin Lee	4.20	4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Apr '16	Juliana Lima	Carla Esparza	2.64	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Apr '16	Andre Fili	Yair Rodriguez	2.38	4	TKO, R2 (2:15)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Seamus OConnell: Progress Chart

Chart

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